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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

691 followers

Marximus (Marximus)


MMA MHandicapper - Marximus

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 195 (42%) Right 145 (44%) Right 50 (38%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 268 (58%) Wrong 184 (56%) Wrong 83 (62%) Wrong 1 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.59 Avg Odds 2.49 Avg Odds 2.84 Avg Odds 50.99
Units Bet 2,181.3 Units Bet 1,680.3 Units Bet 500.5 Units Bet 0.5
Avg Bet 4.71 Avg Bet 5.11 Avg Bet 3.76 Avg Bet 0.50
Units Profit 270.38 Units Profit 247.39 Units Profit 23.49 Units Profit -0.50
ROI % 12% ROI % 15% ROI % 5% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (2%) 5 83 % 36.00 6.40 1.07 18%
Slight Favorites 45 (14%) 21 47 % 245.29 -16.91 -0.38 -7%
Slight Underdogs 180 (55%) 88 49 % 926.00 176.75 0.98 19%
Big Underdogs 98 (30%) 31 32 % 473.00 81.15 0.83 17%
 

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Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

PICKS ARE ALL FREE FOR NOW


Hey guys, I'm Max from Germany and I'm good at making money with sportsbetting. I'm betting on MMA for a while now and noticed that I make profit quite steadily, so I started tracking my bets. I'm doing a bit of MMA training myself during my free time, so that can just help with the picks i guess. Feel free to tail, it won't be free forever.

When you look at my stats, you will see that under 50% of my picks are successful. That's because I like to go for underdog odds, since in my opinion, that's where the highest value lies. So if you play my bets, make sure to bet consistently with a decent bankroll strategy - if you just go for single picks or events, you may end up with loss instead of profit.

Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do fixed amounts) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.

I mostly post Pinncale or 5dimes odds, as they're the most widely accessible bookies in MMA. You may often find better odds with other bookies, or worse odds if you're seeing my play to late. My two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).

So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.

Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height

In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height

If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night 175, Las Vegas, 27th Jun '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Daniel Hooker Dustin Poirier L 3.05 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Mike Perry Mickey Gall W 1.32 5 1.60 $16.00 32% Bet Info
Kyle Daukaus Brendan Allen L 3.55 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Khama Worthy Luis Pena W 3.15 5 10.75 $107.50 215% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.37 20.00 2.35 $23.50 12%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 2.35 $23.50 12%  

UFC Fight Night 174, Las Vegas, 20th Jun '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Josh Emmett Shane Burgos W 2.45 5 7.25 $72.50 145% Bet Info
Jim Miller Roosevelt Roberts W 3.30 5 11.50 $115.00 230% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.81 10.00 18.75 $187.50 188%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 18.75 $187.50 188%  

UFC 250, Las Vegas, 6th Jun '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cory Sandhagen Aljamain Sterling L 1.98 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Eddie Wineland Sean O'Malley L 5.35 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Alex Caceres Chase Hooper W 2.90 5 9.50 $95.00 190% Bet Info
Brian Kelleher Cody Stamann L 3.30 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Devin Clark Alonzo Menifield W 3.00 3 6.00 $60.00 200% Bet Info
Evan Dunham Herbert Burns L 3.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.99 24.00 -0.50 $-5.00 -2%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Cody Garbrandt vs Raphael Assuncao Assuncao wins by TKO/KO L 5.35
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   29.00 -5.50 $-55.00 -19%  

UFC Fight Night 172, Las Vegas, 30th May '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gilbert Burns Tyron Woodley W 2.60 4 6.40 $64.00 160% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.60 4.00 6.40 $64.00 160%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tyron Woodley vs Gilbert Burns Woodley wins by TKO/KO L 2.72
  4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 2.40 $24.00 30%  

UFC Fight Night 170, Florida, 14th May '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Glover Teixeira Anthony Smith W 2.65 5 8.25 $82.50 165% Bet Info
Ray Borg Ricky Simon L 2.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Andrei Arlovski Philipe Lins W 2.70 5 8.50 $85.00 170% Bet Info
Michael Johnson Thiago Moises L 2.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Gabriel Benitez Omar Morales L 2.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.44 25.00 1.75 $17.50 7%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Alexander Hernandez vs Drew Dober Dober wins by TKO/KO W 3.85
  5 14.25 $142.50 285% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 14.25 $142.50 285%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   30.00 16.00 $160.00 53%  

UFC 249, Florida, 10th May '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Gaethje Tony Ferguson W 2.90 5 9.50 $95.00 190% Bet Info
Dominick Cruz Henry Cejudo L 2.87 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.88 10.00 4.50 $45.00 45%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje Gaethje wins in round 1 L 6.00
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.00 1.50 $15.00 12%  

UFC Fight Night 169, Brasilia, 14th Mar '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Damir Hadzovic Renato Moicano L 4.60 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.60 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Johnny Walker vs Nikita Krylov Krylov wins by TKO/KO L 4.35
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  

UFC 248, Las Vegas, 8th Mar '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang L 2.80 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.80 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  

UFC 247, Houston, 9th Feb '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dominick Reyes Jon Jones L 5.25 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   5.25 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Mirsad Bektic vs Dan Ige Ige wins by TKO/KO L 5.45
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  

UFC 246, Las Vegas, 18th Jan '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Drew Dober Nasrat Haqparast W 3.90 5 14.50 $145.00 290% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.90 5.00 14.50 $145.00 290%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Conor McGregor vs Donald Cerrone McGregor wins in round 1 W 3.25
  3 6.75 $67.50 225% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 6.75 $67.50 225%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 21.25 $212.50 266%  

UFC Fight Night 165, Busan, 21st Dec '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Frankie Edgar Chan Sung Jung L 2.55 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Volkan Oezdemir Aleksandar Rakic W 2.35 5 6.75 $67.50 135% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.45 10.00 1.75 $17.50 18%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 1.75 $17.50 18%  

UFC on ESPN 7, Washington, 7th Dec '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alistair Overeem Jairzinho Rozenstruik L 1.90 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Alistair Overeem Jairzinho Rozenstruik L 2.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.95 10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 164, Sao Paulo, 16th Nov '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jared Gordon Charles Oliveira L 4.75 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Markus Perez Wellington Turman L 1.99 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.80 8.00 -8.00 $-80.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 -8.00 $-80.00 -100%  

UFC 244, New York, 2nd Nov '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Nate Diaz Jorge Masvidal L 2.55 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Darren Till Kelvin Gastelum W 3.20 5 11.00 $110.00 220% Bet Info
Stephen Thompson Vicente Luque W 1.95 5 4.75 $47.50 95% Bet Info
Stephen Thompson Vicente Luque W 1.98 5 4.90 $49.00 98% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.32 20.00 15.65 $156.50 78%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 15.65 $156.50 78%  

UFC ESPN 6, Boston, 18th Oct '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Charles Rosa Manny Bermudez W 2.50 5 7.50 $75.00 150% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.50 5.00 7.50 $75.00 150%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Deron Winn vs Darren Stewart Stewart wins by TKO/KO L 5.30
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 4.50 $45.00 56%  

UFC on ESPN+ 19, San Francisco, 12th Oct '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cub Swanson Kron Gracie W 2.55 5 7.75 $77.50 155% Bet Info
Andrew Sanchez Marvin Vettori L 4.15 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.16 9.00 3.75 $37.50 42%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.00 3.75 $37.50 42%  

UFC Fight Night 160, Copenhagen, 28th Sep '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jared Cannonier Jack Hermansson W 3.01 5 10.05 $100.50 201% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.01 5.00 10.05 $100.50 201%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Gunnar Nelson vs Gilbert Burns Nelson wins inside distance L 5.20
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Gunnar Nelson vs Gilbert Burns Nelson wins inside distance L 5.75
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 5.05 $50.50 50%  

UFC Fight Night 159, Mexico City, 21st Sep '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jeremy Stephens Yair Rodriguez NC 2.00 5 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 5.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  

UFC 242, Abu Dhabi, 7th Sep '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dustin Poirier Khabib Nurmagomedov L 4.80 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Shamil Abdurakhimov Curtis Blaydes L 5.20 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Carlos Diego Ferreira Mairbek Taisumov W 3.30 5 11.50 $115.00 230% Bet Info
Nordine Taleb Muslim Salikhov L 2.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.32 20.00 -3.50 $-35.00 -18%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 -3.50 $-35.00 -18%  

UFC 241, Anaheim, 17th Aug '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gabriel Benitez Sodiq Yusuff L 3.48 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Casey Kenney Manny Bermudez W 2.45 5 7.25 $72.50 145% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.88 10.00 2.25 $22.50 23%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Yoel Romero vs Paulo Costa Romero wins in round 3 L 11.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.50 1.75 $17.50 17%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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