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Straight Pick Stats
|
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
5 (2%) |
4 |
80 % |
31.00 |
4.80 |
0.96 |
15% |
| Slight Favorites |
39 (14%) |
19 |
49 % |
215.29 |
-6.56 |
-0.17 |
-3% |
| Slight Underdogs |
162 (58%) |
79 |
49 % |
837.00 |
155.35 |
0.96 |
19% |
| Big Underdogs |
75 (27%) |
22 |
29 % |
369.00 |
47.85 |
0.64 |
13% |
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Progress Chart
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Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio
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PICKS ARE ALL FREE FOR NOW
Hey guys, I'm Max from Germany and I'm good at making money with sportsbetting. I'm betting on MMA for a while now and noticed that I make profit quite steadily, so I started tracking my bets. I'm doing a bit of MMA training myself during my free time, so that can just help with the picks i guess. Feel free to tail, it won't be free forever.
When you look at my stats, you will see that under 50% of my picks are successful. That's because I like to go for underdog odds, since in my opinion, that's where the highest value lies. So if you play my bets, make sure to bet consistently with a decent bankroll strategy - if you just go for single picks or events, you may end up with loss instead of profit.
Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do fixed amounts) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.
I always post the best odds I can find at the time of the bet, but you will rarely get that same price, because 1) you don't use that particular bookie and 2) you see the bet late and odds already dropped. So my two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).
So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.
Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height
In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height
If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!
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Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus |
UFC 240, USA, 27th Jul '19
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Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
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Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Demian Maia vs Tony Martin |
Maia wins by submission |
L |
2.60 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
2.60 |
$26.00 |
17% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Renato Moicano vs Chan Sung Jung |
Jung wins in round 4 |
L |
21.00 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Renato Moicano vs Chan Sung Jung |
Jung wins in round 5 |
L |
34.00 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-4% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
11.35 |
$113.50 |
76% |
|
|
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Makwan Amirkhani |
Chris Fishgold |
W |
2.10 |
5 |
5.50 |
$55.00 |
110% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.10 |
5.00 |
5.50 |
$55.00 |
110% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
5.50 |
$55.00 |
110% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-15.00 |
$-150.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-7% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
10% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
23.00 |
-10.75 |
$-107.50 |
-47% |
|
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Aleksei Oleinik vs Alistair Overeem |
Oleinik wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
29.00 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
25.00 |
18.47 |
$184.65 |
74% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
28.00 |
-16.25 |
$-162.50 |
-58% |
|
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