| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: Best Guestimates |
|
|
Best Guestimates: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 101 (50%)
Losing Events: 101 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.18 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.50 units
Best Event: 24.21 units
Worst Event: -16.00 units
Average Event: 0.22 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 25.81
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -22.50 |
Best Guestimates: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
135.93 |
14.8 |
11% |
9.7 / 104.05 (9%) |
|
1.0 / 3.15 (31%) |
23 / 18 (56%) |
0.36 |
| 2022 |
119.64 |
1.4 |
1% |
-0.3 / 115.89 (-0%) |
|
1.7 / 3.75 (44%) |
16 / 20 (44%) |
0.04 |
| 2021 |
124.05 |
41.4 |
33% |
43.6 / 119.95 (36%) |
|
-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) |
19 / 14 (58%) |
1.25 |
| 2020 |
118.35 |
-5.0 |
-4% |
-5.0 / 118.35 (-4%) |
|
|
10 / 17 (37%) |
-0.18 |
| 2019 |
94.09 |
4.5 |
5% |
6.0 / 92.59 (6%) |
|
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
12 / 12 (50%) |
0.19 |
| 2018 |
165 |
7.8 |
5% |
7.8 / 165 (5%) |
|
|
12 / 11 (52%) |
0.34 |
| 2017 |
87 |
-19.9 |
-23% |
-19.9 / 87 (-23%) |
|
|
9 / 9 (50%) |
-1.10 |
|
Best Guestimates: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Best Guestimates: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
844.06 |
45.0 |
5% |
42.0 / 802.83 (5%) |
3.5 / 31.23 (11%) |
-0.5 / 10 (-5%) |
|
Best Guestimates: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
49 (6%) |
37 |
76 % |
130.20 |
-10.13 |
-0.21 |
-8% |
| Slight Favorites |
188 (24%) |
110 |
59 % |
206.47 |
27.15 |
0.14 |
13% |
| Slight Underdogs |
399 (51%) |
191 |
48 % |
339.77 |
32.90 |
0.08 |
10% |
| Big Underdogs |
141 (18%) |
40 |
28 % |
126.39 |
-7.92 |
-0.06 |
-6% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
264 (34%) |
106 |
40 % |
312.70 |
-39.29 |
-0.15 |
-13% |
| Co-Main Event |
154 (20%) |
71 |
46 % |
189.26 |
40.98 |
0.27 |
22% |
| Position 3-5 |
201 (26%) |
95 |
47 % |
192.79 |
11.94 |
0.06 |
6% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
158 (20%) |
106 |
67 % |
108.08 |
28.37 |
0.18 |
26% |
|
Best Guestimates: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
71 (9%) |
25 |
35 % |
81.25 |
-18.66 |
-0.26 |
-23% |
| Light Heavy |
74 (10%) |
35 |
47 % |
59.02 |
14.32 |
0.19 |
24% |
| Middleweight |
68 (9%) |
27 |
40 % |
74.47 |
-20.19 |
-0.30 |
-27% |
| Welterweight |
103 (13%) |
45 |
44 % |
137.19 |
4.72 |
0.05 |
3% |
| Lightweight |
112 (14%) |
59 |
53 % |
113.83 |
7.18 |
0.06 |
6% |
| Featherweight |
46 (6%) |
31 |
67 % |
68.94 |
35.66 |
0.78 |
52% |
| Bantamweight |
65 (8%) |
31 |
48 % |
53.44 |
-9.55 |
-0.15 |
-18% |
| Flyweight |
35 (5%) |
24 |
69 % |
24.39 |
15.83 |
0.45 |
65% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
203 (26%) |
101 |
50 % |
190.30 |
12.69 |
0.06 |
7% |
| Featherweight |
10 (1%) |
9 |
90 % |
12.01 |
10.00 |
1.00 |
83% |
| Bantamweight |
35 (5%) |
12 |
34 % |
46.30 |
-9.23 |
-0.26 |
-20% |
| Flyweight |
87 (11%) |
35 |
40 % |
64.05 |
4.95 |
0.06 |
8% |
| Strawweight |
71 (9%) |
45 |
63 % |
67.94 |
6.96 |
0.10 |
10% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
20 (80%) |
16 |
80 % |
| Slight Favorites |
5 (20%) |
1 |
20 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
25 |
17 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
| 50-65% |
8 (14%) |
5 |
63 % |
| 35-50% |
17 (29%) |
11 |
65 % |
| <35% chance |
32 (55%) |
5 |
16 % |
|
58 |
22 |
38 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Best Guestimates's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 209 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$975.00 |
| 18th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson |
7.5 |
-0.8 |
-10% |
|
$9.75 |
$975.00 |
$967.55 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.68 |
$967.55 |
$943.36 |
| 22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov |
2.5 |
2.6 |
103% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.36 |
$967.65 |
| 13th May |
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos |
5 |
3.6 |
73% |
|
$9.68 |
$967.65 |
$1,002.79 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway |
2.5 |
2.1 |
84% |
|
$10.03 |
$1,002.79 |
$1,023.86 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis |
2.5 |
2.8 |
110% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.86 |
$1,052.02 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 111 |
5 |
1.5 |
30% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,052.02 |
$1,067.72 |
| 25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 112 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,067.72 |
$1,041.03 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 213 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
43% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,041.03 |
$1,052.34 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 214 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,052.34 |
$1,026.03 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 215 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,026.03 |
$974.73 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.75 |
$974.73 |
$950.36 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.50 |
$950.36 |
$879.09 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
11 |
4.0 |
36% |
|
$8.79 |
$879.09 |
$914.00 |
| 25th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
5 |
2.6 |
53% |
|
$9.14 |
$914.00 |
$938.18 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
2.5 |
1.6 |
65% |
|
$9.38 |
$938.18 |
$953.51 |
| 31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
16 |
-16.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.54 |
$953.51 |
$800.94 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
2.5 |
4.1 |
165% |
|
$8.01 |
$800.94 |
$833.98 |
| 27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.34 |
$833.98 |
$708.89 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$7.09 |
$708.89 |
$691.16 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
11 |
8.1 |
74% |
|
$6.91 |
$691.16 |
$747.48 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC on Fox 28 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.47 |
$747.48 |
$695.16 |
| 3rd Mar |
UFC 222 |
3 |
8.6 |
285% |
|
$6.95 |
$695.16 |
$754.59 |
| 17th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.55 |
$754.59 |
$709.32 |
| 7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
2.5 |
4.7 |
190% |
|
$7.09 |
$709.32 |
$743.01 |
| 14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
16 |
10.7 |
67% |
|
$7.43 |
$743.01 |
$822.44 |
| 21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
13.5 |
3.1 |
23% |
|
$8.22 |
$822.44 |
$848.27 |
| 12th May |
UFC 224 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.48 |
$848.27 |
$822.82 |
| 9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.23 |
$822.82 |
$802.25 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
14 |
-14.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.02 |
$802.25 |
$689.94 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
16 |
13.5 |
84% |
|
$6.90 |
$689.94 |
$783.05 |
| 25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
3 |
2.4 |
79% |
|
$7.83 |
$783.05 |
$801.54 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
12 |
-3.6 |
-30% |
|
$8.02 |
$801.54 |
$772.33 |
| 27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
4 |
5.6 |
139% |
|
$7.72 |
$772.33 |
$815.28 |
| 3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.15 |
$815.28 |
$786.74 |
| 10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
|
$7.87 |
$786.74 |
$806.41 |
| 17th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.06 |
$806.41 |
$786.25 |
| 1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$7.86 |
$786.25 |
$766.59 |
| 8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
10 |
5.9 |
59% |
|
$7.67 |
$766.59 |
$812.14 |
| 29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
8 |
0.7 |
8% |
|
$8.12 |
$812.14 |
$817.42 |
| 19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
5 |
8.7 |
175% |
|
$8.17 |
$817.42 |
$888.74 |
| 2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
155% |
|
$8.89 |
$888.74 |
$923.18 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
105% |
|
$9.23 |
$923.18 |
$947.42 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.47 |
$947.42 |
$909.52 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.10 |
$909.52 |
$836.76 |
| 11th May |
UFC 237 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.37 |
$836.76 |
$807.47 |
| 8th Jun |
UFC 238 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.07 |
$807.47 |
$750.95 |
| 22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 154 |
2.5 |
4.7 |
186% |
|
$7.51 |
$750.95 |
$785.87 |
| 6th Jul |
UFC 239 |
16.5 |
10.1 |
61% |
|
$7.86 |
$785.87 |
$865.15 |
| 13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
3 |
4.9 |
163% |
|
$8.65 |
$865.15 |
$907.45 |
| 20th Jul |
UFC on ESPN 4 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
83% |
|
$9.07 |
$907.45 |
$926.36 |
| 27th Jul |
UFC 240 |
2 |
0.6 |
32% |
|
$9.26 |
$926.36 |
$932.33 |
| 3rd Aug |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.32 |
$932.33 |
$895.04 |
| 10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 156 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.95 |
$895.04 |
$890.56 |
| 17th Aug |
UFC 241 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.91 |
$890.56 |
$854.94 |
| 14th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 158 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.55 |
$854.94 |
$816.47 |
| 5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
6.59 |
-3.4 |
-51% |
|
$8.16 |
$816.47 |
$788.82 |
| 12th Oct |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.89 |
$788.82 |
$780.93 |
| 18th Oct |
UFC ESPN 6 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
105% |
|
$7.81 |
$780.93 |
$817.83 |
| 2nd Nov |
UFC 244 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
83% |
|
$8.18 |
$817.83 |
$834.87 |
| 9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 163 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.35 |
$834.87 |
$818.17 |
| 7th Dec |
UFC on ESPN 7 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.18 |
$818.17 |
$797.71 |
| 15th Dec |
UFC 245 |
1 |
1.7 |
175% |
|
$7.98 |
$797.71 |
$811.67 |
| 21st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 165 |
2 |
2.8 |
138% |
|
$8.12 |
$811.67 |
$834.08 |
| 18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
6.5 |
-1.2 |
-18% |
|
$8.34 |
$834.08 |
$824.43 |
| 25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
6.25 |
4.7 |
75% |
|
$8.24 |
$824.43 |
$863.14 |
| 9th Feb |
UFC 247 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.63 |
$863.14 |
$854.51 |
| 22nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 168 |
4 |
3.0 |
75% |
|
$8.55 |
$854.51 |
$880.20 |
| 8th Mar |
UFC 248 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.80 |
$880.20 |
$827.39 |
| 14th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
138% |
|
$8.27 |
$827.39 |
$844.51 |
| 10th May |
UFC 249 |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.45 |
$844.51 |
$781.17 |
| 14th May |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.81 |
$781.17 |
$773.36 |
| 6th Jun |
UFC 250 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.73 |
$773.36 |
$765.63 |
| 20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
76% |
|
$7.66 |
$765.63 |
$780.13 |
| 27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
11.4 |
-11.4 |
-100% |
|
$7.80 |
$780.13 |
$691.19 |
| 11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
8.5 |
-3.8 |
-44% |
|
$6.91 |
$691.19 |
$665.14 |
| 25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
1.5 |
-0.2 |
-12% |
|
$6.65 |
$665.14 |
$663.98 |
| 8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$6.64 |
$663.98 |
$657.34 |
| 15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
5.25 |
9.8 |
187% |
|
$6.57 |
$657.34 |
$721.85 |
| 29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$7.22 |
$721.85 |
$689.36 |
| 12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
128% |
|
$6.89 |
$689.36 |
$702.60 |
| 19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
5.6 |
-0.9 |
-15% |
|
$7.03 |
$702.60 |
$696.50 |
| 4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
2.5 |
2.5 |
100% |
|
$6.97 |
$696.50 |
$713.92 |
| 10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
5.5 |
-5.5 |
-100% |
|
$7.14 |
$713.92 |
$674.65 |
| 17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$6.75 |
$674.65 |
$657.78 |
| 24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$6.58 |
$657.78 |
$654.50 |
| 14th Nov |
UFC Vegas 14 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$6.54 |
$654.50 |
$621.77 |
| 21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
14.5 |
24.2 |
167% |
|
$6.22 |
$621.77 |
$772.30 |
| 29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
2 |
1.6 |
80% |
|
$7.72 |
$772.30 |
$784.66 |
| 6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
4.1 |
-4.1 |
-100% |
|
$7.85 |
$784.66 |
$752.49 |
| 13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
5.25 |
0.3 |
6% |
|
$7.52 |
$752.49 |
$754.76 |
| 16th Jan |
UFC FN |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$7.55 |
$754.76 |
$743.44 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
9 |
3.3 |
36% |
|
$7.43 |
$743.44 |
$767.81 |
| 24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
42% |
|
$7.68 |
$767.81 |
$775.91 |
| 6th Feb |
UFC FN |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.76 |
$775.91 |
$768.15 |
| 13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
2.75 |
2.3 |
82% |
|
$7.68 |
$768.15 |
$785.52 |
| 6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
5.45 |
5.7 |
105% |
|
$7.86 |
$785.52 |
$830.54 |
| 28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$8.31 |
$830.54 |
$828.46 |
| 10th Apr |
UFC FN |
5 |
0.6 |
12% |
|
$8.28 |
$828.46 |
$833.23 |
| 24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
7.85 |
10.7 |
137% |
|
$8.33 |
$833.23 |
$922.59 |
| 8th May |
UFC FN |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.23 |
$922.59 |
$913.36 |
| 15th May |
UFC 262 |
4 |
3.1 |
78% |
|
$9.13 |
$913.36 |
$941.74 |
| 22nd May |
UFC FN |
0.35 |
-0.4 |
-100% |
|
$9.42 |
$941.74 |
$938.45 |
| 5th Jun |
UFC FN |
1.74 |
1.5 |
86% |
|
$9.38 |
$938.45 |
$952.43 |
| 12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
1.5 |
3.4 |
223% |
|
$9.52 |
$952.43 |
$984.33 |
| 19th Jun |
UFC FN |
2 |
2.6 |
131% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.33 |
$1,010.07 |
| 26th Jun |
UFC FN |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.07 |
$974.72 |
| 10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
7.49 |
5.1 |
69% |
|
$9.75 |
$974.72 |
$1,024.87 |
| 17th Jul |
UFC FN |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,024.87 |
$1,022.30 |
| 24th Jul |
UFC FN |
5.34 |
-3.5 |
-65% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,022.30 |
$986.88 |
| 7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
7.75 |
1.6 |
21% |
|
$9.87 |
$986.88 |
$1,003.06 |
| 21st Aug |
UFC FN |
5.37 |
-3.0 |
-56% |
|
$10.03 |
$1,003.06 |
$972.97 |
| 18th Sep |
UFC FN |
3 |
2.8 |
93% |
|
$9.73 |
$972.97 |
$1,000.10 |
| 25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
4.25 |
-0.8 |
-19% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.10 |
$992.18 |
| 2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.92 |
$992.18 |
$962.41 |
| 16th Oct |
UFC FN |
1 |
1.4 |
138% |
|
$9.62 |
$962.41 |
$975.70 |
| 23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
4.72 |
1.6 |
33% |
|
$9.76 |
$975.70 |
$991.11 |
| 30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
7.81 |
-3.3 |
-42% |
|
$9.91 |
$991.11 |
$958.85 |
| 6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
10.1 |
8.2 |
81% |
|
$9.59 |
$958.85 |
$1,037.15 |
| 13th Nov |
UFC FN |
3.25 |
3.5 |
108% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,037.15 |
$1,073.58 |
| 20th Nov |
UFC FN |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.74 |
$1,073.58 |
$1,046.74 |
| 4th Dec |
UFC FN |
0.6 |
-0.0 |
-6% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,046.74 |
$1,046.35 |
| 11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
5.23 |
4.4 |
85% |
|
$10.46 |
$1,046.35 |
$1,092.84 |
| 18th Dec |
UFC FN |
3 |
2.5 |
82% |
|
$10.93 |
$1,092.84 |
$1,119.64 |
| 15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
5.01 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.20 |
$1,119.64 |
$1,063.55 |
| 22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
5.75 |
-5.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,063.55 |
$1,002.39 |
| 5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
0.9 |
-0.9 |
-100% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,002.39 |
$993.37 |
| 12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
4.51 |
3.8 |
84% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.37 |
$1,031.16 |
| 19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
0.6 |
-0.6 |
-100% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.16 |
$1,024.97 |
| 26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
1.5 |
1.6 |
108% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,024.97 |
$1,041.65 |
| 5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
3.15 |
-3.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,041.65 |
$1,008.83 |
| 12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
2.45 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.09 |
$1,008.83 |
$984.12 |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
4.5 |
4.9 |
109% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.12 |
$1,032.54 |
| 26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
2 |
-0.0 |
-1% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,032.54 |
$1,032.42 |
| 9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
126% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,032.42 |
$1,051.88 |
| 16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
2.88 |
-0.6 |
-22% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,051.88 |
$1,045.28 |
| 23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
5.24 |
-4.8 |
-92% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,045.28 |
$994.72 |
| 7th May |
UFC 274 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
89% |
|
$9.95 |
$994.72 |
$1,016.77 |
| 14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
4.1 |
0.5 |
13% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,016.77 |
$1,022.28 |
| 21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
2.5 |
-1.5 |
-60% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,022.28 |
$1,006.95 |
| 4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
3.33 |
-3.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,006.95 |
$973.42 |
| 11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
1.26 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$9.73 |
$973.42 |
$961.15 |
| 2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
4 |
0.4 |
10% |
|
$9.61 |
$961.15 |
$964.99 |
| 9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
3 |
2.1 |
71% |
|
$9.65 |
$964.99 |
$985.47 |
| 16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
2.5 |
0.8 |
34% |
|
$9.85 |
$985.47 |
$993.77 |
| 23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
5.6 |
3.0 |
54% |
|
$9.94 |
$993.77 |
$1,023.65 |
| 30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
4.5 |
-2.9 |
-65% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.65 |
$993.88 |
| 6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
1.35 |
-1.4 |
-100% |
|
$9.94 |
$993.88 |
$980.46 |
| 20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
5.75 |
-5.8 |
-100% |
|
$9.80 |
$980.46 |
$924.08 |
| 3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
3.5 |
4.1 |
116% |
|
$9.24 |
$924.08 |
$961.60 |
| 10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
7 |
12.2 |
175% |
|
$9.62 |
$961.60 |
$1,079.11 |
| 1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
2.35 |
3.7 |
157% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,079.11 |
$1,118.98 |
| 15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
3.16 |
-0.5 |
-14% |
|
$11.19 |
$1,118.98 |
$1,113.86 |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
9.75 |
-2.6 |
-27% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,113.86 |
$1,085.00 |
| 5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,085.00 |
$1,068.72 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
0.75 |
1.5 |
200% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.72 |
$1,084.75 |
| 19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
2.25 |
3.6 |
159% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.75 |
$1,123.56 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
1.25 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$11.24 |
$1,123.56 |
$1,109.51 |
| 10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
3.75 |
-3.8 |
-100% |
|
$11.10 |
$1,109.51 |
$1,067.91 |
| 17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
4 |
4.0 |
99% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,067.91 |
$1,110.20 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.10 |
$1,110.20 |
$1,099.10 |
| 21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
4.68 |
0.3 |
6% |
|
$10.99 |
$1,099.10 |
$1,102.35 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
1.25 |
2.2 |
174% |
|
$11.02 |
$1,102.35 |
$1,126.33 |
| 11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
0.4 |
-0.4 |
-100% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,126.33 |
$1,121.82 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
3.15 |
-3.2 |
-100% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.82 |
$1,086.49 |
| 25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
1 |
0.7 |
67% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,086.49 |
$1,093.80 |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
8.16 |
-7.1 |
-87% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,093.80 |
$1,015.85 |
| 11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
0.75 |
2.5 |
330% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,015.85 |
$1,040.99 |
| 18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
3.2 |
5.4 |
169% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.99 |
$1,097.29 |
| 25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
1.93 |
1.1 |
55% |
|
$10.97 |
$1,097.29 |
$1,108.89 |
| 8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
4.85 |
1.9 |
39% |
|
$11.09 |
$1,108.89 |
$1,129.82 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
3 |
4.3 |
144% |
|
$11.30 |
$1,129.82 |
$1,178.76 |
| 22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
3.76 |
4.3 |
115% |
|
$11.79 |
$1,178.76 |
$1,229.60 |
| 29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
0.1 |
0.1 |
110% |
|
$12.30 |
$1,229.60 |
$1,230.95 |
| 6th May |
UFC 288 |
2.25 |
2.6 |
115% |
|
$12.31 |
$1,230.95 |
$1,262.69 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
4.35 |
-3.3 |
-75% |
|
$12.63 |
$1,262.69 |
$1,221.34 |
| 20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
1.25 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$12.21 |
$1,221.34 |
$1,206.07 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
3.66 |
-1.0 |
-28% |
|
$12.06 |
$1,206.07 |
$1,193.93 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
64% |
|
$11.94 |
$1,193.93 |
$1,228.43 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
2.5 |
2.4 |
94% |
|
$12.28 |
$1,228.43 |
$1,257.33 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
1.69 |
-1.7 |
-100% |
|
$12.57 |
$1,257.33 |
$1,236.08 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
5.05 |
4.5 |
89% |
|
$12.36 |
$1,236.08 |
$1,291.57 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
2.7 |
-2.7 |
-100% |
|
$12.92 |
$1,291.57 |
$1,256.70 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
3.75 |
0.8 |
21% |
|
$12.57 |
$1,256.70 |
$1,266.52 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
1.1 |
0.7 |
61% |
|
$12.67 |
$1,266.52 |
$1,275.04 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
8.93 |
1.2 |
13% |
|
$12.75 |
$1,275.04 |
$1,289.89 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
3.55 |
2.8 |
79% |
|
$12.90 |
$1,289.89 |
$1,325.93 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
5.25 |
2.8 |
54% |
|
$13.26 |
$1,325.93 |
$1,363.44 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
2.16 |
-1.1 |
-52% |
|
$13.63 |
$1,363.44 |
$1,348.16 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
5.67 |
-2.8 |
-50% |
|
$13.48 |
$1,348.16 |
$1,309.95 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
3.61 |
-1.3 |
-37% |
|
$13.10 |
$1,309.95 |
$1,292.38 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
2.5 |
-1.7 |
-68% |
|
$12.92 |
$1,292.38 |
$1,270.52 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
6.39 |
-4.4 |
-69% |
|
$12.71 |
$1,270.52 |
$1,214.43 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
1.75 |
2.3 |
131% |
|
$12.14 |
$1,214.43 |
$1,242.24 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
5.7 |
4.9 |
85% |
|
$12.42 |
$1,242.24 |
$1,302.65 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
1.75 |
-0.9 |
-49% |
|
$13.03 |
$1,302.65 |
$1,291.38 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
2.65 |
1.4 |
55% |
|
$12.91 |
$1,291.38 |
$1,310.07 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
2.89 |
3.5 |
122% |
|
$13.10 |
$1,310.07 |
$1,356.29 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
2.9 |
-1.0 |
-35% |
|
$13.56 |
$1,356.29 |
$1,342.40 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
1.9 |
-1.9 |
-100% |
|
$13.42 |
$1,342.40 |
$1,316.90 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
8.3 |
-3.9 |
-46% |
|
$13.17 |
$1,316.90 |
$1,266.20 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 26.62% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Best Guestimates: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.14 |
0.75 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Dec '23 |
Bobby Green |
Jalin Turner |
2.80 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.05 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.60 |
0.15 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Dec '23 |
Jamey Lyn-Horth |
Veronica Macedo |
1.96 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.20 |
0.1 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.40 |
0.1 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.20 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.10 |
0.26 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.14 |
0.24 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.87 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Nov '23 |
Paul Craig |
Brendan Allen |
4.50 |
0.4 |
Sub, R3 (0:38) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Nov '23 |
Lucie Pudilova |
Ailin Perez |
2.65 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.10 |
0.25 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.42 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.30 |
0.4 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.25 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.25 |
0.26 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.30 |
0.15 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Oct '23 |
Kamaru Usman |
Khamzat Chimaev |
3.60 |
0.15 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Best Guestimates: Progress Chart |
|
|
|
|
