|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
(0%) |
|
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
21 (23%) |
13 |
62 % |
122.00 |
23.49 |
1.12 |
19% |
Slight Underdogs |
53 (57%) |
28 |
53 % |
244.00 |
71.44 |
1.35 |
29% |
Big Underdogs |
19 (20%) |
6 |
32 % |
52.20 |
8.16 |
0.43 |
16% |
|
Progress Chart
|
Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Hades 's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
About Me
I'm an MMA fan and bettor who initially set up this account as a means of tracking my own personal bets and using it to refine my betting strategy, which is geared towards rapidly building my bankroll rather than settling for a small incremental increase. As you can see from my figures, I maintain a very high ROI, so my style is proving to be very successful. I tip everything I bet without exception, because in my opinion it isn't the individual picks that make you a profit, but the overall strategy.
Handicapping
My picks are based on information drawn from a number of sources. Some are based on my own read on the fighters' past outings, some are based on statistical analysis, some are based on what I have read about the fighters in news, interviews and social media, and others are just gut instinct.
I'm not going to lie and tell you that I'm qualified in any particular way to make these judgements. I don't work in the betting or MMA industries, I don't train in martial arts, I don't have wiretaps set up in the world's leading gyms and I haven't created an omnipotent artificial intelligence. Nontheless, I do consistently pick out value bets and make a profit, and that's all that matters.
Betting Strategy
My betting strategy isn't completely set in stone, but as a general rule I don't like to play odds less than 1.8 (-125). I prefer to play underdogs, parlays and props at plus odds. As a result, my pick accuracy generally hovers around 50%, but that's more than enough to earn me a consistent profit at the odds I play. If you want to tail me on my bets, I would encourage you to dedicate a percentage of your bankroll to the whole of my bets for that event and divide it accordingly based upon the units I have on each result. Of course, if you are simply using my tips to corroborate your own leans, that's perfectly fine as well.
One unit to me is around 1% of my bankroll. I go a lot bigger than is advisable on my picks, but this is because I'm geared towards building my roll up fast and I'm confident that in the long run I'll win more than I lose. If you're a more tentative bettor, then feel free to adjust accordingly. |
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Hades |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
Hades 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-3.75 |
$-37.50 |
-25% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
25.00 |
-13.75 |
$-137.50 |
-55% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
25.00 |
12.75 |
$127.50 |
51% |
|
UFC 218, Detroit, Michigan,
2nd Dec '17 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Jose Aldo |
Max Holloway |
L |
3.50 |
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
3.50 |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Joe Soto |
Brett Johns |
L |
2.50 |
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.00 |
4.86 |
$48.60 |
54% |
|
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Jose Aldo vs Max Holloway |
Aldo to win |
L |
1.67 |
Pi |
Eric Spicely vs Antonio Carlos Junior |
Carlos Junior to win |
W |
1.40 |
Pi |
Claudia Gadelha vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
Gadelha to win |
W |
1.28 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.99 |
|
|
10 |
-10.00 |
$-100.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
10.00 |
-10.00 |
$-100.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
-10.00 |
$-100.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Gabriel Benitez vs Enrique Barzola |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.40 |
Pr |
David Branch vs Krzysztof Jotko |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.40 |
Pr |
Frankie Edgar vs Yair Rodriguez |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.44 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.82 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Eddie Alvarez vs Dustin Poirier |
Alvarez to win |
NA |
1.91 |
Pi |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Jessica Andrade |
Andrade to win |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
4.78 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.50 |
-4.50 |
$-45.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
20.00 |
-1.80 |
$-18.00 |
-9% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Roy Nelson vs Alexander Volkov |
Nelson wins by decision |
L |
6.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jeremy Stephens vs Renato Moicano |
Fight goes to decision |
W |
1.91 |
|
|
3 |
2.73 |
$27.30 |
91% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bobby Green vs Rashid Magomedov |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
Pr |
Roy Nelson vs Alexander Volkov |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.44 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.16 |
|
|
3 |
3.48 |
$34.80 |
116% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jeremy Stephens vs Renato Moicano |
Fight goes to decision |
W |
1.80 |
Pr |
Bobby Green vs Rashid Magomedov |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
Pr |
Roy Nelson vs Alexander Volkov |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.44 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
3.89 |
|
|
1 |
2.89 |
$28.88 |
289% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jeremy Stephens vs Renato Moicano |
Fight goes to decision |
W |
1.91 |
Pr |
Bobby Green vs Rashid Magomedov |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
PrPi |
Roy Nelson vs Alexander Volkov |
Nelson wins by decision |
L |
6.00 |
Pi |
Michelle Waterson vs Rose Namajunas |
Namajunas to win |
W |
1.80 |
Pi |
Ronaldo Souza vs Robert Whittaker |
Souza to win |
L |
1.44 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
44.56 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.75 |
8.35 |
$83.48 |
108% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.75 |
10.14 |
$101.38 |
86% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Gegard Mousasi |
Chris Weidman |
W |
1.91 |
10 |
9.10 |
$91.00 |
91% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.91 |
10.00 |
9.10 |
$91.00 |
91% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Daniel Cormier vs Anthony Johnson |
Cormier wins inside distance |
W |
2.55 |
|
|
5 |
7.75 |
$77.50 |
155% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
7.75 |
$77.50 |
155% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
16.85 |
$168.50 |
112% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Bethe Correia |
Marion Reneau |
D |
2.10 |
5 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.10 |
5.00 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Vitor Belfort vs Kelvin Gastelum |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
2.30 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Lando Vannata vs David Teymur |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.72 |
Pr |
Amanda Cooper vs Cynthia Calvillo |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.58 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Lando Vannata vs David Teymur |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.72 |
Pr |
Amanda Cooper vs Cynthia Calvillo |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
1.50 |
Pr |
Marcin Tybura vs Luis Henrique |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
2.75 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
7.09 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tyron Woodley vs Stephen Thompson |
Woodley wins inside distance |
L |
3.25 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Rashad Evans vs Daniel Kelly |
Kelly wins by decision |
W |
5.50 |
|
|
1 |
4.50 |
$45.00 |
450% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Daniel Spitz vs Mark Godbeer |
Spitz wins by decision |
L |
8.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Marcin Tybura vs Luis Henrique |
Henrique wins by decision |
L |
5.50 |
|
|
0.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Mirsad Bektic vs Darren Elkins |
Elkins wins by decision |
L |
10.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Lando Vannata vs David Teymur |
Teymur wins by TKO/KO |
L |
8.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Amanda Cooper vs Cynthia Calvillo |
Calvillo wins by decision |
L |
2.87 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Albert Morales vs Andre Soukhamthath |
Soukhamthath wins by TKO/KO |
L |
3.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Marcin Tybura vs Luis Henrique |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
2.75 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mirsad Bektic vs Darren Elkins |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Lando Vannata vs David Teymur |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.72 |
Pr |
Amanda Cooper vs Cynthia Calvillo |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
1.50 |
Pr |
Mirsad Bektic vs Darren Elkins |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
5.42 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Lando Vannata vs David Teymur |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.72 |
Pr |
Amanda Cooper vs Cynthia Calvillo |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
1.50 |
Pr |
Marcin Tybura vs Luis Henrique |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
2.75 |
Pr |
Mirsad Bektic vs Darren Elkins |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
14.90 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
16.45 |
-10.95 |
$-109.50 |
-67% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
28.90 |
1.76 |
$17.60 |
6% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Elias Theodorou vs Cezar Ferreira |
Theodorou wins by decision |
W |
3.75 |
|
|
1.5 |
4.12 |
$41.25 |
275% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alex Ricci vs Paul Felder |
Ricci wins by decision |
L |
6.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Carla Esparza vs Randa Markos |
Markos wins by decision |
W |
4.50 |
|
|
2 |
7.00 |
$70.00 |
350% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ryan Janes vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Janes wins by submission |
L |
10.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Thiago Santos vs Jack Marshman |
Santos wins by decision |
L |
6.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Reginaldo Vieira vs Aiemann Zahabi |
Zahabi wins inside distance |
L |
2.25 |
|
|
2.5 |
-2.50 |
$-25.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Reginaldo Vieira vs Aiemann Zahabi |
Zahabi wins in round 1 |
L |
4.10 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Nordine Taleb vs Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Taleb wins inside distance |
L |
12.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
9.00 |
5.63 |
$56.25 |
63% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
13.50 |
1.13 |
$11.25 |
8% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
10% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
20.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-5% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
B.J. Penn vs Yair Rodriguez |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Joachim Christensen vs Bojan Mihajlovic |
Christensen to win |
W |
1.44 |
Pi |
Frankie Saenz vs Augusto Mendes |
Saenz to win |
L |
1.58 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.28 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Court McGee vs Ben Saunders |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
Pr |
John Moraga vs Sergio Pettis |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.40 |
Pr |
Frankie Saenz vs Augusto Mendes |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.53 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
3.21 |
|
|
5 |
11.06 |
$110.65 |
221% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
15.00 |
1.06 |
$10.65 |
7% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
25.00 |
0.61 |
$6.15 |
2% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dominick Cruz vs Cody Garbrandt |
Cruz wins by unanimous decision |
L |
3.75 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dominick Cruz vs Cody Garbrandt |
Cruz wins inside distance |
L |
4.50 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Amanda Nunes vs Ronda Rousey |
Nunes wins in round 2 |
L |
11.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
T.J. Dillashaw vs John Lineker |
Lineker wins by decision |
L |
7.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
T.J. Dillashaw vs John Lineker |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.62 |
Pr |
Tarec Saffiedine vs Dong Hyun Kim |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.70 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.75 |
|
|
2 |
3.51 |
$35.08 |
175% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Amanda Nunes vs Ronda Rousey |
Over 0.5 rounds |
L |
1.63 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
17.00 |
-11.49 |
$-114.92 |
-68% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
44.00 |
-11.64 |
$-116.42 |
-26% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Paige VanZant vs Michelle Waterson |
Under 4.5 rounds |
W |
2.35 |
|
|
5 |
6.75 |
$67.50 |
135% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Urijah Faber vs Brad Pickett |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.40 |
Pr |
Bryan Barberena vs Colby Covington |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.26 |
Pr |
Freddy Serrano vs Hector Sandoval |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.35 |
|
|
5 |
6.73 |
$67.31 |
135% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
10.00 |
13.48 |
$134.81 |
135% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
41.00 |
11.23 |
$112.31 |
27% |
|
UFC 206, Toronto, Canada,
10th Dec '16 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Misha Cirkunov |
Nikita Krylov |
W |
1.83 |
5 |
4.15 |
$41.50 |
83% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.83 |
5.00 |
4.15 |
$41.50 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Dustin Ortiz vs Zach Makovsky |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.57 |
Pr |
Valerie Letourneau vs Viviane Pereira |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.28 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.01 |
|
|
5 |
5.05 |
$50.48 |
101% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
5.05 |
$50.48 |
101% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
9.20 |
$91.98 |
92% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Justine Kish vs Ashley Yoder |
Kish wins by decision |
W |
2.10 |
|
|
5 |
5.50 |
$55.00 |
110% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
5.50 |
$55.00 |
110% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
19.00 |
-8.50 |
$-85.00 |
-45% |
|
>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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