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MMA Handicapper Stats: J$ MMA

J$ MMA (jackmcnosky)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - J$ MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 198 (55%) Right 149 (58%) Right 21 (36%) Right 28 (62%)
Wrong 165 (45%) Wrong 110 (42%) Wrong 38 (64%) Wrong 17 (38%)
Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 1.76 Avg Odds 2.80 Avg Odds 2.06
Units Bet 794.5 Units Bet 671.8 Units Bet 48.8 Units Bet 74.0
Avg Bet 2.19 Avg Bet 2.59 Avg Bet 0.83 Avg Bet 1.64
Units Profit 51.25 Units Profit 29.29 Units Profit 0.22 Units Profit 21.74
ROI % 6% ROI % 4% ROI % 0% ROI % 29%
View Handicapper's Profile

J$ MMA: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 27.25 -1.8 -7% -0.6 / 20 (-3%) -0.6 / 3.25 (-17%) -0.6 / 4 (-16%)
26th Apr '24 LFA 182 9.5 6.4 67% 5.1 / 7.5 (68%) 1.3 / 2 (64%)
20th Apr '24 Oktagon 56 13 4.6 35% 2.6 / 12 (21%) 2.1 / 1 (206%)
20th Apr '24 Cage Warriors 171 19.2 -0.8 -4% -0.1 / 16.2 (-1%) -0.7 / 3 (-22%)
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 18.1 5.6 31% 0.2 / 14.1 (1%) 2.9 / 2 (147%) 2.5 / 2 (125%)
19th Apr '24 ACA 174 10 -1.6 -16% -1.6 / 10 (-16%)
18th Apr '24 Ares FC 20 6 1.0 17% 1.0 / 6 (17%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 26.25 6.5 25% 3.6 / 22 (16%) 1.3 / 3.25 (40%) 1.6 / 1 (162%)
12th Apr '24 CFFC 131 19.95 0.5 3% 0.5 / 19.95 (3%)
12th Apr '24 PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season 18.1 6.1 34% 4.7 / 16.6 (28%) 1.4 / 1.5 (93%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 37.5 -3.7 -10% -4.5 / 28 (-16%) 1.8 / 3.5 (52%) -1.0 / 6 (-16%)
6th Apr '24 KSW 93 9 4.5 50% 4.5 / 9 (50%)
6th Apr '24 Cage Warriors 170 23 6.9 30% 6.9 / 23 (30%)
5th Apr '24 LFA 181 20 14.1 70% 14.1 / 20 (70%)
4th Apr '24 PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season 21 6.1 29% 6.1 / 21 (29%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 25 4.7 19% 4.7 / 25 (19%)
30th Mar '24 Cage Warriors 169 22 -3.0 -14% -3.0 / 22 (-14%)
29th Mar '24 LFA 180 18 6.7 37% 6.7 / 18 (37%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 32 -9.8 -31% -9.8 / 32 (-31%)
22nd Mar '24 Bellator Champions Series 20 -5.8 -29% -5.8 / 20 (-29%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 22.7 -5.3 -24% -5.0 / 13.7 (-36%) -2.0 / 3 (-67%) 1.6 / 6 (27%)
16th Mar '24 Cage Warriors 168 30.8 -6.7 -22% -4.7 / 20.85 (-23%) -0.0 / 2.45 (-0%) -1.9 / 7.5 (-26%)
16th Mar '24 KSW 92 11.8 3.3 28% 1.8 / 7.35 (24%) -0.0 / 2.45 (-0%) 1.5 / 2 (73%)
15th Mar '24 Cage Warriors 167 12 0.2 1% 0.2 / 12 (1%)
10th Mar '24 Fury FC 87 10.45 1.9 18% 1.9 / 10.45 (18%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 37.55 1.4 4% 4.6 / 32.75 (14%) -0.2 / 1.8 (-11%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Mar '24 ACA 172 7 -3.8 -54% -3.8 / 7 (-54%)
9th Mar '24 LFA 178 7.35 4.7 65% 4.7 / 7.35 (65%)
8th Mar '24 One Fight Night 20 2 1.5 74% 1.5 / 2 (74%)
8th Mar '24 CFFC 130 3.3 -1.0 -30% -1.0 / 3.3 (-30%)
7th Mar '24 PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season 40.22 3.2 8% -3.0 / 28 (-11%) -1.8 / 1.77 (-100%) 7.9 / 10.45 (76%)
3rd Mar '24 UAE Warriors 48 12.24 1.5 12% -0.3 / 10 (-3%) 1.8 / 2.24 (81%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 49.32 -18.2 -37% -20.3 / 34.7 (-59%) -1.7 / 7.5 (-23%) 3.8 / 7.12 (54%)
2nd Mar '24 Oktagon 54 18.3 4.9 27% 5.5 / 14.3 (39%) -0.6 / 4 (-14%)
1st Mar '24 One 166 15.5 -2.2 -14% -2.2 / 15.5 (-14%)
25th Feb '24 ACA 171 4.55 -4.6 -100% -4.6 / 4.55 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 32.45 -0.7 -2% 0.8 / 20.15 (4%) -2.5 / 10.3 (-25%) 1.0 / 2 (51%)
24th Feb '24 PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 24.5 14.9 61% 8.0 / 11 (73%) 2.9 / 8.5 (34%) 3.9 / 5 (79%)
24th Feb '24 KSW Epic 12.23 -0.6 -5% -0.6 / 12.23 (-5%)
24th Feb '24 FCR 19 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 Rizin Landmark 8 8.6 2.1 25% 0.9 / 6.6 (13%) 1.2 / 2 (62%)
23rd Feb '24 LFA 177 12.81 0.9 7% 3.1 / 10.64 (29%) -2.2 / 2.17 (-100%)
23rd Feb '24 Cage Warriors 166 11.59 2.8 24% 2.8 / 11.59 (24%)
23rd Feb '24 Fury FC 86 11.4 5.8 51% 5.8 / 11.4 (51%)


Winning Events: 27 (61%)
Losing Events: 17 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.08 units
Most Staked On One Event: 49.32 units
Best Event: 14.90 units
Worst Event: -18.23 units
Average Event: 1.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 36.22
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -27.61

J$ MMA: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 795.51 51.3 6% 29.3 / 671.76 (4%) 21.7 / 73.98 (29%) 27 / 17 (61%) 1.16

J$ MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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J$ MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 290.02 -26.9 -9% -26.5 / 228.3 (-12%) -3.9 / 32.6 (-12%) 3.5 / 29.12 (12%)
Bellator 20 -5.8 -29% -5.8 / 20 (-29%)
PFL 121.92 35.9 29% 16.1 / 90.7 (18%) 4.1 / 12.27 (33%) 15.8 / 18.95 (83%)
Other 363.57 48.1 13% 45.6 / 332.76 (14%) -0.0 / 4.9 (-0%) 2.5 / 25.91 (10%)

J$ MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 80 (30%) 61 76 % 287.15 14.03 0.18 5%
Slight Favorites 100 (38%) 63 63 % 249.51 27.69 0.28 11%
Slight Underdogs 66 (25%) 28 42 % 113.75 2.42 0.04 2%
Big Underdogs 19 (7%) 1 5 % 21.35 -14.85 -0.78 -70%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 32 (12%) 16 50 % 77.44 -4.19 -0.13 -5%
Co-Main Event 26 (10%) 19 73 % 72.80 18.18 0.70 25%
Position 3-5 83 (31%) 45 54 % 209.17 1.06 0.01 1%
6+ (Undercard) 124 (47%) 73 59 % 312.35 14.24 0.11 5%

J$ MMA: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 24 (9%) 18 75 % 70.45 19.51 0.81 28%
Light Heavy 25 (9%) 18 72 % 61.15 17.41 0.70 28%
Middleweight 16 (6%) 12 75 % 45.80 15.73 0.98 34%
Welterweight 34 (13%) 21 62 % 72.41 4.51 0.13 6%
Lightweight 48 (18%) 25 52 % 121.80 -5.45 -0.11 -4%
Featherweight 36 (14%) 18 50 % 88.10 -1.28 -0.04 -1%
Bantamweight 37 (14%) 17 46 % 102.75 -16.77 -0.45 -16%
Flyweight 23 (9%) 11 48 % 54.60 -1.08 -0.05 -2%
               
Women's Fights 22 (8%) 13 59 % 54.70 -3.29 -0.15 -6%
Featherweight 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.15 1.15 115%
Bantamweight 4 (2%) 1 25 % 9.00 -4.80 -1.20 -53%
Flyweight 10 (4%) 7 70 % 25.00 3.39 0.34 14%
Strawweight 7 (3%) 4 57 % 19.70 -3.03 -0.43 -15%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 100 (87%) 87 87 %
Slight Favorites 15 (13%) 8 53 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
115 95 83 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (2%) 1 100 %
50-65% 8 (14%) 5 63 %
35-50% 20 (34%) 8 40 %
<35% chance 30 (51%) 6 20 %
59 20 34 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (5%) 2 67 % 2.16 2.90Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 1.7 (58%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (10%) 1 17 % 2.19 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was correct -4.3 (-72%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (8%) 4 80 % 1.77 2.05Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 2.2 (44%)
X Wins by KO 30 (51%) 9 30 % 3.24 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was correct -3.8 (-13%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (5%) 1 33 % 4.48 5.50Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was correct 1.0 (33%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (10%) 2 33 % 2.93 5.00Pick was correct 2.10Pick was correct 1.1 (18%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (3%) 0 0 % 6.88 11.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (7%) 1 25 % 2.23 2.85Pick was incorrect 1.71Pick was incorrect -0.5 (-14%)
59 20 34 % 2.81     -4.6 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail J$ MMA's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
23rd Feb LFA 177 12.81 0.9 7% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,009.21
23rd Feb Cage Warriors 166 11.59 2.8 24% $10.09 $1,009.21 $1,037.14
23rd Feb Fury FC 86 11.4 5.8 51% $10.37 $1,037.14 $1,097.20
24th Feb Rizin Landmark 8 8.6 2.1 25% $10.97 $1,097.20 $1,120.43
24th Feb FCR 19 2 -2.0 -100% $11.20 $1,120.43 $1,098.02
24th Feb KSW Epic 12.23 -0.6 -5% $10.98 $1,098.02 $1,091.70
24th Feb PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 24.5 14.9 61% $10.92 $1,091.70 $1,254.33
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 32.45 -0.7 -2% $12.54 $1,254.33 $1,245.17
25th Feb ACA 171 4.55 -4.6 -100% $12.45 $1,245.17 $1,188.51
1st Mar One 166 15.5 -2.2 -14% $11.89 $1,188.51 $1,162.65
2nd Mar Oktagon 54 18.3 4.9 27% $11.63 $1,162.65 $1,220.10
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 49.32 -18.2 -37% $12.20 $1,220.10 $997.72
3rd Mar UAE Warriors 48 12.24 1.5 12% $9.98 $997.72 $1,012.96
7th Mar PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season 40.22 3.2 8% $10.13 $1,012.96 $1,045.34
8th Mar CFFC 130 3.3 -1.0 -30% $10.45 $1,045.34 $1,034.89
8th Mar One Fight Night 20 2 1.5 74% $10.35 $1,034.89 $1,050.22
9th Mar LFA 178 7.35 4.7 65% $10.50 $1,050.22 $1,100.05
9th Mar ACA 172 7 -3.8 -54% $11.00 $1,100.05 $1,058.22
9th Mar UFC 299 37.55 1.4 4% $10.58 $1,058.22 $1,073.03
10th Mar Fury FC 87 10.45 1.9 18% $10.73 $1,073.03 $1,093.08
15th Mar Cage Warriors 167 12 0.2 1% $10.93 $1,093.08 $1,094.81
16th Mar KSW 92 11.8 3.3 28% $10.95 $1,094.81 $1,130.54
16th Mar Cage Warriors 168 30.8 -6.7 -22% $11.31 $1,130.54 $1,055.19
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 22.7 -5.3 -24% $10.55 $1,055.19 $998.85
22nd Mar Bellator Champions Series 20 -5.8 -29% $9.99 $998.85 $940.86
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 32 -9.8 -31% $9.41 $940.86 $848.69
29th Mar LFA 180 18 6.7 37% $8.49 $848.69 $905.96
30th Mar Cage Warriors 169 22 -3.0 -14% $9.06 $905.96 $878.78
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 25 4.7 19% $8.79 $878.78 $920.19
4th Apr PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season 21 6.1 29% $9.20 $920.19 $976.45
5th Apr LFA 181 20 14.1 70% $9.76 $976.45 $1,113.80
6th Apr Cage Warriors 170 23 6.9 30% $11.14 $1,113.80 $1,190.17
6th Apr KSW 93 9 4.5 50% $11.90 $1,190.17 $1,243.43
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 37.5 -3.7 -10% $12.43 $1,243.43 $1,197.66
12th Apr PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season 18.1 6.1 34% $11.98 $1,197.66 $1,270.66
12th Apr CFFC 131 19.95 0.5 3% $12.71 $1,270.66 $1,277.14
13th Apr UFC 300 26.25 6.5 25% $12.77 $1,277.14 $1,360.79
18th Apr Ares FC 20 6 1.0 17% $13.61 $1,360.79 $1,374.39
19th Apr ACA 174 10 -1.6 -16% $13.74 $1,374.39 $1,352.21
19th Apr PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 18.1 5.6 31% $13.52 $1,352.21 $1,428.23
20th Apr Cage Warriors 171 19.2 -0.8 -4% $14.28 $1,428.23 $1,416.83
20th Apr Oktagon 56 13 4.6 35% $14.17 $1,416.83 $1,482.14
26th Apr LFA 182 9.5 6.4 67% $14.82 $1,482.14 $1,576.98
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 27.25 -1.8 -7% $15.77 $1,576.98 $1,548.31


ROI % from starting bank balance: 54.83% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

J$ MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Hayisaer Maheshate Gabriel Benitez 1.38 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Ketlen Souza Marnic Mann 1.31 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Bogdan Guskov Ryan Spann 2.60 1 TKO, R2 (3:16) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Jeff Nielsen Zeb Vincent 1.74 2 TKO, R1 (2:17) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Shad Walters Nicholas Gjelaj 2.50 1 TKO, R1 (0:11) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Kendra McIntyre Katarina Legorreta 1.56 2 TKO, R3 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Cheyanne Bowers Naomie Young 1.41 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:36) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Ammari Diedrick Daniel Hromek 1.43 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Akonne Wanliss Sahil Siraj 1.65 3 TKO, R1 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Aitana Alvarez Megan Morris 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Jan Quaeyhaegens Konstantinos Ntelis 1.61 3 Sub, R2 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Cornellius Aritonang Thomas Hepburn 1.63 3 Sub, R1 (1:5) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Aidan Stephen Gianluca Scottoli 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '24 Will Fleury Daniel Skvor 1.56 2 Sub, R2 (1:14) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '24 Khadim Dia Mush Aslani 1.45 2.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '24 Adam Borics Enrique Barzola 1.67 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '24 Goiti Yamauchi Neiman Gracie 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '24 Magomed Umalatov Andrey Koreshkov 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '24 Mikhail Egorov Anderson dos Santos 1.67 2 TKO, R2 (1:12) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '24 Anatoly Tokov Sharaf Davlatmurodov 1.26 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Tim Means Uros Medic 3.40 1 TKO, R1 (2:9) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Austen Lane Jhonata Diniz 3.70 0.5 TKO, R2 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Michal Figlak Austin Hubbard 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Jonathan Pearce David Onama 1.67 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Pav Sahota Iain Postlethwaite 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Matheus Nicolau Alex Perez 1.61 2 TKO, R2 (2:16) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Chris Bungard Dumitru Girlean 2.35 1 Sub, R2 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Liam Etebar Andrej Kalasnik 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (0:43) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Callum Mullen Denis Frimpong 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Kamil Wojciechowski Mick Stanton 2.15 1 TKO, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Jack Eglin Daan Duijs 1.45 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Gleb Khabibulin Felipe Froes 1.77 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Oleg Borisov Pavel Vitruk 1.87 2.5 TKO, R4 (4:50) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '24 Brennan Ward Don Madge 2.45 1 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '24 Otto Rodrigues Tyler Diamond 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '24 Logan Storley Shamil Musaev 1.48 2.1 TKO, R2 (0:27) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '24 Arnold Quero Matheus Linhares 2.60 1 Sub, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '24 Justin Gaethje Max Holloway 1.65 3 TKO, R5 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '24 Alex Polizzi Impa Kasanganay 3.50 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:29) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '24 Tom Breese Rob Wilkinson 2.20 2 TKO, R1 (1:10) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

J$ MMA: Progress Chart
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