|
|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
87 (28%) |
70 |
80 % |
419.50 |
60.23 |
0.69 |
14% |
Slight Favorites |
85 (27%) |
43 |
51 % |
292.70 |
-63.85 |
-0.75 |
-22% |
Slight Underdogs |
84 (27%) |
41 |
49 % |
109.15 |
9.41 |
0.11 |
9% |
Big Underdogs |
56 (18%) |
17 |
30 % |
49.95 |
8.32 |
0.15 |
17% |
|
Progress Chart
|
Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Lock of the Night 's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
Follow me @MMALOTN to see my bets. When I am not selling my bets, I will post them for free after the weigh ins on my Twitter account. Patrons get early access to my bets as I place them.
I create betting and MMA-related content on a weekly basis on my YouTube channel. I also have a Patreon page for people are interested in bonus content!
**PATREON EXCLUSIVE CONTENT**
Every official MMALOTN bet - Subscribers will have access to every single official bet I make even when I am charging the public. Normally, my policy is that I will only charge the public for picks when I have profited on 3 straight events that include a Lock of the Night bet. If I run into a losing event, the next 3 events need to hit a profit for me to charge the public again.
LOTN PATREON PARLAY - For every UFC event I'll release an exclusive parlay strictly for Patreon members, even when the rest of my plays are free for the public. These will be 3-5 leg parlays of my most confident picks.
Early release of The MMA Lock-Cast breakdowns. I have begun recording every breakdown as I finish researching them. Sometimes a week ahead of releasing the full podcast. Patreon members get these as soon as I finish recording.
Best Bets & Props article - I will give a brief breakdown of what the best moneyline/straight or total is for every fight on the card. These are not official bets, but they are my choices of what I would play if I bet every fight.
Creating a little structure to my pricing to make it fair. Prices will be dictated by my LOTN hit % (see below for current win %). See below for exact numbers.
Price structure:
1%-79% = $20
80%-89% = $35
90%-99% = $50
If I lose an event with a LOTN on it, I will post my next 3 events for free. As long as all 3 are hits, my 4th and moving forward will be paid picks. I feel this is the best method to selling picks.
Plays that I missed posting on here (counted in record in notes, not betmma stats):
LFA 43 - Brendan Allen vs. Larry Crowe
Allen 5u @ -290 WON +1.72u
UFC Shenzhen - Anthony Hernandez/Jun Yung Park FDGTD (5u) @ -175
2019: -41.82u
2020: +12.24u
|
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Lock of the Night |
UFC FN, Las Vegas, 6th Feb '21
Props and Parlays |
|
|
Unit
Bet |
|
|
Paid Pick: Hidden Parlay. Parlay includes: 2 straight fight picks.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Buy Lock of the Night 's MMA Picks! |
Click below to purchase this handicapper's paid picks for $25.00
You will be able to view any more paid picks they make between now and the next event for no extra charge. The next event is
UFC FN (06 Feb, 2021, 11:59 PM GMT)
|
Lock of the Night 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Khalil Rountree vs Marcin Prachnio |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.60 |
|
|
3.5 |
-3.50 |
$-35.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez vs Amanda Ribas |
Alcalde Rodriguez wins by TKO/KO |
W |
14.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
3.37 |
$33.75 |
1,350% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.75 |
-0.13 |
$-1.25 |
-3% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.50 |
1.33 |
$13.34 |
14% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Mounir Lazzez |
Warlley Alves |
L |
1.45 |
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.45 |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ike Villanueva vs Vinicius Moreira |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.90 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.35 |
$13.51 |
90% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny |
Under 4.5 rounds |
L |
2.25 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny |
Magny to win |
L |
1.75 |
Pi |
Ricky Simon vs Gaetano Pirrello |
Simon to win |
W |
1.25 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.19 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Victoria Leonardo vs Manon Fiorot |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.65 |
|
|
1 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
165% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tyson Nam vs Matt Schnell |
Nam wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
-0.50 |
$-4.99 |
-8% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.00 |
-5.50 |
$-54.99 |
-50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Li Jingliang |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.61 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Austin Lingo vs Jacob Kilburn |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.13 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Joaquin Buckley vs Alessio Di Chirico |
Buckley to win |
L |
1.37 |
Pi |
Carlos Felipe vs Justin Tafa |
Felipe to win |
W |
1.53 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.10 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.00 |
-7.00 |
$-70.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.00 |
-9.00 |
$-90.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Gillian Robertson vs Taila Santos |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.50 |
5.87 |
$58.71 |
62% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Junior dos Santos vs Ciryl Gane |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.83 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Billy Quarantillo vs Gavin Tucker |
Tucker wins by TKO/KO |
L |
10.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.75 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
57% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.25 |
-2.56 |
$-25.60 |
-25% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Ovince St Preux vs Jamahal Hill |
Hill to win |
W |
1.57 |
Pr |
Damon Jackson vs Ilia Topuria |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.65 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.59 |
|
|
1.5 |
2.38 |
$23.78 |
159% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Louis Smolka vs Jose Quinonez |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.30 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.95 |
$19.50 |
130% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Roman Dolidze vs John Allan |
Dolidze to win |
W |
1.58 |
|
|
2 |
1.17 |
$11.70 |
58% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Gian Villante vs Jake Collier |
Collier wins by decision |
W |
6.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
500% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.25 |
6.75 |
$67.47 |
129% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.25 |
11.11 |
$111.07 |
99% |
|
UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas,
29th Nov '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Miguel Baeza |
Takashi Sato |
W |
1.67 |
4 |
2.67 |
$26.67 |
67% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.67 |
4.00 |
2.67 |
$26.67 |
67% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Su Mudaerji vs Malcolm Gordon |
Mudaerji wins by TKO/KO |
W |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
150% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
150% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
4.17 |
$41.67 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Louis Cosce vs Sasha Palatnikov |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.71 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mauricio Rua vs Paul Craig |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.10 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
110% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Valentina Shevchenko vs Jennifer Maia |
Shevchenko wins inside distance |
L |
1.63 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
8.50 |
-5.35 |
$-53.50 |
-63% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.00 |
-4.74 |
$-47.40 |
-43% |
|
Bellator 253, Uncasville,
19th Nov '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Darrion Caldwell |
A.J. McKee |
L |
3.65 |
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
3.65 |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Alex Morono vs Rhys McKee |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.25 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Rafael dos Anjos vs Paul Felder |
dos Anjos to win |
W |
1.51 |
Pi |
Kay Hansen vs Cory McKenna |
Hansen to win |
L |
1.45 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.20 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.00 |
-5.47 |
$-54.70 |
-50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Kevin Holland vs Charlie Ontiveros |
Holland to win |
W |
1.13 |
Pi |
Adrian Yanez vs Victor Rodriguez |
Yanez to win |
W |
1.21 |
Pi |
Tanner Boser vs Andrei Arlovski |
Boser to win |
L |
1.40 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.91 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Alexander Romanov |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.52 |
|
|
5 |
2.62 |
$26.18 |
52% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.00 |
0.62 |
$6.18 |
9% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.50 |
5.99 |
$59.88 |
57% |
|
UFC Vegas 12, Las Vegas,
31st Oct '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Sean Strickland |
Jack Marshman |
W |
1.41 |
5 |
2.04 |
$20.41 |
41% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.41 |
5.00 |
2.04 |
$20.41 |
41% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Bryce Mitchell vs Andre Fili |
Fili to win |
L |
2.27 |
Pi |
Chris Gruetzemacher vs Alexander Hernandez |
Hernandez to win |
W |
1.27 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.88 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sean Strickland vs Jack Marshman |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.13 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.00 |
0.04 |
$0.41 |
1% |
|
Bellator 250, Uncasville,
29th Oct '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Douglas Lima |
Gegard Mousasi |
L |
2.41 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.41 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.00 |
2.33 |
$23.33 |
39% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
James Krause |
Claudio Silva |
W |
1.73 |
1.5 |
1.09 |
$10.95 |
73% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.73 |
1.50 |
1.09 |
$10.95 |
73% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mateusz Gamrot vs Guram Kutateladze |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.80 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Maxim Grishin |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.82 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Chan Sung Jung vs Brian Ortega |
Jung to win |
L |
1.52 |
Pi |
Jun Yong Park vs John Phillips |
Park to win |
W |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.05 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Claudio Silva vs James Krause |
Krause wins by TKO/KO |
L |
5.46 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Gillian Robertson vs Poliana Botelho |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.48 |
|
|
2.1 |
-2.10 |
$-21.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
10.35 |
-10.35 |
$-103.50 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.85 |
-9.26 |
$-92.55 |
-78% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Makwan Amirkhani vs Edson Barboza |
Barboza to win |
W |
1.39 |
Pi |
Tagir Ulanbekov vs Bruno Silva |
Ulanbekov to win |
W |
1.27 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.77 |
|
|
4 |
3.09 |
$30.90 |
77% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Markus Perez vs Dricus Du Plessis |
Fight starts round 3 |
L |
1.80 |
|
|
1.3 |
-1.30 |
$-13.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Marlon Moraes vs Cory Sandhagen |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.53 |
|
|
2 |
1.05 |
$10.53 |
53% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.30 |
2.84 |
$28.43 |
39% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.80 |
5.64 |
$56.37 |
44% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Jinh Yu Frey vs Loma Lookboonmee |
Lookboonmee to win |
W |
1.68 |
Pr |
Dequan Townsend vs Dusko Todorovic |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.49 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.50 |
|
|
1.5 |
2.24 |
$22.44 |
150% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
2.24 |
$22.44 |
150% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
2.52 |
$25.23 |
32% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Khadis Ibragimov vs Danilo Marques |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.77 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.50 |
-3.65 |
$-36.50 |
-56% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Andre Ewell vs Irwin Rivera |
Ewell to win |
W |
1.49 |
Pi |
Darrick Minner vs T.J. Laramie |
Laramie to win |
L |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.03 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.93 |
|
|
1 |
0.93 |
$9.26 |
93% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.90 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.45 |
$4.50 |
90% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kevin Holland vs Darren Stewart |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.54 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Johnny Walker vs Ryan Spann |
Walker wins by TKO/KO |
W |
2.30 |
|
|
0.75 |
0.98 |
$9.75 |
130% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.25 |
-0.65 |
$-6.49 |
-12% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
14.25 |
-1.01 |
$-10.10 |
-7% |
|
Bellator 246, Uncasville,
13th Sep '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Patrick Mix |
Juan Archulata |
L |
1.66 |
3.5 |
-3.50 |
$-35.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.66 |
3.50 |
-3.50 |
$-35.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Jalin Turner vs Brok Weaver |
Turner to win |
W |
1.32 |
Pi |
Juan Archulata vs Patrick Mix |
Mix to win |
L |
1.55 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.04 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
| |
|
|