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Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
49 (6%) |
37 |
76 % |
130.20 |
-10.13 |
-0.21 |
-8% |
Slight Favorites |
187 (25%) |
110 |
59 % |
204.97 |
28.65 |
0.15 |
14% |
Slight Underdogs |
390 (51%) |
190 |
49 % |
335.18 |
35.54 |
0.09 |
11% |
Big Underdogs |
137 (18%) |
40 |
29 % |
125.63 |
-7.16 |
-0.05 |
-6% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Best Guestimates's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
Hi, I'm just an individual trying to improve every year. I feel i have been, however time will tell. I have a highly successful online poker background(when things were good in 2003-2008) and a decent traditional martial arts background. Not sure those 2 things help too much , however I do luv watching my UFC fights and have been enjoying the process well back to the WEC days. If I were to guess, and that is what I do on this site, I would say I'm half way to my highest potential. What my true present ROI is is literally impossible to say however It's much better than when I started 5 years ago. Much improved. The goal is to be well ahead of 20%. Last year was 44% ROI(Nov.21st 2020 to Nov.12th 2021)...
.....July 1st 2022- Things have cooled off in many ways this past 6 months. So being fairly even(actually -9.6% ROi) during this time feels..best described as a bit boring to be completely honest. However stayin somewhat close to even for the past year may not be the worst sign so I'm taking this time to resettle and improve. The biggest take away is that most of my big bets have been canceled and the rest have had mixed results.....LOOKING FOR BIGGER ADVANTAGES THIS YEAR>>>
Jan 1st 2023- starting off the new year and reflecting back on 2022 and 1 month prior(I'll stick with the calendar anual stats from here on for convenience). First half was a bit frustrating and a learning experience with an ROI of -9.6%. The second half of the year felt decently steady at +20.97% ROI. All bets combined leaves the years total at +10.7% ROI. It certainly fell well short of the year before, however one year certainly felt luckier than the other. All things considered, I don't feel bad about it at all and it leaves plenty of room for improvements.
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Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Best Guestimates |
Props and Parlays |
|
|
Unit
Bet |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
1.25 |
|
|
UFC 296, Las Vegas, Nevada, 16th Dec '23
UFC 297, Toronto, Ontario, 20th Jan '24
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Best Guestimates's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.90 |
-1.90 |
$-19.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jiri Prochazka vs Alex Pereira |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.77 |
|
|
0.35 |
0.27 |
$2.69 |
77% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tom Aspinall vs Sergey Pavlovich |
Aspinall wins by submission |
L |
5.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.60 |
0.02 |
$0.19 |
3% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.90 |
-1.02 |
$-10.24 |
-35% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Rinat Fakhretdinov |
Fakhretdinov to win |
NA |
1.31 |
Pi |
Kaue Fernandes vs Marc Diakiese |
Diakiese to win |
W |
1.54 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.01 |
|
|
0.4 |
0.22 |
$2.15 |
54% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.40 |
0.22 |
$2.15 |
54% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.39 |
3.53 |
$35.29 |
104% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kamaru Usman vs Khamzat Chimaev |
Fight goes to decision |
W |
2.55 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.77 |
$7.75 |
155% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Said Nurmagomedov vs Muin Gafurov |
Nurmagomedov to win |
W |
1.49 |
Pi |
Islam Makhachev vs Alex Volkanovski |
Makhachev to win |
W |
1.40 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.08 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.54 |
$5.41 |
108% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kamaru Usman vs Khamzat Chimaev |
Fight goes to decision |
W |
2.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.38 |
$3.75 |
150% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Nathaniel Wood vs Muhammadjon Naimov |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.05 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.75 |
1.19 |
$11.91 |
68% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.65 |
1.45 |
$14.47 |
55% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.75 |
-0.87 |
$-8.65 |
-49% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Montana De La Rosa vs J.J. Aldrich |
Aldrich wins by decision |
W |
2.55 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.77 |
$7.75 |
155% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Abdul Razak Alhassan vs Joe Pyfer |
Pyfer wins by submission |
W |
6.50 |
|
|
0.35 |
1.92 |
$19.25 |
550% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Montana De La Rosa vs J.J. Aldrich |
Aldrich wins by decision |
W |
2.60 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.40 |
$4.00 |
160% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Diana Belbita |
Belbita wins by submission |
L |
17.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.20 |
3.00 |
$30.00 |
250% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.70 |
4.86 |
$48.64 |
85% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.75 |
2.29 |
$22.90 |
131% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kevin Holland vs Jack Della Maddalena |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.35 |
|
|
0.33 |
0.45 |
$4.46 |
135% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Shevchenko |
Grasso wins by decision |
L |
4.60 |
|
|
0.4 |
-0.40 |
$-4.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.73 |
0.05 |
$0.46 |
6% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.79 |
-4.41 |
$-44.15 |
-65% |
|
UFC 293, Sydney,
9th Sep '23 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Manel Kape vs Felipe Dos Santos |
Kape wins by TKO/KO |
L |
1.91 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Mike Mathetha vs Charlie Radtke |
Radtke to win |
W |
1.33 |
Pi |
Nasrat Haqparast vs Landon Quiñones |
Haqparast to win |
W |
1.21 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.62 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.31 |
$3.09 |
62% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jack Jenkins vs Jose Mariscal |
Jenkins wins by decision |
L |
2.45 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tyson Pedro vs Anton Turkalj |
Turkalj wins by decision |
L |
5.20 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
-1.69 |
$-16.91 |
-68% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.50 |
-1.69 |
$-16.91 |
-68% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Benoit Saint-Denis vs Thiago Moises |
Saint-Denis wins by decision |
L |
4.60 |
|
|
0.65 |
-0.65 |
$-6.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.65 |
-0.65 |
$-6.50 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.61 |
-1.34 |
$-13.41 |
-37% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Chidi Njokuani vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Oleksiejczuk wins by decision |
L |
6.50 |
|
|
0.17 |
-0.17 |
$-1.70 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Anthony Smith vs Ryan Spann |
Spann wins by decision |
L |
14.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.42 |
-0.42 |
$-4.20 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.67 |
-2.83 |
$-28.34 |
-50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Weili Zhang vs Amanda Lemos |
Zhang wins by submission |
L |
6.50 |
|
|
0.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ian Garry vs Neil Magny |
Garry wins by submission |
L |
7.75 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.16 |
-1.12 |
$-11.20 |
-52% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Cub Swanson vs Hakeem Dawodu |
Dawodu wins by decision |
L |
3.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Marcus McGhee vs J.P. Buys |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.76 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.38 |
$3.79 |
76% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Martin Buday vs Josh Parisian |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.74 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Vicente Luque vs Rafael dos Anjos |
Luque wins by TKO/KO |
L |
4.00 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
-1.62 |
$-16.21 |
-65% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.25 |
2.83 |
$28.29 |
54% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Cory Sandhagen vs Rob Font |
Sandhagen wins by decision |
W |
2.75 |
|
|
0.75 |
1.31 |
$13.12 |
175% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Cory Sandhagen vs Rob Font |
Sandhagen wins by decision |
W |
3.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
200% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Cory Sandhagen vs Rob Font |
Sandhagen wins by decision |
W |
3.05 |
|
|
0.5 |
1.02 |
$10.25 |
205% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Cory Sandhagen vs Rob Font |
Sandhagen wins by submission |
L |
9.00 |
|
|
0.4 |
-0.40 |
$-4.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Raoni Barcelos vs Kyler Phillips |
Barcelos wins by decision |
L |
4.30 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.10 |
2.24 |
$22.37 |
107% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.55 |
2.79 |
$27.94 |
79% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alex Pereira vs Jan Blachowicz |
Blachowicz wins by decision |
L |
4.50 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Matt Semelsberger vs Uros Medic |
Semelsberger wins by submission |
L |
9.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje |
Gaethje wins by decision |
L |
6.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.90 |
-0.90 |
$-9.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.93 |
1.17 |
$11.65 |
13% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.10 |
0.67 |
$6.73 |
61% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.75 |
0.78 |
$7.82 |
21% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Robert Whittaker vs Dricus Du Plessis |
Whittaker to win |
L |
1.29 |
Pi |
Jalin Turner vs Daniel Hooker |
Turner to win |
L |
1.56 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.00 |
|
|
0.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alex Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez |
Rodriguez wins inside distance |
L |
5.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.70 |
-2.70 |
$-27.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.05 |
4.49 |
$44.89 |
89% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.69 |
-1.69 |
$-16.90 |
-100% |
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>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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