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Total MMA Handicappers: 1929
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 778

 
 
 
   
 

Event Predictions

UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale

Las Vegas
2016-07-08 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $21.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-49.90

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 2. Profit: 1.66
Total Unit Profit: 1.66

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-20.30 (6 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $0.70 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-25.67 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-68.14 (4 right, 8 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Claudia Gadelha Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
48%
38 (72)%
 
15 (28)%
76%
 
24%
67%
 
33%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #6
LOST
@1.83 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Joanna Jedrzejczyk: Returned 1.66 Units   @2.10
$10 Bet Profit: $8.3 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $8.94 #6 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $5.1

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andrew Sanchez vs Khalil Rountree Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
5 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
73%
 
27%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #8
LOST
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #8 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $3.75 #8 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.94

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Cooper Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
23%
3 (60)%
 
2 (40)%
65%
 
35%
40%
 
60%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Fantastic Pick Rating
LOST
@1.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.36
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ross Pearson vs Will Brooks Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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23%
   
78%
4 (16)%
 
21 (84)%
17%
 
83%
43%
 
57%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Extremely Good #2 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.29
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #2 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.45 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Doo Ho Choi vs Thiago Tavares Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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66%
   
34%
10 (50)%
 
10 (50)%
47%
 
53%
55%
 
45%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #12 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.51 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.95
$10 Bet Profit: $5.1 #12 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.57 #9 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andrew Holbrook vs Joaquim Silva Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
54%
3 (75)%
 
1 (25)%
74%
 
26%
57%
 
43%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #4
WON
@2.08 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.85
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #4 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Fernando Bruno vs Gray Maynard Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
5 (28)%
 
13 (72)%
30%
 
70%
56%
 
44%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #3
WON
@2.48 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.64
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile John Moraga vs Matheus Nicolau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
40%
14 (93)%
 
1 (7)%
94%
 
6%
78%
 
22%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #10
WON
@1.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #11 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cory Hendricks vs Josh Stansbury Fighter Record on Sherdog
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44%
   
56%
2 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
59%
 
41%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #9
WON
@2.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.77
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #10 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cezar Ferreira vs Anthony Smith Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
57%
5 (56)%
 
4 (44)%
59%
 
41%
61%
 
39%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #7
LOST
@2.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.76
$10 Bet Profit: $12.5 #7 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $19.23 #7 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $17.31

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jake Matthews vs Kevin Lee Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
44%
8 (53)%
 
7 (47)%
58%
 
42%
48%
 
52%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@1.74 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.26
$10 Bet Profit: $12.6 #5 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $9.69 #5 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $3.88

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Li Jingliang vs Anton Zafir Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
26%
11 (85)%
 
2 (15)%
85%
 
15%
68%
 
32%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.32 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.84
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #11 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.48 #12 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Claudia Gadelha (@1.83) 67%   2   1.66   1.66   $0.00   $0.00 83%
Average Odds: @1.83   2 1.66 1.66   $0.00 $0.00 83.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Amanda Cooper Tatiana Suarez $18.46 $62.03
 
-$18.46
#2 Fernando Bruno Gray Maynard $16.92 $25.04
 
-$16.92
#3 Cezar Ferreira Anthony Smith $15.38 $19.23
 
$19.23
#4 Cory Hendricks Josh Stansbury $13.85 $17.73
 
-$13.85
#5 John Moraga Matheus Nicolau $12.31 $8.49
 
-$12.31
#6 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Claudia Gadelha $10.77 $8.94
 
$8.94
#7 Andrew Holbrook Joaquim Silva $9.23 $9.97
 
-$9.23
#8 Kevin Lee Jake Matthews $7.69 $9.69
 
$9.69
#9 Andrew Sanchez Khalil Rountree $6.15 $3.75
 
$3.75
#10 Li Jingliang Anton Zafir $4.62 $1.48
 
$1.48
#11 Doo Ho Choi Thiago Tavares $3.08 $1.57
 
$1.57
#12 Will Brooks Ross Pearson $1.54 $0.45
 
$0.45
      $120.00 $168.36 (140%)   $-25.67 (-21%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Amanda Cooper Tatiana Suarez $18.46 $62.03
 
-$18.46
#2 Ross Pearson Will Brooks $16.92 $57.53
 
-$16.92
#3 Fernando Bruno Gray Maynard $15.38 $22.76
 
-$15.38
#4 Cezar Ferreira Anthony Smith $13.85 $17.31
 
$17.31
#5 Cory Hendricks Josh Stansbury $12.31 $15.76
 
-$12.31
#6 Thiago Tavares Doo Ho Choi $10.77 $21.00
 
-$10.77
#7 John Moraga Matheus Nicolau $9.23 $6.37
 
-$9.23
#8 Anton Zafir Li Jingliang $7.69 $21.84
 
-$7.69
#9 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Claudia Gadelha $6.15 $5.10
 
$5.10
#10 Andrew Holbrook Joaquim Silva $4.62 $4.99
 
-$4.62
#11 Kevin Lee Jake Matthews $3.08 $3.88
 
$3.88
#12 Andrew Sanchez Khalil Rountree $1.54 $0.94
 
$0.94
      $120.00 $239.51 (200%)   $-68.14 (-57%)
 
 
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