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Event Predictions

UFC 190 - Rousey vs. Correia

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
2015-08-01 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $2.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-1.80

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 5.25. Profit: 9.13
Total Unit Profit: 9.13

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-30.20 (7 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $37.50 (10 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $64.25 (10 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $88.97 (9 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ronda Rousey vs Bethe Correia Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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93%
   
8%
122 (97)%
 
4 (3)%
98%
 
2%
89%
 
11%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.07 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @12.82
$10 Bet Profit: $0.7 #10 Ranked $5.71 Bet Profit: $0.4 #6 Ranked $14.29 Value Bet Profit: $-14.29

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Fernando Bruno vs Glaico Franca Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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39%
   
63%
14 (82)%
 
3 (18)%
85%
 
15%
77%
 
23%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Extremely Good #2
WON
@2.58 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.60
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $18.57 Bet Profit: $-18.57 #4 Ranked $18.57 Value Bet Profit: $-18.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
54 (81)%
 
13 (19)%
82%
 
18%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.53 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.75
$10 Bet Profit: $5.3 #6 Ranked $7.14 Bet Profit: $3.78 #10 Ranked $4.29 Value Bet Profit: $-4.29

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Reginaldo Vieira vs Dileno Lopes Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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27%
   
75%
3 (18)%
 
14 (82)%
18%
 
82%
37%
 
63%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Good #13 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@3.70 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.34
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #13 Ranked $1.43 Bet Profit: $-1.43 #3 Ranked $12.86 Value Bet Profit: $34.72

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rodrigo Nogueira vs Stefan Struve Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
23 (38)%
 
37 (62)%
42%
 
58%
38%
 
62%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#9 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.53 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.63
$10 Bet Profit: $6.3 #9 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $6.3 #13 Ranked $2.86 Value Bet Profit: $1.8

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Antonio Silva vs Soa Palelei Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
65%
32 (46)%
 
37 (54)%
50%
 
50%
56%
 
44%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #11
LOST
@2.74 Suggested Bet: 5.25 units on Antonio Silva: Returned 9.13 Units   @1.54
$10 Bet Profit: $17.4 #11 Ranked $17.14 Bet Profit: $29.82 #8 Ranked $17.14 Value Bet Profit: $29.82

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Claudia Gadelha vs Jessica Aguilar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
21%
25 (64)%
 
14 (36)%
64%
 
36%
85%
 
15%
WON
Pick Rating Low #12
LOST
@1.24 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.74
$10 Bet Profit: $2.4 #12 Ranked $12.86 Bet Profit: $3.09 #2 Ranked $7.14 Value Bet Profit: $1.71

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Demian Maia vs Neil Magny Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
38 (68)%
 
18 (32)%
70%
 
30%
65%
 
35%
WON
Pick Rating Low #3
LOST
@1.62 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.58
$10 Bet Profit: $6.2 #3 Ranked $11.43 Bet Profit: $7.09 #5 Ranked $5.71 Value Bet Profit: $3.54

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rafael Cavalcante vs Patrick Cummins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
61%
18 (50)%
 
18 (50)%
53%
 
47%
29%
 
71%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.65
$10 Bet Profit: $6.5 #1 Ranked $14.29 Bet Profit: $9.29 #1 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $6.5

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Warlley Alves vs Nordine Taleb Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
18 (72)%
 
7 (28)%
73%
 
27%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.46 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.00
$10 Bet Profit: $4.6 #8 Ranked $4.29 Bet Profit: $1.97 #12 Ranked $8.57 Value Bet Profit: $-8.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yuri Alcantara vs Leandro Issa Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
32%
18 (69)%
 
8 (31)%
69%
 
31%
69%
 
31%
WON
Pick Rating Poor #4
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.16
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #4 Ranked $8.57 Bet Profit: $3.69 #7 Ranked $1.43 Value Bet Profit: $0.61

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Vitor Miranda vs Clint Hester Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
9 (36)%
 
16 (64)%
38%
 
62%
60%
 
40%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #5
LOST
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $13.8 #5 Ranked $15.71 Bet Profit: $21.68 #9 Ranked $15.71 Value Bet Profit: $21.68

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Hugo Viana vs Guido Cannetti Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
25%
20 (74)%
 
7 (26)%
77%
 
23%
67%
 
33%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #7 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $2.86 Bet Profit: $-2.86 #11 Ranked $11.43 Value Bet Profit: $34.29


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Antonio Silva vs Soa Palelei (@2.74) 56%   5.25   9.13   9.13   $0.00   $0.00 174%
Average Odds: @2.74   5.25 9.13 9.13   $0.00 $0.00 174.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $130.00 over 13 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Fernando Bruno Glaico Franca $18.57 $29.34
 
-$18.57
#2 Antonio Silva Soa Palelei $17.14 $29.82
 
$29.82
#3 Vitor Miranda Clint Hester $15.71 $21.68
 
$21.68
#4 Patrick Cummins Rafael Cavalcante $14.29 $9.29
 
$9.29
#5 Claudia Gadelha Jessica Aguilar $12.86 $3.09
 
$3.09
#6 Demian Maia Neil Magny $11.43 $7.09
 
$7.09
#7 Stefan Struve Rodrigo Nogueira $10.00 $6.30
 
$6.30
#8 Yuri Alcantara Leandro Issa $8.57 $3.69
 
$3.69
#9 Mauricio Rua Rogerio Nogueira $7.14 $3.78
 
$3.78
#10 Ronda Rousey Bethe Correia $5.71 $0.40
 
$0.40
#11 Warlley Alves Nordine Taleb $4.29 $1.97
 
$1.97
#12 Hugo Viana Guido Cannetti $2.86 $0.94
 
-$2.86
#13 Dileno Lopes Reginaldo Vieira $1.43 $0.49
 
-$1.43
      $130.00 $117.88 (91%)   $64.25 (49%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Fernando Bruno Glaico Franca $18.57 $29.34
 
-$18.57
#2 Antonio Silva Soa Palelei $17.14 $29.82
 
$29.82
#3 Vitor Miranda Clint Hester $15.71 $21.68
 
$21.68
#4 Bethe Correia Ronda Rousey $14.29 $168.91
 
-$14.29
#5 Reginaldo Vieira Dileno Lopes $12.86 $34.72
 
$34.72
#6 Guido Cannetti Hugo Viana $11.43 $34.29
 
$34.29
#7 Patrick Cummins Rafael Cavalcante $10.00 $6.50
 
$6.50
#8 Nordine Taleb Warlley Alves $8.57 $17.14
 
-$8.57
#9 Claudia Gadelha Jessica Aguilar $7.14 $1.71
 
$1.71
#10 Demian Maia Neil Magny $5.71 $3.54
 
$3.54
#11 Rogerio Nogueira Mauricio Rua $4.29 $7.51
 
-$4.29
#12 Stefan Struve Rodrigo Nogueira $2.86 $1.80
 
$1.80
#13 Yuri Alcantara Leandro Issa $1.43 $0.61
 
$0.61
      $130.00 $357.58 (275%)   $88.97 (68%)
 
 
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