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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Faber

Philippines
2015-05-16 09:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $7.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-11.70

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 1.75. Profit: 1.49
Total Unit Profit: 1.49

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $15.00 (8 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $39.40 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $73.62 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $55.18 (8 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frankie Edgar vs Urijah Faber Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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80%
   
19%
118 (81)%
 
28 (19)%
82%
 
18%
78%
 
22%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.26
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #10 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $1.92 #11 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gegard Mousasi vs Costas Philippou Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
137 (94)%
 
8 (6)%
96%
 
4%
73%
 
27%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.88
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #11 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.28 #12 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mark Munoz vs Luke Barnatt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
57%
46 (45)%
 
56 (55)%
48%
 
52%
49%
 
51%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Fair #8 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.75
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $-3.08 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $8.49

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Neil Magny vs Hyun Gyu Lim Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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54%
   
48%
63 (68)%
 
30 (32)%
69%
 
31%
64%
 
36%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #4
LOST
@1.85 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Neil Magny: Returned 1.49 Units   @2.08
$10 Bet Profit: $8.5 #4 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $10.46 #5 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $7.85

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Phillipe Nover vs Yui Chul Nam Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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39%
   
62%
22 (55)%
 
18 (45)%
55%
 
45%
65%
 
35%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Very Good #2
LOST
@2.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.61
$10 Bet Profit: $15.6 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $26.4 #3 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $26.4

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mark Eddiva vs Levan Makashvili Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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22%
   
79%
1 (8)%
 
11 (92)%
7%
 
93%
28%
 
72%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #12 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.55 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.27
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #12 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.25 #1 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tae Hyun Bang vs Jon Tuck Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
58%
15 (30)%
 
35 (70)%
29%
 
71%
31%
 
69%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.72
$10 Bet Profit: $7.2 #5 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $7.75 #6 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $5.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kajan Johnson vs Zhang Lipeng Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
47%
28 (65)%
 
15 (35)%
66%
 
34%
71%
 
29%
WON
Pick Rating Good #3
LOST
@2.08 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $10.8 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $16.61 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $14.96

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Li Jingliang vs Dhiego Lima Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
59%
8 (22)%
 
29 (78)%
22%
 
78%
80%
 
20%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #1
LOST
@2.44 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $14.4 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $26.58 #2 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $26.58

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Royston Wee vs Ning Guangyou Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
56%
11 (65)%
 
6 (35)%
65%
 
35%
53%
 
47%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #6
WON
@2.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.79
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #7 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jon delos Reyes vs Roldan Sangcha-an Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
38%
26 (70)%
 
11 (30)%
68%
 
32%
65%
 
35%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.63
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $5.45 #8 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.91

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nolan Ticman vs Zhuikui Yao Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
29%
29 (85)%
 
5 (15)%
88%
 
12%
67%
 
33%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #9 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #10 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $7.55


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Neil Magny vs Hyun Gyu Lim (@1.85) 64%   1.75   1.49   1.49   $0.00   $0.00 85%
Average Odds: @1.85   1.75 1.49 1.49   $0.00 $0.00 85.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Li Jingliang Dhiego Lima $18.46 $26.58
 
$26.58
#2 Phillipe Nover Yui Chul Nam $16.92 $26.40
 
$26.40
#3 Kajan Johnson Zhang Lipeng $15.38 $16.61
 
$16.61
#4 Royston Wee Ning Guangyou $13.85 $18.42
 
-$13.85
#5 Neil Magny Hyun Gyu Lim $12.31 $10.46
 
$10.46
#6 Jon Tuck Tae Hyun Bang $10.77 $7.75
 
$7.75
#7 Jon delos Reyes Roldan Sangcha-an $9.23 $5.45
 
$5.45
#8 Frankie Edgar Urijah Faber $7.69 $1.92
 
$1.92
#9 Nolan Ticman Zhuikui Yao $6.15 $2.64
 
-$6.15
#10 Levan Makashvili Mark Eddiva $4.62 $1.25
 
$1.25
#11 Luke Barnatt Mark Munoz $3.08 $2.31
 
-$3.08
#12 Gegard Mousasi Costas Philippou $1.54 $0.28
 
$0.28
      $120.00 $120.07 (100%)   $73.62 (61%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Li Jingliang Dhiego Lima $18.46 $26.58
 
$26.58
#2 Phillipe Nover Yui Chul Nam $16.92 $26.40
 
$26.40
#3 Costas Philippou Gegard Mousasi $15.38 $75.05
 
-$15.38
#4 Kajan Johnson Zhang Lipeng $13.85 $14.96
 
$14.96
#5 Mark Eddiva Levan Makashvili $12.31 $43.70
 
-$12.31
#6 Royston Wee Ning Guangyou $10.77 $14.32
 
-$10.77
#7 Neil Magny Hyun Gyu Lim $9.23 $7.85
 
$7.85
#8 Jon Tuck Tae Hyun Bang $7.69 $5.54
 
$5.54
#9 Mark Munoz Luke Barnatt $6.15 $8.49
 
$8.49
#10 Urijah Faber Frankie Edgar $4.62 $19.68
 
-$4.62
#11 Zhuikui Yao Nolan Ticman $3.08 $7.55
 
$7.55
#12 Jon delos Reyes Roldan Sangcha-an $1.54 $0.91
 
$0.91
      $120.00 $251.02 (209%)   $55.18 (46%)
 
 
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