MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6371
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2353

MMA Handicapper Stats: Deep Fucking Value

Deep Fucking Value (DeepValue)

MMA MHandicapper - Deep Fucking Value

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	44 (44%)	Right	27 (54%)	Right	11 (29%)	Right	6 (50%)
Wrong	56 (56%)	Wrong	23 (46%)	Wrong	27 (71%)	Wrong	6 (50%)
Avg Odds	2.22	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	2.79	Avg Odds	1.82
Units Bet	93.7	Units Bet	62.3	Units Bet	20.4	Units Bet	11.0
Avg Bet	0.94	Avg Bet	1.25	Avg Bet	0.54	Avg Bet	0.92
Units Profit	4.40	Units Profit	12.15	Units Profit	-6.96	Units Profit	-0.79
ROI %	5%	ROI %	20%	ROI %	-34%	ROI %	-7%

Deep Fucking Value : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Apr '24	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	2.5	1.2	47%	1.2 / 2.5 (47%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	8.63	2.0	23%	2.0 / 5.5 (36%)	1.0 / 2.13 (48%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Apr '24	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	2	0.5	24%	1.0 / 1.5 (65%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	4.7	-3.4	-72%	-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)	0.3 / 1 (32%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Apr '24	LFA 181	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	2.5	-0.9	-38%	-0.9 / 2.5 (-38%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	3	-0.8	-27%	-0.8 / 3 (-27%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	3.6	2.9	80%	2.9 / 3.6 (80%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	2.5	0.1	4%	0.1 / 2.5 (4%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	11.7	3.5	30%	2.3 / 10.2 (23%)	0.7 / 0.5 (130%)	0.6 / 1 (57%)
7th Mar '24	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	0.5	0.4	87%	0.4 / 0.5 (87%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	14.13	-6.0	-42%	0.7 / 5.75 (12%)	-5.6 / 7.38 (-76%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Mar '24	Oktagon 54	0.5	0.5	100%	0.5 / 0.5 (100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	8.39	-0.6	-7%	2.3 / 3 (77%)	-2.0 / 4.39 (-44%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	16.25	5.4	33%	4.9 / 13 (38%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	1.8 / 2 (88%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	7	2.8	40%	-0.4 / 3.5 (-11%)	1.6 / 2 (82%)	1.5 / 1.5 (101%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	3.25	-0.7	-22%	-1.3 / 2 (-66%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	0.9 / 1 (86%)

Winning Events: 10 (59%)
Losing Events: 7 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.42 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.25 units
Best Event: 5.43 units
Worst Event: -5.96 units
Average Event: 0.35 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.22
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -6.13

Deep Fucking Value : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	92.15	5.9	6%	12.1 / 62.25 (20%)		-0.8 / 11 (-7%)	10 / 7 (59%)	0.35

Deep Fucking Value : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Deep Fucking Value : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	83.15	5.3	6%	10.0 / 54.75 (18%)	-5.5 / 18.9 (-29%)	0.7 / 9.5 (7%)
PFL	7.5	1.1	15%	1.6 / 7 (23%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
Other	1.5	-0.5	-33%	0.5 / 0.5 (100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Deep Fucking Value : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (15%)	4	50 %	19.00	-2.96	-0.37	-16%
Slight Favorites	18 (33%)	13	72 %	23.00	6.39	0.36	28%
Slight Underdogs	22 (40%)	15	68 %	17.75	11.21	0.51	63%
Big Underdogs	7 (13%)	0	0 %	2.50	-2.50	-0.36	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (16%)	5	56 %	10.50	0.37	0.04	4%
Co-Main Event	10 (18%)	5	50 %	8.25	0.27	0.03	3%
Position 3-5	20 (36%)	15	75 %	31.50	11.13	0.56	35%
6+ (Undercard)	16 (29%)	7	44 %	12.00	0.37	0.02	3%

Deep Fucking Value : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (7%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-0.75	-100%
Light Heavy	3 (5%)	2	67 %	2.25	1.32	0.44	59%
Middleweight	4 (7%)	2	50 %	6.50	-0.34	-0.08	-5%
Welterweight	11 (20%)	9	82 %	9.50	6.95	0.63	73%
Lightweight	8 (15%)	6	75 %	10.50	3.13	0.39	30%
Featherweight	14 (25%)	9	64 %	15.70	2.60	0.19	17%
Bantamweight	7 (13%)	2	29 %	7.55	0.75	0.11	10%
Flyweight	3 (5%)	1	33 %	6.25	0.18	0.06	3%

Women's Fights	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.56	0.56	56%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.56	0.56	56%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	21 (95%)	15	71 %
Slight Favorites	1 (5%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	22	16	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (13%)	5	100 %
50-65%	9 (23%)	2	22 %
35-50%	8 (20%)	3	38 %
<35% chance	18 (45%)	3	17 %
	40	13	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (20%)	5	63 %	1.49	2.30	1.26	-1.4 (-17%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.65	1.65	1.65	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.50	2.50	2.50	1.5 (150%)
X Wins by KO	3 (8%)	0	0 %	3.45	13.00	2.25	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	9 (23%)	2	22 %	4.81	19.00	1.91	-3.3 (-37%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (5%)	2	100 %	2.40	2.50	2.30	2.8 (140%)
X Wins Inside Distance	11 (28%)	2	18 %	2.63	5.90	1.74	-5.3 (-48%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (5%)	0	0 %	8.17	11.00	6.50	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	3 (8%)	1	33 %	2.17	4.30	1.74	1.3 (43%)
	40	13	33 %	2.54			-10.4 (-26%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Deep Fucking Value 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	3.25	-0.7	-22%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$992.82
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	7	2.8	40%		$9.93	$992.82	$1,020.46
17th Feb	UFC 298	16.25	5.4	33%		$10.20	$1,020.46	$1,075.89
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	8.39	-0.6	-7%		$10.76	$1,075.89	$1,069.15
2nd Mar	Oktagon 54	0.5	0.5	100%		$10.69	$1,069.15	$1,074.49
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	14.13	-6.0	-42%		$10.74	$1,074.49	$1,010.45
7th Mar	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	0.5	0.4	87%		$10.10	$1,010.45	$1,014.84
9th Mar	UFC 299	11.7	3.5	30%		$10.15	$1,014.84	$1,050.82
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	2.5	0.1	4%		$10.51	$1,050.82	$1,051.87
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	3.6	2.9	80%		$10.52	$1,051.87	$1,082.06
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	3	-0.8	-27%		$10.82	$1,082.06	$1,073.40
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	2.5	-0.9	-38%		$10.73	$1,073.40	$1,063.27
5th Apr	LFA 181	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.63	$1,063.27	$1,052.63
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	4.7	-3.4	-72%		$10.53	$1,052.63	$1,017.03
12th Apr	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	2	0.5	24%		$10.17	$1,017.03	$1,021.92
13th Apr	UFC 300	8.63	2.0	23%		$10.22	$1,021.92	$1,042.48
19th Apr	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	2.5	1.2	47%		$10.42	$1,042.48	$1,054.68

ROI % from starting bank balance: 5.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Deep Fucking Value : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Magomed Umalatov	Andrey Koreshkov	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '24	Adam Borics	Enrique Barzola	1.87	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '24	Brent Primus	Bruno Miranda	1.82	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:49)
4.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
5.	Apr '24	Rob Wilkinson	Tom Breese	1.57	1	TKO, R1 (1:10)
6.	Apr '24	Arman Tsarukyan	Charles Oliveira	1.50	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.50	1	TKO, R5 (4:59)
8.	Apr '24	Liz Carmouche	Juliana Velasquez	1.56	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	2.20	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
10.	Mar '24	Youssef Zalal	Billy Quarantillo	2.37	1	Sub, R2 (1:50)
11.	Mar '24	Payton Talbott	Cameron Saaiman	1.95	2.1	TKO, R2 (0:21)
12.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.60	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '24	Jack Della Maddalena	Gilbert Burns	1.63	1	TKO, R3 (3:43)
14.	Mar '24	Michael Page	Kevin Holland	2.14	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.91	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '24	Michael Page	Kevin Holland	2.14	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Mar '24	Baissangour Chamsoudinov	Cedric Doumbe	1.87	0.5	TKO, R3 (1:21)
18.	Mar '24	Steve Erceg	Matt Schnell	1.29	5	TKO, R2 (0:26)
19.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.42	1	TKO, R2 (2:32)
20.	Mar '24	Mochamed Machaev	Makwan Amirkhani	2.00	0.5	TKO, R3 (0:6)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Neiman Gracie	Goiti Yamauchi	2.90	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Cody Garbrandt	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.50	0.5	Sub, R2 (4:2)	No
3.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
4.	Apr '24	Chris Curtis	Brendan Allen	2.90	0.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Linton Vassell	Denis Goltsov	2.02	0.5	TKO, R3 (3:11)	No
6.	Apr '24	Dan Argueta	Jean Matsumoto	2.40	1	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
7.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.85	1.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '24	Ante Delija	Valentin Moldavsky	1.91	1	TKO, R1 (2:17)	No
9.	Mar '24	Bill Algeo	Kyle Nelson	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (4:0)	No
10.	Mar '24	Justin Tafa	Karl Williams	2.85	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '24	Isaac Dulgarian	Christian Rodriguez	1.68	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.91	1	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
13.	Mar '24	Benoit Saint-Denis	Dustin Poirier	1.50	2.5	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
14.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.95	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '24	Carlos Vergara	Assu Almabaev	4.70	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '24	Bernardo Sopai	Vinicius de Oliveira	2.26	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:41)	No
17.	Mar '24	Tyson Pedro	Vitor Petrino	3.50	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '24	Henry Cejudo	Merab Dvalishvili	2.64	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '24	Joe Pyfer	Jack Hermansson	1.50	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Feb '24	Pete Rodriguez	Themba Gorimbo	3.10	0.25	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Deep Fucking Value : Progress Chart

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