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MMA Handicapper Profile: SaucyPicksMMA

184 followers

SaucyPicksMMA (SaucyPicksMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - SaucyPicksMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 181 (49%) Right 144 (51%) Right 21 (43%) Right 16 (46%)
Wrong 187 (51%) Wrong 140 (49%) Wrong 28 (57%) Wrong 19 (54%)
Avg Odds 2.15 Avg Odds 2.05 Avg Odds 2.46 Avg Odds 2.71
Units Bet 729.5 Units Bet 573.0 Units Bet 81.5 Units Bet 75.0
Avg Bet 1.98 Avg Bet 2.02 Avg Bet 1.66 Avg Bet 2.14
Units Profit 57.64 Units Profit 31.60 Units Profit 5.32 Units Profit 20.71
ROI % 8% ROI % 6% ROI % 7% ROI % 28%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (4%) 6 50 % 32.00 -7.83 -0.65 -24%
Slight Favorites 134 (46%) 82 61 % 291.00 20.68 0.15 7%
Slight Underdogs 105 (36%) 49 47 % 192.50 22.74 0.22 12%
Big Underdogs 39 (13%) 11 28 % 57.50 -3.99 -0.10 -7%
 

Progress Chart

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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Hello everyone, My name is Frank and I'm a handicapper from Buffalo, New York.

My Process:
All of my fight picks are based on the tape. With every upcoming event I rewatch every fighter competing's past fights (as best i can find them) and then I independently handicap the fight based on what the tape shows. Next I compare the handicapped odds I've given to each upcoming fight to the actual Vegas odds. If I find a ~10% or more differential in a fighters implied odds of victory, it then becomes a bet.

My Philosophy on betting:
Betting in my eyes is solely about gaining a % edge on the bookies. The larger the margin, the more I am willing to bet. If you can continuously place your money in a strong position over time, the results will take care of themselves.

My Promise to those who follow:
When I place a bet here, just know that every single time it is not based on hazy memories of past fights that can easily be remembered incorrectly. I review tape and all external factors heading into fight week THOROUGHLY. I'm not following my heart due to liking/disliking a fighter as there is absolutely no room for a heart in gambling. Also I head into each weeks fight research sessions with an open mind to all possibilities. Finding a % implied win probability gap between what the tape shows, and the vegas odds is what mma betting is about.
 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by SaucyPicksMMA

UFC 289, Vancouver, 10th Jun '23 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Irene Aldana Amanda Nunes 3.80 2 MMA Bookmaker Bet Info



SaucyPicksMMA 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi, Las Vegas, Nevada, 3rd Jun '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Amir Albazi Kai Kara-France W 1.80 3 2.40 $24.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.80 3.00 2.40 $24.00 80%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 2.40 $24.00 80%  

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern, Las Vegas, Nevada, 20th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Angela Hill Mackenzie Dern L 2.44 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Chase Hooper Nick Fiore W 2.12 2 2.24 $22.40 112% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.27 4.00 0.24 $2.40 6%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 0.24 $2.40 6%  

UFC 288, Newark, New Jersey, 6th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Belal Muhammad Gilbert Burns W 2.50 2 3.00 $30.00 150% Bet Info
Drew Dober Matt Frevola L 1.49 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Parker Porter Braxton Smith W 1.61 2 1.21 $12.12 61% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 7.00 1.21 $12.12 17%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Movsar Evloev vs Diego Lopes Evloev wins by submission L 5.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.50 0.71 $7.12 9%  

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón, Las Vegas, Nevada, 29th Apr '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Waldo Cortes-Acosta Marcos Rogerio de Lima L 2.60 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.60 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes, Las Vegas, Nevada, 22nd Apr '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Curtis Blaydes Sergey Pavlovich L 1.69 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.69 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen, Kansas City, 15th Apr '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Max Holloway Arnold Allen W 1.61 2 1.21 $12.12 61% Bet Info
Edson Barboza Billy Quarantillo W 2.45 1.5 2.18 $21.75 145% Bet Info
Dustin Jacoby Azamat Murzakanov L 1.67 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Ion Cutelaba Tanner Boser W 1.80 1.5 1.20 $12.00 80% Bet Info
Gillian Robertson Piera Rodriguez W 1.80 2 1.60 $16.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.82 8.50 4.69 $46.87 55%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Max Holloway vs Arnold Allen Holloway wins inside distance L 3.15
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Matheus Nicolau vs Brandon Royval Fight doesn't go the distance W 1.69
  2 1.38 $13.79 69% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 0.38 $3.79 13%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.50 5.07 $50.66 44%  

UFC 287, Miami, 8th Apr '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chris Curtis Kelvin Gastelum L 1.91 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.91 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim Amorim wins inside distance L 2.30
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joe Pyfer vs Gerald Meerschaert Pyfer wins inside distance W 1.74
  2 1.48 $14.81 74% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.00 -0.52 $-5.19 -13%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -2.52 $-25.19 -42%  

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen, San Antonio, Texas, 25th Mar '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Marlon Vera Cory Sandhagen L 2.45 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Nate Landwehr Austin Lingo W 1.50 2 1.00 $10.00 50% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.86 4.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -25%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -25%  

UFC 285, Las Vegas, 4th Mar '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Geoff Neal Shavkat Rakhmonov L 5.00 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Jalin Turner Mateusz Gamrot L 2.45 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jalin Turner Mateusz Gamrot L 2.80 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.11 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane Jones wins by submission W 7.00
  0.5 3.00 $30.00 600% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Valentina Shevchenko vs Alexa Grasso Shevchenko wins inside distance L 1.77
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.50 1.00 $10.00 40%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.50 -3.00 $-30.00 -46%  

UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen, Las Vegas, 25th Feb '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Brendan Allen Andre Muniz W 2.75 2 3.50 $35.00 175% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.75 2.00 3.50 $35.00 175%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 3.50 $35.00 175%  

UFC 284, Perth, 11th Feb '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Josh Emmett Yair Rodriguez L 2.60 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Parker Porter Justin Tafa L 2.05 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.29 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Islam Makhachev vs Alex Volkanovski Makhachev wins inside distance L 1.91
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov, Las Vegas, 14th Jan '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sean Strickland Nassourdine Imavov W 2.15 2 2.30 $23.00 115% Bet Info
Punahele Soriano Roman Kopylov L 1.67 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.88 4.00 0.30 $3.00 7%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 0.30 $3.00 7%  

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland, Las Vegas, 17th Dec '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cory McKenna Cheyanne Buys W 2.55 2 3.10 $31.00 155% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.55 2.00 3.10 $31.00 155%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 3.10 $31.00 155%  

UFC 282, Las Vegas, 10th Dec '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dricus Du Plessis Darren Till W 1.77 2 1.54 $15.38 77% Bet Info
Chris Curtis Joaquin Buckley W 2.35 2 2.70 $27.00 135% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.02 4.00 4.24 $42.38 106%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 4.24 $42.38 106%  

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba, Las Vegas, 19th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chase Sherman Waldo Cortes-Acosta L 2.55 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Vanessa Demopoulos Maria Oliveira W 2.00 2 2.00 $20.00 100% Bet Info
Brady Hiestand Fernando Garcia W 1.65 2 1.29 $12.90 65% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 6.00 1.29 $12.90 22%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 1.29 $12.90 22%  

UFC 281, New York, 12th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alex Pereira Israel Adesanya W 2.55 1 1.55 $15.50 155% Bet Info
Michael Chandler Dustin Poirier L 2.90 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles W 1.69 2 1.38 $13.79 69% Bet Info
Renato Moicano Brad Riddell W 1.83 2 1.67 $16.67 83% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.13 7.00 2.60 $25.96 37%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Israel Adesanya vs Alex Pereira Fight doesn't go the distance W 2.10
  3 3.30 $33.00 110% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 3.30 $33.00 110%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 5.90 $58.96 59%  

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos, Las Vegas, 5th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Nathan Maness Tagir Ulanbekov L 2.50 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Ramona Pascual Tamires Vidal L 2.20 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.34 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen, Las Vegas, 29th Oct '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Calvin Kattar Arnold Allen L 1.95 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.95 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC 280, Abu Dhabi, 22nd Oct '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Islam Makhachev Charles Oliveira W 1.61 2 1.22 $12.20 61% Bet Info
T.J. Dillashaw Aljamain Sterling L 2.45 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.94 4.00 -0.78 $-7.80 -20%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -0.78 $-7.80 -20%  

UFC 279, Las Vegas, 10th Sep '22

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jake Collier vs Chris Barnett Collier wins inside distance L 2.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Tony Ferguson vs Nate Diaz Fight doesn't go to decision W 1.83
  2 1.67 $16.67 83% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 0.67 $6.67 22%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 0.67 $6.67 22%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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