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MMA Handicapper Stats: Raf

Raf (Raf)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Raf

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 19 (28%) Right 11 (46%) Right 4 (17%) Right 4 (19%)
Wrong 49 (72%) Wrong 13 (54%) Wrong 19 (83%) Wrong 17 (81%)
Avg Odds 3.06 Avg Odds 2.39 Avg Odds 3.96 Avg Odds 3.31
Units Bet 98.7 Units Bet 58.5 Units Bet 18.5 Units Bet 21.7
Avg Bet 1.45 Avg Bet 2.44 Avg Bet 0.80 Avg Bet 1.03
Units Profit -22.48 Units Profit -2.91 Units Profit -9.82 Units Profit -9.75
ROI % -23% ROI % -5% ROI % -53% ROI % -45%
View Handicapper's Profile

Raf : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 45 -17.5 -39% -8.5 / 32.5 (-26%) -5.0 / 6.5 (-77%) -4.0 / 6 (-67%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 7 -2.4 -34% 0.6 / 4 (16%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 3.75 -3.8 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 2.5 2.1 85% 2.6 / 2 (131%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 30.7 3.3 11% 1.9 / 15 (13%) 2.4 / 4.7 (52%) -1.0 / 11 (-9%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 6.2 -3.2 -52% 2.5 / 0.5 (500%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 3.5 -1.1 -31% -0.1 / 2.5 (-4%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 2 (29%)
Losing Events: 5 (71%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.09 units
Most Staked On One Event: 45.00 units
Best Event: 3.34 units
Worst Event: -17.53 units
Average Event: -3.21 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 5.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -23.65

Raf : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 98.65 -22.5 -23% -2.9 / 58.5 (-5%) -9.7 / 21.7 (-45%) 2 / 5 (29%) -3.21

Raf : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Raf : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 98.65 -22.5 -23% -2.9 / 58.5 (-5%) -9.8 / 18.45 (-53%) -9.7 / 21.7 (-45%)

Raf : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (12%) 2 67 % 27.00 -3.50 -1.17 -13%
Slight Favorites 5 (19%) 3 60 % 10.00 2.93 0.59 29%
Slight Underdogs 9 (35%) 6 67 % 13.00 3.16 0.35 24%
Big Underdogs 9 (35%) 1 11 % 8.50 -5.50 -0.61 -65%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (15%) 2 50 % 13.00 -0.50 -0.13 -4%
Co-Main Event 5 (19%) 3 60 % 6.00 2.90 0.58 48%
Position 3-5 8 (31%) 2 25 % 16.00 -11.46 -1.43 -72%
6+ (Undercard) 9 (35%) 5 56 % 23.50 6.15 0.68 26%

Raf : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (12%) 1 33 % 4.00 -2.00 -0.67 -50%
Light Heavy 2 (8%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%
Middleweight 3 (12%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -0.83 -100%
Welterweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.00 0.00 0%
Lightweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 12.00 -7.50 -3.75 -62%
Featherweight 5 (19%) 5 100 % 9.00 9.68 1.94 108%
Bantamweight 6 (23%) 4 67 % 21.50 6.91 1.15 32%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 2 (8%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%
Strawweight 2 (8%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 32 (68%) 26 81 %
Slight Favorites 11 (23%) 3 27 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (9%) 1 25 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
47 30 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (3%) 1 100 %
50-65% 2 (6%) 1 50 %
35-50% 9 (27%) 4 44 %
<35% chance 21 (64%) 2 10 %
33 8 24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (6%) 1 50 % 2.76 3.00Pick was correct 2.55Pick was incorrect 1.0 (50%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (9%) 1 33 % 1.58 2.10Pick was incorrect 1.10Pick was correct -1.9 (-63%)
X Wins by KO 3 (9%) 1 33 % 5.88 7.50Pick was incorrect 4.75Pick was correct 1.7 (58%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (6%) 0 0 % 8.87 17.00Pick was incorrect 6.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 13 (39%) 4 31 % 3.60 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was correct -3.6 (-28%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (12%) 1 25 % 2.08 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was correct -2.3 (-59%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (9%) 0 0 % 4.15 5.00Pick was incorrect 3.10Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Others 3 (9%) 0 0 % 10.83 41.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
33 8 24 % 3.33     -13.1 (-40%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Raf 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 3.5 -1.1 -31% $10.00 $1,000.00 $989.00
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 6.2 -3.2 -52% $9.89 $989.00 $957.35
9th Mar UFC 299 30.7 3.3 11% $9.57 $957.35 $989.28
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 2.5 2.1 85% $9.89 $989.28 $1,010.35
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 3.75 -3.8 -100% $10.10 $1,010.35 $972.46
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 7 -2.4 -34% $9.72 $972.46 $949.42
13th Apr UFC 300 45 -17.5 -39% $9.49 $949.42 $782.99


ROI % from starting bank balance: -21.70% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Raf : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Aljamain Sterling Calvin Kattar 1.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Deiveson Figueiredo Cody Garbrandt 1.30 10 Sub, R2 (4:2) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Joaquin Buckley Vicente Luque 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Nate Landwehr Jamall Emmers 2.63 1 TKO, R1 (4:43) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Aljamain Sterling Calvin Kattar 1.91 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Christian Rodriguez Isaac Dulgarian 2.63 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Aiemann Zahabi Javid Basharat 6.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Marcin Tybura Tai Tuivasa 2.00 1 Sub, R1 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Sean O'Malley Marlon Vera 1.50 7 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.25 2 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '24 Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez 2.40 1 Sub, R3 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Jamahal Hill Alex Pereira 2.10 4 TKO, R1 (3:14) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Justin Gaethje Max Holloway 1.50 10 TKO, R5 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Sedriques Dumas Nursulton Ruziboev 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Rhys McKee Chidi Njokuani 2.88 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Cameron Saaiman Payton Talbott 2.50 1 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Cody Brundage Bo Nickal 9.00 0.5 Sub, R2 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Justin Tafa Karl Williams 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Yan Xiaonan Weili Zhang 3.75 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Jamahal Hill Alex Pereira 2.40 1 TKO, R1 (3:14) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 2.88 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 1.91 2 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Kevin Holland Michael Page 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Daniel Lacerda Edgar Chairez 4.00 1 Sub, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Sam Hughes Yazmin Jauregui 6.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Raf : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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