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Straight Pick Stats
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| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
7 (2%) |
5 |
71 % |
41.00 |
1.40 |
0.20 |
3% |
| Slight Favorites |
48 (13%) |
22 |
46 % |
260.29 |
-22.56 |
-0.47 |
-9% |
| Slight Underdogs |
213 (56%) |
98 |
46 % |
1,085.00 |
124.45 |
0.58 |
11% |
| Big Underdogs |
113 (30%) |
38 |
34 % |
538.00 |
121.60 |
1.08 |
23% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
PICKS ARE ALL FREE FOR NOW
Hey guys, I'm Max from Germany and I'm good at making money with sportsbetting. I'm betting on MMA for a while now and noticed that I make profit quite steadily, so I started tracking my bets. I'm doing a bit of MMA training myself during my free time, so that can just help with the picks i guess. Feel free to tail, it won't be free forever.
When you look at my stats, you will see that under 50% of my picks are successful. That's because I like to go for underdog odds, since in my opinion, that's where the highest value lies. So if you play my bets, make sure to bet consistently with a decent bankroll strategy - if you just go for single picks or events, you may end up with loss instead of profit.
Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do flat stakes) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.
I mostly post Pinncale or 5dimes odds, as they're the most widely accessible bookies in MMA. You may often find better odds with other bookies, or worse odds if you're seeing my play to late. My two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).
So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.
Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height
In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height
I usually post my bets the evening right before the fights, since limits are highest at that point. Keep an eye on your notifications to catch my bets in time before the fights start!
If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!
if anyone wants to tip it goes to
ullmann_max@yahoo.de (paypal)
or
3AkZTcLiYarEy2amXXYwVbDbDuYBsedmMw (bitcoin)
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Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus |
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This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
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Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Pedro Munhoz |
Jimmie Rivera |
W |
2.20 |
5 |
6.00 |
$60.00 |
120% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.20 |
5.00 |
6.00 |
$60.00 |
120% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
6.00 |
$60.00 |
120% |
|
|
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Derrick Lewis |
Curtis Blaydes |
W |
4.65 |
3 |
10.95 |
$109.50 |
365% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
4.65 |
3.00 |
10.95 |
$109.50 |
365% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Andrei Arlovski vs Tom Aspinall |
Aspinall wins in round 1 |
L |
3.50 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.00 |
7.95 |
$79.50 |
133% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Kelvin Gastelum vs Ian Heinisch |
Gastelum wins by TKO/KO |
L |
5.30 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
13.00 |
-13.00 |
$-130.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Michael Johnson vs Clay Guida |
Guida wins by submission |
L |
13.40 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
14.00 |
-14.00 |
$-140.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier |
McGregor wins by TKO/KO |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Daniel Hooker vs Michael Chandler |
Hooker wins by TKO/KO |
L |
3.40 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
10.00 |
-10.00 |
$-100.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
25.00 |
-25.00 |
$-250.00 |
-100% |
|
|
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Matt Schnell |
Tyson Nam |
W |
2.20 |
5 |
6.00 |
$60.00 |
120% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.20 |
5.00 |
6.00 |
$60.00 |
120% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny |
Magny wins in round 3 |
L |
17.00 |
|
|
1.62 |
-1.62 |
$-16.20 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny |
Magny wins in round 4 |
L |
20.00 |
|
|
1.35 |
-1.35 |
$-13.50 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny |
Magny wins in round 3 |
L |
17.00 |
|
|
0.03 |
-0.03 |
$-0.30 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny |
Magny wins in round 5 |
L |
26.00 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Mike Davis vs Mason Jones |
Jones wins in round 3 |
L |
18.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
10% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
18.00 |
6.60 |
$66.00 |
37% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Greg Hardy vs Marcin Tybura |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
2.55 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
20.00 |
-0.65 |
$-6.50 |
-3% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Ronaldo Souza vs Kevin Holland |
Souza wins by submission |
L |
3.50 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Junior dos Santos vs Ciryl Gane |
Gane wins by TKO/KO |
W |
2.00 |
|
|
3 |
3.00 |
$30.00 |
100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Tony Ferguson vs Charles Oliveira |
Ferguson wins in round 3 |
L |
11.25 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Renato Moicano vs Rafael Fiziev |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
2.05 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
12.00 |
-6.00 |
$-60.00 |
-50% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
32.00 |
3.40 |
$34.00 |
11% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.00 |
-11.00 |
$-110.00 |
-100% |
|
UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas,
29th Nov '20 |
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Anthony Smith vs Devin Clark |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.80 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Tim Means vs Mike Perry |
Fight goes to decision |
W |
2.36 |
|
|
5 |
6.80 |
$68.00 |
136% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Mauricio Rua vs Paul Craig |
Rua wins by TKO/KO |
L |
7.48 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Joaquin Buckley vs Jordan Wright |
Wright wins by TKO/KO |
L |
4.90 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Joaquin Buckley vs Jordan Wright |
Buckley wins by decision |
L |
8.85 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Katlyn Chookagian vs Cynthia Calvillo |
Chookagian wins by decision |
W |
4.25 |
|
|
3 |
9.75 |
$97.50 |
325% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
17.00 |
7.55 |
$75.50 |
44% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
30.00 |
5.95 |
$59.50 |
20% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
7.00 |
$70.00 |
47% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
21.00 |
5.95 |
$59.50 |
28% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Robert Whittaker vs Jared Cannonier |
Cannonier wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.70 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-15.00 |
$-150.00 |
-100% |
|
UFC 253, Yas Island,
26th Sep '20 |
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Shane Young |
Ludovit Klein |
L |
2.12 |
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.12 |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Dominick Reyes vs Jan Blachowicz |
Blachowicz wins inside distance |
W |
4.30 |
|
|
5 |
16.50 |
$165.00 |
330% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Diego Sanchez vs Jake Matthews |
Sanchez wins by submission |
L |
20.10 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
15.50 |
$155.00 |
258% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.00 |
10.50 |
$105.00 |
95% |
|
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Meerschaert wins by submission |
L |
8.65 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-3.90 |
$-39.00 |
-26% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
20.00 |
-20.00 |
$-200.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
9.75 |
$97.50 |
98% |
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>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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