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Event Predictions

UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2

Las Vegas, Nevada
2016-08-20 22:30:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $20.10
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-42.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 9.75. Profit: 8.84
Total Unit Profit: 8.84

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-23.20 (6 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $63.10 (10 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $66.93 (10 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $12.52 (7 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
48%
28 (41)%
 
41 (59)%
42%
 
58%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@1.83 Suggested Bet: 2.75 units on Conor McGregor: Returned 2.28 Units   @2.10
$10 Bet Profit: $8.3 #4 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $10.22 #6 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $7.66

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
34%
58 (89)%
 
7 (11)%
93%
 
7%
73%
 
27%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #2
LOST
@1.58 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Anthony Johnson: Returned 0.73 Units   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $5.8 #2 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $4.46 #3 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $1.79

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
45%
49 (86)%
 
8 (14)%
90%
 
10%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #1
LOST
@1.87 Suggested Bet: 3.25 units on Donald Cerrone: Returned 2.83 Units   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $8.7 #1 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $12.05 #1 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $9.37

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mike Perry vs Hyun Gyu Lim Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
70%
5 (38)%
 
8 (62)%
34%
 
66%
57%
 
43%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #12
LOST
@3.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.42
$10 Bet Profit: $23 #12 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $42.46 #2 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $42.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Means vs Sabah Homasi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
23%
15 (75)%
 
5 (25)%
70%
 
30%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #8 Very Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.26 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.40
$10 Bet Profit: $2.6 #8 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.4 #10 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cody Garbrandt vs Takeya Mizugaki Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
19%
45 (90)%
 
5 (10)%
91%
 
9%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.24 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.20
$10 Bet Profit: $2.4 #10 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.74 #12 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
19 (90)%
 
2 (10)%
92%
 
8%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@1.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.30
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #5 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $2.46 #7 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.62

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Artem Lobov vs Chris Avila Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
48%
6 (40)%
 
9 (60)%
39%
 
61%
31%
 
69%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#7 Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.87 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.07
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #9 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Randa Markos vs Cortney Casey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
43%
8 (53)%
 
7 (47)%
51%
 
49%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#3 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@1.77 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.30
$10 Bet Profit: $13 #3 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $12 #4 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $6.01

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Neil Magny vs Lorenz Larkin Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
45%
28 (74)%
 
10 (26)%
78%
 
22%
42%
 
58%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#9 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@1.91 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Lorenz Larkin: Returned 3.00 Units   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $12 #9 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $12.92 #11 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Colby Covington vs Max Griffin Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
25%
9 (64)%
 
5 (36)%
59%
 
41%
69%
 
31%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.95
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #11 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.52 #5 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog Alberto Emiliano Pereira vs Marvin Vettori Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
5 (56)%
 
4 (44)%
53%
 
47%
59%
 
41%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #6
WON
@2.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #8 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story (@1.87) 72%   3.25   2.83   2.83   $0.00   $0.00 87%
Bet on Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz (@1.83) 70%   2.75   2.28   2.28   $0.00   $0.00 83%
Bet on Lorenz Larkin vs Neil Magny (@2.20) 58%   2.5   3.00   3.00   $0.00   $0.00 120%
Bet on Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira (@1.58) 73%   1.25   0.73   0.73   $0.00   $0.00 58%
Average Odds: @1.84   9.75 8.84 8.84   $0.00 $0.00 90.62%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Mike Perry Hyun Gyu Lim $18.46 $42.46
 
$42.46
#2 Alberto Emiliano Pereira Marvin Vettori $16.92 $25.38
 
-$16.92
#3 Chris Avila Artem Lobov $15.38 $16.46
 
-$15.38
#4 Donald Cerrone Rick Story $13.85 $12.05
 
$12.05
#5 Conor McGregor Nate Diaz $12.31 $10.22
 
$10.22
#6 Lorenz Larkin Neil Magny $10.77 $12.92
 
$12.92
#7 Cortney Casey Randa Markos $9.23 $12.00
 
$12.00
#8 Anthony Johnson Glover Teixeira $7.69 $4.46
 
$4.46
#9 Raquel Pennington Elizabeth Phillips $6.15 $2.46
 
$2.46
#10 Colby Covington Max Griffin $4.62 $1.52
 
$1.52
#11 Cody Garbrandt Takeya Mizugaki $3.08 $0.74
 
$0.74
#12 Tim Means Sabah Homasi $1.54 $0.40
 
$0.40
      $120.00 $141.07 (118%)   $66.93 (56%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Mike Perry Hyun Gyu Lim $18.46 $42.46
 
$42.46
#2 Sabah Homasi Tim Means $16.92 $57.53
 
-$16.92
#3 Takeya Mizugaki Cody Garbrandt $15.38 $64.60
 
-$15.38
#4 Alberto Emiliano Pereira Marvin Vettori $13.85 $20.78
 
-$13.85
#5 Chris Avila Artem Lobov $12.31 $13.17
 
-$12.31
#6 Donald Cerrone Rick Story $10.77 $9.37
 
$9.37
#7 Conor McGregor Nate Diaz $9.23 $7.66
 
$7.66
#8 Lorenz Larkin Neil Magny $7.69 $9.23
 
$9.23
#9 Max Griffin Colby Covington $6.15 $18.14
 
-$6.15
#10 Cortney Casey Randa Markos $4.62 $6.01
 
$6.01
#11 Anthony Johnson Glover Teixeira $3.08 $1.79
 
$1.79
#12 Raquel Pennington Elizabeth Phillips $1.54 $0.62
 
$0.62
      $120.00 $251.34 (209%)   $12.52 (10%)
 
 
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