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MMA Handicapper Profile: SaucyPicksMMA

203 followers

SaucyPicksMMA (SaucyPicksMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - SaucyPicksMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 193 (49%) Right 154 (51%) Right 23 (43%) Right 16 (46%)
Wrong 200 (51%) Wrong 150 (49%) Wrong 31 (57%) Wrong 19 (54%)
Avg Odds 2.15 Avg Odds 2.05 Avg Odds 2.51 Avg Odds 2.71
Units Bet 778.5 Units Bet 613.5 Units Bet 90.0 Units Bet 75.0
Avg Bet 1.98 Avg Bet 2.02 Avg Bet 1.67 Avg Bet 2.14
Units Profit 60.59 Units Profit 34.42 Units Profit 5.45 Units Profit 20.71
ROI % 8% ROI % 6% ROI % 6% ROI % 28%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 15 (5%) 9 60 % 38.50 -4.48 -0.30 -12%
Slight Favorites 143 (46%) 87 61 % 310.00 19.16 0.13 6%
Slight Underdogs 110 (35%) 50 45 % 202.50 17.34 0.16 9%
Big Underdogs 42 (14%) 12 29 % 62.50 2.41 0.06 4%
 

Progress Chart

Chart

 

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Hello everyone, My name is Frank and I'm a handicapper from Buffalo, New York.

My Process:
All of my fight picks are based on the tape. With every upcoming event I rewatch every fighter competing's past fights (as best i can find them) and then I independently handicap the fight based on what the tape shows. Next I compare the handicapped odds I've given to each upcoming fight to the actual Vegas odds. If I find a ~10% or more differential in a fighters implied odds of victory, it then becomes a bet.

My Philosophy on betting:
Betting in my eyes is solely about gaining a % edge on the bookies. The larger the margin, the more I am willing to bet. If you can continuously place your money in a strong position over time, the results will take care of themselves.

My Promise to those who follow:
When I place a bet here, just know that every single time it is not based on hazy memories of past fights that can easily be remembered incorrectly. I review tape and all external factors heading into fight week THOROUGHLY. I'm not following my heart due to liking/disliking a fighter as there is absolutely no room for a heart in gambling. Also I head into each weeks fight research sessions with an open mind to all possibilities. Finding a % implied win probability gap between what the tape shows, and the vegas odds is what mma betting is about.
 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by SaucyPicksMMA

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan, Austin, Texas, 2nd Dec '23 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Sean Brady Kelvin Gastelum 1.82 2 MMA Bookmaker


Props and Parlays     Unit Bet    
  Fight Pick Odds
PrPi Bobby Green vs Jalin Turner Turner wins inside distance 2.30
  2




SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig, Las Vegas, 18th Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chase Hooper Jordan Leavitt W 1.52 2 1.03 $10.31 52% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.52 2.00 1.03 $10.31 52%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 1.03 $10.31 52%  

UFC 295, New York, 11th Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alex Pereira Jiri Prochazka W 1.82 2 1.64 $16.39 82% Bet Info
Sergey Pavlovich Tom Aspinall L 1.91 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Nazim Sadykhov Viacheslav Borshchev D 1.68 2 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.80 6.00 -0.36 $-3.61 -6%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -0.36 $-3.61 -6%  

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida, Sao Paulo, 4th Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira Don'tale Mayes W 1.51 2 1.01 $10.10 51% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.51 2.00 1.01 $10.10 51%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 1.01 $10.10 51%  

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Joaquin Buckley Alex Morono W 1.57 2 1.14 $11.43 57% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.57 2.00 1.14 $11.43 57%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 1.14 $11.43 57%  

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot, Las Vegas, 23rd Sep '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rafael Fiziev Mateusz Gamrot L 1.74 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.74 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II, Las Vegas, 16th Sep '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Daniel Lacerda Edgar Chairez NC 3.15 2 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.15 2.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  

UFC 293, Sydney, 9th Sep '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sean Strickland Israel Adesanya W 5.70 2 9.40 $94.00 470% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   5.70 2.00 9.40 $94.00 470%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 9.40 $94.00 470%  

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac, Paris, 2nd Sep '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sergey Spivak Ciryl Gane L 2.52 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.52 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung, Singapore, 26th Aug '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Michal Oleksiejczuk Chidi Njokuani W 1.87 2 1.74 $17.39 87% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 2.00 1.74 $17.39 87%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Na Liang vs J.J. Aldrich Aldrich wins inside distance W 1.67
  2 1.33 $13.33 67% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Lukasz Brzeski Cortes-Acosta wins inside distance W 2.65
  2 3.30 $33.00 165% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.00 4.63 $46.33 116%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 6.37 $63.72 106%  

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos, Las Vegas, Nevada, 12th Aug '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chris Daukaus Khalil Rountree L 2.70 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Iasmin Lucindo Polyana Viana W 1.52 2.5 1.30 $13.02 52% Bet Info
J.P. Buys Marcus McGhee L 4.10 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.36 5.50 -1.70 $-16.98 -31%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Khalil Rountree vs Chris Daukaus Daukaus wins by submission L 15.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -2.20 $-21.98 -37%  

UFC 291, Salt Lake City, Utah, 29th Jul '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Gaethje Dustin Poirier W 2.30 2 2.60 $26.00 130% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.30 2.00 2.60 $26.00 130%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 2.60 $26.00 130%  

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva, Las Vegas, Nevada, 15th Jul '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Holly Holm Mayra Bueno Silva L 1.61 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Terrance McKinney Nazim Sadykhov L 2.35 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.91 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Istela Nunes vs Viktoriya Dudakova Nunes wins by TKO/KO L 5.50
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  

UFC 290, Las Vegas, Nevada, 8th Jul '23

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Brandon Moreno vs Alexandre Pantoja Moreno wins inside distance L 3.15
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov, Las Vegas, Nevada, 1st Jul '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sean Strickland Abusupiyan Magomedov W 1.65 2 1.29 $12.90 65% Bet Info
Damir Ismagulov Grant Dawson L 1.87 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Alexander Romanov Blagoy Ivanov W 1.83 2 1.67 $16.67 83% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.78 6.00 0.96 $9.57 16%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 0.96 $9.57 16%  

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria, Jacksonville, Florida, 24th Jun '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gillian Robertson Tabatha Ricci L 2.15 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.15 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier, Las Vegas, Nevada, 17th Jun '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ronnie Lawrence Dan Argueta NC 1.63 2 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.63 2.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  

UFC 289, Vancouver, 10th Jun '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Irene Aldana Amanda Nunes L 3.80 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.80 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi, Las Vegas, Nevada, 3rd Jun '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Amir Albazi Kai Kara-France W 1.80 3 2.40 $24.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.80 3.00 2.40 $24.00 80%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 2.40 $24.00 80%  

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern, Las Vegas, Nevada, 20th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Angela Hill Mackenzie Dern L 2.44 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Chase Hooper Nick Fiore W 2.12 2 2.24 $22.40 112% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.27 4.00 0.24 $2.40 6%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 0.24 $2.40 6%  

UFC 288, Newark, New Jersey, 6th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Belal Muhammad Gilbert Burns W 2.50 2 3.00 $30.00 150% Bet Info
Drew Dober Matt Frevola L 1.49 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Parker Porter Braxton Smith W 1.61 2 1.21 $12.12 61% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 7.00 1.21 $12.12 17%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Movsar Evloev vs Diego Lopes Evloev wins by submission L 5.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.50 0.71 $7.12 9%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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