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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Condit vs. Alves

Goias, Brazil
2015-05-30 19:00:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $15.70
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-36.90

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 1. Profit: 0.36
Total Unit Profit: 0.36

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-21.90 (6 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-18.90 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-32.03 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-36.91 (6 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Carlos Condit vs Thiago Alves Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
32%
69 (86)%
 
11 (14)%
86%
 
14%
74%
 
26%
WON
Pick Rating Low #6
LOST
@1.43 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Carlos Condit: Returned 0.22 Units   @3.13
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #6 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $3.31 #7 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $2.64

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nik Lentz vs Charles Oliveira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
71%
10 (18)%
 
45 (82)%
18%
 
82%
32%
 
68%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #11 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.41
$10 Bet Profit: $4.1 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.26 #12 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile K.J. Noons vs Alex Oliveira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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47%
   
56%
21 (68)%
 
10 (32)%
67%
 
33%
66%
 
34%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #3
WON
@2.13 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.79
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #4 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ryan Jimmo vs Francimar Barroso Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
30%
32 (80)%
 
8 (20)%
76%
 
24%
70%
 
30%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #8 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.39 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #9 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $7.18

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Francisco Trinaldo vs Norman Parke Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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34%
   
68%
12 (30)%
 
28 (70)%
33%
 
67%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#10 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.94 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #11 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Wendell Oliveira vs Darren Till Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
49%
10 (59)%
 
7 (41)%
53%
 
47%
72%
 
28%
LOST
Pick Rating Good #1
WON
@1.89 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.04
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #1 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rony Jason vs Damon Jackson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
37%
15 (75)%
 
5 (25)%
77%
 
23%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.49 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #7 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $6.03 #8 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $5.28

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jussier Formiga vs Wilson Reis Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
45%
9 (38)%
 
15 (63)%
40%
 
60%
50%
 
50%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.22
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #2 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nicolas Dalby vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
27%
11 (52)%
 
10 (48)%
58%
 
42%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #5 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $3.23 #6 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $2.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mirsad Bektic vs Lucas Martins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
27%
23 (74)%
 
8 (26)%
75%
 
25%
81%
 
19%
WON
Pick Rating Low #9
LOST
@1.30 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Mirsad Bektic: Returned 0.15 Units   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #9 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $2.77 #10 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $2.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Juliana Lima vs Ericka Almeida Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
37%
22 (71)%
 
9 (29)%
71%
 
29%
58%
 
42%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #12 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.49 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.75 #3 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tom Breese vs Luiz Dutra Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
46%
12 (71)%
 
5 (29)%
72%
 
28%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@1.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.17
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #4 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $10.61 #5 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $10.61


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Mirsad Bektic vs Lucas Martins (@1.30) 81%   0.5   0.15   0.15   $0.00   $0.00 30%
Bet on Carlos Condit vs Thiago Alves (@1.43) 74%   0.5   0.21   0.22   $0.00   $0.00 43%
Average Odds: @1.36   1 0.36 0.37   $0.00 $0.00 36.50%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 K.J. Noons Alex Oliveira $18.46 $20.86
 
-$18.46
#2 Wendell Oliveira Darren Till $16.92 $15.06
 
-$16.92
#3 Tom Breese Luiz Dutra $15.38 $10.61
 
$10.61
#4 Wilson Reis Jussier Formiga $13.85 $16.90
 
-$13.85
#5 Rony Jason Damon Jackson $12.31 $6.03
 
$6.03
#6 Nicolas Dalby Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos $10.77 $3.23
 
$3.23
#7 Mirsad Bektic Lucas Martins $9.23 $2.77
 
$2.77
#8 Carlos Condit Thiago Alves $7.69 $3.31
 
$3.31
#9 Norman Parke Francisco Trinaldo $6.15 $2.89
 
-$6.15
#10 Ryan Jimmo Francimar Barroso $4.62 $1.80
 
-$4.62
#11 Charles Oliveira Nik Lentz $3.08 $1.26
 
$1.26
#12 Juliana Lima Ericka Almeida $1.54 $0.75
 
$0.75
      $120.00 $85.48 (71%)   $-32.03 (-27%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 K.J. Noons Alex Oliveira $18.46 $20.86
 
-$18.46
#2 Wendell Oliveira Darren Till $16.92 $15.06
 
-$16.92
#3 Tom Breese Luiz Dutra $15.38 $10.61
 
$10.61
#4 Ericka Almeida Juliana Lima $13.85 $23.55
 
-$13.85
#5 Wilson Reis Jussier Formiga $12.31 $15.02
 
-$12.31
#6 Rony Jason Damon Jackson $10.77 $5.28
 
$5.28
#7 Nicolas Dalby Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos $9.23 $2.77
 
$2.77
#8 Mirsad Bektic Lucas Martins $7.69 $2.31
 
$2.31
#9 Carlos Condit Thiago Alves $6.15 $2.64
 
$2.64
#10 Nik Lentz Charles Oliveira $4.62 $10.76
 
-$4.62
#11 Francimar Barroso Ryan Jimmo $3.08 $7.18
 
$7.18
#12 Norman Parke Francisco Trinaldo $1.54 $0.72
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $116.76 (97%)   $-36.91 (-31%)
 
 
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