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MMA Handicapper Profile: Best Guestimates

104 followers

Best Guestimates (BestGuestimates)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	140 (46%)	Right	137 (47%)	Right	1 (33%)	Right	2 (40%)
Wrong	162 (54%)	Wrong	157 (53%)	Wrong	2 (67%)	Wrong	3 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.19	Avg Odds	2.19	Avg Odds	2.17	Avg Odds	2.05
Units Bet	713.8	Units Bet	703.8	Units Bet	3.2	Units Bet	6.9
Avg Bet	2.36	Avg Bet	2.39	Avg Bet	1.05	Avg Bet	1.37
Units Profit	29.53	Units Profit	32.22	Units Profit	-1.24	Units Profit	-1.44
ROI %	4%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	-39%	ROI %	-21%

Straight Pick Stats

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	38 (7%)	27	71 %	124.00	-12.46	-0.33	-10%
Slight Favorites	127 (24%)	80	63 %	178.77	30.00	0.24	17%
Slight Underdogs	264 (49%)	126	48 %	282.91	19.81	0.08	7%
Big Underdogs	110 (20%)	34	31 %	118.13	-5.13	-0.05	-4%

Progress Chart

Chart

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

Best Guestimates's MMA Handicapper Bio

Hi, I'm just an individual trying to improve every year. I feel i have been, however time will tell. I have a highly successful online poker background(when things were good in 2003-2008) and a decent traditional martial arts background. Not sure those 2 things help too much , however I do luv watching my UFC fights and have been enjoying the process well back to the WEC days. If I were to guess, and that is what I do on this site, I would say I'm half way to my highest potential. What my true present ROI is is literally impossible to say however It's much better than when I started 5 years ago. Much improved. The goal is to be well ahead of 20%. Last year was 44% ROI(Nov.21st 2020 to Nov.12th 2021)...

.....July 1st 2022- Things have cooled off in many ways this past 6 months. So being fairly even(actually -9.6% ROi) during this time feels..best described as a bit boring to be completely honest. However stayin somewhat close to even for the past year may not be the worst sign so I'm taking this time to resettle and improve. The biggest take away is that most of my big bets have been canceled and the rest have had mixed results.....LOOKING FOR BIGGER ADVANTAGES THIS YEAR>>>

Jan 1st 2023- starting off the new year and reflecting back on 2022 and 1 month prior(I'll stick with the calendar anual stats from here on for convenience). First half was a bit frustrating and a learning experience with an ROI of -9.6%. The second half of the year felt decently steady at +20.97% ROI. All bets combined leaves the years total at +10.7% ROI. It certainly fell well short of the year before, however one year certainly felt luckier than the other. All things considered, I don't feel bad about it at all and it leaves plenty of room for improvements.

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Best Guestimates

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak, Las Vegas, 4th Feb '23

Props and Parlays

Unit Bet

	Fight	Pick	Odds
PrPi	Marcin Tybura vs Blagoy Ivanov	Tybura wins by decision	2.70

0.75

	Fight	Pick	Odds
PrPi	Marcin Tybura vs Blagoy Ivanov	Tybura wins by decision	2.80

0.25

UFC 285, Las Vegas, 4th Mar '23

Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Unit Bet
Ciryl Gane	Jon Jones	1.80	1
Ciryl Gane	Jon Jones	2.02	0.33
Ciryl Gane	Jon Jones	2.10	0.33
Ciryl Gane	Jon Jones	2.20	0.34
Ciryl Gane	Jon Jones	2.30	0.33

Best Guestimates's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC 283, Rio de Janeiro, 21st Jan '23
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Glover Teixeira	Jamahal Hill	L	2.23	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Glover Teixeira	Jamahal Hill	L	2.28	0.2	-0.20	$-2.00	-100%
Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	W	2.00	2	2.00	$20.00	100%
Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	W	1.95	0.5	0.48	$4.76	95%
Mounir Lazzez	Gabriel Bonfim	L	2.58	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Terrance McKinney	Ismael Bonfim	L	1.83	0.33	-0.33	$-3.30	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.12	4.03	0.95	$9.46	23%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Paul Craig vs Johnny Walker	Craig wins by submission	L	4.75

0.65

-0.65

$-6.50

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

0.65

-0.65

$-6.50

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

4.68

0.30

$2.96

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov, Las Vegas, 14th Jan '23
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Ketlen Vieira	Raquel Pennington	L	1.91	0.33	-0.33	$-3.30	-100%
Ketlen Vieira	Raquel Pennington	L	1.95	0.42	-0.42	$-4.20	-100%
Ketlen Vieira	Raquel Pennington	L	1.81	0.25	-0.25	$-2.50	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.89	1.00	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland, Las Vegas, 17th Dec '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jared Cannonier	Sean Strickland	W	1.95	0.75	0.71	$7.14	95%
Jared Cannonier	Sean Strickland	W	1.95	1.25	1.19	$11.90	95%
Jared Cannonier	Sean Strickland	W	1.95	0.76	0.72	$7.24	95%
Jared Cannonier	Sean Strickland	W	2.07	0.74	0.79	$7.92	107%
Jared Cannonier	Sean Strickland	W	2.08	0.5	0.54	$5.40	108%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.00	4.00	3.96	$39.60	99%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

4.00

3.96

$39.60

99%

UFC 282, Las Vegas, 10th Dec '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Darren Till	Dricus Du Plessis	L	2.65	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Darren Till	Dricus Du Plessis	L	2.58	1.25	-1.25	$-12.50	-100%
Bryce Mitchell	Ilia Topuria	L	2.80	1.25	-1.25	$-12.50	-100%
Jay Perrin	Raul Rosas Jr	L	3.00	0.25	-0.25	$-2.50	-100%
Joaquin Buckley	Chris Curtis	L	1.91	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.53	3.75	-3.75	$-37.50	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.75

-3.75

$-37.50

-100%

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland, Orlando, 3rd Dec '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Tai Tuivasa	Sergey Pavlovich	L	2.58	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Tai Tuivasa	Sergey Pavlovich	L	2.67	0.25	-0.25	$-2.50	-100%
Tai Tuivasa	Sergey Pavlovich	L	2.95	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.72	1.25	-1.25	$-12.50	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.25

-1.25

$-12.50

-100%

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba, Las Vegas, 19th Nov '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jennifer Maia	Maryna Moroz	W	2.55	0.5	0.77	$7.75	155%
Jennifer Maia	Maryna Moroz	W	2.55	1	1.55	$15.50	155%
Jennifer Maia	Maryna Moroz	W	2.67	0.75	1.25	$12.53	167%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.59	2.25	3.58	$35.77	159%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

2.25

3.58

$35.77

159%

UFC 281, New York, 12th Nov '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alex Pereira	Israel Adesanya	W	3.00	0.5	1.00	$10.00	200%
Alex Pereira	Israel Adesanya	W	3.00	0.25	0.50	$5.00	200%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.00	0.75	1.50	$15.00	200%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

0.75

1.50

$15.00

200%

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos, Las Vegas, 5th Nov '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Darrick Minner	Yilan Sha	L	2.87	1	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%
Jinh Yu Frey	Polyana Viana	L	2.30	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.55	1.50	-1.50	$-15.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.50

-1.50

$-15.00

-100%

UFC 280, Abu Dhabi, 22nd Oct '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Charles Oliveira	Islam Makhachev	L	2.65	0.65	-0.65	$-6.50	-100%
Charles Oliveira	Islam Makhachev	L	2.60	0.65	-0.65	$-6.50	-100%
Charles Oliveira	Islam Makhachev	L	2.62	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Charles Oliveira	Islam Makhachev	L	2.62	0.7	-0.70	$-7.00	-100%
Charles Oliveira	Islam Makhachev	L	2.50	0.75	-0.75	$-7.50	-100%
T.J. Dillashaw	Aljamain Sterling	L	2.58	0.65	-0.65	$-6.50	-100%
T.J. Dillashaw	Aljamain Sterling	L	2.60	1.35	-1.35	$-13.50	-100%
T.J. Dillashaw	Aljamain Sterling	L	2.60	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Beneil Dariush	Mateusz Gamrot	W	2.85	0.35	0.65	$6.47	185%
Beneil Dariush	Mateusz Gamrot	W	2.85	0.15	0.28	$2.77	185%
Manon Fiorot	Katlyn Chookagian	W	1.53	1	0.53	$5.26	53%
Manon Fiorot	Katlyn Chookagian	W	1.50	0.5	0.25	$2.50	50%
Manon Fiorot	Katlyn Chookagian	W	1.50	0.5	0.25	$2.50	50%
Nikita Krylov	Volkan Oezdemir	W	1.63	0.5	0.32	$3.16	63%
Nikita Krylov	Volkan Oezdemir	W	1.60	0.35	0.21	$2.10	60%
Nikita Krylov	Volkan Oezdemir	W	1.60	0.15	0.09	$0.90	60%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.10	9.25	-3.18	$-31.83	-34%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pi	Manon Fiorot vs Katlyn Chookagian	Fiorot to win	W	1.54
Pi	Lina Lansberg vs Karol Rosa	Rosa to win	W	1.42
		Parlay Odds:		2.18

0.5

0.59

$5.91

118%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

0.50

0.59

$5.91

118%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

9.75

-2.59

$-25.92

-27%

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo, Las Vegas, 15th Oct '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Viviane Araujo	Alexa Grasso	L	3.01	0.33	-0.33	$-3.30	-100%
Viviane Araujo	Alexa Grasso	L	3.10	0.33	-0.33	$-3.30	-100%
Jacob Malkoun	Nick Maximov	W	2.14	1	1.14	$11.40	114%
Jacob Malkoun	Nick Maximov	W	2.25	0.25	0.31	$3.13	125%
Sam Hughes	Piera Rodriguez	L	2.42	0.45	-0.45	$-4.50	-100%
Sam Hughes	Piera Rodriguez	L	2.55	0.8	-0.80	$-8.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.53	3.16	-0.46	$-4.57	-14%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.16

-0.46

$-4.57

-14%

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan, Las Vegas, 1st Oct '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Yan Xiaonan	Mackenzie Dern	W	2.80	0.35	0.63	$6.30	180%
Yan Xiaonan	Mackenzie Dern	W	2.95	0.35	0.68	$6.83	195%
Yan Xiaonan	Mackenzie Dern	W	3.00	0.5	1.00	$10.00	200%
Yan Xiaonan	Mackenzie Dern	W	3.05	0.15	0.31	$3.07	205%
Brendan Allen	Krzysztof Jotko	W	2.05	0.5	0.53	$5.25	105%
Brendan Allen	Krzysztof Jotko	W	2.10	0.5	0.55	$5.50	110%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.58	2.35	3.70	$36.95	157%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

2.35

3.70

$36.95

157%

UFC 279, Las Vegas, 10th Sep '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Nate Diaz	Tony Ferguson	W	2.25	1.5	1.88	$18.75	125%
Johnny Walker	Ion Cutelaba	W	2.90	2	3.80	$38.00	190%
Johnny Walker	Ion Cutelaba	W	2.85	2.1	3.88	$38.85	185%
Johnny Walker	Ion Cutelaba	W	2.90	1.4	2.66	$26.60	190%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.69	7.00	12.22	$122.20	175%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

7.00

12.22

$122.20

175%

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa, Paris, 3rd Sep '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Nathaniel Wood	Charles Jourdain	W	2.28	1.75	2.24	$22.40	128%
Christian Quinonez	Khalid Taha	W	2.04	1.75	1.82	$18.20	104%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.15	3.50	4.06	$40.60	116%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.50

4.06

$40.60

116%

UFC 278, Utah, 20th Aug '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Luke Rockhold	Paulo Costa	L	4.15	0.75	-0.75	$-7.50	-100%
Jose Aldo	Merab Dvalishvili	L	2.05	2	-2.00	$-20.00	-100%
Jose Aldo	Merab Dvalishvili	L	2.22	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Jose Aldo	Merab Dvalishvili	L	2.27	2.5	-2.50	$-25.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.47	5.75	-5.75	$-57.50	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.75

-5.75

$-57.50

-100%

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill, Las Vegas, 6th Aug '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Vicente Luque	Geoff Neal	L	1.60	0.35	-0.35	$-3.50	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.60	0.35	-0.35	$-3.50	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pi	Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Sam Alvey	Oleksiejczuk to win	W	1.17
Pi	Vicente Luque vs Geoff Neal	Luque to win	L	1.59
		Parlay Odds:		1.86

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.35

-1.35

$-13.50

-100%

UFC 277, Dallas, 30th Jul '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Julianna Pena	Amanda Nunes	L	3.40	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Derrick Lewis	Sergey Pavlovich	L	2.35	1.5	-1.50	$-15.00	-100%
Anthony Smith	Magomed Ankalaev	L	5.40	0.25	-0.25	$-2.50	-100%
Matt Semelsberger	Alex Morono	L	1.69	1.25	-1.25	$-12.50	-100%
Drew Dober	Rafael Alves	W	1.59	1	0.59	$5.92	59%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.35	4.50	-2.91	$-29.08	-65%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

4.50

-2.91

$-29.08

-65%

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall, London, 23rd Jul '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Curtis Blaydes	Tom Aspinall	W	2.20	0.5	0.60	$6.00	120%
Curtis Blaydes	Tom Aspinall	W	2.25	0.35	0.44	$4.38	125%
Curtis Blaydes	Tom Aspinall	W	2.30	0.5	0.65	$6.50	130%
Chris Curtis	Jack Hermansson	L	1.99	0.75	-0.75	$-7.50	-100%
Chris Curtis	Jack Hermansson	L	1.98	0.75	-0.75	$-7.50	-100%
Nikita Krylov	Alexander Gustafsson	W	1.55	0.5	0.28	$2.76	55%
Nikita Krylov	Alexander Gustafsson	W	1.57	0.25	0.14	$1.43	57%
Volkan Oezdemir	Paul Craig	W	2.20	2	2.40	$24.00	120%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.96	5.60	3.01	$30.07	54%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.60

3.01

$30.07

54%

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez, Long Island, 16th Jul '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	W	2.50	0.35	0.53	$5.25	150%
Michelle Waterson	Amanda Lemos	L	3.80	0.35	-0.35	$-3.50	-100%
Michelle Waterson	Amanda Lemos	L	3.80	0.3	-0.30	$-3.00	-100%
Shane Burgos	Charles Jourdain	W	1.65	1	0.65	$6.45	65%
Shane Burgos	Charles Jourdain	W	1.65	0.5	0.32	$3.23	65%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.33	2.50	0.84	$8.43	34%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

2.50

0.84

$8.43

34%

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev, Las Vegas, 9th Jul '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Rafael dos Anjos	Rafael Fiziev	L	2.93	0.25	-0.25	$-2.50	-100%
Antonina Shevchenko	Cortney Casey	W	1.61	0.5	0.31	$3.07	61%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.08	0.75	0.06	$0.57	8%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pi	Said Nurmagomedov vs Douglas Silva de Andrade	Nurmagomedov to win	W	1.33
Pi	Caio Borralho vs Armen Petrosyan	Borralho to win	W	1.44
		Parlay Odds:		1.92

2.25

2.07

$20.66

92%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

2.25

2.07

$20.66

92%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.00

2.12

$21.22

71%

UFC 276, Las Vegas, 2nd Jul '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jared Cannonier	Israel Adesanya	L	5.10	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Max Holloway	Alex Volkanovski	L	2.70	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Alex Pereira	Sean Strickland	W	2.12	0.25	0.28	$2.80	112%
Robbie Lawler	Bryan Barberena	L	1.91	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Jalin Turner	Brad Riddell	W	1.71	1.5	1.07	$10.71	71%
Jalin Turner	Brad Riddell	W	1.73	0.75	0.55	$5.47	73%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.20	4.00	0.40	$3.99	10%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

4.00

0.40

$3.99

10%

>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

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MMA Handicapper Profile: Best Guestimates

104 followers

Best Guestimates (BestGuestimates)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Straight Pick Stats

Progress Chart

Best Guestimates's MMA Handicapper Bio

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Best Guestimates

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak, Las Vegas, 4th Feb '23

UFC 285, Las Vegas, 4th Mar '23

Best Guestimates's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

UFC 283, Rio de Janeiro, 21st Jan '23

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov, Las Vegas, 14th Jan '23

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland, Las Vegas, 17th Dec '22

UFC 282, Las Vegas, 10th Dec '22

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland, Orlando, 3rd Dec '22

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba, Las Vegas, 19th Nov '22

UFC 281, New York, 12th Nov '22

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos, Las Vegas, 5th Nov '22

UFC 280, Abu Dhabi, 22nd Oct '22

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo, Las Vegas, 15th Oct '22

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan, Las Vegas, 1st Oct '22

UFC 279, Las Vegas, 10th Sep '22

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa, Paris, 3rd Sep '22

UFC 278, Utah, 20th Aug '22

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill, Las Vegas, 6th Aug '22

UFC 277, Dallas, 30th Jul '22

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall, London, 23rd Jul '22

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez, Long Island, 16th Jul '22

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev, Las Vegas, 9th Jul '22

UFC 276, Las Vegas, 2nd Jul '22