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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Henderson vs Thatch

Broomfield, Colorado
2015-02-14 18:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $1.80
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-28.60

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 11. Profit: 15.18
Total Unit Profit: 15.18

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $40.20 (7 right, 2 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $14.60 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $9.63 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-19.61 (3 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good+

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Benson Henderson vs Brandon Thatch Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
56%
83 (79)%
 
22 (21)%
83%
 
17%
88%
 
12%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
LOST
@2.38 Suggested Bet: 11 units on Benson Henderson: Returned 15.18 Units   @1.79
$10 Bet Profit: $13.8 #1 Ranked $16.36 Bet Profit: $22.58 #1 Ranked $16.36 Value Bet Profit: $22.58

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Max Holloway vs Cole Miller Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
21%
48 (56)%
 
38 (44)%
59%
 
41%
30%
 
70%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#10 Fantastic Pick Rating
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.76
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $18.18 Bet Profit: $-18.18 #8 Ranked $18.18 Value Bet Profit: $-18.18

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Neil Magny vs Kiichi Kunimoto Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
57 (72)%
 
22 (28)%
73%
 
27%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #9 Very Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.88
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #9 Ranked $3.64 Bet Profit: $0.66 #7 Ranked $14.55 Value Bet Profit: $-14.55

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Patrick Walsh vs Daniel Kelly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
38%
23 (44)%
 
29 (56)%
38%
 
62%
56%
 
44%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #3 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $9.09 Bet Profit: $-9.09 #3 Ranked $5.45 Value Bet Profit: $8.88

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michel Prazeres vs Kevin Lee Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
59%
27 (56)%
 
21 (44)%
58%
 
42%
46%
 
54%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #6 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #6 Ranked $7.27 Bet Profit: $5.02 #9 Ranked $1.82 Value Bet Profit: $-1.82

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Kelades vs Ray Borg Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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13%
   
88%
24 (49)%
 
25 (51)%
49%
 
51%
18%
 
82%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #8 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@7.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.14
$10 Bet Profit: $1.4 #8 Ranked $10.91 Bet Profit: $1.53 #6 Ranked $10.91 Value Bet Profit: $-10.91

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Efrain Escudero vs Rodrigo Lima Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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47%
   
55%
45 (75)%
 
15 (25)%
75%
 
25%
75%
 
25%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #4
LOST
@2.13 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.82
$10 Bet Profit: $11.3 #4 Ranked $14.55 Bet Profit: $16.44 #4 Ranked $12.73 Value Bet Profit: $14.38

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jim Alers vs Chas Skelly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
25 (50)%
 
25 (50)%
53%
 
47%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #2 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.03 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #2 Ranked $5.45 Bet Profit: $2.56 #2 Ranked $7.27 Value Bet Profit: $-7.27

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Elliott vs Zach Makovsky Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
51%
30 (48)%
 
32 (52)%
45%
 
55%
57%
 
43%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #5
WON
@2.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.96
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.73 Bet Profit: $-12.73 #5 Ranked $3.64 Value Bet Profit: $-3.64

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cody Pfister vs James Moontasri Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
24 (47)%
 
27 (53)%
51%
 
49%
45%
 
55%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #7 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.03 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #7 Ranked $1.82 Bet Profit: $0.86 #10 Ranked $9.09 Value Bet Profit: $-9.09


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Benson Henderson vs Brandon Thatch (@2.38) 88%   11   15.18   15.18   $0.00   $0.00 138%
Average Odds: @2.38   11 15.18 15.18   $0.00 $0.00 138.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $100.00 over 10 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Cole Miller Max Holloway $18.18 $68.36
 
-$18.18
#2 Benson Henderson Brandon Thatch $16.36 $22.58
 
$22.58
#3 Efrain Escudero Rodrigo Lima $14.55 $16.44
 
$16.44
#4 Tim Elliott Zach Makovsky $12.73 $12.73
 
-$12.73
#5 Ray Borg Chris Kelades $10.91 $1.53
 
$1.53
#6 Patrick Walsh Daniel Kelly $9.09 $5.82
 
-$9.09
#7 Kevin Lee Michel Prazeres $7.27 $5.02
 
$5.02
#8 Chas Skelly Jim Alers $5.45 $2.56
 
$2.56
#9 Neil Magny Kiichi Kunimoto $3.64 $0.66
 
$0.66
#10 James Moontasri Cody Pfister $1.82 $0.86
 
$0.86
      $100.00 $136.54 (137%)   $9.63 (10%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Cole Miller Max Holloway $18.18 $68.36
 
-$18.18
#2 Benson Henderson Brandon Thatch $16.36 $22.58
 
$22.58
#3 Kiichi Kunimoto Neil Magny $14.55 $71.00
 
-$14.55
#4 Efrain Escudero Rodrigo Lima $12.73 $14.38
 
$14.38
#5 Chris Kelades Ray Borg $10.91 $72.99
 
-$10.91
#6 Cody Pfister James Moontasri $9.09 $18.45
 
-$9.09
#7 Jim Alers Chas Skelly $7.27 $14.76
 
-$7.27
#8 Daniel Kelly Patrick Walsh $5.45 $8.88
 
$8.88
#9 Tim Elliott Zach Makovsky $3.64 $3.64
 
-$3.64
#10 Michel Prazeres Kevin Lee $1.82 $2.42
 
-$1.82
      $100.00 $297.47 (297%)   $-19.61 (-20%)
 
 
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