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MMA Handicapper Profile: aylukeay User

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aylukeay User (aylukeay)


MMA MHandicapper - aylukeay User

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 420 (52%) Right 379 (52%) Right 14 (50%) Right 27 (57%)
Wrong 387 (48%) Wrong 353 (48%) Wrong 14 (50%) Wrong 20 (43%)
Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 1.88
Units Bet 2,763.4 Units Bet 2,487.7 Units Bet 94.0 Units Bet 181.8
Avg Bet 3.42 Avg Bet 3.40 Avg Bet 3.36 Avg Bet 3.87
Units Profit 59.81 Units Profit 47.10 Units Profit -2.17 Units Profit 14.88
ROI % 2% ROI % 2% ROI % -2% ROI % 8%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 59 (8%) 36 61 % 257.63 -37.80 -0.64 -15%
Slight Favorites 365 (50%) 205 56 % 1,350.67 -58.81 -0.16 -4%
Slight Underdogs 219 (30%) 115 53 % 698.02 157.34 0.72 23%
Big Underdogs 89 (12%) 23 26 % 181.36 -13.63 -0.15 -8%
 

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aylukeay User's MMA Handicapper Bio


Up until now, I've been posting bets for free on twitter @aylukeay and all bets have been third party tracked since the start of 2017 (on betmma).
My record speaks for itself.
An important thing to note is that I am a bettor first and an MMA fan second.

I am a high turnover bettor who provides multiple picks per card. In my opinion, these are best sort of tips for sale as the high turnover at good ROI means the bank is turned over faster. It also means that you don't need to have a huge bank or bet large units for the tips to be +EV.

This is a different strategy to many tipsters but basically:
More turnover = More profit
High turn over at good ROI is greater than small turnover at great ROI.
Meaning my tips can be +EV for all punters, great and small.

I only quote odds that are available to Australian bettors (after i have been matched), so there is almost always better odds available on off shore bookmakers e.g. Pinnacle. So not only are followers able to attain the same results following these tips you are probably able to do even better.

For every bet that I consider, I price up what I believe the correct odds are for each fighter and then the market dictates which bets to make. Every bet I post I believe has a clear edge on the market.

I will provide comments/reasoning for the bets and anyone who purchases the tips can hit me up to discuss the selections or general betting/staking questions.

If you would like to buy a package in bulk send me a message for a discount.
Happy to provide 5 cards for the price of four ($80) or 10 cards for the price of 7.5 ($150)

Alternatively if you would like to do a direct bank transfer or paypal send me a message for a discount. 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by aylukeay User

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

aylukeay User's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night 167, Rio Rancho, 15th Feb '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Corey Anderson Jan Blachowicz L 1.50 5.38 -5.38 $-53.80 -100% Bet Info
Michel Pereira Diego Sanchez L 1.62 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Montana De La Rosa Mara Romero Borella W 1.58 3.25 1.89 $18.85 58% Bet Info
Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg L 2.25 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Lando Vannata Yancy Medeiros W 1.90 3 2.70 $27.00 90% Bet Info
John Dodson Nathaniel Wood W 2.39 3 4.17 $41.70 139% Bet Info
Scott Holtzman Jim Miller W 1.67 3 2.01 $20.10 67% Bet Info
Merab Dvalishvili Casey Kenney W 1.62 5.37 3.33 $33.29 62% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 29.00 2.71 $27.14 9%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Corey Anderson vs Jan Blachowicz Anderson to win L 1.50
Pi Casey Kenney vs Merab Dvalishvili Dvalishvili to win W 1.61
    Parlay Odds:   2.41
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   30.00 1.71 $17.14 6%  

UFC 247, Houston, 9th Feb '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Juan Adams Justin Tafa L 1.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Mirsad Bektic Dan Ige L 1.80 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Ilir Latifi Derrick Lewis L 3.00 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 11.00 -11.00 $-110.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Andrea Lee vs Lauren Murphy Lee to win L 1.28
Pi Valentina Shevchenko vs Katlyn Chookagian Shevchenko to win W 1.10
Pi Jon Jones vs Dominick Reyes Jones to win W 1.22
    Parlay Odds:   1.72
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   16.00 -16.00 $-160.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 166, Raleigh, 25th Jan '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Lucie Pudilova Justine Kish L 1.62 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Sara McMann Lina Lansberg W 1.66 3 1.98 $19.80 66% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.64 6.00 -1.02 $-10.20 -17%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Rafael dos Anjos vs Michael Chiesa dos Anjos to win L 1.40
Pi Curtis Blaydes vs Junior dos Santos Blaydes to win W 1.40
    Parlay Odds:   1.96
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.00 -4.02 $-40.20 -45%  

UFC 246, Las Vegas, 18th Jan '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Holly Holm Raquel Pennington W 1.80 5 4.00 $40.00 80% Bet Info
Aleksei Oleinik Maurice Greene W 2.14 2 2.28 $22.80 114% Bet Info
Aleksei Oleinik Maurice Greene W 2.14 0.5 0.57 $5.70 114% Bet Info
Brian Kelleher Ode Osbourne W 2.21 2.5 3.02 $30.25 121% Bet Info
Sodiq Yusuff Andre Fili W 1.74 3 2.22 $22.20 74% Bet Info
Tim Elliott Askar Askarov L 2.25 2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
Justin Ledet Aleksa Camur L 2.00 2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
J.J. Aldrich Sabina Mazo L 1.95 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.01 21.00 4.09 $40.95 19%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   21.00 4.09 $40.95 19%  

UFC Fight Night 165, Busan, 21st Dec '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Frankie Edgar Chan Sung Jung L 2.50 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Aleksandar Rakic Volkan Oezdemir L 1.66 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 7.00 -7.00 $-70.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Suman Mokhtarian vs Seung Woo Choi Choi to win W 1.36
Pi Ciryl Gane vs Tanner Boser Gane to win W 1.15
    Parlay Odds:   1.56
  5 2.82 $28.20 56% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 2.82 $28.20 56%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 -4.18 $-41.80 -35%  

UFC 245, Las Vegas, 15th Dec '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Colby Covington Kamaru Usman L 2.67 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Alex Volkanovski Max Holloway W 2.62 3 4.86 $48.60 162% Bet Info
Alex Volkanovski Max Holloway W 2.62 1 1.62 $16.20 162% Bet Info
Germaine de Randamie Amanda Nunes L 3.57 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Marlon Moraes Jose Aldo W 1.57 5 2.85 $28.50 57% Bet Info
Marlon Moraes Jose Aldo W 1.57 0.25 0.14 $1.43 57% Bet Info
Petr Yan Urijah Faber W 1.23 5 1.15 $11.50 23% Bet Info
Petr Yan Urijah Faber W 1.23 0.25 0.06 $0.57 23% Bet Info
Ben Saunders Matt Brown L 3.90 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Kai Kara-France Brandon Moreno L 1.62 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.93 22.50 2.68 $26.80 12%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   22.50 2.68 $26.80 12%  

UFC on ESPN 7, Washington, 7th Dec '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alistair Overeem Jairzinho Rozenstruik L 1.91 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Cynthia Calvillo D 1.80 5 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Ben Rothwell Stefan Struve W 1.75 5 3.75 $37.50 75% Bet Info
Aspen Ladd Yana Kunitskaya W 1.65 3 1.95 $19.50 65% Bet Info
Yadong Song Cody Stamann D 1.52 4 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.72 20.00 2.70 $27.00 13%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 2.70 $27.00 13%  

UFC Fight Night 164, Sao Paulo, 16th Nov '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jan Blachowicz Ronaldo Souza W 1.58 5 2.90 $29.00 58% Bet Info
Paul Craig Mauricio Rua D 3.40 1 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Francisco Trinaldo Bobby Green W 1.74 4 2.96 $29.60 74% Bet Info
Randy Brown Warlley Alves W 2.13 3 3.39 $33.90 113% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.03 13.00 9.25 $92.50 71%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.00 9.25 $92.50 71%  

UFC Fight Night 163, Moscow, 9th Nov '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ramazan Emeev Tony Martin L 1.82 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Rustam Khabilov Sergey Khandozhko W 1.55 5 2.75 $27.50 55% Bet Info
Davey Grant Grigory Popov W 2.65 2 3.30 $33.00 165% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.91 10.00 3.05 $30.50 31%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 3.05 $30.50 31%  

UFC 244, New York, 2nd Nov '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jorge Masvidal Nate Diaz W 1.65 4 2.60 $26.00 65% Bet Info
Darren Till Kelvin Gastelum W 3.10 2 4.20 $42.00 210% Bet Info
Stephen Thompson Vicente Luque W 1.95 5 4.75 $47.50 95% Bet Info
Blagoy Ivanov Derrick Lewis L 1.98 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Kevin Lee Gregor Gillespie W 2.50 5 7.50 $75.00 150% Bet Info
Corey Anderson Johnny Walker W 2.35 5 6.75 $67.50 135% Bet Info
Brad Tavares Edmen Shahbazyan L 2.39 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Andrei Arlovski Jairzinho Rozenstruik L 2.33 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Hakeem Dawodu Julio Arce W 1.78 3 2.34 $23.40 78% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.15 35.00 17.14 $171.40 49%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   35.00 17.14 $171.40 49%  

UFC Fight Night 162, Kallang, 26th Oct '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Beneil Dariush Frank Camacho W 1.62 4 2.48 $24.80 62% Bet Info
Muslim Salikhov Laureano Staropoli W 1.65 2 1.30 $13.00 65% Bet Info
Randa Markos Ashley Yoder W 1.74 4 2.96 $29.60 74% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.67 10.00 6.74 $67.40 67%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 6.74 $67.40 67%  

UFC ESPN 6, Boston, 18th Oct '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dominick Reyes Chris Weidman W 1.62 5 3.10 $31.00 62% Bet Info
Yair Rodriguez Jeremy Stephens W 1.90 3 2.70 $27.00 90% Bet Info
Gillian Robertson Maycee Barber L 2.20 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Deron Winn Darren Stewart L 1.85 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Boston Salmon Randy Costa L 1.69 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Brendan Allen Kevin Holland W 2.42 2 2.84 $28.40 142% Bet Info
Brendan Allen Kevin Holland W 2.42 0.5 0.71 $7.10 142% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.97 22.50 -2.65 $-26.50 -12%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   22.50 -2.65 $-26.50 -12%  

UFC on ESPN+ 19, San Francisco, 12th Oct '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cub Swanson Kron Gracie W 2.50 2.5 3.75 $37.50 150% Bet Info
James Vick Niko Price L 2.30 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Mackenzie Dern Amanda Ribas L 1.75 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Matt Frevola Luis Pena W 2.40 3 4.20 $42.00 140% Bet Info
Eryk Anders Gerald Meerschaert W 1.62 3 1.86 $18.60 62% Bet Info
Devin Clark Ryan Spann L 2.26 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Max Griffin Alex Morono L 1.72 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Andre Ewell Marlon Vera L 2.50 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Andrew Sanchez Marvin Vettori L 3.95 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
J.J. Aldrich Lauren Mueller W 1.60 3 1.80 $18.00 60% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.11 29.50 -6.39 $-63.90 -22%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Michelle Waterson Jedrzejczyk to win W 1.32
Pi Deiveson Figueiredo vs Tim Elliott Figueiredo to win W 1.50
    Parlay Odds:   1.98
  3 2.94 $29.40 98% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 2.94 $29.40 98%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   32.50 -3.45 $-34.50 -11%  

UFC 243, Melbourne, 5th Oct '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Israel Adesanya Robert Whittaker W 2.00 3 3.00 $30.00 100% Bet Info
Daniel Hooker Al Iaquinta W 1.66 3 1.98 $19.80 66% Bet Info
Luke Jumeau Dhiego Lima L 2.46 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Yorgan De Castro Justin Tafa W 2.05 3 3.15 $31.50 105% Bet Info
Rostem Akman Jake Matthews L 4.20 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Brad Riddell Jamie Mullarkey W 1.62 3 1.86 $18.60 62% Bet Info
Nadia Kassem Ji Yeon Kim L 2.60 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.16 17.00 4.99 $49.90 29%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Tai Tuivasa vs Sergey Spivak Tuivasa to win L 1.29
Pi Megan Anderson vs Zara Fairn Dos Santos Anderson to win W 1.18
    Parlay Odds:   1.52
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 1.99 $19.90 10%  

UFC Fight Night 160, Copenhagen, 28th Sep '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jared Cannonier Jack Hermansson W 3.20 2 4.40 $44.00 220% Bet Info
Gunnar Nelson Gilbert Burns L 2.17 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Gunnar Nelson Gilbert Burns L 2.17 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Ion Cutelaba Khalil Rountree W 2.07 3 3.21 $32.10 107% Bet Info
Ion Cutelaba Khalil Rountree W 2.07 0.5 0.54 $5.35 107% Bet Info
Alex Oliveira Nicolas Dalby L 1.71 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Alex Oliveira Nicolas Dalby L 1.71 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Alen Amedovski John Phillips L 1.83 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Brandon Davis Giga Chikadze L 1.67 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Marc Diakiese Lando Vannata W 1.66 3.5 2.31 $23.10 66% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.95 20.00 -0.54 $-5.45 -3%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 -0.54 $-5.45 -3%  

UFC Fight Night 159, Mexico City, 21st Sep '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jeremy Stephens Yair Rodriguez NC 1.97 3 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Alexa Grasso Carla Esparza L 1.80 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.88 6.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -50%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -50%  

UFC Fight Night 158, Vancouver, 14th Sep '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Gaethje Donald Cerrone W 4.00 1.6 4.80 $48.00 300% Bet Info
Misha Cirkunov Jim Crute W 1.95 4.5 4.28 $42.75 95% Bet Info
Jordan Griffin Chas Skelly L 1.73 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Jordan Griffin Chas Skelly L 1.73 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Ryan MacDonald Louis Smolka L 3.20 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.24 10.60 4.58 $45.75 43%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Glover Teixeira vs Nikita Krylov Under 1.5 rounds L 1.80
  3.5 -3.50 $-35.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.50 -3.50 $-35.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.10 1.08 $10.75 8%  

UFC 242, Abu Dhabi, 7th Sep '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dustin Poirier Khabib Nurmagomedov L 4.50 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Paul Felder Edson Barboza W 2.30 3 3.90 $39.00 130% Bet Info
Lerone Murphy Zubaira Tukhugov D 4.00 1 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Lerone Murphy Zubaira Tukhugov D 4.00 0.5 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Sarah Moras Liana Jojua W 2.36 3 4.08 $40.80 136% Bet Info
Teemu Packalen Ottman Azaitar L 2.93 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Nordine Taleb Muslim Salikhov L 1.82 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Zak Cummings Omari Akhmedov L 2.05 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.70 16.00 -0.52 $-5.20 -3%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   16.00 -0.52 $-5.20 -3%  

UFC Fight Night 157, Shenzhen, 31st Aug '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Weili Zhang Jessica Andrade W 2.50 5 7.50 $75.00 150% Bet Info
Derrick Krantz Kenan Song L 2.00 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Yanan Wu Mizuki Inoue L 2.35 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Andre Soukhamthath Su Mudaerji L 1.62 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Karol Rosa Lara Fritzen Procopio W 1.90 3 2.70 $27.00 90% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.03 15.00 3.20 $32.00 21%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 3.20 $32.00 21%  

UFC 241, Anaheim, 17th Aug '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier W 2.15 5 5.75 $57.50 115% Bet Info
Nate Diaz Anthony Pettis W 2.16 5 5.80 $58.00 116% Bet Info
Paulo Costa Yoel Romero W 2.22 5 6.10 $61.00 122% Bet Info
Derek Brunson Ian Heinisch W 2.27 2 2.54 $25.40 127% Bet Info
Raphael Assuncao Cory Sandhagen L 2.90 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Drakkar Klose Christos Giagos W 1.62 3 1.86 $18.60 62% Bet Info
Casey Kenney Manny Bermudez W 2.40 5 7.00 $70.00 140% Bet Info
Jodie Esquibel Hannah Cifers L 3.57 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Sabina Mazo Shana Dobson W 1.80 2 1.60 $16.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.23 30.00 27.65 $276.50 92%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   30.00 27.65 $276.50 92%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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