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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

595 followers

Marximus (Marximus)


MMA MHandicapper - Marximus

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 172 (43%) Right 124 (44%) Right 48 (39%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 232 (57%) Wrong 157 (56%) Wrong 74 (61%) Wrong 1 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.55 Avg Odds 2.46 Avg Odds 2.75 Avg Odds 50.99
Units Bet 1,916.8 Units Bet 1,452.3 Units Bet 464.0 Units Bet 0.5
Avg Bet 4.74 Avg Bet 5.17 Avg Bet 3.80 Avg Bet 0.50
Units Profit 231.93 Units Profit 201.44 Units Profit 30.99 Units Profit -0.50
ROI % 12% ROI % 14% ROI % 7% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (2%) 4 80 % 31.00 4.80 0.96 15%
Slight Favorites 39 (14%) 19 49 % 215.29 -6.56 -0.17 -3%
Slight Underdogs 162 (58%) 79 49 % 837.00 155.35 0.96 19%
Big Underdogs 75 (27%) 22 29 % 369.00 47.85 0.64 13%
 

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Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

PICKS ARE ALL FREE FOR NOW


Hey guys, I'm Max from Germany and I'm good at making money with sportsbetting. I'm betting on MMA for a while now and noticed that I make profit quite steadily, so I started tracking my bets. I'm doing a bit of MMA training myself during my free time, so that can just help with the picks i guess. Feel free to tail, it won't be free forever.

When you look at my stats, you will see that under 50% of my picks are successful. That's because I like to go for underdog odds, since in my opinion, that's where the highest value lies. So if you play my bets, make sure to bet consistently with a decent bankroll strategy - if you just go for single picks or events, you may end up with loss instead of profit.

Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do fixed amounts) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.

I always post the best odds I can find at the time of the bet, but you will rarely get that same price, because 1) you don't use that particular bookie and 2) you see the bet late and odds already dropped. So my two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).

So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.

Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height

In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height

If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

UFC 240, USA, 27th Jul '19

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Alexandre Pantoja Deiveson Figueiredo 2.09 5 MMA Bookmaker



Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC 239, Las Vegas, 6th Jul '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jorge Masvidal Ben Askren W 3.00 5 10.00 $100.00 200% Bet Info
Diego Sanchez Michael Chiesa L 3.85 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Gilbert Melendez Arnold Allen L 3.95 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.55 15.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  

UFC on ESPN 3, Minneapolis, 29th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jussier Formiga Joseph Benavidez L 2.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Vinc Pichel Roosevelt Roberts W 3.52 5 12.60 $126.00 252% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.92 10.00 7.60 $76.00 76%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Demian Maia vs Tony Martin Maia wins by submission L 2.60
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 2.60 $26.00 17%  

UFC Fight Night 154, Greenville, 22nd Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alessio Di Chirico Kevin Holland L 2.95 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Dan Ige Kevin Aguilar W 2.30 5 6.50 $65.00 130% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.58 10.00 1.50 $15.00 15%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Renato Moicano vs Chan Sung Jung Jung wins in round 4 L 21.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Renato Moicano vs Chan Sung Jung Jung wins in round 5 L 34.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 -0.50 $-5.00 -4%  

UFC 238, Chicago, 8th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Blagoy Ivanov Tai Tuivasa W 2.32 5 6.60 $66.00 132% Bet Info
Pedro Munhoz Aljamain Sterling L 2.17 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Darren Stewart Bevon Lewis W 2.95 5 9.75 $97.50 195% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.44 15.00 11.35 $113.50 76%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 11.35 $113.50 76%  

UFC Fight Night 153, Stockholm, 1st Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Makwan Amirkhani Chris Fishgold W 2.10 5 5.50 $55.00 110% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.10 5.00 5.50 $55.00 110%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 5.50 $55.00 110%  

UFC Fight Night 152, Rochester, 18th May '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Nik Lentz Charles Oliveira L 3.95 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Sijara Eubanks Aspen Ladd L 3.45 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Sijara Eubanks Aspen Ladd L 3.75 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Mike Trizano Grant Dawson L 2.15 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.14 15.00 -15.00 $-150.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -15.00 $-150.00 -100%  

UFC 237, Brazil, 11th May '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas W 1.85 5 4.25 $42.50 85% Bet Info
Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski L 1.81 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.83 10.00 -0.75 $-7.50 -7%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -0.75 $-7.50 -7%  

UFC Fight Night 150, Ottawa, 4th May '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta W 2.20 5 6.00 $60.00 120% Bet Info
Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili L 2.39 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.29 10.00 1.00 $10.00 10%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 1.00 $10.00 10%  

UFC on ESPN 3, Fort Lauderdale, 27th Apr '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ronaldo Souza Jack Hermansson L 1.61 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
John Lineker Cory Sandhagen L 1.71 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Ben Saunders Takashi Sato L 2.79 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Andrei Arlovski Augusto Sakai L 2.25 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Dhiego Lima Court McGee W 2.45 5 7.25 $72.50 145% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.07 23.00 -10.75 $-107.50 -47%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   23.00 -10.75 $-107.50 -47%  

UFC Fight Night 149, St Petersburg, 20th Apr '19

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Aleksei Oleinik vs Alistair Overeem Oleinik wins by (T)KO round 1 L 29.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  

UFC 236, Atlanta, 13th Apr '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dustin Poirier Max Holloway W 3.25 5 11.25 $112.50 225% Bet Info
Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum W 1.59 5 2.95 $29.50 59% Bet Info
Alan Jouban Dwight Grant L 1.89 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Max Griffin Zelim Imadaev W 2.04 5 5.20 $52.00 104% Bet Info
Belal Muhammad Curtis Millender W 1.81 5 4.07 $40.65 81% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.99 25.00 18.47 $184.65 74%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   25.00 18.47 $184.65 74%  

UFC on ESPN 2, Philadelphia, 30th Mar '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Gaethje Edson Barboza W 2.35 5 6.75 $67.50 135% Bet Info
Michael Johnson Josh Emmett L 1.94 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Sheymon da Silva Moraes Sodiq Yusuff L 2.55 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Ross Pearson Desmond Green L 5.35 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Enrique Barzola Kevin Aguilar L 2.05 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Gerald Meerschaert Kevin Holland L 2.90 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.55 28.00 -16.25 $-162.50 -58%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   28.00 -16.25 $-162.50 -58%  

UFC Fight Night 148, Nashville, 23rd Mar '19

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Stephen Thompson vs Anthony Pettis Over 4.5 rounds L 2.25
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Stephen Thompson vs Anthony Pettis Pettis points handicap +5.5 W 2.75
  3 5.25 $52.50 175% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Jussier Formiga vs Deiveson Figueiredo Formiga to win W 2.30
Pi Marlon Vera vs Frankie Saenz Saenz to win L 2.45
PrPi Stephen Thompson vs Anthony Pettis Pettis points handicap +5.5 W 2.60
PrPi John Makdessi vs Jesus Pinedo Makdessi wins by TKO/KO L 3.48
    Parlay Odds:   50.99
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.50 1.75 $17.50 27%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.50 1.75 $17.50 27%  

UFC Fight Night 147, London, 16th Mar '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jorge Masvidal Darren Till W 3.15 5 10.75 $107.50 215% Bet Info
Dominick Reyes Volkan Oezdemir W 1.40 5 2.00 $20.00 40% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.94 10.00 12.75 $127.50 127%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Volkan Oezdemir vs Dominick Reyes Reyes wins inside distance L 1.83
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Priscila Cachoeira vs Molly McCann McCann wins by TKO/KO L 4.60
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Quinonez Under 2.5 rounds W 2.02
  3 3.06 $30.60 102% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   11.00 -4.94 $-49.40 -45%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   21.00 7.81 $78.10 37%  

UFC Fight Night 146, Anaheim, 9th Mar '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov L 2.15 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Tim Boetsch Omari Akhmedov L 2.35 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.25 10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  

UFC 235, Las Vegas, 2nd Mar '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Robbie Lawler Ben Askren L 3.35 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Jeremy Stephens Zabit Magomedsharipov L 2.80 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker L 2.35 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.77 15.00 -15.00 $-150.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Cody Garbrandt vs Pedro Munhoz Munhoz wins inside distance W 3.25
  5 11.25 $112.50 225% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 11.25 $112.50 225%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 -3.75 $-37.50 -19%  

UFC Fight Night 145, Prague, 23rd Feb '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jan Blachowicz Thiago Santos L 2.07 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Stefan Struve Marcos Rogerio de Lima W 2.11 5 5.55 $55.50 111% Bet Info
Gian Villante Michal Oleksiejczuk L 2.68 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.26 15.00 -4.45 $-44.50 -30%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -4.45 $-44.50 -30%  

UFC on ESPN 1, Phoenix, 17th Feb '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Bryan Barberena Vicente Luque L 4.50 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.50 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Renan Barao vs Luke Sanders Barao wins by submission L 8.32
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 144, Fortaleza, 2nd Feb '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes L 2.75 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
David Teymur Charles Oliveira L 1.94 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Markus Perez Anthony Hernandez W 2.70 5 8.50 $85.00 170% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.40 15.00 -1.50 $-15.00 -10%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Demian Maia vs Lyman Good Maia wins by submission W 2.50
  3 4.50 $45.00 150% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Charles Oliveira vs David Teymur Teymur wins by TKO/KO L 4.16
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.00 1.50 $15.00 25%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   21.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  

UFC on ESPN+ 1, New York, 19th Jan '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez W 2.65 5 8.25 $82.50 165% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.65 5.00 8.25 $82.50 165%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 8.25 $82.50 165%  

 
 
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