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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dawson Fudge

Dawson Fudge (Dawsonz)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Dawson Fudge

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 26 (31%) Right 9 (38%) Right 12 (26%) Right 5 (36%)
Wrong 59 (69%) Wrong 15 (63%) Wrong 35 (74%) Wrong 9 (64%)
Avg Odds 2.89 Avg Odds 2.09 Avg Odds 3.42 Avg Odds 3.33
Units Bet 72.4 Units Bet 30.0 Units Bet 32.2 Units Bet 10.3
Avg Bet 0.85 Avg Bet 1.25 Avg Bet 0.68 Avg Bet 0.73
Units Profit -11.01 Units Profit -5.20 Units Profit -6.18 Units Profit 0.37
ROI % -15% ROI % -17% ROI % -19% ROI % 4%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dawson Fudge: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 8.75 -4.8 -55% -3.5 / 5.5 (-64%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (91%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 19.25 -5.4 -28% -3.1 / 6.5 (-47%) -0.3 / 10.75 (-3%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 7.2 0.3 5% 0.3 / 2 (13%) -0.9 / 4.2 (-22%) 1.0 / 1 (102%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 6.9 -2.1 -31% -0.8 / 3.5 (-23%) -1.5 / 1.45 (-100%) 0.1 / 1.95 (6%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 8.3 -5.7 -69% -2.4 / 5 (-48%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 13.05 1.9 14% 0.5 / 2 (25%) 1.5 / 8.95 (17%) -0.1 / 2.1 (-7%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 8.95 4.8 54% 3.8 / 5.5 (69%) -0.7 / 2.45 (-27%) 1.7 / 1 (167%)


Winning Events: 3 (43%)
Losing Events: 4 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.34 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.25 units
Best Event: 4.82 units
Worst Event: -5.71 units
Average Event: -1.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.70
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -10.21

Dawson Fudge: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 72.4 -11.0 -15% -5.2 / 30 (-17%) 0.4 / 10.25 (4%) 3 / 4 (43%) -1.57

Dawson Fudge: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dawson Fudge: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 72.4 -11.0 -15% -5.2 / 30 (-17%) -6.2 / 32.15 (-19%) 0.4 / 10.25 (4%)

Dawson Fudge: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (4%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 9 (38%) 4 44 % 12.00 -2.25 -0.25 -19%
Slight Underdogs 12 (50%) 5 42 % 13.00 2.05 0.17 16%
Big Underdogs 2 (8%) 0 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.50 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (13%) 1 33 % 4.50 -1.05 -0.35 -23%
Co-Main Event 3 (13%) 1 33 % 5.00 0.60 0.20 12%
Position 3-5 6 (25%) 1 17 % 8.00 -6.20 -1.03 -78%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (50%) 6 50 % 12.50 1.45 0.12 12%

Dawson Fudge: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (17%) 3 75 % 4.50 2.00 0.50 44%
Light Heavy 3 (13%) 1 33 % 5.50 -2.05 -0.68 -37%
Middleweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.25 0.13 13%
Welterweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Lightweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 4.00 1.60 0.80 40%
Featherweight 4 (17%) 2 50 % 4.50 0.70 0.18 16%
Bantamweight 5 (21%) 1 20 % 5.00 -3.20 -0.64 -64%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 2 (8%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -1.25 -100%
Flyweight 2 (8%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -1.25 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 14 (61%) 10 71 %
Slight Favorites 6 (26%) 4 67 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (9%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 1 (4%) 0 0 %
23 14 61 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (17%) 8 67 %
50-65% 7 (10%) 3 43 %
35-50% 20 (28%) 8 40 %
<35% chance 32 (45%) 4 13 %
71 23 32 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (10%) 4 57 % 1.39 1.65Pick was correct 1.29Pick was incorrect -0.1 (-1%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 10 (14%) 6 60 % 1.52 2.05Pick was correct 1.24Pick was correct -0.9 (-9%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (4%) 1 33 % 1.73 2.10Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was correct -1.7 (-56%)
X Wins by KO 7 (10%) 2 29 % 3.51 8.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 7.6 (109%)
X Wins by Sub 6 (8%) 1 17 % 5.42 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct -4.0 (-67%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (4%) 1 33 % 2.38 2.50Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-20%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (3%) 0 0 % 3.98 4.25Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 10 (14%) 0 0 % 5.21 19.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -10.0 (-100%)
Others 23 (32%) 8 35 % 3.18 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct 2.7 (12%)
71 23 32 % 2.59     -8.9 (-13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dawson Fudge's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Mar UFC 299 8.95 4.8 54% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,048.24
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 13.05 1.9 14% $10.48 $1,048.24 $1,067.90
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 8.3 -5.7 -69% $10.68 $1,067.90 $1,006.89
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 6.9 -2.1 -31% $10.07 $1,006.89 $985.47
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 7.2 0.3 5% $9.85 $985.47 $988.82
13th Apr UFC 300 19.25 -5.4 -28% $9.89 $988.82 $935.67
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 8.75 -4.8 -55% $9.36 $935.67 $890.43


ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.96% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dawson Fudge: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Don'tale Mayes Caio Machado (2) 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Alex Pereira Jamahal Hill 1.72 2 TKO, R1 (3:14) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 César Almeida Dylan Budka 2.25 1 TKO, R2 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Nate Landwehr Jamall Emmers 2.70 1 TKO, R1 (4:43) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Michael Parkin Mohammed Usman 1.72 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Danny Silva Joshua Culibao 2.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Curtis Blaydes Jailton Junior 1.91 1 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.80 2 TKO, R2 (2:32) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Ariane Lipski Karine Silva 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Jonathan Pearce David Onama 1.59 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Ryan Spann Bogdan Guskov 1.53 2 TKO, R2 (3:16) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Aleksandar Rakic Jiri Prochazka 1.85 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Cody Garbrandt Deiveson Figueiredo 3.50 1 Sub, R2 (4:2) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.87 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Dan Argueta Jean Matsumoto 2.50 1 Sub, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Erin Blanchfield Manon Fiorot 1.57 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Vicente Luque Joaquin Buckley 1.91 1 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 2.00 1 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Igor da Silva Andre Lima 2.40 1 No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Cameron Saaiman Payton Talbott 2.25 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Tai Tuivasa Marcin Tybura 1.91 1 Sub, R1 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Michal Oleksiejczuk Michel Pereira 2.25 1 Sub, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 2.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dawson Fudge: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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