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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

779 followers

Marximus (Marximus)

MMA MHandicapper - Marximus

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	222 (41%)	Right	162 (43%)	Right	60 (36%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	325 (59%)	Wrong	215 (57%)	Wrong	109 (64%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	2.66	Avg Odds	2.51	Avg Odds	3.06	Avg Odds	50.98
Units Bet	2,561.3	Units Bet	1,957.3	Units Bet	603.5	Units Bet	0.5
Avg Bet	4.68	Avg Bet	5.19	Avg Bet	3.57	Avg Bet	0.50
Units Profit	261.54	Units Profit	213.67	Units Profit	48.37	Units Profit	-0.50
ROI %	10%	ROI %	11%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	-100%

Straight Pick Stats

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	7 (2%)	5	71 %	41.00	1.40	0.20	3%
Slight Favorites	48 (12%)	22	46 %	260.29	-22.56	-0.47	-9%
Slight Underdogs	216 (56%)	100	46 %	1,098.00	133.23	0.62	12%
Big Underdogs	117 (30%)	38	32 %	558.00	101.60	0.87	18%

Progress Chart

Chart

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

PICKS ARE ALL FREE FOR NOW

Hey guys, I'm Max from Germany and I'm good at making money with sportsbetting. I'm betting on MMA for a while now and noticed that I make profit quite steadily, so I started tracking my bets. I'm doing a bit of MMA training myself during my free time, so that can just help with the picks i guess. Feel free to tail, it won't be free forever.

When you look at my stats, you will see that under 50% of my picks are successful. That's because I like to go for underdog odds, since in my opinion, that's where the highest value lies. So if you play my bets, make sure to bet consistently with a decent bankroll strategy - if you just go for single picks or events, you may end up with loss instead of profit.

Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do flat stakes) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.

I mostly post Pinncale or 5dimes odds, as they're the most widely accessible bookies in MMA. You may often find better odds with other bookies, or worse odds if you're seeing my play to late. My two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).

So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.

Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height

In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height

I usually post my bets the evening right before the fights, since limits are highest at that point. Keep an eye on your notifications to catch my bets in time before the fights start!

If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!

if anyone wants to tip it goes to

ullmann_max@yahoo.de (paypal)

or

3AkZTcLiYarEy2amXXYwVbDbDuYBsedmMw (bitcoin)

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

UFC 264, Las Vegas, 10th Jul '21

Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Unit Bet
Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.87	5

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 8th May '21

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Donald Cerrone vs Alex Morono	Under 2.5 rounds	W	2.70

8.50

$85.00

170%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

8.50

$85.00

170%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

8.50

$85.00

170%

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 1st May '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Cub Swanson	Giga Chikadze	L	2.55	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.55	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

UFC 261, Jacksonville, 24th Apr '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jessica Andrade	Valentina Shevchenko	L	5.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			5.00	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal	Masvidal wins by TKO/KO	L	6.75

1.5

-1.50

$-15.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal	Masvidal wins in round 1	L	13.50

0.75

-0.75

$-7.50

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal	Masvidal wins in round 2	L	16.00

0.75

-0.75

$-7.50

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Weili Zhang vs Rose Namajunas	Namajunas wins in round 1	W	13.00

1.5

18.00

$180.01

1,200%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Weili Zhang vs Rose Namajunas	Namajunas wins in round 2	L	15.00

1.5

-1.50

$-15.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Alex Oliveira vs Randy Brown	Under 2.5 rounds	W	2.21

3.63

$36.30

121%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

9.00

17.13

$171.31

190%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

14.00

12.13

$121.31

87%

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 10th Apr '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
John Makdessi	Ignacio Bahamondes	W	2.71	3	5.13	$51.30	171%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.71	3.00	5.13	$51.30	171%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Kevin Holland vs Marvin Vettori	Vettori wins by decision	W	2.95

5.85

$58.50

195%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

5.85

$58.50

195%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

6.00

10.98

$109.80

183%

UFC 260, Las Vegas, 28th Mar '21

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Stipe Miocic vs Francis Ngannou	Ngannou wins by (T)KO round 1	L	3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Thomas Almeida vs Sean O'Malley	O'Malley wins by TKO/KO	W	1.95

2.85

$28.50

95%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

6.00

-0.15

$-1.50

-2%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

6.00

-0.15

$-1.50

-2%

UFC Fight Night 188, Las Vegas, 21st Mar '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Derek Brunson	Kevin Holland	W	2.73	5	8.65	$86.50	173%
Gustavo Lopez	Adrian Yanez	L	2.95	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Marion Reneau	Macy Chiasson	L	2.90	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Leonardo Santos	Grant Dawson	L	2.90	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.87	20.00	-6.35	$-63.50	-32%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.00

-6.35

$-63.50

-32%

UFC Fight Night 186, Las Vegas, 28th Feb '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Pedro Munhoz	Jimmie Rivera	W	2.20	5	6.00	$60.00	120%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.20	5.00	6.00	$60.00	120%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

6.00

$60.00

120%

UFC Fight Night 185, Las Vegas, 20th Feb '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Derrick Lewis	Curtis Blaydes	W	4.65	3	10.95	$109.50	365%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			4.65	3.00	10.95	$109.50	365%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Andrei Arlovski vs Tom Aspinall	Aspinall wins in round 1	L	3.50

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

6.00

7.95

$79.50

133%

UFC 258, Las Vegas, 14th Feb '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Brian Kelleher	Ricky Simon	L	3.20	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Maki Pitolo	Julian Marquez	L	2.52	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.82	10.00	-10.00	$-100.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Kelvin Gastelum vs Ian Heinisch	Gastelum wins by TKO/KO	L	5.30

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

13.00

-13.00

$-130.00

-100%

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 6th Feb '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alistair Overeem	Alexander Volkov	L	2.77	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Carlos Diego Ferreira	Beneil Dariush	L	2.07	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Justin Jaynes	Devonte Smith	L	3.95	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.73	13.00	-13.00	$-130.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Michael Johnson vs Clay Guida	Guida wins by submission	L	13.40

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

14.00

-14.00

$-140.00

-100%

UFC 257, Yas Island, 24th Jan '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	L	1.45	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Andrew Sanchez	Makhmud Muradov	L	2.45	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov	Amir Albazi	L	2.02	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.88	15.00	-15.00	$-150.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier	McGregor wins by TKO/KO	L	1.57

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Daniel Hooker vs Michael Chandler	Hooker wins by TKO/KO	L	3.40

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

10.00

-10.00

$-100.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

25.00

-25.00

$-250.00

-100%

UFC on ESPN 20, Yas Island, 20th Jan '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Matt Schnell	Tyson Nam	W	2.20	5	6.00	$60.00	120%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.20	5.00	6.00	$60.00	120%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny	Magny wins in round 3	L	17.00

1.62

-1.62

$-16.20

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny	Magny wins in round 4	L	20.00

1.35

-1.35

$-13.50

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny	Magny wins in round 3	L	17.00

0.03

-0.03

$-0.30

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny	Magny wins in round 5	L	26.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Mike Davis vs Mason Jones	Jones wins in round 3	L	18.50

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

1.00

$10.00

10%

UFC FN, Yas Island, 16th Jan '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Calvin Kattar	Max Holloway	L	2.47	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Matt Brown	Carlos Condit	L	2.57	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Alessio Di Chirico	Joaquin Buckley	W	3.48	5	12.40	$124.00	248%
Punahele Soriano	Dusko Todorovic	W	2.40	3	4.20	$42.00	140%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.67	18.00	6.60	$66.00	37%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

18.00

6.60

$66.00

37%

UFC Vegas 17, Las Vegas, 19th Dec '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Stephen Thompson	Geoff Neal	W	2.00	5	5.00	$50.00	100%
Michel Pereira	Kalinn Williams	W	1.87	5	4.35	$43.50	87%
Gillian Robertson	Taila Santos	L	1.91	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.93	15.00	4.35	$43.50	29%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Greg Hardy vs Marcin Tybura	Fight goes to decision	L	2.55

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.00

-0.65

$-6.50

-3%

UFC 256, Las Vegas, 13th Dec '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	D	3.80	5	0.00	$0.00	0%
Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	W	2.46	5	7.30	$73.00	146%
Virna Jandiroba	Mackenzie Dern	L	2.61	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Gavin Tucker	Billy Quarantillo	W	2.42	5	7.10	$71.00	142%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.73	20.00	9.40	$94.00	47%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Ronaldo Souza vs Kevin Holland	Souza wins by submission	L	3.50

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Junior dos Santos vs Ciryl Gane	Gane wins by TKO/KO	W	2.00

3.00

$30.00

100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tony Ferguson vs Charles Oliveira	Ferguson wins in round 3	L	11.25

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Renato Moicano vs Rafael Fiziev	Fight goes to decision	L	2.05

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

12.00

-6.00

$-60.00

-50%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

32.00

3.40

$34.00

11%

UFC Vegas 16, Las Vegas, 6th Dec '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Ovince St Preux	Jamahal Hill	L	2.65	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Matt Wiman	Jordan Leavitt	L	4.65	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Jose Quinonez	Louis Smolka	L	2.10	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.81	11.00	-11.00	$-110.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

11.00

-11.00

$-110.00

-100%

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Anthony Smith vs Devin Clark	Over 2.5 rounds	L	1.80

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alex Perez	Deiveson Figueiredo	L	3.40	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Brandon Royval	Brandon Moreno	L	2.65	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Nicolas Dalby	Daniel Rodriguez	W	3.80	3	8.40	$84.00	280%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.21	13.00	-1.60	$-16.00	-12%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Tim Means vs Mike Perry	Fight goes to decision	W	2.36

6.80

$68.00

136%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Mauricio Rua vs Paul Craig	Rua wins by TKO/KO	L	7.48

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Joaquin Buckley vs Jordan Wright	Wright wins by TKO/KO	L	4.90

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Joaquin Buckley vs Jordan Wright	Buckley wins by decision	L	8.85

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Katlyn Chookagian vs Cynthia Calvillo	Chookagian wins by decision	W	4.25

9.75

$97.50

325%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

17.00

7.55

$75.50

44%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

30.00

5.95

$59.50

20%

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Paul Felder	Rafael dos Anjos	L	2.75	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Ashley Yoder	Miranda Granger	W	2.40	5	7.00	$70.00	140%
Sean Strickland	Brendan Allen	W	2.00	5	5.00	$50.00	100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.34	15.00	7.00	$70.00	47%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

15.00

7.00

$70.00

47%

UFC Vegas 13, Las Vegas, 8th Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Glover Teixeira	Thiago Santos	W	3.05	5	10.25	$102.50	205%
Andrei Arlovski	Tanner Boser	W	3.90	3	8.70	$87.00	290%
Claudia Gadelha	Yan Xiaonan	L	2.55	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Bevon Lewis	Trevin Giles	L	1.91	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Alexander Romanov	L	5.10	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.95	21.00	5.95	$59.50	28%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

21.00

5.95

$59.50

28%

>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

779 followers

Marximus (Marximus)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Straight Pick Stats

Progress Chart

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

UFC 264, Las Vegas, 10th Jul '21

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 8th May '21

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 1st May '21

UFC 261, Jacksonville, 24th Apr '21

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 10th Apr '21

UFC 260, Las Vegas, 28th Mar '21

UFC Fight Night 188, Las Vegas, 21st Mar '21

UFC Fight Night 186, Las Vegas, 28th Feb '21

UFC Fight Night 185, Las Vegas, 20th Feb '21

UFC 258, Las Vegas, 14th Feb '21

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 6th Feb '21

UFC 257, Yas Island, 24th Jan '21

UFC on ESPN 20, Yas Island, 20th Jan '21

UFC FN, Yas Island, 16th Jan '21

UFC Vegas 17, Las Vegas, 19th Dec '20

UFC 256, Las Vegas, 13th Dec '20

UFC Vegas 16, Las Vegas, 6th Dec '20

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20

UFC Vegas 13, Las Vegas, 8th Nov '20