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MMA Handicapper Profile: SaucyPicksMMA

150 followers

SaucyPicksMMA (SaucyPicksMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - SaucyPicksMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 164 (49%) Right 130 (50%) Right 18 (44%) Right 16 (46%)
Wrong 170 (51%) Wrong 128 (50%) Wrong 23 (56%) Wrong 19 (54%)
Avg Odds 2.16 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 2.47 Avg Odds 2.71
Units Bet 665.0 Units Bet 520.5 Units Bet 69.5 Units Bet 75.0
Avg Bet 1.99 Avg Bet 2.02 Avg Bet 1.70 Avg Bet 2.14
Units Profit 54.60 Units Profit 26.93 Units Profit 6.96 Units Profit 20.71
ROI % 8% ROI % 5% ROI % 10% ROI % 28%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (4%) 5 50 % 27.00 -5.83 -0.58 -22%
Slight Favorites 124 (47%) 76 61 % 271.00 19.02 0.15 7%
Slight Underdogs 91 (35%) 42 46 % 166.00 16.72 0.18 10%
Big Underdogs 38 (14%) 11 29 % 56.50 -2.99 -0.08 -5%
 

Progress Chart

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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Hello everyone, My name is Frank and I'm a handicapper from Buffalo, New York.

My Process:
All of my fight picks are based on the tape. With every upcoming event I rewatch every fighter competing's past fights (as best i can find them) and then I independently handicap the fight based on what the tape shows. Next I compare the handicapped odds I've given to each upcoming fight to the actual Vegas odds. If I find a ~10% or more differential in a fighters implied odds of victory, it then becomes a bet.

My Philosophy on betting:
Betting in my eyes is solely about gaining a % edge on the bookies. The larger the margin, the more I am willing to bet. If you can continuously place your money in a strong position over time, the results will take care of themselves.

My Promise to those who follow:
When I place a bet here, just know that every single time it is not based on hazy memories of past fights that can easily be remembered incorrectly. I review tape and all external factors heading into fight week THOROUGHLY. I'm not following my heart due to liking/disliking a fighter as there is absolutely no room for a heart in gambling. Also I head into each weeks fight research sessions with an open mind to all possibilities. Finding a % implied win probability gap between what the tape shows, and the vegas odds is what mma betting is about.
 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by SaucyPicksMMA

UFC 282, Las Vegas, 10th Dec '22 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Dricus Du Plessis Darren Till 1.77 2 MMA Bookmaker
Chris Curtis Joaquin Buckley 2.35 2 MMA Bookmaker



SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba, Las Vegas, 19th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chase Sherman Waldo Cortes-Acosta L 2.55 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Vanessa Demopoulos Maria Oliveira W 2.00 2 2.00 $20.00 100% Bet Info
Brady Hiestand Fernando Garcia W 1.65 2 1.29 $12.90 65% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 6.00 1.29 $12.90 22%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 1.29 $12.90 22%  

UFC 281, New York, 12th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alex Pereira Israel Adesanya W 2.55 1 1.55 $15.50 155% Bet Info
Michael Chandler Dustin Poirier L 2.90 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles W 1.69 2 1.38 $13.79 69% Bet Info
Renato Moicano Brad Riddell W 1.83 2 1.67 $16.67 83% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.13 7.00 2.60 $25.96 37%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Israel Adesanya vs Alex Pereira Fight doesn't go the distance W 2.10
  3 3.30 $33.00 110% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 3.30 $33.00 110%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 5.90 $58.96 59%  

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos, Las Vegas, 5th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Nathan Maness Tagir Ulanbekov L 2.50 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Ramona Pascual Tamires Vidal L 2.20 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.34 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen, Las Vegas, 29th Oct '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Calvin Kattar Arnold Allen L 1.95 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.95 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC 280, Abu Dhabi, 22nd Oct '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Islam Makhachev Charles Oliveira W 1.61 2 1.22 $12.20 61% Bet Info
T.J. Dillashaw Aljamain Sterling L 2.45 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.94 4.00 -0.78 $-7.80 -20%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -0.78 $-7.80 -20%  

UFC 279, Las Vegas, 10th Sep '22

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jake Collier vs Chris Barnett Collier wins inside distance L 2.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Tony Ferguson vs Nate Diaz Fight doesn't go to decision W 1.83
  2 1.67 $16.67 83% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 0.67 $6.67 22%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 0.67 $6.67 22%  

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa, Paris, 3rd Sep '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Marvin Vettori Robert Whittaker L 2.95 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.95 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz, San Diego, 13th Aug '22

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi David Onama vs Nate Landwehr Onama wins inside distance L 1.83
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jason Witt vs Josh Quinlan Quinlan wins inside distance W 1.83
  2 1.67 $16.67 83% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Dominick Cruz vs Marlon Vera Vera wins inside distance W 3.15
  1 2.15 $21.50 215% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 1.82 $18.17 36%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 1.82 $18.17 36%  

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill, Las Vegas, 6th Aug '22

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Thiago Santos vs Jamahal Hill Hill wins by TKO/KO W 1.69
  2 1.38 $13.79 69% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 1.38 $13.79 69%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 1.38 $13.79 69%  

UFC 277, Dallas, 30th Jul '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Julianna Pena Amanda Nunes L 3.25 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Matt Semelsberger Alex Morono L 1.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.18 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall, London, 23rd Jul '22

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Paddy Pimblett vs Jordan Leavitt Pimblett wins by TKO/KO L 3.00
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez, Long Island, 16th Jul '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez L 1.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Dustin Jacoby Da Un Jung W 2.05 2 2.10 $21.00 105% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.83 4.00 0.10 $1.00 3%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 0.10 $1.00 3%  

UFC 276, Las Vegas, 2nd Jul '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski L 2.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jalin Turner Brad Riddell W 1.83 3 2.50 $25.00 83% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.17 5.00 0.50 $5.00 10%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 0.50 $5.00 10%  

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot, Las Vegas, 25th Jun '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Tafon Nchukwi Carlos Ulberg L 2.00 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett, Austin, 18th Jun '22

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Calvin Kattar vs Josh Emmett Fight doesn't go to decision L 2.00
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC 275, Kallang, 11th Jun '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Glover Teixeira Jiri Prochazka L 2.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang L 2.45 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jake Matthews Andre Fialho W 2.05 2 2.10 $21.00 105% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.36 6.00 -1.90 $-19.00 -32%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Glover Teixeira vs Jiri Prochazka Teixeira wins inside distance L 3.75
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.00 -2.90 $-29.00 -41%  

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik, Las Vegas, 4th Jun '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alexander Volkov Jairzinho Rozenstruik W 1.63 2 1.25 $12.50 63% Bet Info
Dan Ige Movsar Evloev L 4.10 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jeff Molina Zhalgas Zhumagulov W 1.63 2 1.25 $12.50 63% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.03 6.00 0.50 $5.00 8%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 0.50 $5.00 8%  

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira, Las Vegas, 21st May '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Omar Morales Uros Medic L 1.69 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.69 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Chidi Njokuani vs Dusko Todorovic Njokuani wins inside distance W 1.83
  2 1.67 $16.67 83% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Chase Hooper vs Felipe Colares Hooper wins inside distance W 4.80
  1 3.80 $38.00 380% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 5.47 $54.67 182%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 3.47 $34.67 69%  

UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić, Las Vegas, 14th May '22

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jake Hadley vs Allan Nascimento Nascimento wins by submission L 5.50
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Michael Johnson vs Alan Patrick Fight doesn't go to decision W 2.00
  2 2.00 $20.00 100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 1.00 $10.00 33%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 1.00 $10.00 33%  

UFC 274, Phoenix, 7th May '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Gaethje Charles Oliveira L 2.50 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Carla Esparza Rose Namajunas W 2.65 2 3.30 $33.00 165% Bet Info
Randy Brown Kalinn Williams W 2.00 2 2.00 $20.00 100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.35 5.00 4.30 $43.00 86%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje Gaethje wins by (T)KO round 1 L 7.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 3.30 $33.00 55%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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