MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Danny S

Danny S (dannybest559)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	61 (37%)	Right	39 (42%)	Right	13 (24%)	Right	9 (47%)
Wrong	105 (63%)	Wrong	53 (58%)	Wrong	42 (76%)	Wrong	10 (53%)
Avg Odds	2.69	Avg Odds	2.26	Avg Odds	4.41	Avg Odds	2.24
Units Bet	373.1	Units Bet	212.4	Units Bet	68.7	Units Bet	92.0
Avg Bet	2.25	Avg Bet	2.31	Avg Bet	1.25	Avg Bet	4.84
Units Profit	17.01	Units Profit	-15.09	Units Profit	18.26	Units Profit	13.83
ROI %	5%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	27%	ROI %	15%

Danny S: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	14.5	-3.3	-23%	-0.9 / 7.5 (-12%)	-2.4 / 7 (-34%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	15	1.5	10%	-3.7 / 7 (-54%)	0.0 / 3 (2%)	5.2 / 5 (104%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	13.5	7.6	56%	4.9 / 5 (97%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	6.2 / 5 (124%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	14.5	-0.8	-5%	-0.8 / 5 (-16%)	5.0 / 4.5 (111%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	18.5	2.9	16%	-4.8 / 11.5 (-42%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	9.7 / 5 (194%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	22.5	-5.1	-23%	-0.9 / 14.5 (-6%)	-4.3 / 8 (-53%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	10	-10.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	20	24.8	124%	-9.5 / 9.5 (-100%)	20.7 / 5.5 (376%)	13.6 / 5 (271%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	30.9	8.7	28%	8.9 / 17.9 (50%)	4.8 / 8 (59%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	27.8	-20.3	-73%	-13.8 / 21.3 (-65%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Jul '19	PFL 2019: Week 4	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Jul '19	DWTNCS 19	7	-2.6	-37%	2.4 / 2 (121%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	23.1	-6.3	-27%	0.5 / 5.6 (8%)	3.2 / 7.5 (43%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	20	17.2	86%	3.2 / 8 (40%)	7.3 / 7 (105%)	6.7 / 5 (134%)
26th Jun '19	DWTNCS 18	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	21.7	-16.7	-77%	1.0 / 4 (24%)	-7.7 / 7.7 (-100%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19	Bellator London	1.5	1.1	73%	1.1 / 1.5 (73%)
19th Jun '19	DWTNCS 17	0.5	3.1	620%	3.1 / 0.5 (620%)
14th Jun '19	Bellator 222	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	17.1	6.4	37%	2.3 / 16.1 (14%)	4.1 / 1 (410%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	14	-0.0	-0%	-0.0 / 14 (-0%)
11th May '19	Bellator 221	3.5	1.9	54%	1.9 / 3.5 (54%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	14.5	9.8	67%	0.2 / 9 (2%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	10.1 / 5 (202%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	12	1.3	11%	-1.0 / 6 (-17%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	3.3 / 5 (66%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	9.5	6.2	65%	6.2 / 9.5 (65%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	13.5	-3.2	-23%	0.8 / 9.5 (9%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	5.5	4.7	86%	0.5 / 1.5 (33%)		4.2 / 4 (105%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	10.5	3.4	32%	-0.5 / 6.5 (-8%)		3.9 / 4 (97%)

Winning Events: 15 (50%)
Losing Events: 15 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.54 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.90 units
Best Event: 24.77 units
Worst Event: -20.32 units
Average Event: 0.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 33.46
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -31.25

Danny S: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	14.5	-3.3	-23%	-0.9 / 7.5 (-12%)	-2.4 / 7 (-34%)		/ 1 (0%)	-3.30
2020	43	8.3	19%	0.3 / 17 (2%)	1.6 / 11 (14%)	6.4 / 15 (42%)	2 / 1 (67%)	2.75
2019	318.6	12.1	4%	-14.5 / 187.9 (-8%)	19.1 / 53.7 (36%)	7.5 / 77 (10%)	13 / 13 (50%)	0.46

Danny S: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Danny S: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	355.6	21.5	6%	-17.6 / 198.9 (-9%)	20.3 / 69.7 (29%)	18.8 / 87 (22%)
Bellator	10	-2.0	-20%	-2.0 / 10 (-20%)
PFL	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other	8.5	-0.5	-6%	4.5 / 3.5 (129%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)

Danny S: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (1%)	1	100 %	4.00	2.05	2.05	51%
Slight Favorites	38 (41%)	17	45 %	126.30	-31.19	-0.82	-25%
Slight Underdogs	26 (28%)	13	50 %	53.00	12.98	0.50	24%
Big Underdogs	28 (30%)	8	29 %	29.10	1.07	0.04	4%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	15 (16%)	8	53 %	40.00	4.32	0.29	11%
Co-Main Event	5 (5%)	1	20 %	9.50	-4.12	-0.82	-43%
Position 3-5	32 (34%)	11	34 %	68.10	-10.02	-0.31	-15%
6+ (Undercard)	41 (44%)	19	46 %	94.80	-5.27	-0.13	-6%

Danny S: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (9%)	6	75 %	17.50	16.93	2.12	97%
Light Heavy	7 (8%)	4	57 %	13.90	7.17	1.02	52%
Middleweight	4 (4%)	1	25 %	10.00	-7.40	-1.85	-74%
Welterweight	12 (13%)	5	42 %	28.50	-6.21	-0.52	-22%
Lightweight	14 (15%)	6	43 %	29.10	4.24	0.30	15%
Featherweight	16 (17%)	5	31 %	40.10	-12.51	-0.78	-31%
Bantamweight	14 (15%)	4	29 %	31.30	-17.53	-1.25	-56%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	2	100 %	5.50	4.11	2.05	75%

Women's Fights	16 (17%)	6	38 %	36.50	-3.90	-0.24	-11%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Bantamweight	5 (5%)	2	40 %	12.00	-2.38	-0.48	-20%
Flyweight	4 (4%)	1	25 %	5.50	-0.55	-0.14	-10%
Strawweight	6 (6%)	3	50 %	18.50	-0.47	-0.08	-3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	47 (94%)	38	81 %
Slight Favorites	3 (6%)	2	67 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	50	40	80 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (5%)	1	33 %
50-65%	4 (7%)	2	50 %
35-50%	9 (15%)	2	22 %
<35% chance	43 (73%)	9	21 %
	59	14	24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (3%)	0	0 %	2.20	3.00	1.74	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	19 (32%)	4	21 %	5.27	15.00	1.61	-4.0 (-21%)
X Wins by Sub	11 (19%)	1	9 %	5.32	15.72	2.65	2.0 (18%)
X Wins by Decision	6 (10%)	4	67 %	3.91	12.00	2.30	6.6 (110%)
X Wins Inside Distance	7 (12%)	2	29 %	1.87	3.50	1.36	-2.1 (-31%)
X Wins in Round X	11 (19%)	3	27 %	4.37	26.00	1.87	-2.9 (-26%)
Others	3 (5%)	0	0 %	3.88	13.00	1.84	-2.0 (-67%)
	59	14	24 %	3.89			-4.4 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Danny S's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	10.5	3.4	32%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,033.67
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	5.5	4.7	86%		$10.34	$1,033.67	$1,082.35
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	13.5	-3.2	-23%		$10.82	$1,082.35	$1,048.25
13th Apr	UFC 236	9.5	6.2	65%		$10.48	$1,048.25	$1,112.80
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	12	1.3	11%		$11.13	$1,112.80	$1,127.42
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	14.5	9.8	67%		$11.27	$1,127.42	$1,237.68
11th May	Bellator 221	3.5	1.9	54%		$12.38	$1,237.68	$1,261.20
11th May	UFC 237	14	-0.0	-0%		$12.61	$1,261.20	$1,260.67
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	2	-2.0	-100%		$12.61	$1,260.67	$1,235.46
8th Jun	UFC 238	17.1	6.4	37%		$12.35	$1,235.46	$1,313.98
14th Jun	Bellator 222	5	-5.0	-100%		$13.14	$1,313.98	$1,248.28
19th Jun	DWTNCS 17	0.5	3.1	620%		$12.48	$1,248.28	$1,286.98
22nd Jun	Bellator London	1.5	1.1	73%		$12.87	$1,286.98	$1,301.13
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	21.7	-16.7	-77%		$13.01	$1,301.13	$1,083.19
26th Jun	DWTNCS 18	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.83	$1,083.19	$1,072.36
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	20	17.2	86%		$10.72	$1,072.36	$1,256.92
6th Jul	UFC 239	23.1	-6.3	-27%		$12.57	$1,256.92	$1,177.12
10th Jul	DWTNCS 19	7	-2.6	-37%		$11.77	$1,177.12	$1,146.75
11th Jul	PFL 2019: Week 4	2	-2.0	-100%		$11.47	$1,146.75	$1,123.82
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	27.8	-20.3	-73%		$11.24	$1,123.82	$895.44
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	30.9	8.7	28%		$8.95	$895.44	$973.21
27th Jul	UFC 240	20	24.8	124%		$9.73	$973.21	$1,214.30
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	10	-10.0	-100%		$12.14	$1,214.30	$1,092.87
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	22.5	-5.1	-23%		$10.93	$1,092.87	$1,036.63
17th Aug	UFC 241	18.5	2.9	16%		$10.37	$1,036.63	$1,067.11
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.67	$1,067.11	$1,013.75
18th Jan	UFC 246	14.5	-0.8	-5%		$10.14	$1,013.75	$1,005.89
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	13.5	7.6	56%		$10.06	$1,005.89	$1,081.85
9th Feb	UFC 247	15	1.5	10%		$10.82	$1,081.85	$1,097.85
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	14.5	-3.3	-23%		$10.98	$1,097.85	$1,061.62

ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Danny S: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '22	Curtis Blaydes	Tom Aspinall	2.20	3	TKO, R1 (0:15)
2.	Feb '20	Justin Tafa	Juan Adams	3.25	1	TKO, R1 (1:59)
3.	Jan '20	Herbert Burns	Nate Landwehr	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (2:43)
4.	Jan '20	Brett Johns	Tony Gravely	1.95	3	Sub, R3 (2:53)
5.	Jan '20	Askar Askarov	Tim Elliott	1.69	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Aug '19	Casey Kenney	Manny Bermudez	2.37	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Aug '19	Drakkar Klose	Christos Giagos	1.58	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Aug '19	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Tecia Torres	2.30	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Aug '19	Volkan Oezdemir	Ilir Latifi	1.63	3	TKO, R2 (4:31)
10.	Aug '19	Enrique Barzola	Bobby Moffett	1.76	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jul '19	Mario Bautista	Jin Soo Son	2.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jul '19	Klidson Farias de Abreu	Sam Alvey	1.59	3.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jul '19	Daniel Hooker	James Vick	1.68	3	TKO, R1 (2:33)
14.	Jul '19	Raquel Pennington	Irene Aldana	2.38	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '19	Greg Hardy	Juan Adams	2.04	5	TKO, R1 (0:45)
16.	Jul '19	Brianna Van Buren	Livia Renata Souza	1.87	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jul '19	Jonathan Pearce	Jacob Rosales	2.21	2	TKO, R3 (1:50)
18.	Jul '19	Julia Avila	Pannie Kianzad	1.51	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jun '19	Joseph Benavidez	Jussier Formiga	1.79	3	TKO, R2 (4:47)
20.	Jun '19	Maurice Greene	Junior Albini	1.93	3	TKO, R1 (3:38)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '22	Alexander Gustafsson	Nikita Krylov	2.66	1	TKO, R1 (1:7)	No
2.	Jul '22	Hannah Goldy	Molly McCann	4.60	1	TKO, R1 (3:52)	No
3.	Jul '22	Jordan Leavitt	Paddy Pimblett	3.15	2.5	Sub, R2 (2:46)	No
4.	Feb '20	Miles Johns	Mario Bautista	1.83	2	TKO, R2 (1:41)	No
5.	Feb '20	Mirsad Bektic	Dan Ige	1.87	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jan '20	J.J. Aldrich	Sabina Mazo	1.87	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jan '20	Anthony Pettis	Carlos Diego Ferreira	2.90	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:46)	Yes
8.	Aug '19	Jessica Andrade	Weili Zhang	1.61	5	TKO, R1 (0:42)	No
9.	Aug '19	Ian Heinisch	Derek Brunson	1.70	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Aug '19	Yoel Romero	Paulo Costa	1.75	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Aug '19	Alexey Kunchenko	Gilbert Burns	1.75	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '19	Mike Perry	Vicente Luque	2.89	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '19	Joaquim Silva	Nasrat Haqparast	3.05	1	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
14.	Aug '19	Robbie Lawler	Colby Covington	2.94	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Jul '19	Seung Woo Choi	Gavin Tucker	1.92	4	Sub, R3 (3:17)	Yes
16.	Jul '19	Sarah Frota	Gillian Robertson	1.98	2	TKO, R2 (4:13)	No
17.	Jul '19	Kyle Stewart	Erik Koch	1.84	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jul '19	Frankie Edgar	Max Holloway	4.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	Yes
19.	Jul '19	Gabriel Silva	Ray Borg	2.82	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jul '19	Rafael dos Anjos	Leon Edwards	2.05	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Danny S: Progress Chart

Chart

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