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Total MMA Handicappers: 2014
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 829

 
 
 
   
 

Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Gonzaga vs. Cro Cop 2

Krakow, Poland
2015-04-11 11:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-6.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $54.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 11.5. Profit: 16.09
Total Unit Profit: 16.09

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-9.10 (6 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $44.70 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $91.12 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $188.25 (10 right, 2 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gabriel Gonzaga vs Mirko Filipovic Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
34%
102 (61)%
 
66 (39)%
63%
 
37%
43%
 
57%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#10 Very Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.49 Suggested Bet: 6.75 units on Mirko Filipovic: Returned 13.10 Units   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $19.4 #10 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $35.81 #10 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $35.81

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jan Blachowicz vs Jimi Manuwa Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
57%
37 (28)%
 
94 (72)%
27%
 
73%
32%
 
68%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.27 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Jimi Manuwa: Returned 1.31 Units   @1.75
$10 Bet Profit: $7.5 #6 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $10.39 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $8.08

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Pawel Pawlak vs Sheldon Westcott Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
66%
43 (52)%
 
39 (48)%
55%
 
45%
40%
 
60%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Fair #9 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.86 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.52
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #9 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $14.3

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joanne Calderwood vs Maryna Moroz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
14%
101 (83)%
 
21 (17)%
84%
 
16%
80%
 
20%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #11 Good Anti-Pick
WON
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @7.14
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #11 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $103.89

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Seth Baczynski vs Leon Edwards Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
53%
48 (60)%
 
32 (40)%
59%
 
41%
38%
 
62%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.89
$10 Bet Profit: $8.9 #1 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $10.96 #1 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $8.21

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Bartosz Fabinski vs Garreth McLellan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
47%
18 (47)%
 
20 (53)%
46%
 
54%
55%
 
45%
WON
Pick Rating Low #3
LOST
@1.82 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $8.2 #3 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $7.57 #3 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $1.26

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mickael Lebout vs Sergio Moraes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
79%
12 (25)%
 
36 (75)%
25%
 
75%
27%
 
73%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #8 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@5.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.27
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #8 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.83 #8 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Damian Stasiak vs Yaotzin Meza Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
47%
15 (42)%
 
21 (58)%
42%
 
58%
34%
 
66%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.79 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $11.3 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $19.12 #2 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $17.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daniel Omielanczuk vs Anthony Hamilton Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
43%
56 (68)%
 
26 (32)%
70%
 
30%
55%
 
45%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #12 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #12 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $6.14

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Izabela Badurek vs Alexandra Albu Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
64%
36 (47)%
 
40 (53)%
44%
 
56%
16%
 
84%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@3.03 Suggested Bet: 3 units on Alexandra Albu: Returned 1.68 Units   @1.56
$10 Bet Profit: $5.6 #4 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $8.61 #4 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $6.89

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marcin Bandel vs Stevie Ray Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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37%
   
63%
20 (59)%
 
14 (41)%
56%
 
44%
38%
 
62%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #7 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.70 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.59
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #7 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $4.54 #7 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Taylor Lapilus vs Rocky Lee Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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66%
   
35%
56 (81)%
 
13 (19)%
80%
 
20%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #5
LOST
@1.52 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.86
$10 Bet Profit: $5.2 #5 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $5.6 #5 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $3.2


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Mirko Filipovic vs Gabriel Gonzaga (@2.94) 57%   6.75   13.10   13.10   $0.00   $0.00 194%
Bet on Alexandra Albu vs Izabela Badurek (@1.56) 84%   3   1.68   1.68   $0.00   $0.00 56%
Bet on Jimi Manuwa vs Jan Blachowicz (@1.75) 68%   1.75   1.31   1.31   $0.00   $0.00 75%
Average Odds: @1.93   11.5 16.09 16.09   $0.00 $0.00 139.89%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Mirko Filipovic Gabriel Gonzaga $18.46 $35.81
 
$35.81
#2 Yaotzin Meza Damian Stasiak $16.92 $19.12
 
$19.12
#3 Alexandra Albu Izabela Badurek $15.38 $8.61
 
$8.61
#4 Jimi Manuwa Jan Blachowicz $13.85 $10.39
 
$10.39
#5 Leon Edwards Seth Baczynski $12.31 $10.96
 
$10.96
#6 Taylor Lapilus Rocky Lee $10.77 $5.60
 
$5.60
#7 Bartosz Fabinski Garreth McLellan $9.23 $7.57
 
$7.57
#8 Stevie Ray Marcin Bandel $7.69 $4.54
 
$4.54
#9 Joanne Calderwood Maryna Moroz $6.15 $1.11
 
-$6.15
#10 Daniel Omielanczuk Anthony Hamilton $4.62 $3.19
 
-$4.62
#11 Sergio Moraes Mickael Lebout $3.08 $0.83
 
$0.83
#12 Sheldon Westcott Pawel Pawlak $1.54 $0.80
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $108.52 (90%)   $91.12 (76%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Mirko Filipovic Gabriel Gonzaga $18.46 $35.81
 
$35.81
#2 Maryna Moroz Joanne Calderwood $16.92 $103.89
 
$103.89
#3 Yaotzin Meza Damian Stasiak $15.38 $17.38
 
$17.38
#4 Mickael Lebout Sergio Moraes $13.85 $55.40
 
-$13.85
#5 Alexandra Albu Izabela Badurek $12.31 $6.89
 
$6.89
#6 Jimi Manuwa Jan Blachowicz $10.77 $8.08
 
$8.08
#7 Leon Edwards Seth Baczynski $9.23 $8.21
 
$8.21
#8 Pawel Pawlak Sheldon Westcott $7.69 $14.30
 
$14.30
#9 Taylor Lapilus Rocky Lee $6.15 $3.20
 
$3.20
#10 Anthony Hamilton Daniel Omielanczuk $4.62 $6.14
 
$6.14
#11 Marcin Bandel Stevie Ray $3.08 $5.24
 
-$3.08
#12 Bartosz Fabinski Garreth McLellan $1.54 $1.26
 
$1.26
      $120.00 $265.81 (222%)   $188.25 (157%)
 
 
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