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MMA Handicapper Stats: Justin TDT

Justin TDT (Justin52828)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	7 (39%)	Right	3 (30%)	Right	2 (100%)	Right	2 (33%)
Wrong	11 (61%)	Wrong	7 (70%)	Wrong	0 (0%)	Wrong	4 (67%)
Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	2.34
Units Bet	51.9	Units Bet	32.8	Units Bet	5.8	Units Bet	13.4
Avg Bet	2.88	Avg Bet	3.28	Avg Bet	2.88	Avg Bet	2.23
Units Profit	-2.98	Units Profit	-6.58	Units Profit	6.01	Units Profit	-2.40
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-20%	ROI %	105%	ROI %	-18%

Justin TDT: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th May '24	Road to UFC: Episode 2	2	-0.0	-2%	-0.0 / 2 (-2%)
18th May '24	Road to UFC: Episode 1	3	0.9	29%	0.9 / 3 (29%)
12th May '24	Fury FC 90	5.32	-5.3	-100%	-2.9 / 2.92 (-100%)		-2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	18.6	-1.3	-7%	-4.9 / 4.87 (-100%)	6.0 / 5.75 (105%)	-2.4 / 7.98 (-30%)
11th May '24	KSW 94	10	10.4	104%	10.4 / 10 (104%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	13	-7.6	-58%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)		2.4 / 3 (80%)

Winning Events: 2 (33%)
Losing Events: 4 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.60 units
Best Event: 10.40 units
Worst Event: -7.59 units
Average Event: -0.50 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 10.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.59

Justin TDT: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	51.92	-3.0	-6%	-6.6 / 32.79 (-20%)		-2.4 / 13.38 (-18%)	2 / 4 (33%)	-0.50

Justin TDT: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Justin TDT: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	31.6	-8.9	-28%	-14.9 / 14.87 (-100%)	6.0 / 5.75 (105%)	-0.0 / 10.98 (-0%)
Other	20.32	5.9	29%	8.3 / 17.92 (46%)		-2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)

Justin TDT: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (10%)	1	100 %	3.00	0.86	0.86	29%
Slight Favorites	2 (20%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.05	-0.02	-2%
Slight Underdogs	6 (60%)	1	17 %	22.79	-2.39	-0.40	-10%
Big Underdogs	1 (10%)	0	0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (20%)	0	0 %	6.25	-6.25	-3.13	-100%
Co-Main Event	1 (10%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.95	0.95	95%
Position 3-5	2 (20%)	1	50 %	4.00	-0.14	-0.07	-4%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (50%)	1	20 %	21.54	-1.14	-0.23	-5%

Justin TDT: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (10%)	1	100 %	10.00	10.40	10.40	104%
Lightweight	2 (20%)		0 %	3.50	-3.50	-1.75	-100%
Featherweight	1 (10%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	2 (20%)		0 %	10.00	-10.00	-5.00	-100%

Women's Fights	4 (40%)	2	50 %	8.29	-2.48	-0.62	-30%
Strawweight	4 (40%)	2	50 %	8.29	-2.48	-0.62	-30%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	7 (70%)	4	57 %
Slight Favorites	2 (20%)	2	100 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (10%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	10	6	60 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (55%)	6	100 %
50-65%	2 (18%)	2	100 %
35-50%	2 (18%)	2	100 %
<35% chance	1 (9%)	1	100 %
	11	11	100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (36%)	4	100 %	1.15	1.22	1.11	0.6 (16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (9%)	1	100 %	1.16	1.16	1.16	0.2 (16%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (18%)	2	100 %	1.50	2.40	1.10	1.5 (75%)
X Wins by KO	2 (18%)	2	100 %	1.83	1.83	1.83	1.7 (83%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (18%)	2	100 %	2.47	3.00	2.10	3.1 (155%)
	11	11	100 %	1.46			7.0 (64%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Justin TDT's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th May	UFC 301	13	-7.6	-58%	$10	$10.00	$1,000.00	$914.12
11th May	KSW 94	10	10.4	104%	$10	$9.14	$914.12	$999.19
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	18.6	-1.3	-7%	$10	$9.99	$999.19	$976.43
12th May	Fury FC 90	5.32	-5.3	-100%	$10	$9.76	$976.43	$914.49
18th May	Road to UFC: Episode 1	3	0.9	29%	$10	$9.14	$914.49	$912.33
18th May	Road to UFC: Episode 2	2	-0.0	-2%	$10	$9.12	$912.33	$901.89

ROI % from starting bank balance: -9.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Justin TDT: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Ming Shi	Ye Dam Seo	1.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '24	Xiaocan Feng	Kiran Singh	1.29	3	TKO, R1 (2:3)
3.	May '24	Ivan Vitasović	Filip Stawowy	2.04	10	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Young Jae Song	Masuto Kawana	1.71	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	Wendy Anundson	Andrea Amaro	2.20	1.67	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '24	Hector Saenz	Mansher Khera	2.80	1.25	Sub, R1 (3:14)	No
4.	May '24	Tecia Torres	Tabatha Ricci	2.15	2.62	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '24	Terrance McKinney	Esteban Ribovics	2.34	2.25	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
6.	May '24	Kevin Borjas	Alessandro Costa	2.40	5	TKO, R2 (1:35)	No
7.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	3.00	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Justin TDT: Progress Chart

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