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MMA Handicapper Profile: SaucyPicksMMA

228 followers

SaucyPicksMMA (SaucyPicksMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - SaucyPicksMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 218 (49%) Right 173 (50%) Right 29 (45%) Right 16 (46%)
Wrong 224 (51%) Wrong 170 (50%) Wrong 35 (55%) Wrong 19 (54%)
Avg Odds 2.15 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 2.48 Avg Odds 2.71
Units Bet 874.5 Units Bet 693.5 Units Bet 106.0 Units Bet 75.0
Avg Bet 1.98 Avg Bet 2.02 Avg Bet 1.66 Avg Bet 2.14
Units Profit 66.52 Units Profit 36.46 Units Profit 9.34 Units Profit 20.71
ROI % 8% ROI % 5% ROI % 9% ROI % 28%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 16 (5%) 10 63 % 40.50 -3.48 -0.22 -9%
Slight Favorites 160 (46%) 96 60 % 346.00 16.06 0.10 5%
Slight Underdogs 125 (36%) 57 46 % 232.50 20.96 0.17 9%
Big Underdogs 48 (14%) 14 29 % 74.50 2.93 0.06 4%
 

Progress Chart

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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Hello everyone, My name is Frank and I'm a handicapper from Buffalo, New York.

My Process:
All of my fight picks are based on the tape. With every upcoming event I rewatch every fighter competing's past fights (as best i can find them) and then I independently handicap the fight based on what the tape shows. Next I compare the handicapped odds I've given to each upcoming fight to the actual Vegas odds. If I find a ~10% or more differential in a fighters implied odds of victory, it then becomes a bet.

My Philosophy on betting:
Betting in my eyes is solely about gaining a % edge on the bookies. The larger the margin, the more I am willing to bet. If you can continuously place your money in a strong position over time, the results will take care of themselves.

My Promise to those who follow:
When I place a bet here, just know that every single time it is not based on hazy memories of past fights that can easily be remembered incorrectly. I review tape and all external factors heading into fight week THOROUGHLY. I'm not following my heart due to liking/disliking a fighter as there is absolutely no room for a heart in gambling. Also I head into each weeks fight research sessions with an open mind to all possibilities. Finding a % implied win probability gap between what the tape shows, and the vegas odds is what mma betting is about.
 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by SaucyPicksMMA

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC 306, Las Vegas, Nevada, 14th Sep '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sean O'Malley Merab Dvalishvili L 1.98 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.98 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Sep '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Kyle Nelson Steve Garcia L 2.54 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.54 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC 305, Perth, 17th Aug '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dricus Du Plessis Israel Adesanya W 2.05 2 2.10 $21.00 105% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.05 2.00 2.10 $21.00 105%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 2.10 $21.00 105%  

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov, Abu Dhabi, 3rd Aug '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Marlon Vera Deiveson Figueiredo L 2.20 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.20 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC 304, Manchester, 27th Jul '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Belal Muhammad Leon Edwards W 3.25 2 4.50 $45.00 225% Bet Info
Bobby Green Paddy Pimblett L 1.89 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Gregory Rodrigues Christian Duncan W 2.10 2 2.20 $22.00 110% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.29 6.00 4.70 $47.00 78%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 4.70 $47.00 78%  

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba, Las Vegas, Nevada, 20th Jul '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Kaynan Kruschewsky Kurt Holobaugh L 1.74 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Bruno Silva Cody Durden W 1.95 2 1.90 $19.05 95% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.84 4.00 -0.10 $-0.95 -2%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Miranda Maverick vs Dione Barbosa Maverick wins inside distance L 4.75
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -1.10 $-10.95 -22%  

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez, Denver, Colorado, 13th Jul '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Montel Jackson DaMon Blackshear W 1.70 2 1.41 $14.08 70% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.70 2.00 1.41 $14.08 70%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Montel Jackson vs DaMon Blackshear Jackson (scorecards = no action) W 1.87
  1 0.87 $8.70 87% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 0.87 $8.70 87%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 2.28 $22.78 76%  

UFC 303, Las Vegas, Nevada, 29th Jun '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gillian Robertson Michelle Waterson W 1.54 2 1.08 $10.81 54% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.54 2.00 1.08 $10.81 54%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 1.08 $10.81 54%  

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov, Riyadh, 22nd Jun '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alexander Volkov Sergey Pavlovich W 3.01 2 4.02 $40.20 201% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.01 2.00 4.02 $40.20 201%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 4.02 $40.20 201%  

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov, Louisville, Kentucky, 8th Jun '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dominick Reyes Dustin Jacoby W 2.76 2 3.52 $35.20 176% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.76 2.00 3.52 $35.20 176%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 3.52 $35.20 176%  

UFC 302, Newark, New Jersey, 1st Jun '24

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jailton Junior vs Alexander Romanov Junior wins inside distance W 1.91
  2 1.82 $18.18 91% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier Makhachev wins by submission W 1.95
  2 1.90 $19.05 95% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Randy Brown vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Brown wins inside distance L 3.00
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.00 1.72 $17.23 29%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 1.72 $17.23 29%  

UFC 301, Rio de Janeiro, 4th May '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Steve Erceg Alexandre Pantoja L 2.60 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jose Aldo Jonathan Martinez W 2.20 2 2.40 $24.00 120% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.38 4.00 0.40 $4.00 10%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 0.40 $4.00 10%  

UFC 300, Las Vegas, Nevada, 13th Apr '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Max Holloway Justin Gaethje W 2.68 2 3.36 $33.60 168% Bet Info
Arman Tsarukyan Charles Oliveira W 1.50 2 1.00 $10.00 50% Bet Info
Calvin Kattar Aljamain Sterling L 2.46 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jessica Andrade Marina Alcalde Rodriguez W 1.76 2 1.52 $15.15 76% Bet Info
Cody Garbrandt Deiveson Figueiredo L 3.70 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.19 10.00 1.88 $18.75 19%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill Under 2.5 rounds W 1.80
  2 1.60 $16.00 80% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Bo Nickal vs Cody Brundage Nickal wins by TKO/KO L 2.50
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 0.60 $6.00 20%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.00 2.48 $24.75 19%  

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II, Las Vegas, Nevada, 6th Apr '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Trevor Peek Charlie Campbell L 2.50 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.50 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC 299, Miami, Florida, 9th Mar '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley L 3.10 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Kevin Holland Michael Page L 1.81 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes L 1.91 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.15 6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval, Mexico City, 24th Feb '24

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Sam Hughes vs Yazmin Jauregui Jauregui wins inside distance L 2.65
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC 298, Anaheim, 17th Feb '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Paulo Costa Robert Whittaker L 3.15 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Merab Dvalishvili Henry Cejudo W 1.55 2 1.10 $11.05 55% Bet Info
Mackenzie Dern Amanda Lemos L 2.20 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.12 6.00 -2.90 $-28.95 -48%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -2.90 $-28.95 -48%  

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer, Las Vegas, Nevada, 10th Feb '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dan Ige Andre Fili W 1.61 2 1.23 $12.27 61% Bet Info
Robert Bryczek Ihor Potieria L 1.64 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Rodolfo Vieira Armen Petrosyan W 1.87 3 2.61 $26.09 87% Bet Info
Max Griffin Jeremiah Wells W 2.42 2 2.84 $28.40 142% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.84 9.00 4.68 $46.76 52%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Jeremiah Wells vs Max Griffin Fight goes to decision W 2.10
  1 1.10 $11.00 110% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 1.10 $11.00 110%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 5.78 $57.76 58%  

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov, Las Vegas, Nevada, 3rd Feb '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Renato Moicano Drew Dober W 1.70 2 1.41 $14.08 70% Bet Info
Blake Bilder Jung Young Lee L 2.20 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.92 4.00 -0.59 $-5.92 -15%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -0.59 $-5.92 -15%  

UFC 297, Toronto, Ontario, 20th Jan '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sean Strickland Dricus Du Plessis L 1.74 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Mayra Bueno Silva Raquel Pennington L 1.60 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.67 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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