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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mncedisi African Oracle

Mncedisi African Oracle (NqM_tha_phenom)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	16 (42%)	Right	11 (41%)	Right	1 (50%)	Right	4 (44%)
Wrong	22 (58%)	Wrong	16 (59%)	Wrong	1 (50%)	Wrong	5 (56%)
Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	1.81	Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	2.65
Units Bet	35.0	Units Bet	26.0	Units Bet	1.5	Units Bet	7.5
Avg Bet	0.92	Avg Bet	0.96	Avg Bet	0.75	Avg Bet	0.83
Units Profit	-4.06	Units Profit	-7.97	Units Profit	0.06	Units Profit	3.85
ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-31%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	51%

Mncedisi African Oracle: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	9.5	-5.2	-55%	-3.7 / 8 (-46%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	8	-3.3	-41%	-4.4 / 6 (-74%)		1.1 / 2 (57%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	5	1.9	39%	1.2 / 3 (41%)		0.7 / 2 (36%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	8.5	-1.5	-18%	-2.4 / 7 (-35%)		0.9 / 1.5 (63%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4	4.0	100%	1.4 / 2 (69%)	0.6 / 1 (56%)	2.1 / 1 (206%)

Winning Events: 2 (40%)
Losing Events: 3 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.50 units
Best Event: 4.00 units
Worst Event: -5.20 units
Average Event: -0.81 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 4.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -8.51

Mncedisi African Oracle: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	35	-4.1	-12%	-8.0 / 26 (-31%)		3.8 / 7.5 (51%)	2 / 3 (40%)	-0.81

Mncedisi African Oracle: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mncedisi African Oracle: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	31	-8.1	-26%	-9.4 / 24 (-39%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	1.8 / 6.5 (27%)
PFL	4	4.0	100%	1.4 / 2 (69%)	0.6 / 1 (56%)	2.1 / 1 (206%)

Mncedisi African Oracle: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (19%)	3	60 %	4.50	-0.74	-0.15	-16%
Slight Favorites	12 (44%)	6	50 %	12.00	-2.33	-0.19	-19%
Slight Underdogs	9 (33%)	2	22 %	8.50	-3.90	-0.43	-46%
Big Underdogs	1 (4%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (11%)	2	67 %	3.00	0.38	0.13	13%
Co-Main Event	1 (4%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Position 3-5	6 (22%)	1	17 %	6.00	-4.47	-0.74	-74%
6+ (Undercard)	17 (63%)	8	47 %	16.00	-2.88	-0.17	-18%

Mncedisi African Oracle: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (7%)	2	100 %	2.00	1.38	0.69	69%
Light Heavy	2 (7%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.00	0.00	0%
Lightweight	7 (26%)	3	43 %	7.00	-2.44	-0.35	-35%
Featherweight	8 (30%)	2	25 %	7.00	-3.65	-0.46	-52%
Bantamweight	3 (11%)	1	33 %	3.00	-1.45	-0.48	-48%
Flyweight	4 (15%)	2	50 %	4.00	-0.81	-0.20	-20%

Women's Fights	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Strawweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	28 (90%)	24	86 %
Slight Favorites	3 (10%)	2	67 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	31	26	84 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (60%)	2	67 %
50-65%	1 (20%)	1	100 %
35-50%	1 (20%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	5	3	60 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision	1 (20%)	1	100 %	1.56	1.56	1.56	0.6 (56%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (20%)	0	0 %	1.35	1.35	1.35	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (20%)	0	0 %	2.75	2.75	2.75	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	2 (40%)	2	100 %	1.25	1.46	1.10	0.6 (28%)
	5	3	60 %	1.50			-0.9 (-18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mncedisi African Oracle's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4	4.0	100%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,035.04
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	8.5	-1.5	-18%	$5	$10.35	$1,035.04	$1,014.52
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	5	1.9	39%	$5	$10.15	$1,014.52	$1,029.22
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	8	-3.3	-41%	$5	$10.29	$1,029.22	$990.16
13th Apr	UFC 300	9.5	-5.2	-55%	$5	$9.90	$990.16	$933.67

ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.63% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mncedisi African Oracle: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Bobby Green	Jim Miller	1.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
4.	Mar '24	Andre Lima	Igor da Silva	1.56	1
5.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.60	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '24	Jafel Filho	Ode Osbourne	1.63	1	Sub, R1 (4:27)
7.	Feb '24	Fares Ziam	Claudio Puelles	1.48	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '24	Raoni Barcelos	Christian Quinonez	1.55	1	Sub, R3 (2:4)
9.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.53	1	Sub, R1 (1:46)
10.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	1.69	1	TKO, R1 (0:21)
11.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	1.69	1	TKO, R1 (0:21)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Jalin Turner	Renato Moicano	1.43	1	TKO, R2 (4:11)	No
3.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.20	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
4.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.85	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Justin Gaethje	Max Holloway	1.57	1	TKO, R5 (4:59)	No
6.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
7.	Mar '24	Steven Nguyen	Jarno Errens	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '24	Ricardo Ramos	Julian Erosa	1.63	1	Sub, R1 (2:15)	No
10.	Mar '24	Luis Pajuelo	Fernando Padilla	2.35	1	Sub, R1 (2:45)	No
11.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	2.25	1	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No
12.	Mar '24	Isaac Dulgarian	Christian Rodriguez	1.54	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Feb '24	Denys Bondar	Luis Rodriguez	1.95	1	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
14.	Feb '24	Mateus Mendonca	Jesus Santos Aguilar	1.78	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '24	Francisco Prado	Daniel Zellhuber	3.07	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Feb '24	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	1.70	1	Sub, R3 (0:58)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mncedisi African Oracle: Progress Chart

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