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Total MMA Handicappers: 1877
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 765

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Best Guestimates

Best Guestimates (BestGuestimates)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Best Guestimates

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 39 (45%) Right 39 (45%) Right 0 (0%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 48 (55%) Wrong 47 (55%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 1 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.03 Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 0.00 Avg Odds 2.39
Units Bet 324.0 Units Bet 322.5 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 1.5
Avg Bet 3.72 Avg Bet 3.75 Avg Bet 0.00 Avg Bet 1.50
Units Profit -10.03 Units Profit -8.53 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit -1.50
ROI % -3% ROI % -3% ROI % 0% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Best Guestimates: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 4.5 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 4 -4.0 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 2 0.6 32% 0.6 / 2 (32%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 2.5 2.1 83% 2.1 / 2.5 (83%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 3 4.9 163% 4.9 / 3 (163%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 16.5 10.1 61% 10.1 / 16.5 (61%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 2.5 4.7 186% 4.7 / 2.5 (186%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 8 -8.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 2.5 2.6 105% 2.6 / 2.5 (105%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 2.5 3.9 155% 3.9 / 2.5 (155%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 8.7 175% 8.7 / 5 (175%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 8 0.7 8% 0.7 / 8 (8%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 10 5.9 59% 5.9 / 10 (59%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 5 2.5 50% 2.5 / 5 (50%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 4 5.6 139% 5.6 / 4 (139%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 12 -3.6 -30% -3.6 / 12 (-30%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 3 2.4 79% 2.4 / 3 (79%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 16 13.5 84% 13.5 / 16 (84%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 14 -14.0 -100% -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 13.5 3.1 23% 3.1 / 13.5 (23%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 16 10.7 67% 10.7 / 16 (67%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 2.5 4.7 190% 4.7 / 2.5 (190%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 3 8.6 285% 8.6 / 3 (285%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 11 8.1 74% 8.1 / 11 (74%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 15 -15.0 -100% -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 2.5 4.1 165% 4.1 / 2.5 (165%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 16 -16.0 -100% -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 2.5 1.6 65% 1.6 / 2.5 (65%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 5 2.6 53% 2.6 / 5 (53%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 11 4.0 36% 4.0 / 11 (36%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 7.5 -7.5 -100% -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 2.5 1.1 43% 1.1 / 2.5 (43%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 5 1.5 30% 1.5 / 5 (30%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 2.5 2.8 110% 2.8 / 2.5 (110%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 2.5 2.1 84% 2.1 / 2.5 (84%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 5 3.6 73% 3.6 / 5 (73%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 2.5 2.6 103% 2.6 / 2.5 (103%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 7.5 -0.8 -10% -0.8 / 7.5 (-10%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 29 (51%)
Losing Events: 28 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.68 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.50 units
Best Event: 13.50 units
Worst Event: -16.00 units
Average Event: -0.18 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 22.36
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -22.50

Best Guestimates: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 72 2.1 3% 3.6 / 70.5 (5%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 8 / 8 (50%) 0.13
2018 165 7.8 5% 7.8 / 165 (5%) 12 / 11 (52%) 0.34
2017 87 -19.9 -23% -19.9 / 87 (-23%) 9 / 9 (50%) -1.10

Best Guestimates: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

Best Guestimates: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 324 -10.0 -3% -8.5 / 322.5 (-3%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

Best Guestimates: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 17 (20%) 10 59 % 104.50 -16.78 -0.99 -16%
Slight Favorites 23 (27%) 12 52 % 96.00 8.88 0.39 9%
Slight Underdogs 31 (36%) 11 35 % 82.00 -9.95 -0.32 -12%
Big Underdogs 15 (17%) 6 40 % 40.00 9.33 0.62 23%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 42 (49%) 18 43 % 157.00 -20.31 -0.48 -13%
Co-Main Event 23 (27%) 12 52 % 92.50 20.53 0.89 22%
Position 3-5 15 (17%) 6 40 % 55.50 -6.63 -0.44 -12%
6+ (Undercard) 6 (7%) 3 50 % 17.50 -2.11 -0.35 -12%

Best Guestimates: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (10%) 5 56 % 39.50 -7.44 -0.83 -19%
Light Heavy 4 (5%) 1 25 % 12.00 -2.44 -0.61 -20%
Middleweight 8 (9%) 3 38 % 30.50 -13.18 -1.65 -43%
Welterweight 23 (27%) 9 39 % 83.00 -3.47 -0.15 -4%
Lightweight 13 (15%) 6 46 % 48.00 5.20 0.40 11%
Featherweight 9 (10%) 7 78 % 40.50 24.62 2.74 61%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%
Flyweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.50 4.50 4.50 180%
               
Women's Fights 17 (20%) 7 41 % 61.50 -11.32 -0.67 -18%
Featherweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 8.00 4.78 1.59 60%
Bantamweight 6 (7%) 2 33 % 23.00 -8.62 -1.44 -37%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 7.00 2.64 2.64 38%
Strawweight 7 (8%) 2 29 % 23.50 -10.13 -1.45 -43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 1 (50%) 1 100 %
Slight Favorites 1 (50%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
2 1 50 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 0 % 0.00     0.0 (0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Best Guestimates's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Mar UFC 209 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $975.00
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 7.5 -0.8 -10% $9.75 $975.00 $967.55
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.68 $967.55 $943.36
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 2.5 2.6 103% $9.43 $943.36 $967.65
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 5 3.6 73% $9.68 $967.65 $1,002.79
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 2.5 2.1 84% $10.03 $1,002.79 $1,023.86
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 2.5 2.8 110% $10.24 $1,023.86 $1,052.02
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 5 1.5 30% $10.52 $1,052.02 $1,067.72
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.68 $1,067.72 $1,041.03
8th Jul UFC 213 2.5 1.1 43% $10.41 $1,041.03 $1,052.34
29th Jul UFC 214 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.52 $1,052.34 $1,026.03
9th Sep UFC 215 5 -5.0 -100% $10.26 $1,026.03 $974.73
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.75 $974.73 $950.36
4th Nov UFC 217 7.5 -7.5 -100% $9.50 $950.36 $879.09
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 11 4.0 36% $8.79 $879.09 $914.00
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 5 2.6 53% $9.14 $914.00 $938.18
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 2.5 1.6 65% $9.38 $938.18 $953.51
31st Dec UFC 219 16 -16.0 -100% $9.54 $953.51 $800.94
20th Jan UFC 220 2.5 4.1 165% $8.01 $800.94 $833.98
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 15 -15.0 -100% $8.34 $833.98 $708.89
10th Feb UFC 221 2.5 -2.5 -100% $7.09 $708.89 $691.16
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 11 8.1 74% $6.91 $691.16 $747.48
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 7 -7.0 -100% $7.47 $747.48 $695.16
3rd Mar UFC 222 3 8.6 285% $6.95 $695.16 $754.59
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 6 -6.0 -100% $7.55 $754.59 $709.32
7th Apr UFC 223 2.5 4.7 190% $7.09 $709.32 $743.01
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 16 10.7 67% $7.43 $743.01 $822.44
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 13.5 3.1 23% $8.22 $822.44 $848.27
12th May UFC 224 3 -3.0 -100% $8.48 $848.27 $822.82
9th Jun UFC 225 2.5 -2.5 -100% $8.23 $822.82 $802.25
7th Jul UFC 226 14 -14.0 -100% $8.02 $802.25 $689.94
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 16 13.5 84% $6.90 $689.94 $783.05
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 3 2.4 79% $7.83 $783.05 $801.54
6th Oct UFC 229 12 -3.6 -30% $8.02 $801.54 $772.33
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 4 5.6 139% $7.72 $772.33 $815.28
3rd Nov UFC 230 3.5 -3.5 -100% $8.15 $815.28 $786.74
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 5 2.5 50% $7.87 $786.74 $806.41
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 2.5 -2.5 -100% $8.06 $806.41 $786.25
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 2.5 -2.5 -100% $7.86 $786.25 $766.59
8th Dec UFC 231 10 5.9 59% $7.67 $766.59 $812.14
29th Dec UFC 232 8 0.7 8% $8.12 $812.14 $817.42
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 8.7 175% $8.17 $817.42 $888.74
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 2.5 3.9 155% $8.89 $888.74 $923.18
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 2.5 2.6 105% $9.23 $923.18 $947.42
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 4 -4.0 -100% $9.47 $947.42 $909.52
13th Apr UFC 236 8 -8.0 -100% $9.10 $909.52 $836.76
11th May UFC 237 3.5 -3.5 -100% $8.37 $836.76 $807.47
8th Jun UFC 238 7 -7.0 -100% $8.07 $807.47 $750.95
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 2.5 4.7 186% $7.51 $750.95 $785.87
6th Jul UFC 239 16.5 10.1 61% $7.86 $785.87 $865.15
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 3 4.9 163% $8.65 $865.15 $907.45
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 2.5 2.1 83% $9.07 $907.45 $926.36
27th Jul UFC 240 2 0.6 32% $9.26 $926.36 $932.33
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 4 -4.0 -100% $9.32 $932.33 $895.04
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 0.5 -0.5 -100% $8.95 $895.04 $890.56
17th Aug UFC 241 4 -4.0 -100% $8.91 $890.56 $854.94
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 4.5 -4.5 -100% $8.55 $854.94 $816.47


ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Best Guestimates: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Max Holloway Frankie Edgar 1.32 2 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Leon Edwards Rafael dos Anjos 1.83 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.63 3 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Jorge Masvidal Ben Askren 2.89 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:5) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Amanda Nunes Holly Holm 1.38 3 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Chan Sung Jung Renato Moicano 2.86 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Michael Chiesa Diego Sanchez 1.38 11 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Paul Felder James Vick 2.05 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '19 Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez 2.69 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '19 Henry Cejudo T.J. Dillashaw 2.80 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:32) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Jose Aldo Renato Moicano 2.55 2.5 TKO, R2 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Amanda Nunes Cristiane Justino 3.46 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:51) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 2.10 3 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Donald Cerrone Mike Perry 3.00 2.5 Sub, R1 (4:46) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Valentina Shevchenko Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1.38 7 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 Michael Johnson Andre Fili 1.79 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Anthony Smith Volkan Oezdemir 2.39 4 Sub, R3 (4:26) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Khabib Nurmagomedov Conor McGregor 1.67 5 Sub, R4 (3:2) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '18 Jose Aldo Jeremy Stephens 1.88 11 TKO, R1 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '18 Dustin Poirier Eddie Alvarez 1.77 5 TKO, R2 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '19 Donald Cerrone Justin Gaethje 3.01 4.5 TKO, R1 (4:18) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '19 Mike Perry Vicente Luque 3.10 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Clay Guida Jim Miller 2.69 1.5 Sub, R1 (0:58) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Robbie Lawler Colby Covington 3.18 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Anthony Pettis Nate Diaz 1.83 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Alexa Grasso 2.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Ricardo Lamas Calvin Kattar 2.45 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Donald Cerrone Tony Ferguson 2.55 1.5 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.85 2.5 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Kelvin Gastelum Israel Adesanya 2.69 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '19 Max Holloway Dustin Poirier 1.53 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Stephen Thompson Anthony Pettis 1.29 4 TKO, R2 (4:55) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '19 Max Holloway Dustin Poirier 1.43 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.35 1 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.65 2.5 TKO, R2 (2:58) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Carlos Condit Michael Chiesa 2.50 2.5 Sub, R2 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Neil Magny Santiago Ponzinibbio 3.30 2.5 TKO, R4 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Mark Hunt Justin Willis 1.77 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Raquel Pennington Germaine de Randamie 2.70 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Alexander Gustafsson Jon Jones 3.35 3 TKO, R3 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Best Guestimates: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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