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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

830 followers

Marximus (Marximus)


MMA MHandicapper - Marximus

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 253 (39%) Right 185 (42%) Right 68 (33%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 400 (61%) Wrong 260 (58%) Wrong 139 (67%) Wrong 1 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.69 Avg Odds 2.52 Avg Odds 3.12 Avg Odds 50.98
Units Bet 3,021.5 Units Bet 2,291.8 Units Bet 729.2 Units Bet 0.5
Avg Bet 4.63 Avg Bet 5.15 Avg Bet 3.52 Avg Bet 0.50
Units Profit 171.07 Units Profit 151.67 Units Profit 19.90 Units Profit -0.50
ROI % 6% ROI % 7% ROI % 3% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (2%) 5 71 % 41.00 1.40 0.20 3%
Slight Favorites 53 (12%) 24 45 % 287.84 -31.46 -0.59 -11%
Slight Underdogs 257 (56%) 116 45 % 1,297.00 110.28 0.43 9%
Big Underdogs 139 (30%) 43 31 % 666.00 71.45 0.51 11%
 

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Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

PICKS ARE ALL FREE FOR NOW


Hey guys, I'm Max from Germany and I'm good at making money with sportsbetting. I'm betting on MMA for a while now and noticed that I make profit quite steadily, so I started tracking my bets. I'm doing a bit of MMA training myself during my free time, so that can just help with the picks i guess. Feel free to tail, it won't be free forever.

When you look at my stats, you will see that under 50% of my picks are successful. That's because I like to go for underdog odds, since in my opinion, that's where the highest value lies. So if you play my bets, make sure to bet consistently with a decent bankroll strategy - if you just go for single picks or events, you may end up with loss instead of profit.

Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do flat stakes) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.

I mostly post Pinncale or 5dimes odds, as they're the most widely accessible bookies in MMA. You may often find better odds with other bookies, or worse odds if you're seeing my play to late. My two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).

So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.

Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height

In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height

I usually post my bets the evening right before the fights, since limits are highest at that point. Keep an eye on your notifications to catch my bets in time before the fights start!

If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot, Las Vegas, 25th Jun '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Neil Magny Shavkat Rakhmonov L 4.75 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.75 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  

UFC 275, Kallang, 11th Jun '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Glover Teixeira Jiri Prochazka L 2.80 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Taila Santos Valentina Shevchenko L 5.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang L 2.45 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Ramazan Emeev Jack Della Maddalena L 2.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Jacob Malkoun Brendan Allen L 3.60 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.05 25.00 -25.00 $-250.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   25.00 -25.00 $-250.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira, Las Vegas, 21st May '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Santiago Ponzinibbio Michel Pereira L 2.24 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Dusko Todorovic Chidi Njokuani L 3.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Polyana Viana Tabatha Ricci L 2.10 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Eryk Anders Jun Yong Park L 2.80 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Sam Hughes Elise Reed W 2.35 5 6.75 $67.50 135% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.50 23.00 -11.25 $-112.50 -49%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   23.00 -11.25 $-112.50 -49%  

UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić, Las Vegas, 14th May '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Frank Camacho Manuel Torres L 2.15 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.15 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Louis Smolka vs Davey Grant Smolka wins by submission L 7.50
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Michael Johnson vs Alan Patrick Fight doesn't go to decision W 2.05
  5 5.25 $52.50 105% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Virna Jandiroba vs Angela Hill Under 2.5 rounds L 3.15
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Nick Maximov vs Andre Petroski NOT Petroski wins by decision W 1.13
  5 0.65 $6.50 13% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   18.00 -2.10 $-21.00 -12%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   23.00 -7.10 $-71.00 -31%  

UFC 274, Phoenix, 7th May '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Carla Esparza Rose Namajunas W 2.87 5 9.35 $93.50 187% Bet Info
Randy Brown Kalinn Williams W 2.00 5 5.00 $50.00 100% Bet Info
Macy Chiasson Norma Dumont W 3.00 5 10.00 $100.00 200% Bet Info
Matt Schnell Brandon Royval L 3.20 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Marcos Rogerio de Lima Blagoy Ivanov L 2.30 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Ariane Carnelossi Lupita Godinez L 2.68 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.61 30.00 9.35 $93.50 31%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje Oliveira wins by submission W 2.70
  5 8.50 $85.00 170% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 8.50 $85.00 170%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   35.00 17.85 $178.50 51%  

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera, Las Vegas, 30th Apr '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jared Gordon Grant Dawson L 2.70 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.70 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  

UFC 273, Jacksonville, 9th Apr '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chan Sung Jung Alex Volkanovski L 6.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Darian Weeks Ian Garry L 4.10 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Kay Hansen Piera Rodriguez L 2.12 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.44 13.00 -13.00 $-130.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Mickey Gall vs Mike Malott Gall wins inside distance L 3.80
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Jared Vanderaa vs Aleksei Oleinik Fight goes to decision L 3.90
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   19.00 -19.00 $-190.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus, Columbus, 26th Mar '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chris Daukaus Curtis Blaydes L 4.80 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Bryan Barberena Matt Brown W 2.02 5 5.10 $51.00 102% Bet Info
Max Griffin Neil Magny L 3.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Marc Diakiese Viacheslav Borshchev W 2.23 5 6.15 $61.50 123% Bet Info
Sara McMann Karol Rosa W 2.90 5 9.50 $95.00 190% Bet Info
Luis Saldana Bruno Souza W 2.20 5 6.00 $60.00 120% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.67 30.00 16.75 $167.50 56%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   30.00 16.75 $167.50 56%  

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall, London, 19th Mar '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rodrigo Vargas Paddy Pimblett L 6.25 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Nikita Krylov Paul Craig L 1.54 7.55 -7.55 $-75.50 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.47 12.55 -12.55 $-125.50 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Gunnar Nelson vs Takashi Sato Nelson wins inside distance L 1.65
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Nikita Krylov vs Paul Craig Craig wins by submission W 4.75
  2.45 9.19 $91.87 375% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   7.45 4.19 $41.87 56%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 -8.36 $-83.63 -42%  

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev, Las Vegas, 12th Mar '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Khalil Rountree Karl Roberson W 2.22 5 6.10 $61.00 122% Bet Info
J.J. Aldrich Gillian Robertson W 2.06 5 5.30 $53.00 106% Bet Info
Tafon Nchukwi Azamat Murzakanov L 2.80 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.32 15.00 6.40 $64.00 43%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Bruno Silva vs Alex Pereira Silva wins by submission L 19.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.25 6.15 $61.50 40%  

UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev, Las Vegas, 26th Feb '22

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Terrance McKinney vs Fares Ziam McKinney wins in round 1 W 4.75
  3 11.25 $112.50 375% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 11.25 $112.50 375%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 11.25 $112.50 375%  

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill, Las Vegas, 19th Feb '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gabriel Benitez David Onama L 2.60 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.60 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Christian Rodriguez vs Jonathan Pearce Fight doesn't go to decision L 1.77
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  

UFC 271, Houston, 12th Feb '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Robert Whittaker Israel Adesanya L 3.48 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
William Knight Maxim Grishin L 2.47 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.89 10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland, Las Vegas, 5th Feb '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Bryan Battle Tresean Gore W 2.25 5 6.25 $62.50 125% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.25 5.00 6.25 $62.50 125%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 6.25 $62.50 125%  

UFC 270, Anaheim, 22nd Jan '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Deiveson Figueiredo Brandon Moreno W 2.58 5 7.90 $79.00 158% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.58 5.00 7.90 $79.00 158%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane Ngannou wins by TKO/KO L 2.65
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 2.90 $29.00 29%  

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze, Las Vegas, 15th Jan '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Calvin Kattar Giga Chikadze W 2.90 5 9.50 $95.00 190% Bet Info
Bill Algeo Joanderson Brito W 2.30 5 6.50 $65.00 130% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.57 10.00 16.00 $160.00 160%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joseph Holmes vs Jamie Pickett Holmes wins by TKO/KO L 6.00
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 14.00 $140.00 117%  

UFC 269, Las Vegas, 11th Dec '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Kai Kara-France Cody Garbrandt W 2.25 5 6.25 $62.50 125% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.25 5.00 6.25 $62.50 125%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Charles Oliveira vs Dustin Poirier Oliveira wins by submission W 4.17
  4 12.68 $126.80 317% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ryan Hall vs Darrick Minner Minner wins in round 1 L 7.75
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Pedro Munhoz vs Dominick Cruz Munhoz wins by submission L 11.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Pedro Munhoz vs Dominick Cruz Munhoz wins by TKO/KO L 5.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   8.00 8.68 $86.80 108%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.00 14.93 $149.30 115%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 4th Dec '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Maki Pitolo Dusko Todorovic L 2.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Bryan Barberena Darian Weeks W 1.80 5 4.00 $40.00 80% Bet Info
Chris Gruetzemacher Claudio Puelles L 2.11 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.10 15.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -40%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -40%  

UFC 268, New York, 6th Nov '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Colby Covington Kamaru Usman L 3.51 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Billy Quarantillo Shane Burgos L 2.75 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.08 10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  

UFC 267, Abu Dhabi, 30th Oct '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Virna Jandiroba Amanda Ribas L 2.49 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Hu Yaozong Andre Petroski L 3.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.72 10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Makwan Amirkhani vs Lerone Murphy Amirkhani wins by submission L 6.75
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -15.00 $-150.00 -100%  



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