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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

691 followers

Marximus (Marximus)

MMA MHandicapper - Marximus

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	195 (42%)	Right	145 (44%)	Right	50 (38%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	268 (58%)	Wrong	184 (56%)	Wrong	83 (62%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	2.59	Avg Odds	2.49	Avg Odds	2.84	Avg Odds	50.99
Units Bet	2,181.3	Units Bet	1,680.3	Units Bet	500.5	Units Bet	0.5
Avg Bet	4.71	Avg Bet	5.11	Avg Bet	3.76	Avg Bet	0.50
Units Profit	270.38	Units Profit	247.39	Units Profit	23.49	Units Profit	-0.50
ROI %	12%	ROI %	15%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	-100%

Straight Pick Stats

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (2%)	5	83 %	36.00	6.40	1.07	18%
Slight Favorites	45 (14%)	21	47 %	245.29	-16.91	-0.38	-7%
Slight Underdogs	180 (55%)	88	49 %	926.00	176.75	0.98	19%
Big Underdogs	98 (30%)	31	32 %	473.00	81.15	0.83	17%

Progress Chart

Chart

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

PICKS ARE ALL FREE FOR NOW

Hey guys, I'm Max from Germany and I'm good at making money with sportsbetting. I'm betting on MMA for a while now and noticed that I make profit quite steadily, so I started tracking my bets. I'm doing a bit of MMA training myself during my free time, so that can just help with the picks i guess. Feel free to tail, it won't be free forever.

When you look at my stats, you will see that under 50% of my picks are successful. That's because I like to go for underdog odds, since in my opinion, that's where the highest value lies. So if you play my bets, make sure to bet consistently with a decent bankroll strategy - if you just go for single picks or events, you may end up with loss instead of profit.

Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do fixed amounts) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.

I mostly post Pinncale or 5dimes odds, as they're the most widely accessible bookies in MMA. You may often find better odds with other bookies, or worse odds if you're seeing my play to late. My two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).

So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.

Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height

In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height

If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night 175, Las Vegas, 27th Jun '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Daniel Hooker	Dustin Poirier	L	3.05	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Mike Perry	Mickey Gall	W	1.32	5	1.60	$16.00	32%
Kyle Daukaus	Brendan Allen	L	3.55	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Khama Worthy	Luis Pena	W	3.15	5	10.75	$107.50	215%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.37	20.00	2.35	$23.50	12%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.00

2.35

$23.50

12%

UFC Fight Night 174, Las Vegas, 20th Jun '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Josh Emmett	Shane Burgos	W	2.45	5	7.25	$72.50	145%
Jim Miller	Roosevelt Roberts	W	3.30	5	11.50	$115.00	230%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.81	10.00	18.75	$187.50	188%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

18.75

$187.50

188%

UFC 250, Las Vegas, 6th Jun '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Cory Sandhagen	Aljamain Sterling	L	1.98	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Eddie Wineland	Sean O'Malley	L	5.35	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Alex Caceres	Chase Hooper	W	2.90	5	9.50	$95.00	190%
Brian Kelleher	Cody Stamann	L	3.30	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Devin Clark	Alonzo Menifield	W	3.00	3	6.00	$60.00	200%
Evan Dunham	Herbert Burns	L	3.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.99	24.00	-0.50	$-5.00	-2%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Cody Garbrandt vs Raphael Assuncao	Assuncao wins by TKO/KO	L	5.35

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

29.00

-5.50

$-55.00

-19%

UFC Fight Night 172, Las Vegas, 30th May '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Gilbert Burns	Tyron Woodley	W	2.60	4	6.40	$64.00	160%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.60	4.00	6.40	$64.00	160%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tyron Woodley vs Gilbert Burns	Woodley wins by TKO/KO	L	2.72

-4.00

$-40.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

4.00

-4.00

$-40.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

8.00

2.40

$24.00

30%

UFC Fight Night 170, Florida, 14th May '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Glover Teixeira	Anthony Smith	W	2.65	5	8.25	$82.50	165%
Ray Borg	Ricky Simon	L	2.50	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Andrei Arlovski	Philipe Lins	W	2.70	5	8.50	$85.00	170%
Michael Johnson	Thiago Moises	L	2.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Gabriel Benitez	Omar Morales	L	2.50	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.44	25.00	1.75	$17.50	7%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Alexander Hernandez vs Drew Dober	Dober wins by TKO/KO	W	3.85

14.25

$142.50

285%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

14.25

$142.50

285%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

30.00

16.00

$160.00

53%

UFC 249, Florida, 10th May '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Justin Gaethje	Tony Ferguson	W	2.90	5	9.50	$95.00	190%
Dominick Cruz	Henry Cejudo	L	2.87	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.88	10.00	4.50	$45.00	45%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje	Gaethje wins in round 1	L	6.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

13.00

1.50

$15.00

12%

UFC Fight Night 169, Brasilia, 14th Mar '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Damir Hadzovic	Renato Moicano	L	4.60	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			4.60	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Johnny Walker vs Nikita Krylov	Krylov wins by TKO/KO	L	4.35

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

-10.00

$-100.00

-100%

UFC 248, Las Vegas, 8th Mar '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Weili Zhang	L	2.80	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.80	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

UFC 247, Houston, 9th Feb '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Dominick Reyes	Jon Jones	L	5.25	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			5.25	3.00	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Mirsad Bektic vs Dan Ige	Ige wins by TKO/KO	L	5.45

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

6.00

-6.00

$-60.00

-100%

UFC 246, Las Vegas, 18th Jan '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Drew Dober	Nasrat Haqparast	W	3.90	5	14.50	$145.00	290%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.90	5.00	14.50	$145.00	290%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Conor McGregor vs Donald Cerrone	McGregor wins in round 1	W	3.25

6.75

$67.50

225%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

6.75

$67.50

225%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

8.00

21.25

$212.50

266%

UFC Fight Night 165, Busan, 21st Dec '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Frankie Edgar	Chan Sung Jung	L	2.55	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Volkan Oezdemir	Aleksandar Rakic	W	2.35	5	6.75	$67.50	135%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.45	10.00	1.75	$17.50	18%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

1.75

$17.50

18%

UFC on ESPN 7, Washington, 7th Dec '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alistair Overeem	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	L	1.90	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Alistair Overeem	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	L	2.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.95	10.00	-10.00	$-100.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

-10.00

$-100.00

-100%

UFC Fight Night 164, Sao Paulo, 16th Nov '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jared Gordon	Charles Oliveira	L	4.75	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Markus Perez	Wellington Turman	L	1.99	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.80	8.00	-8.00	$-80.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

8.00

-8.00

$-80.00

-100%

UFC 244, New York, 2nd Nov '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Nate Diaz	Jorge Masvidal	L	2.55	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Darren Till	Kelvin Gastelum	W	3.20	5	11.00	$110.00	220%
Stephen Thompson	Vicente Luque	W	1.95	5	4.75	$47.50	95%
Stephen Thompson	Vicente Luque	W	1.98	5	4.90	$49.00	98%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.32	20.00	15.65	$156.50	78%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.00

15.65

$156.50

78%

UFC ESPN 6, Boston, 18th Oct '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Charles Rosa	Manny Bermudez	W	2.50	5	7.50	$75.00	150%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.50	5.00	7.50	$75.00	150%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Deron Winn vs Darren Stewart	Stewart wins by TKO/KO	L	5.30

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

8.00

4.50

$45.00

56%

UFC on ESPN+ 19, San Francisco, 12th Oct '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Cub Swanson	Kron Gracie	W	2.55	5	7.75	$77.50	155%
Andrew Sanchez	Marvin Vettori	L	4.15	4	-4.00	$-40.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.16	9.00	3.75	$37.50	42%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

9.00

3.75

$37.50

42%

UFC Fight Night 160, Copenhagen, 28th Sep '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jared Cannonier	Jack Hermansson	W	3.01	5	10.05	$100.50	201%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.01	5.00	10.05	$100.50	201%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Gunnar Nelson vs Gilbert Burns	Nelson wins inside distance	L	5.20

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Gunnar Nelson vs Gilbert Burns	Nelson wins inside distance	L	5.75

-2.00

$-20.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

5.05

$50.50

50%

UFC Fight Night 159, Mexico City, 21st Sep '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jeremy Stephens	Yair Rodriguez	NC	2.00	5	0.00	$0.00	0%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.00	5.00	0.00	$0.00	0%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

0.00

$0.00

UFC 242, Abu Dhabi, 7th Sep '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Dustin Poirier	Khabib Nurmagomedov	L	4.80	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Shamil Abdurakhimov	Curtis Blaydes	L	5.20	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Carlos Diego Ferreira	Mairbek Taisumov	W	3.30	5	11.50	$115.00	230%
Nordine Taleb	Muslim Salikhov	L	2.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.32	20.00	-3.50	$-35.00	-18%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.00

-3.50

$-35.00

-18%

UFC 241, Anaheim, 17th Aug '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Gabriel Benitez	Sodiq Yusuff	L	3.48	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Casey Kenney	Manny Bermudez	W	2.45	5	7.25	$72.50	145%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.88	10.00	2.25	$22.50	23%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Yoel Romero vs Paulo Costa	Romero wins in round 3	L	11.00

0.5

-0.50

$-5.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

0.50

-0.50

$-5.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.50

1.75

$17.50

17%

>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

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MMA Handicapper Profile: Marximus

691 followers

Marximus (Marximus)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Straight Pick Stats

Progress Chart

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus

Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

UFC Fight Night 175, Las Vegas, 27th Jun '20

UFC Fight Night 174, Las Vegas, 20th Jun '20

UFC 250, Las Vegas, 6th Jun '20

UFC Fight Night 172, Las Vegas, 30th May '20

UFC Fight Night 170, Florida, 14th May '20

UFC 249, Florida, 10th May '20

UFC Fight Night 169, Brasilia, 14th Mar '20

UFC 248, Las Vegas, 8th Mar '20

UFC 247, Houston, 9th Feb '20

UFC 246, Las Vegas, 18th Jan '20

UFC Fight Night 165, Busan, 21st Dec '19

UFC on ESPN 7, Washington, 7th Dec '19

UFC Fight Night 164, Sao Paulo, 16th Nov '19

UFC 244, New York, 2nd Nov '19

UFC ESPN 6, Boston, 18th Oct '19

UFC on ESPN+ 19, San Francisco, 12th Oct '19

UFC Fight Night 160, Copenhagen, 28th Sep '19

UFC Fight Night 159, Mexico City, 21st Sep '19

UFC 242, Abu Dhabi, 7th Sep '19

UFC 241, Anaheim, 17th Aug '19