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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

747 followers

Marximus (Marximus)


MMA MHandicapper - Marximus

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 205 (42%) Right 151 (44%) Right 54 (38%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 286 (58%) Wrong 195 (56%) Wrong 90 (63%) Wrong 1 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.62 Avg Odds 2.51 Avg Odds 2.92 Avg Odds 50.98
Units Bet 2,356.3 Units Bet 1,814.3 Units Bet 541.5 Units Bet 0.5
Avg Bet 4.80 Avg Bet 5.24 Avg Bet 3.76 Avg Bet 0.50
Units Profit 280.13 Units Profit 230.59 Units Profit 50.04 Units Profit -0.50
ROI % 12% ROI % 13% ROI % 9% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (2%) 5 83 % 36.00 6.40 1.07 18%
Slight Favorites 46 (13%) 21 46 % 250.29 -21.91 -0.48 -9%
Slight Underdogs 197 (55%) 92 47 % 1,011.00 134.85 0.68 13%
Big Underdogs 108 (30%) 36 33 % 517.00 111.25 1.03 22%
 

Progress Chart

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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

PICKS ARE ALL FREE FOR NOW


Hey guys, I'm Max from Germany and I'm good at making money with sportsbetting. I'm betting on MMA for a while now and noticed that I make profit quite steadily, so I started tracking my bets. I'm doing a bit of MMA training myself during my free time, so that can just help with the picks i guess. Feel free to tail, it won't be free forever.

When you look at my stats, you will see that under 50% of my picks are successful. That's because I like to go for underdog odds, since in my opinion, that's where the highest value lies. So if you play my bets, make sure to bet consistently with a decent bankroll strategy - if you just go for single picks or events, you may end up with loss instead of profit.

Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do fixed amounts) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.

I mostly post Pinncale or 5dimes odds, as they're the most widely accessible bookies in MMA. You may often find better odds with other bookies, or worse odds if you're seeing my play to late. My two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).

So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.

Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height

In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height

I usually post my bets the evening right before the fights, since limits are highest at that point. Keep an eye on your notifications to catch my bets in time before the fights start!

If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!






if anyone wants to tip it goes to

ullmann_max@yahoo.de (paypal)

or

3AkZTcLiYarEy2amXXYwVbDbDuYBsedmMw (bitcoin)

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

UFC 257, Abu Dhabi, 23rd Jan '21 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Conor McGregor Dustin Poirier 1.45 5 MMA Bookmaker



Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Anthony Smith vs Devin Clark Over 2.5 rounds L 1.80
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alex Perez Deiveson Figueiredo L 3.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno L 2.65 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Nicolas Dalby Daniel Rodriguez W 3.80 3 8.40 $84.00 280% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.21 13.00 -1.60 $-16.00 -12%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Tim Means vs Mike Perry Fight goes to decision W 2.36
  5 6.80 $68.00 136% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Mauricio Rua vs Paul Craig Rua wins by TKO/KO L 7.48
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joaquin Buckley vs Jordan Wright Wright wins by TKO/KO L 4.90
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joaquin Buckley vs Jordan Wright Buckley wins by decision L 8.85
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Katlyn Chookagian vs Cynthia Calvillo Chookagian wins by decision W 4.25
  3 9.75 $97.50 325% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   17.00 7.55 $75.50 44%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   30.00 5.95 $59.50 20%  

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Paul Felder Rafael dos Anjos L 2.75 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Ashley Yoder Miranda Granger W 2.40 5 7.00 $70.00 140% Bet Info
Sean Strickland Brendan Allen W 2.00 5 5.00 $50.00 100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.34 15.00 7.00 $70.00 47%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 7.00 $70.00 47%  

UFC Vegas 13, Las Vegas, 8th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Glover Teixeira Thiago Santos W 3.05 5 10.25 $102.50 205% Bet Info
Andrei Arlovski Tanner Boser W 3.90 3 8.70 $87.00 290% Bet Info
Claudia Gadelha Yan Xiaonan L 2.55 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Bevon Lewis Trevin Giles L 1.91 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Marcos Rogerio de Lima Alexander Romanov L 5.10 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.95 21.00 5.95 $59.50 28%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   21.00 5.95 $59.50 28%  

UFC 254, Yas Island, 24th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov L 3.71 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Walt Harris Alexander Volkov L 2.65 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.09 10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Robert Whittaker vs Jared Cannonier Cannonier wins by TKO/KO L 2.70
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -15.00 $-150.00 -100%  

UFC 253, Yas Island, 26th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Shane Young Ludovit Klein L 2.12 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.12 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Dominick Reyes vs Jan Blachowicz Blachowicz wins inside distance W 4.30
  5 16.50 $165.00 330% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Diego Sanchez vs Jake Matthews Sanchez wins by submission L 20.10
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.00 15.50 $155.00 258%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.00 10.50 $105.00 95%  

UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley, Las Vegas, 19th Sep '20

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert Meerschaert wins by submission L 8.65
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 183, Las Vegas, 5th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ovince St Preux Alonzo Menifield W 2.22 5 6.10 $61.00 122% Bet Info
Zelim Imadaev Michel Pereira L 2.10 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Montana De La Rosa Viviane Araujo L 2.68 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.31 15.00 -3.90 $-39.00 -26%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -3.90 $-39.00 -26%  

UFC 252, Las Vegas, 15th Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Junior dos Santos Jairzinho Rozenstruik L 2.10 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
John Dodson Merab Dvalishvili L 3.35 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Jim Miller Vinc Pichel L 2.05 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Felice Herrig Virna Jandiroba L 3.60 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.60 20.00 -20.00 $-200.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 -20.00 $-200.00 -100%  

UFC Vegas 5, Las Vegas, 1st Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Derek Brunson Edmen Shahbazyan W 3.95 5 14.75 $147.50 295% Bet Info
Randy Brown Vicente Luque L 2.85 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.31 10.00 9.75 $97.50 98%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 9.75 $97.50 98%  

UFC Fight Island 3, Yas Island, 25th Jul '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rogerio Nogueira Mauricio Rua L 2.85 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Peter Sobotta Alex Oliveira L 2.35 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Francisco Trinaldo Jai Herbert W 2.00 5 5.00 $50.00 100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.35 15.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -33%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -33%  

UFC Fight Island 2, Yas Island, 18th Jul '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Brett Johns Montel Jackson W 3.20 5 11.00 $110.00 220% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.20 5.00 11.00 $110.00 220%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jack Hermansson vs Kelvin Gastelum Hermansson wins inside distance W 4.30
  5 16.50 $165.00 330% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 16.50 $165.00 330%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 27.50 $275.00 275%  

UFC Fight Island 1, Yas Island, 15th Jul '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ryan Benoit Tim Elliott L 2.23 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.23 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 175, Las Vegas, 27th Jun '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Daniel Hooker Dustin Poirier L 3.05 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Mike Perry Mickey Gall W 1.32 5 1.60 $16.00 32% Bet Info
Kyle Daukaus Brendan Allen L 3.55 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Khama Worthy Luis Pena W 3.15 5 10.75 $107.50 215% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.37 20.00 2.35 $23.50 12%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 2.35 $23.50 12%  

UFC Fight Night 174, Las Vegas, 20th Jun '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Josh Emmett Shane Burgos W 2.45 5 7.25 $72.50 145% Bet Info
Jim Miller Roosevelt Roberts W 3.30 5 11.50 $115.00 230% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.81 10.00 18.75 $187.50 188%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 18.75 $187.50 188%  

UFC 250, Las Vegas, 6th Jun '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cory Sandhagen Aljamain Sterling L 1.98 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Eddie Wineland Sean O'Malley L 5.35 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Alex Caceres Chase Hooper W 2.90 5 9.50 $95.00 190% Bet Info
Brian Kelleher Cody Stamann L 3.30 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Devin Clark Alonzo Menifield W 3.00 3 6.00 $60.00 200% Bet Info
Evan Dunham Herbert Burns L 3.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.99 24.00 -0.50 $-5.00 -2%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Cody Garbrandt vs Raphael Assuncao Assuncao wins by TKO/KO L 5.35
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   29.00 -5.50 $-55.00 -19%  

UFC Fight Night 172, Las Vegas, 30th May '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gilbert Burns Tyron Woodley W 2.60 4 6.40 $64.00 160% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.60 4.00 6.40 $64.00 160%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tyron Woodley vs Gilbert Burns Woodley wins by TKO/KO L 2.72
  4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 2.40 $24.00 30%  

UFC Fight Night 170, Florida, 14th May '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Glover Teixeira Anthony Smith W 2.65 5 8.25 $82.50 165% Bet Info
Ray Borg Ricky Simon L 2.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Andrei Arlovski Philipe Lins W 2.70 5 8.50 $85.00 170% Bet Info
Michael Johnson Thiago Moises L 2.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Gabriel Benitez Omar Morales L 2.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.44 25.00 1.75 $17.50 7%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Alexander Hernandez vs Drew Dober Dober wins by TKO/KO W 3.85
  5 14.25 $142.50 285% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 14.25 $142.50 285%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   30.00 16.00 $160.00 53%  

UFC 249, Florida, 10th May '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Gaethje Tony Ferguson W 2.90 5 9.50 $95.00 190% Bet Info
Dominick Cruz Henry Cejudo L 2.87 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.88 10.00 4.50 $45.00 45%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje Gaethje wins in round 1 L 6.00
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.00 1.50 $15.00 12%  

UFC Fight Night 169, Brasilia, 14th Mar '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Damir Hadzovic Renato Moicano L 4.60 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.60 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Johnny Walker vs Nikita Krylov Krylov wins by TKO/KO L 4.35
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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