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MMA Handicapper Profile: SaucyPicksMMA

71 followers

SaucyPicksMMA (SaucyPicksMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - SaucyPicksMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 100 (49%) Right 83 (51%) Right 7 (39%) Right 10 (38%)
Wrong 106 (51%) Wrong 79 (49%) Wrong 11 (61%) Wrong 16 (62%)
Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 2.03 Avg Odds 2.42 Avg Odds 3.01
Units Bet 422.0 Units Bet 332.5 Units Bet 33.0 Units Bet 56.5
Avg Bet 2.05 Avg Bet 2.05 Avg Bet 1.83 Avg Bet 2.17
Units Profit 33.83 Units Profit 22.30 Units Profit -2.67 Units Profit 14.20
ROI % 8% ROI % 7% ROI % -8% ROI % 25%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 9 (5%) 5 56 % 25.00 -3.83 -0.43 -15%
Slight Favorites 80 (48%) 46 58 % 178.50 0.54 0.01 0%
Slight Underdogs 56 (34%) 28 50 % 101.00 22.47 0.40 22%
Big Underdogs 21 (13%) 7 33 % 28.00 3.11 0.15 11%
 

Progress Chart

Chart

 

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Hello everyone, My name is Frank and I'm a handicapper from Buffalo, New York.

My Process:
All of my fight picks are based on the tape. With every upcoming event I rewatch every fighter competing's past fights (as best i can find them) and then I independently handicap the fight based on what the tape shows. Next I compare the handicapped odds I've given to each upcoming fight to the actual Vegas odds. If I find a ~10% or more differential in a fighters implied odds of victory, it then becomes a bet.

My Philosophy on betting:
Betting in my eyes is solely about gaining a % edge on the bookies. The larger the margin, the more I am willing to bet. If you can continuously place your money in a strong position over time, the results will take care of themselves.

My Promise to those who follow:
When I place a bet here, just know that every single time it is not based on hazy memories of past fights that can easily be remembered incorrectly. I review tape and all external factors heading into fight week THOROUGHLY. I'm not following my heart due to liking/disliking a fighter as there is absolutely no room for a heart in gambling. Also I head into each weeks fight research sessions with an open mind to all possibilities. Finding a % implied win probability gap between what the tape shows, and the vegas odds is what mma betting is about.

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by SaucyPicksMMA

UFC 257, Yas Island, 23rd Jan '21 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor 3.20 3 MMA Bookmaker



SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC on ESPN 20, Yas Island, 20th Jan '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Michael Chiesa Neil Magny W 2.27 2 2.54 $25.40 127% Bet Info
Vinicius Moreira Ike Villanueva L 2.12 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Tyson Nam Matt Schnell L 1.74 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.02 6.00 -1.46 $-14.60 -24%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -1.46 $-14.60 -24%  

UFC Vegas 17, Las Vegas, 19th Dec '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Stephen Thompson Geoff Neal W 2.00 2 2.00 $20.00 100% Bet Info
Stephen Thompson Geoff Neal W 2.05 1 1.05 $10.50 105% Bet Info
Rob Font Marlon Moraes W 2.30 2 2.60 $26.00 130% Bet Info
Marcin Tybura Greg Hardy W 2.05 2 2.10 $21.00 105% Bet Info
Jamie Pickett Tafon Nchukwi L 3.80 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Jimmy Flick Cody Durden W 1.66 2 1.32 $13.16 66% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.16 10.00 8.07 $80.66 81%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 8.07 $80.66 81%  

UFC 256, Las Vegas, 13th Dec '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Tony Ferguson Charles Oliveira L 1.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Daniel Pineda Cub Swanson L 1.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.65 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Junior dos Santos vs Ciryl Gane Gane to win W 1.25
Pi Chase Hooper vs Peter Barrett Hooper to win W 1.36
    Parlay Odds:   1.70
  2 1.40 $14.01 70% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 1.40 $14.01 70%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -2.60 $-25.99 -43%  

UFC Vegas 16, Las Vegas, 6th Dec '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Marvin Vettori Jack Hermansson W 1.74 3 2.22 $22.22 74% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.74 3.00 2.22 $22.22 74%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Gabriel Benitez vs Justin Jaynes Jaynes wins inside distance L 4.10
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 1.22 $12.22 31%  

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Anthony Smith Devin Clark W 1.74 2 1.48 $14.81 74% Bet Info
Rachael Ostovich Gina Mazany L 2.75 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.13 4.00 -0.52 $-5.19 -13%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -0.52 $-5.19 -13%  

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alex Perez Deiveson Figueiredo L 3.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Katlyn Chookagian Cynthia Calvillo W 3.25 2 4.50 $45.00 225% Bet Info
Ariane Lipski Antonina Shevchenko L 2.40 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.01 6.00 0.50 $5.00 8%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Nicolas Dalby vs Daniel Rodriguez Rodriguez wins inside distance L 2.10
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.00 -2.50 $-25.00 -28%  

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Abdul Razak Alhassan Kalinn Williams L 1.50 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Brendan Allen Sean Strickland L 2.24 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Cory McKenna Kay Hansen W 2.75 1 1.75 $17.50 175% Bet Info
Kanako Murata Randa Markos W 1.57 2 1.14 $11.43 57% Bet Info
Geraldo De Freitas Jr. Tony Gravely L 2.30 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Rhys McKee Alex Morono L 2.55 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.04 12.00 -6.11 $-61.07 -51%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 -6.11 $-61.07 -51%  

UFC Vegas 12, Las Vegas, 31st Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Urijah Hall Anderson Silva W 1.44 4.5 2.00 $20.00 44% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.44 4.50 2.00 $20.00 44%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.50 2.00 $20.00 44%  

UFC 254, Yas Island, 24th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov L 3.79 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jared Cannonier Robert Whittaker L 1.95 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Phil Hawes Jacob Malkoun W 1.42 2.5 1.04 $10.42 42% Bet Info
Tai Tuivasa Stefan Struve W 1.95 2 1.90 $19.05 95% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.01 8.50 -1.05 $-10.54 -12%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Phil Hawes vs Jacob Malkoun Hawes to win W 1.42
Pi Magomed Ankalaev vs Ion Cutelaba Ankalaev to win W 1.33
    Parlay Odds:   1.88
  2.5 2.20 $22.03 88% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.50 2.20 $22.03 88%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.00 1.15 $11.49 10%  

UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie, Yas Island, 17th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chan Sung Jung Brian Ortega L 1.54 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.54 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  

UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana, Yas Island, 4th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Nassourdine Imavov Jordan Williams W 2.01 2 2.02 $20.20 101% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.01 2.00 2.02 $20.20 101%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 2.02 $20.20 101%  

UFC 253, Yas Island, 26th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Paulo Costa Israel Adesanya L 2.45 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Zubaira Tukhugov Hakeem Dawodu L 1.83 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.10 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  

UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley, Las Vegas, 19th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Niko Price Donald Cerrone D 1.63 3 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Niko Price Donald Cerrone D 1.69 2 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Tyson Nam Jerome Rivera W 1.71 2 1.42 $14.18 71% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.67 7.00 1.42 $14.18 20%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.00 1.42 $14.18 20%  

UFC Fight Night 184, Las Vegas, 12th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Angela Hill Michelle Waterson L 1.83 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.83 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 183, Las Vegas, 5th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alonzo Menifield Ovince St Preux L 1.80 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.80 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 182, Las Vegas, 29th Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Impa Kasanganay Maki Pitolo W 1.77 2 1.54 $15.38 77% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 2.00 1.54 $15.38 77%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 1.54 $15.38 77%  

UFC 252, Las Vegas, 15th Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic L 1.91 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley W 3.63 2 5.26 $52.60 263% Bet Info
Jairzinho Rozenstruik Junior dos Santos W 1.80 2 1.60 $16.00 80% Bet Info
Vinc Pichel Jim Miller W 1.82 2 1.64 $16.39 82% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.10 8.00 6.50 $64.99 81%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 6.50 $64.99 81%  

UFC Vegas 6, Las Vegas, 8th Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Aleksei Oleinik Derrick Lewis L 3.10 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Darren Stewart Maki Pitolo W 1.65 1 0.65 $6.45 65% Bet Info
Julija Stoliarenko Yana Kunitskaya L 2.65 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Tim Means Laureano Staropoli W 2.30 1 1.30 $13.00 130% Bet Info
Wellington Turman Andrew Sanchez L 1.82 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Ali Al Qaisi Irwin Rivera L 2.70 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.25 8.00 -4.05 $-40.55 -51%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 -4.05 $-40.55 -51%  

UFC Vegas 5, Las Vegas, 1st Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Derek Brunson Edmen Shahbazyan W 4.05 1 3.05 $30.50 305% Bet Info
Cody Durden Chris Gutierrez D 3.55 1 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.78 2.00 3.05 $30.50 153%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 3.05 $30.50 153%  

UFC Fight Island 3, Yas Island, 25th Jul '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Robert Whittaker Darren Till W 1.77 3 2.31 $23.08 77% Bet Info
Fabricio Werdum Alexander Gustafsson W 3.80 1 2.80 $28.00 280% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.41 4.00 5.11 $51.08 128%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 5.11 $51.08 128%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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