|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
90 (28%) |
73 |
81 % |
433.50 |
67.04 |
0.74 |
15% |
Slight Favorites |
88 (27%) |
44 |
50 % |
298.20 |
-66.60 |
-0.76 |
-22% |
Slight Underdogs |
92 (28%) |
47 |
51 % |
118.15 |
15.53 |
0.17 |
13% |
Big Underdogs |
57 (17%) |
17 |
30 % |
50.95 |
7.32 |
0.13 |
14% |
|
Progress Chart
|
Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Lock of the Night 's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
Follow me @MMALOTN to see my bets. When I am not selling my bets, I will post them for free after the weigh ins on my Twitter account. Patrons get early access to my bets as I place them.
I create betting and MMA-related content on a weekly basis on my YouTube channel. I also have a Patreon page for people are interested in bonus content!
**PATREON EXCLUSIVE CONTENT**
Every official MMALOTN bet - Subscribers will have access to every single official bet I make even when I am charging the public. Normally, my policy is that I will only charge the public for picks when I have profited on 3 straight events that include a Lock of the Night bet. If I run into a losing event, the next 3 events need to hit a profit for me to charge the public again.
LOTN PATREON PARLAY - For every UFC event I'll release an exclusive parlay strictly for Patreon members, even when the rest of my plays are free for the public. These will be 3-5 leg parlays of my most confident picks.
Early release of The MMA Lock-Cast breakdowns. I have begun recording every breakdown as I finish researching them. Sometimes a week ahead of releasing the full podcast. Patreon members get these as soon as I finish recording.
Best Bets & Props article - I will give a brief breakdown of what the best moneyline/straight or total is for every fight on the card. These are not official bets, but they are my choices of what I would play if I bet every fight.
Creating a little structure to my pricing to make it fair. Prices will be dictated by my LOTN hit % (see below for current win %). See below for exact numbers.
Price structure:
1%-79% = $20
80%-89% = $35
90%-99% = $50
If I lose an event with a LOTN on it, I will post my next 3 events for free. As long as all 3 are hits, my 4th and moving forward will be paid picks. I feel this is the best method to selling picks.
Plays that I missed posting on here (counted in record in notes, not betmma stats):
LFA 43 - Brendan Allen vs. Larry Crowe
Allen 5u @ -290 WON +1.72u
UFC Shenzhen - Anthony Hernandez/Jun Yung Park FDGTD (5u) @ -175
2019: -41.82u
2020: +12.24u
|
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Lock of the Night |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
Lock of the Night 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jack Shore vs Hunter Azure |
Shore wins in round 3 |
L |
15.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.25 |
3.19 |
$31.92 |
51% |
|
Bellator 256, Uncasville,
9th Apr '21 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Lyoto Machida |
Ryan Bader |
L |
3.66 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
3.66 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Cat Zingano vs Olivia Parker |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.58 |
|
|
4 |
2.34 |
$23.39 |
58% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.00 |
2.34 |
$23.39 |
58% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
1.34 |
$13.39 |
27% |
|
Bellator 255, Uncasville,
2nd Apr '21 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Fabio Aguiar vs Khalid Murtazaliev |
Murtazaliev to win |
W |
1.36 |
|
|
4 |
1.45 |
$14.55 |
36% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Patricio Freire vs Emmanuel Sanchez |
Under 4.5 rounds |
W |
2.38 |
|
|
1 |
1.38 |
$13.80 |
138% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
2.83 |
$28.35 |
57% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
2.83 |
$28.35 |
57% |
|
UFC 260, Las Vegas,
28th Mar '21 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Omar Morales |
Shane Young |
W |
1.51 |
5 |
2.55 |
$25.51 |
51% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.51 |
5.00 |
2.55 |
$25.51 |
51% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Gillian Robertson vs Miranda Maverick |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.00 |
1.55 |
$15.51 |
26% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Derek Brunson |
Kevin Holland |
W |
2.50 |
1 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
150% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
1.00 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
150% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Montel Jackson vs Jesse Strader |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.52 |
|
|
4 |
2.09 |
$20.94 |
52% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Marion Reneau vs Macy Chiasson |
Reneau wins in round 3 |
L |
17.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Marion Reneau vs Macy Chiasson |
Reneau wins inside distance |
L |
4.60 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.50 |
1.59 |
$15.94 |
35% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.50 |
3.09 |
$30.94 |
56% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.00 |
1.14 |
$11.40 |
19% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.50 |
0.54 |
$5.41 |
10% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Pedro Munhoz vs Jimmie Rivera |
Rivera to win |
L |
1.69 |
Pi |
Nikita Krylov vs Magomed Ankalaev |
Ankalaev to win |
W |
1.28 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.17 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.00 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.50 |
-6.13 |
$-61.35 |
-72% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Jared Gordon |
Danny Chavez |
W |
2.20 |
1.5 |
1.80 |
$18.00 |
120% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.20 |
1.50 |
1.80 |
$18.00 |
120% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Ketlen Vieira vs Yana Kunitskaya |
Vieira to win |
L |
1.36 |
Pr |
Aleksei Oleinik vs Chris Daukaus |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.61 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.18 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Charles Rosa vs Darrick Minner |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.63 |
|
|
2.5 |
-2.50 |
$-25.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Eddie Wineland vs John Castaneda |
Castaneda to win |
W |
1.82 |
|
|
1 |
0.82 |
$8.20 |
82% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis |
Blaydes wins inside distance |
L |
1.60 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
9.00 |
-7.18 |
$-71.80 |
-80% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.50 |
-5.38 |
$-53.80 |
-51% |
|
UFC 258, Las Vegas,
14th Feb '21 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Alexa Grasso |
Maycee Barber |
W |
1.83 |
1.5 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
83% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.83 |
1.50 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Martin Day vs Timur Valiev |
Valiev to win |
W |
1.27 |
Pi |
Kamaru Usman vs Gilbert Burns |
Usman to win |
W |
1.39 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.14 |
|
|
3 |
2.30 |
$22.99 |
77% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mallory Martin vs Polyana Viana |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.80 |
|
|
1 |
1.80 |
$18.00 |
180% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Kamaru Usman vs Gilbert Burns |
Usman to win |
W |
1.42 |
Pr |
Rodolfo Vieira vs Anthony Hernandez |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.21 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.72 |
|
|
2 |
1.44 |
$14.37 |
72% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Belal Muhammad vs Dhiego Lima |
Lima wins by decision |
L |
12.50 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.20 |
5.34 |
$53.37 |
86% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.70 |
6.59 |
$65.87 |
86% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Mike Rodriguez vs Danilo Marques |
Rodriguez to win |
L |
1.45 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Devonte Smith vs Justin Jaynes |
Jaynes wins in round 1 |
L |
7.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.25 |
-5.25 |
$-52.50 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.75 |
-5.15 |
$-51.50 |
-59% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Khalil Rountree vs Marcin Prachnio |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.60 |
|
|
3.5 |
-3.50 |
$-35.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez vs Amanda Ribas |
Alcalde Rodriguez wins by TKO/KO |
W |
14.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
3.37 |
$33.75 |
1,350% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.75 |
-0.13 |
$-1.25 |
-3% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.50 |
1.33 |
$13.34 |
14% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Mounir Lazzez |
Warlley Alves |
L |
1.45 |
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.45 |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ike Villanueva vs Vinicius Moreira |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.90 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.35 |
$13.51 |
90% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny |
Under 4.5 rounds |
L |
2.25 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny |
Magny to win |
L |
1.75 |
Pi |
Ricky Simon vs Gaetano Pirrello |
Simon to win |
W |
1.25 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.19 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Victoria Leonardo vs Manon Fiorot |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.65 |
|
|
1 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
165% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tyson Nam vs Matt Schnell |
Nam wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
-0.50 |
$-4.99 |
-8% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.00 |
-5.50 |
$-54.99 |
-50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Li Jingliang |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.61 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Austin Lingo vs Jacob Kilburn |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.13 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Joaquin Buckley vs Alessio Di Chirico |
Buckley to win |
L |
1.37 |
Pi |
Carlos Felipe vs Justin Tafa |
Felipe to win |
W |
1.53 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.10 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.00 |
-7.00 |
$-70.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.00 |
-9.00 |
$-90.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Gillian Robertson vs Taila Santos |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.50 |
5.87 |
$58.71 |
62% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Junior dos Santos vs Ciryl Gane |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.83 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Billy Quarantillo vs Gavin Tucker |
Tucker wins by TKO/KO |
L |
10.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.75 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
57% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.25 |
-2.56 |
$-25.60 |
-25% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Ovince St Preux vs Jamahal Hill |
Hill to win |
W |
1.57 |
Pr |
Damon Jackson vs Ilia Topuria |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.65 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.59 |
|
|
1.5 |
2.38 |
$23.78 |
159% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Louis Smolka vs Jose Quinonez |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.30 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.95 |
$19.50 |
130% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Roman Dolidze vs John Allan |
Dolidze to win |
W |
1.58 |
|
|
2 |
1.17 |
$11.70 |
58% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Gian Villante vs Jake Collier |
Collier wins by decision |
W |
6.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
500% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.25 |
6.75 |
$67.47 |
129% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.25 |
11.11 |
$111.07 |
99% |
|
UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas,
29th Nov '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Miguel Baeza |
Takashi Sato |
W |
1.67 |
4 |
2.67 |
$26.67 |
67% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.67 |
4.00 |
2.67 |
$26.67 |
67% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Su Mudaerji vs Malcolm Gordon |
Mudaerji wins by TKO/KO |
W |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
150% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
150% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
4.17 |
$41.67 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Louis Cosce vs Sasha Palatnikov |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.71 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mauricio Rua vs Paul Craig |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.10 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
110% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Valentina Shevchenko vs Jennifer Maia |
Shevchenko wins inside distance |
L |
1.63 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
8.50 |
-5.35 |
$-53.50 |
-63% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.00 |
-4.74 |
$-47.40 |
-43% |
|
Bellator 253, Uncasville,
19th Nov '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Darrion Caldwell |
A.J. McKee |
L |
3.65 |
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
3.65 |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
|
|
|