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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Swanson

Austin, Texas
2014-11-22 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $2.10
$10 on all underdogs nets: $4.10

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 7.5. Profit: 1.80
Total Unit Profit: 1.80

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-10.90 (7 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $2.10 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $0.73 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-28.04 (6 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cub Swanson vs Frankie Edgar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
54 (27)%
 
147 (73)%
25%
 
75%
27%
 
73%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#12 Low Pick Rating
WON
@3.03 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Frankie Edgar: Returned 0.24 Units   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #12 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $5.79 #6 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $2.89

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Bobby Green vs Edson Barboza Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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49%
   
51%
68 (40)%
 
104 (60)%
40%
 
60%
37%
 
63%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#10 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.04 Suggested Bet: 2.25 units on Edson Barboza: Returned 2.16 Units   @1.96
$10 Bet Profit: $9.6 #10 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $17.72 #11 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $16.24

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brad Pickett vs Chico Camus Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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66%
   
33%
132 (86)%
 
22 (14)%
87%
 
13%
67%
 
33%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #8
WON
@1.52 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.03
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $-10.77 #9 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jared Rosholt vs Aleksei Oleinik Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
73 (68)%
 
34 (32)%
69%
 
31%
65%
 
35%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #3 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.03
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #3 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $9.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joseph Benavidez vs Dustin Ortiz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
23%
134 (92)%
 
12 (8)%
92%
 
8%
73%
 
27%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #11 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.66 #12 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Isaac Vallie-Flagg vs Matt Wiman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
65%
22 (24)%
 
69 (76)%
25%
 
75%
26%
 
74%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.78 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Matt Wiman: Returned 0.67 Units   @1.54
$10 Bet Profit: $5.4 #6 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $7.48 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $4.98

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ruslan Magomedov vs Josh Copeland Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
34%
81 (85)%
 
14 (15)%
87%
 
13%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #4
LOST
@1.49 Suggested Bet: 1.5 units on Ruslan Magomedov: Returned 0.74 Units   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #4 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $7.54 #4 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $5.28

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luke Barnatt vs Roger Narvaez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
28%
82 (82)%
 
18 (18)%
84%
 
16%
72%
 
28%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #9 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.57
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #10 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $3.96

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile James Vick vs Nick Hein Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
36%
56 (73)%
 
21 (27)%
72%
 
28%
57%
 
43%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #5 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.49 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #5 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.51 #5 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yves Edwards vs Akbarh Arreola Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
69 (70)%
 
30 (30)%
70%
 
30%
79%
 
21%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #1
WON
@1.54 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Yves Edwards: Returned -2.00 Units   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #1 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kailin Curran vs Paige VanZant Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
38 (44)%
 
48 (56)%
45%
 
55%
46%
 
54%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #2 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #2 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $3.19 #2 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Doo Ho Choi vs Juan Manuel Puig Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
26%
39 (48)%
 
42 (52)%
51%
 
49%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #7 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.85
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #7 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.46 #8 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Edson Barboza vs Bobby Green (@1.96) 63%   2.25   2.16   2.16   $0.00   $0.00 96%
Bet on Yves Edwards vs Akbarh Arreola (@1.54) 79%   2   1.08   -2.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Ruslan Magomedov vs Josh Copeland (@1.49) 78%   1.5   0.73   0.74   $0.00   $0.00 49%
Bet on Matt Wiman vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg (@1.54) 74%   1.25   0.67   0.67   $0.00   $0.00 54%
Bet on Frankie Edgar vs Cub Swanson (@1.47) 73%   0.5   0.24   0.24   $0.00   $0.00 47%
Average Odds: @1.58   7.5 4.88 1.80   $0.00 $0.00 24.07%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Edson Barboza Bobby Green $18.46 $17.72
 
$17.72
#2 Yves Edwards Akbarh Arreola $16.92 $9.14
 
-$16.92
#3 Ruslan Magomedov Josh Copeland $15.38 $7.54
 
$7.54
#4 Matt Wiman Isaac Vallie-Flagg $13.85 $7.48
 
$7.48
#5 Frankie Edgar Cub Swanson $12.31 $5.79
 
$5.79
#6 Brad Pickett Chico Camus $10.77 $5.60
 
-$10.77
#7 Jared Rosholt Aleksei Oleinik $9.23 $4.34
 
-$9.23
#8 Luke Barnatt Roger Narvaez $7.69 $2.54
 
-$7.69
#9 Joseph Benavidez Dustin Ortiz $6.15 $1.66
 
$1.66
#10 Paige VanZant Kailin Curran $4.62 $3.19
 
$3.19
#11 James Vick Nick Hein $3.08 $1.51
 
$1.51
#12 Doo Ho Choi Juan Manuel Puig $1.54 $0.46
 
$0.46
      $120.00 $66.95 (56%)   $0.73 (1%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Juan Manuel Puig Doo Ho Choi $18.46 $52.61
 
-$18.46
#2 Edson Barboza Bobby Green $16.92 $16.24
 
$16.24
#3 Yves Edwards Akbarh Arreola $15.38 $8.31
 
-$15.38
#4 Nick Hein James Vick $13.85 $24.65
 
-$13.85
#5 Dustin Ortiz Joseph Benavidez $12.31 $41.24
 
-$12.31
#6 Ruslan Magomedov Josh Copeland $10.77 $5.28
 
$5.28
#7 Matt Wiman Isaac Vallie-Flagg $9.23 $4.98
 
$4.98
#8 Kailin Curran Paige VanZant $7.69 $10.61
 
-$7.69
#9 Frankie Edgar Cub Swanson $6.15 $2.89
 
$2.89
#10 Aleksei Oleinik Jared Rosholt $4.62 $9.38
 
$9.38
#11 Brad Pickett Chico Camus $3.08 $1.60
 
-$3.08
#12 Roger Narvaez Luke Barnatt $1.54 $3.96
 
$3.96
      $120.00 $181.75 (151%)   $-28.04 (-23%)
 
 
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