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Total MMA Handicappers: 1995
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Event Predictions

UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale

Las Vegas
2015-07-12 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-18.60
$10 on all underdogs nets: $17.90

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 1.25. Profit: 0.51
Total Unit Profit: 0.51

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-23.90 (5 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $2.40 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $0.27 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-18.29 (6 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Low

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jake Ellenberger vs Stephen Thompson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
65%
26 (54)%
 
22 (46)%
55%
 
45%
41%
 
59%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #1 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.75 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.53
$10 Bet Profit: $5.3 #1 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.89 #1 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Hayder Hassan vs Kamaru Usman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
66%
6 (20)%
 
24 (80)%
19%
 
81%
39%
 
61%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #3 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.85 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.52
$10 Bet Profit: $5.2 #3 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $1.73 #3 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michael Graves vs Vicente Luque Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
53%
9 (47)%
 
10 (53)%
53%
 
47%
52%
 
48%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@2.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.88
$10 Bet Profit: $11 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $12.84 #5 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $9.16

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jorge Masvidal vs Cezar Ferreira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
31%
44 (94)%
 
3 (6)%
93%
 
7%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #7
LOST
@1.47 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Jorge Masvidal: Returned 0.47 Units   @3.19
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #7 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $6.27 #7 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $5.48

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michelle Waterson vs Angela Magana Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
43 (90)%
 
5 (10)%
93%
 
7%
89%
 
11%
WON
Pick Rating Low #11
LOST
@1.17 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Michelle Waterson: Returned 0.04 Units   @6.06
$10 Bet Profit: $1.7 #11 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $1.13 #11 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $0.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Maximo Blanco vs Mike de la Torre Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
50%
12 (80)%
 
3 (20)%
78%
 
22%
61%
 
39%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #2
LOST
@1.95 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $9.5 #2 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $17.41 #2 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $17.41

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Samman vs Caio Magalhaes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
54%
7 (47)%
 
8 (53)%
42%
 
58%
39%
 
61%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#10 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.84
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #10 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Russell Doane vs Jerrod Sanders Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
23%
15 (83)%
 
3 (17)%
88%
 
12%
77%
 
23%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #8 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.44
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $-5 #8 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $5.74

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dan Miller vs Trevor Smith Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
48%
9 (64)%
 
5 (36)%
65%
 
35%
57%
 
43%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #6
WON
@1.91 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.10
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #6 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $-5

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile George Sullivan vs Dominic Waters Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
35%
8 (80)%
 
2 (20)%
85%
 
15%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Low #4
LOST
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.86
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #4 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $5 #4 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $3.33

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Willie Gates vs Darrell Montague Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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49%
   
52%
3 (20)%
 
12 (80)%
18%
 
82%
41%
 
59%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#9 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.92
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $-16.67 #9 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Jorge Masvidal vs Cezar Ferreira (@1.47) 75%   1   0.47   0.47   $0.00   $0.00 47%
Bet on Michelle Waterson vs Angela Magana (@1.17) 89%   0.25   0.04   0.04   $0.00   $0.00 17%
Average Odds: @1.30   1.25 0.51 0.51   $0.00 $0.00 41.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Maximo Blanco Mike de la Torre $18.33 $17.41
 
$17.41
#2 Darrell Montague Willie Gates $16.67 $15.34
 
-$16.67
#3 Caio Magalhaes Josh Samman $15.00 $12.60
 
-$15.00
#4 Jorge Masvidal Cezar Ferreira $13.33 $6.27
 
$6.27
#5 Michael Graves Vicente Luque $11.67 $12.84
 
$12.84
#6 George Sullivan Dominic Waters $10.00 $5.00
 
$5.00
#7 Dan Miller Trevor Smith $8.33 $7.58
 
-$8.33
#8 Michelle Waterson Angela Magana $6.67 $1.13
 
$1.13
#9 Russell Doane Jerrod Sanders $5.00 $1.40
 
-$5.00
#10 Kamaru Usman Hayder Hassan $3.33 $1.73
 
$1.73
#11 Stephen Thompson Jake Ellenberger $1.67 $0.89
 
$0.89
      $110.00 $82.18 (75%)   $0.27 (0%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Maximo Blanco Mike de la Torre $18.33 $17.41
 
$17.41
#2 Darrell Montague Willie Gates $16.67 $15.34
 
-$16.67
#3 Jake Ellenberger Stephen Thompson $15.00 $26.25
 
-$15.00
#4 Caio Magalhaes Josh Samman $13.33 $11.20
 
-$13.33
#5 Jorge Masvidal Cezar Ferreira $11.67 $5.48
 
$5.48
#6 Hayder Hassan Kamaru Usman $10.00 $18.50
 
-$10.00
#7 Michael Graves Vicente Luque $8.33 $9.16
 
$9.16
#8 George Sullivan Dominic Waters $6.67 $3.33
 
$3.33
#9 Dan Miller Trevor Smith $5.00 $4.55
 
-$5.00
#10 Michelle Waterson Angela Magana $3.33 $0.57
 
$0.57
#11 Jerrod Sanders Russell Doane $1.67 $5.74
 
$5.74
      $110.00 $117.54 (107%)   $-18.29 (-17%)
 
 
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