| |
|
|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
75 (30%) |
61 |
81 % |
361.50 |
56.90 |
0.76 |
16% |
| Slight Favorites |
68 (28%) |
32 |
47 % |
248.75 |
-64.78 |
-0.95 |
-26% |
| Slight Underdogs |
63 (26%) |
29 |
46 % |
84.40 |
-0.50 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
| Big Underdogs |
40 (16%) |
10 |
25 % |
36.20 |
-1.96 |
-0.05 |
-5% |
|
Progress Chart
|
|
Lock of the Night 's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
Follow me @MMALOTN
I create betting and MMA-related content on a weekly basis on my YouTube channel. I also have a Patreon page for people are interested in bonus content!
Here is what a full week of FREE content looks like:
Monday - "Combatosseurs"
Combatosseurs is a free-flowing podcast I do with one of my best friends, Tony. There is no real set format other than we record the day after UFC events and try to dissect the fallout. Wherever the conversation goes, it goes! Free on YouTube and all podcasting platforms.
Tuesday - "The MMA Lock-Cast"
The MMA Lock-Cast is my flagship podcast where I cover the upcoming UFC event from top to bottom with a focus on the betting side of things. Free on Youtube and all podcasting platforms.
Sunday - "Deciding Splits"
This will be a segment me and Tony do, in conjunction with Combatosseurs, where we go over any controversial decisions from the most recent UFC event. In the event of no questionable decisions, there won't be an episode released. Free on YouTube and all podcasting platforms.
On top of all this free content, Patreon members will enjoy the content listed below.
**PATREON EXCLUSIVE CONTENT**
Every official MMALOTN bet - Subscribers will have access to every single official bet I make even when I am charging the public. Normally, my policy is that I will only charge the public for picks when I have profited on 3 straight events that include a Lock of the Night bet. If I run into a losing event, the next 3 events need to hit a profit for me to charge the public again.
LOTN PATREON PARLAY - For every UFC event I'll release an exclusive parlay strictly for Patreon members, even when the rest of my plays are free for the public. These will be 3-5 leg parlays of my most confident picks.
Early release of The MMA Lock-Cast breakdowns. I have begun recording every breakdown as I finish researching them. Sometimes a week ahead of releasing the full podcast. Patreon members get these as soon as I finish recording.
Late Fight-Week Line Thoughts - The day before UFC events, I will release a quick video to go over any significant line movements that occurred since I dropped my Lock Cast podcast. There is usually a good amount of line movement that I wish I could discuss with followers of mine, and I believe this is the perfect platform. I may not play some of these line movements, especially if I already played the line earlier in the week, but I am more than happy to give advice to people who have yet to place any wagers.
Best Bets article - I will give a brief breakdown of what the best moneyline/straight or total is for every fight on the card. These are not official bets, but they are my choices of what I would play if I bet every fight.
Creating a little structure to my pricing to make it fair. Prices will be dictated by my LOTN hit % (see below for current win %). See below for exact numbers.
Price structure:
1%-79% = $20
80%-89% = $35
90%-99% = $50
If I lose an event with a LOTN on it, I will post my next 3 events for free. As long as all 3 are hits, my 4th and moving forward will be paid picks. I feel this is the best method to selling picks.
Plays that I missed posting on here (counted in record in notes, not betmma stats):
LFA 43 - Brendan Allen vs. Larry Crowe
Allen 5u @ -290 WON +1.72u
UFC Shenzhen - Anthony Hernandez/Jun Yung Park FDGTD (5u) @ -175
2019: 99-117 -41.82u
|
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Lock of the Night |
|
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
Lock of the Night 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
2.93 |
$29.29 |
29% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Jordan Griffin vs Youssef Zalal |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.40 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-2.40 |
$-24.05 |
-20% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Cortney Casey vs Gillian Robertson |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.19 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Jim Miller vs Roosevelt Roberts |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.00 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.50 |
-2.50 |
$-25.00 |
-45% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.50 |
-1.59 |
$-15.90 |
-21% |
|
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Julia Avila vs Gina Mazany |
Avila to win |
W |
1.17 |
| Pi |
Christian Aguilera vs Anthony Ivy |
Ivy to win |
L |
1.53 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.79 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Cynthia Calvillo vs Jessica Eye |
Calvillo wins inside distance |
L |
3.65 |
|
|
0.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Mariya Agapova vs Hannah Cifers |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.56 |
|
|
1 |
1.56 |
$15.60 |
156% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.75 |
-4.19 |
$-41.90 |
-62% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.75 |
-4.19 |
$-41.90 |
-62% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Amanda Nunes vs Felicia Spencer |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.51 |
|
|
2 |
1.01 |
$10.10 |
51% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Cody Garbrandt vs Raphael Assuncao |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
1.15 |
$11.50 |
115% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
2.16 |
$21.60 |
72% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.50 |
-3.84 |
$-38.43 |
-31% |
|
|
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Gilbert Burns |
Tyron Woodley |
W |
2.64 |
1 |
1.64 |
$16.40 |
164% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.64 |
1.00 |
1.64 |
$16.40 |
164% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Billy Quarantillo vs Spike Carlyle |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.71 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.00 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
-2.36 |
$-23.60 |
-47% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Darren Elkins vs Nate Landwehr |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.60 |
|
|
1.3 |
-1.30 |
$-13.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Kevin Holland vs Anthony Hernandez |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.70 |
|
|
1 |
1.70 |
$17.00 |
170% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.30 |
0.40 |
$4.00 |
17% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.05 |
5.10 |
$51.05 |
46% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Gabriel Benitez vs Omar Morales |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.25 |
|
|
1.1 |
-1.10 |
$-11.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.10 |
-1.10 |
$-11.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.60 |
-6.60 |
$-66.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.60 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.85 |
-6.85 |
$-68.50 |
-100% |
|
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Randa Markos vs Amanda Ribas |
Ribas wins inside distance |
L |
4.10 |
|
|
0.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.63 |
|
|
5 |
3.13 |
$31.25 |
63% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Demian Maia vs Gilbert Burns |
Burns to win |
W |
1.54 |
| Pi |
Rani Yahya vs Enrique Barzola |
Barzola to win |
NA |
1.54 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.36 |
|
|
1.25 |
0.67 |
$6.72 |
54% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.63 |
| Pi |
Demian Maia vs Gilbert Burns |
Burns to win |
W |
1.54 |
| Pi |
Randa Markos vs Amanda Ribas |
Ribas to win |
W |
1.30 |
| Pi |
Rani Yahya vs Enrique Barzola |
Barzola to win |
NA |
1.54 |
| Pi |
Maryna Moroz vs Mayra Bueno Silva |
Bueno Silva to win |
L |
1.73 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
8.65 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.25 |
2.80 |
$27.97 |
39% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.25 |
2.80 |
$27.97 |
39% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Israel Adesanya vs Yoel Romero |
Adesanya to win |
W |
1.36 |
| Pi |
Jamall Emmers vs Giga Chikadze |
Emmers to win |
L |
1.58 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.16 |
|
|
2.25 |
-2.25 |
$-22.50 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Israel Adesanya vs Yoel Romero |
Adesanya to win |
W |
1.41 |
| Pi |
Beneil Dariush vs Drakkar Klose |
Dariush to win |
W |
1.60 |
| Pi |
Jamall Emmers vs Giga Chikadze |
Emmers to win |
L |
1.58 |
| PrPi |
Rodolfo Vieira vs Saparbek Safarov |
Vieira wins inside distance |
W |
1.41 |
| Pr |
Guido Cannetti vs Danaa Batgerel |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.10 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
10.54 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
-2.50 |
$-25.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.75 |
1.49 |
$14.91 |
14% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Joseph Benavidez vs Deiveson Figueiredo |
Under 4.5 rounds |
W |
2.40 |
|
|
1 |
1.40 |
$14.00 |
140% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Joseph Benavidez vs Deiveson Figueiredo |
Benavidez to win |
L |
1.66 |
| Pr |
Felicia Spencer vs Zara Fairn Dos Santos |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.71 |
| Pi |
Ion Cutelaba vs Magomed Ankalaev |
Ankalaev to win |
W |
1.49 |
| Pi |
Jordan Griffin vs T.J. Brown |
Griffin to win |
W |
1.76 |
| Pi |
Aalon Cruz vs Spike Carlyle |
Cruz to win |
L |
1.57 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
11.68 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.25 |
1.15 |
$11.50 |
92% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.75 |
3.09 |
$30.89 |
46% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Kai Kara-France vs Tyson Nam |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.85 |
|
|
0.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Yan Xiaonan |
Xiaonan wins inside distance |
L |
5.80 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Paul Felder vs Daniel Hooker |
Hooker to win |
W |
1.66 |
| Pi |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Yan Xiaonan |
Xiaonan to win |
W |
1.37 |
| Pi |
Jim Crute vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Oleksiejczuk to win |
L |
1.82 |
| Pi |
Priscila Cachoeira vs Shana Dobson |
Dobson to win |
L |
1.51 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
6.25 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.25 |
-1.25 |
$-12.50 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.20 |
-0.59 |
$-5.95 |
-8% |
|
|
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Merab Dvalishvili |
Casey Kenney |
W |
1.62 |
3.5 |
2.16 |
$21.61 |
62% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.62 |
3.50 |
2.16 |
$21.61 |
62% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Corey Anderson vs Jan Blachowicz |
Anderson to win |
L |
1.54 |
| Pi |
Mara Romero Borella vs Montana De La Rosa |
De La Rosa to win |
W |
1.60 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.46 |
|
|
2.5 |
-2.50 |
$-25.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Yancy Medeiros vs Lando Vannata |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.12 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Jim Miller vs Scott Holtzman |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.93 |
|
|
1.75 |
-1.75 |
$-17.50 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Corey Anderson vs Jan Blachowicz |
Anderson to win |
L |
1.45 |
| Pi |
Mara Romero Borella vs Montana De La Rosa |
De La Rosa to win |
W |
1.58 |
| Pi |
Casey Kenney vs Merab Dvalishvili |
Dvalishvili to win |
W |
1.60 |
| Pi |
Mark Delarosa vs Raulian Paiva |
Paiva to win |
W |
1.42 |
| Pi |
Ray Borg vs Rogerio Bontorin |
Borg to win |
W |
1.68 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
8.72 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
-6.00 |
$-60.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.50 |
-3.84 |
$-38.40 |
-40% |
|
UFC 247, Houston,
9th Feb '20 |
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Mirsad Bektic |
Dan Ige |
L |
1.76 |
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.76 |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Youssef Zalal vs Austin Lingo |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.77 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Alex Morono vs Kalinn Williams |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.35 |
|
|
1.4 |
1.89 |
$18.90 |
135% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.40 |
-2.11 |
$-21.10 |
-39% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.40 |
-4.11 |
$-41.10 |
-56% |
|
Invicta 39, Kansas City,
7th Feb '20 |
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Ashley Cummins |
Jinh Yu Frey |
L |
3.25 |
0.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-100% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
3.25 |
0.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
0.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Jamahal Hill vs Darko Stosic |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.98 |
|
|
1.4 |
-1.40 |
$-14.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Jamahal Hill vs Darko Stosic |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
0.3 |
-0.30 |
$-3.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.70 |
-1.70 |
$-17.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.00 |
-7.00 |
$-70.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Maycee Barber vs Roxanne Modafferi |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.20 |
$12.00 |
80% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Nasrat Haqparast vs Drew Dober |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.50 |
|
|
1.8 |
2.70 |
$27.00 |
150% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.30 |
3.90 |
$39.00 |
118% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
6.90 |
$69.03 |
58% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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