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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dirty Degen

Dirty Degen (dirtydegen)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Dirty  Degen

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 19 (42%) Right 14 (56%) Right 3 (30%) Right 2 (20%)
Wrong 26 (58%) Wrong 11 (44%) Wrong 7 (70%) Wrong 8 (80%)
Avg Odds 2.51 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 4.94 Avg Odds 4.06
Units Bet 71.0 Units Bet 61.3 Units Bet 3.3 Units Bet 6.4
Avg Bet 1.58 Avg Bet 2.45 Avg Bet 0.33 Avg Bet 0.64
Units Profit -5.53 Units Profit -3.90 Units Profit 1.53 Units Profit -3.15
ROI % -8% ROI % -6% ROI % 46% ROI % -49%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dirty Degen: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 17.55 -6.5 -37% -4.8 / 12.7 (-37%) 1.4 / 1.65 (87%) -3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)
11th May '24 KSW 94 5.73 -1.2 -21% -1.2 / 5.73 (-21%)
11th May '24 Brave CF 82 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th May '24 PFL MENA 1: Riyadh 2.6 1.4 55% 1.0 / 1.6 (63%) 0.4 / 1 (44%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 23.15 5.0 21% 4.9 / 20.5 (24%) 0.2 / 2.5 (10%) -0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)
4th May '24 Oktagon 57 2.7 1.8 68% 1.8 / 2.7 (68%)
3rd May '24 One Fight Night 22 1.45 1.0 69% 1.0 / 1.45 (69%)
3rd May '24 LFA 183 1.85 0.9 51% 1.0 / 1.8 (56%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)
29th Apr '24 Rizin 46 2.7 1.5 54% 1.5 / 2.7 (54%)
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 14.25 -9.3 -65% -9.1 / 12.1 (-75%) -0.2 / 2.15 (-7%)
26th Apr '24 LFA 182 1 0.8 81% 0.8 / 1 (81%)


Winning Events: 7 (64%)
Losing Events: 4 (36%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.73 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.15 units
Best Event: 4.98 units
Worst Event: -9.25 units
Average Event: -0.50 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 11.66
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.25

Dirty Degen: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 73.98 -5.5 -7% -3.9 / 61.28 (-6%) -3.2 / 6.4 (-49%) 7 / 4 (64%) -0.50

Dirty Degen: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dirty Degen: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 54.95 -10.8 -20% -9.0 / 45.3 (-20%) 1.5 / 6.3 (24%) -3.4 / 3.35 (-100%)
PFL 2.6 1.4 55% 1.0 / 1.6 (63%) 0.4 / 1 (44%)
Other 16.43 3.8 23% 4.1 / 14.38 (28%) -0.2 / 2.05 (-12%)

Dirty Degen: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (15%) 4 67 % 16.50 -0.18 -0.03 -1%
Slight Favorites 23 (59%) 15 65 % 36.48 1.48 0.06 4%
Slight Underdogs 5 (13%) 2 40 % 6.00 -2.90 -0.58 -48%
Big Underdogs 5 (13%) 0 0 % 2.30 -2.30 -0.46 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (18%) 7 100 % 14.15 7.97 1.14 56%
Co-Main Event 11 (28%) 6 55 % 19.70 -4.45 -0.40 -23%
Position 3-5 6 (15%) 2 33 % 6.20 -2.50 -0.42 -40%
6+ (Undercard) 15 (38%) 6 40 % 21.23 -4.92 -0.33 -23%

Dirty Degen: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 4.10 0.40 0.20 10%
Light Heavy 4 (10%) 1 25 % 7.00 -5.90 -1.48 -84%
Middleweight 5 (13%) 5 100 % 6.50 4.25 0.85 65%
Welterweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 2.00 1.43 0.72 72%
Lightweight 8 (21%) 5 63 % 13.45 1.88 0.23 14%
Featherweight 8 (21%) 3 38 % 8.50 -1.24 -0.15 -15%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Flyweight 4 (10%) 4 100 % 10.00 5.01 1.25 50%
               
Women's Fights 5 (13%) 0 % 6.73 -6.73 -1.35 -100%
Flyweight 3 (8%) 0 % 5.73 -5.73 -1.91 -100%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -0.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 7 (37%) 6 86 %
Slight Favorites 5 (26%) 2 40 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (21%) 1 25 %
Big Underdogs 3 (16%) 1 33 %
19 10 53 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (7%) 0 0 %
50-65% 3 (20%) 2 67 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 11 (73%) 1 9 %
15 3 20 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.74 1.74Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 0.7 (74%)
X Wins by KO 1 (7%) 0 0 % 6.00 6.00Pick was incorrect 6.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (27%) 0 0 % 5.37 10.00Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (13%) 1 50 % 11.30 13.00Pick was incorrect 10.00Pick was correct 8.0 (400%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (13%) 0 0 % 9.26 11.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 5 (33%) 1 20 % 2.40 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-28%)
15 3 20 % 3.78     0.3 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dirty Degen's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
26th Apr LFA 182 1 0.8 81% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,008.06
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 14.25 -9.3 -65% $10.08 $1,008.06 $914.81
29th Apr Rizin 46 2.7 1.5 54% $9.15 $914.81 $928.17
3rd May LFA 183 1.85 0.9 51% $9.28 $928.17 $936.98
3rd May One Fight Night 22 1.45 1.0 69% $9.37 $936.98 $946.35
4th May Oktagon 57 2.7 1.8 68% $9.46 $946.35 $963.72
4th May UFC 301 23.15 5.0 21% $9.64 $963.72 $1,011.68
10th May PFL MENA 1: Riyadh 2.6 1.4 55% $10.12 $1,011.68 $1,026.25
11th May Brave CF 82 1 -1.0 -100% $10.26 $1,026.25 $1,015.99
11th May KSW 94 5.73 -1.2 -21% $10.16 $1,015.99 $1,003.49
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 17.55 -6.5 -37% $10.03 $1,003.49 $938.12


ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dirty Degen: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.78 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Arkadiusz Wrzosek Artur Szpilka 1.29 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:14) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Islam Reda Adam Meskini 1.63 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.69 1.45 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Alexandre Pantoja Steve Erceg 1.54 2 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 Alexandre Pantoja Steve Erceg 1.56 2 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. May '24 Christian Eckerlin Miroslav Brož 1.67 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '24 Lucas Fernando Joao Paulo Silva 1.56 1.8 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. May '24 Akbar Abdullaev Halil Amir 1.69 1.45 TKO, R2 (2:52) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '24 Endrit Brajshori Tayo Odunjo 1.87 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '24 Pavol Langer Marc Doussis 2.20 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '24 Drakkar Klose Joaquim Silva 1.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '24 Joanderson Brito Jack Shore 1.67 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:35) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '24 Alexandre Pantoja Steve Erceg 1.50 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '24 Alexandre Pantoja Steve Erceg 1.45 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '24 Chihiro Suzuki Masanori Kanehara 1.80 1.2 TKO, R1 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '24 Noah Bey Yusaku Inoue 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '24 Drakkar Klose Joaquim Silva 1.56 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '24 Patryk Kaczmarczyk Robert Ruchala 2.45 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:59) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Adrianna Kreft Mafalda Carmona 1.58 1.73 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Viacheslav Borshchev Chase Hooper 1.76 1 Sub, R2 (3:0) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Viacheslav Borshchev Chase Hooper 1.62 2 Sub, R2 (3:0) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Viacheslav Borshchev Chase Hooper 1.57 1 Sub, R2 (3:0) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Iasmin Lucindo 4.55 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Agy Sardari Losene Keita 6.00 0.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 J.J. Aldrich Veronica Macedo 2.31 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Sora Yamamoto Ilkhom Nazimov 3.95 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:39) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '24 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Iasmin Lucindo 4.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '24 Jonathan Martinez Jose Aldo 1.68 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Austen Lane Jhonata Diniz 3.70 0.6 TKO, R2 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Ryan Spann Bogdan Guskov 1.60 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:16) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '24 Ryan Spann Bogdan Guskov 1.50 1 TKO, R2 (3:16) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '24 Jonathan Pearce David Onama 1.61 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '24 J.J. Aldrich Veronica Macedo 2.26 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '24 Jonathan Pearce David Onama 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '24 Ryan Spann Bogdan Guskov 1.50 4 TKO, R2 (3:16) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dirty Degen: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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