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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

747 followers

Marximus (Marximus)

MMA MHandicapper - Marximus

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	205 (42%)	Right	151 (44%)	Right	54 (38%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	286 (58%)	Wrong	195 (56%)	Wrong	90 (63%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	2.62	Avg Odds	2.51	Avg Odds	2.92	Avg Odds	50.98
Units Bet	2,356.3	Units Bet	1,814.3	Units Bet	541.5	Units Bet	0.5
Avg Bet	4.80	Avg Bet	5.24	Avg Bet	3.76	Avg Bet	0.50
Units Profit	280.13	Units Profit	230.59	Units Profit	50.04	Units Profit	-0.50
ROI %	12%	ROI %	13%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	-100%

Straight Pick Stats

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (2%)	5	83 %	36.00	6.40	1.07	18%
Slight Favorites	46 (13%)	21	46 %	250.29	-21.91	-0.48	-9%
Slight Underdogs	197 (55%)	92	47 %	1,011.00	134.85	0.68	13%
Big Underdogs	108 (30%)	36	33 %	517.00	111.25	1.03	22%

Progress Chart

Chart

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

PICKS ARE ALL FREE FOR NOW

Hey guys, I'm Max from Germany and I'm good at making money with sportsbetting. I'm betting on MMA for a while now and noticed that I make profit quite steadily, so I started tracking my bets. I'm doing a bit of MMA training myself during my free time, so that can just help with the picks i guess. Feel free to tail, it won't be free forever.

When you look at my stats, you will see that under 50% of my picks are successful. That's because I like to go for underdog odds, since in my opinion, that's where the highest value lies. So if you play my bets, make sure to bet consistently with a decent bankroll strategy - if you just go for single picks or events, you may end up with loss instead of profit.

Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do fixed amounts) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.

I mostly post Pinncale or 5dimes odds, as they're the most widely accessible bookies in MMA. You may often find better odds with other bookies, or worse odds if you're seeing my play to late. My two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).

So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.

Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height

In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height

I usually post my bets the evening right before the fights, since limits are highest at that point. Keep an eye on your notifications to catch my bets in time before the fights start!

If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!

if anyone wants to tip it goes to

ullmann_max@yahoo.de (paypal)

or

3AkZTcLiYarEy2amXXYwVbDbDuYBsedmMw (bitcoin)

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

UFC 257, Abu Dhabi, 23rd Jan '21

Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Unit Bet
Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.45	5

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Anthony Smith vs Devin Clark	Over 2.5 rounds	L	1.80

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alex Perez	Deiveson Figueiredo	L	3.40	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Brandon Royval	Brandon Moreno	L	2.65	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Nicolas Dalby	Daniel Rodriguez	W	3.80	3	8.40	$84.00	280%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.21	13.00	-1.60	$-16.00	-12%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Tim Means vs Mike Perry	Fight goes to decision	W	2.36

6.80

$68.00

136%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Mauricio Rua vs Paul Craig	Rua wins by TKO/KO	L	7.48

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Joaquin Buckley vs Jordan Wright	Wright wins by TKO/KO	L	4.90

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Joaquin Buckley vs Jordan Wright	Buckley wins by decision	L	8.85

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Katlyn Chookagian vs Cynthia Calvillo	Chookagian wins by decision	W	4.25

9.75

$97.50

325%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

17.00

7.55

$75.50

44%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

30.00

5.95

$59.50

20%

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Paul Felder	Rafael dos Anjos	L	2.75	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Ashley Yoder	Miranda Granger	W	2.40	5	7.00	$70.00	140%
Sean Strickland	Brendan Allen	W	2.00	5	5.00	$50.00	100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.34	15.00	7.00	$70.00	47%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

15.00

7.00

$70.00

47%

UFC Vegas 13, Las Vegas, 8th Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Glover Teixeira	Thiago Santos	W	3.05	5	10.25	$102.50	205%
Andrei Arlovski	Tanner Boser	W	3.90	3	8.70	$87.00	290%
Claudia Gadelha	Yan Xiaonan	L	2.55	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Bevon Lewis	Trevin Giles	L	1.91	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Alexander Romanov	L	5.10	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.95	21.00	5.95	$59.50	28%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

21.00

5.95

$59.50

28%

UFC 254, Yas Island, 24th Oct '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Justin Gaethje	Khabib Nurmagomedov	L	3.71	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Walt Harris	Alexander Volkov	L	2.65	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.09	10.00	-10.00	$-100.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Robert Whittaker vs Jared Cannonier	Cannonier wins by TKO/KO	L	2.70

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

15.00

-15.00

$-150.00

-100%

UFC 253, Yas Island, 26th Sep '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Shane Young	Ludovit Klein	L	2.12	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.12	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Dominick Reyes vs Jan Blachowicz	Blachowicz wins inside distance	W	4.30

16.50

$165.00

330%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Diego Sanchez vs Jake Matthews	Sanchez wins by submission	L	20.10

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

6.00

15.50

$155.00

258%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

11.00

10.50

$105.00

95%

UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley, Las Vegas, 19th Sep '20

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert	Meerschaert wins by submission	L	8.65

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

UFC Fight Night 183, Las Vegas, 5th Sep '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Ovince St Preux	Alonzo Menifield	W	2.22	5	6.10	$61.00	122%
Zelim Imadaev	Michel Pereira	L	2.10	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Montana De La Rosa	Viviane Araujo	L	2.68	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.31	15.00	-3.90	$-39.00	-26%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

15.00

-3.90

$-39.00

-26%

UFC 252, Las Vegas, 15th Aug '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Junior dos Santos	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	L	2.10	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
John Dodson	Merab Dvalishvili	L	3.35	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Jim Miller	Vinc Pichel	L	2.05	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Felice Herrig	Virna Jandiroba	L	3.60	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.60	20.00	-20.00	$-200.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.00

-20.00

$-200.00

-100%

UFC Vegas 5, Las Vegas, 1st Aug '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Derek Brunson	Edmen Shahbazyan	W	3.95	5	14.75	$147.50	295%
Randy Brown	Vicente Luque	L	2.85	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.31	10.00	9.75	$97.50	98%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

9.75

$97.50

98%

UFC Fight Island 3, Yas Island, 25th Jul '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Rogerio Nogueira	Mauricio Rua	L	2.85	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Peter Sobotta	Alex Oliveira	L	2.35	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Francisco Trinaldo	Jai Herbert	W	2.00	5	5.00	$50.00	100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.35	15.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-33%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

15.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-33%

UFC Fight Island 2, Yas Island, 18th Jul '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Brett Johns	Montel Jackson	W	3.20	5	11.00	$110.00	220%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.20	5.00	11.00	$110.00	220%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Jack Hermansson vs Kelvin Gastelum	Hermansson wins inside distance	W	4.30

16.50

$165.00

330%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

16.50

$165.00

330%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

27.50

$275.00

275%

UFC Fight Island 1, Yas Island, 15th Jul '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Ryan Benoit	Tim Elliott	L	2.23	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.23	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

UFC Fight Night 175, Las Vegas, 27th Jun '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Daniel Hooker	Dustin Poirier	L	3.05	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Mike Perry	Mickey Gall	W	1.32	5	1.60	$16.00	32%
Kyle Daukaus	Brendan Allen	L	3.55	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Khama Worthy	Luis Pena	W	3.15	5	10.75	$107.50	215%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.37	20.00	2.35	$23.50	12%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.00

2.35

$23.50

12%

UFC Fight Night 174, Las Vegas, 20th Jun '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Josh Emmett	Shane Burgos	W	2.45	5	7.25	$72.50	145%
Jim Miller	Roosevelt Roberts	W	3.30	5	11.50	$115.00	230%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.81	10.00	18.75	$187.50	188%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

18.75

$187.50

188%

UFC 250, Las Vegas, 6th Jun '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Cory Sandhagen	Aljamain Sterling	L	1.98	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Eddie Wineland	Sean O'Malley	L	5.35	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Alex Caceres	Chase Hooper	W	2.90	5	9.50	$95.00	190%
Brian Kelleher	Cody Stamann	L	3.30	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Devin Clark	Alonzo Menifield	W	3.00	3	6.00	$60.00	200%
Evan Dunham	Herbert Burns	L	3.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.99	24.00	-0.50	$-5.00	-2%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Cody Garbrandt vs Raphael Assuncao	Assuncao wins by TKO/KO	L	5.35

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

29.00

-5.50

$-55.00

-19%

UFC Fight Night 172, Las Vegas, 30th May '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Gilbert Burns	Tyron Woodley	W	2.60	4	6.40	$64.00	160%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.60	4.00	6.40	$64.00	160%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tyron Woodley vs Gilbert Burns	Woodley wins by TKO/KO	L	2.72

-4.00

$-40.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

4.00

-4.00

$-40.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

8.00

2.40

$24.00

30%

UFC Fight Night 170, Florida, 14th May '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Glover Teixeira	Anthony Smith	W	2.65	5	8.25	$82.50	165%
Ray Borg	Ricky Simon	L	2.50	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Andrei Arlovski	Philipe Lins	W	2.70	5	8.50	$85.00	170%
Michael Johnson	Thiago Moises	L	2.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Gabriel Benitez	Omar Morales	L	2.50	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.44	25.00	1.75	$17.50	7%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Alexander Hernandez vs Drew Dober	Dober wins by TKO/KO	W	3.85

14.25

$142.50

285%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

14.25

$142.50

285%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

30.00

16.00

$160.00

53%

UFC 249, Florida, 10th May '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Justin Gaethje	Tony Ferguson	W	2.90	5	9.50	$95.00	190%
Dominick Cruz	Henry Cejudo	L	2.87	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.88	10.00	4.50	$45.00	45%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje	Gaethje wins in round 1	L	6.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

13.00

1.50

$15.00

12%

UFC Fight Night 169, Brasilia, 14th Mar '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Damir Hadzovic	Renato Moicano	L	4.60	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			4.60	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Johnny Walker vs Nikita Krylov	Krylov wins by TKO/KO	L	4.35

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

-10.00

$-100.00

-100%

>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

747 followers

Marximus (Marximus)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Straight Pick Stats

Progress Chart

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

UFC 257, Abu Dhabi, 23rd Jan '21

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20

UFC Vegas 13, Las Vegas, 8th Nov '20

UFC 254, Yas Island, 24th Oct '20

UFC 253, Yas Island, 26th Sep '20

UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley, Las Vegas, 19th Sep '20

UFC Fight Night 183, Las Vegas, 5th Sep '20

UFC 252, Las Vegas, 15th Aug '20

UFC Vegas 5, Las Vegas, 1st Aug '20

UFC Fight Island 3, Yas Island, 25th Jul '20

UFC Fight Island 2, Yas Island, 18th Jul '20

UFC Fight Island 1, Yas Island, 15th Jul '20

UFC Fight Night 175, Las Vegas, 27th Jun '20

UFC Fight Night 174, Las Vegas, 20th Jun '20

UFC 250, Las Vegas, 6th Jun '20

UFC Fight Night 172, Las Vegas, 30th May '20

UFC Fight Night 170, Florida, 14th May '20

UFC 249, Florida, 10th May '20

UFC Fight Night 169, Brasilia, 14th Mar '20