MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Killer Penguin

Killer Penguin (KillerPenguin24)

MMA MHandicapper - Killer Penguin

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	33 (41%)	Right	11 (35%)	Right	10 (53%)	Right	12 (40%)
Wrong	47 (59%)	Wrong	20 (65%)	Wrong	9 (47%)	Wrong	18 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.21	Avg Odds	2.10	Avg Odds	2.52	Avg Odds	2.15
Units Bet	76.6	Units Bet	31.7	Units Bet	14.7	Units Bet	30.1
Avg Bet	0.96	Avg Bet	1.02	Avg Bet	0.78	Avg Bet	1.00
Units Profit	-8.76	Units Profit	-6.86	Units Profit	5.23	Units Profit	-7.12
ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-22%	ROI %	35%	ROI %	-24%

Killer Penguin: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	11.185	-3.0	-27%	0.6 / 6 (10%)	-1.9 / 1.94 (-100%)	-1.6 / 3.245 (-50%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	5.5	-1.1	-20%	0.2 / 1.8 (11%)	1.4 / 1 (140%)	-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6.3	-1.9	-31%	-0.0 / 2.3 (-0%)	0.5 / 1.6 (28%)	-2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	4	0.0	1%	1.1 / 0.8 (135%)	-0.0 / 2.2 (-2%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	6.2	-2.2	-35%	0.3 / 1.5 (17%)	-0.7 / 1.7 (-41%)	-1.7 / 3 (-58%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	9.5	0.2	3%	-4.7 / 4.7 (-100%)	1.0 / 1.4 (71%)	3.9 / 3.4 (116%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	6.8	-1.0	-14%	1.1 / 0.8 (135%)	0.9 / 1 (91%)	-2.9 / 5 (-59%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	8.5	-1.5	-17%	-1.7 / 4.6 (-36%)	1.9 / 2.2 (86%)	-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	6.5	2.1	33%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	1.1 / 1 (105%)	3.6 / 3 (120%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	7.8	0.7	9%	-0.9 / 4.1 (-22%)	1.2 / 1.7 (72%)	0.3 / 2 (17%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	5.3	-1.2	-23%	-0.3 / 2.6 (-12%)		-0.9 / 2.7 (-34%)

Winning Events: 4 (36%)
Losing Events: 7 (64%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.05 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.19 units
Best Event: 2.14 units
Worst Event: -2.98 units
Average Event: -0.80 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 2.81
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.03

Killer Penguin: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	77.585	-8.8	-11%	-6.9 / 31.7 (-22%)		-7.1 / 30.145 (-24%)	4 / 7 (36%)	-0.80

Killer Penguin: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Killer Penguin: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	77.585	-8.8	-11%	-6.9 / 31.7 (-22%)	5.2 / 15.74 (33%)	-7.1 / 30.145 (-24%)

Killer Penguin: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	0.93	0.93	47%
Slight Favorites	10 (31%)	6	60 %	13.30	-0.92	-0.09	-7%
Slight Underdogs	17 (53%)	5	29 %	14.50	-4.97	-0.29	-34%
Big Underdogs	4 (13%)	0	0 %	1.90	-1.90	-0.48	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (6%)	1	50 %	3.20	-1.04	-0.52	-33%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	8 (25%)	1	13 %	6.20	-4.20	-0.53	-68%
6+ (Undercard)	22 (69%)	10	45 %	22.30	-1.62	-0.07	-7%

Killer Penguin: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Light Heavy	4 (13%)	3	75 %	4.90	1.58	0.39	32%
Middleweight	2 (6%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-0.75	-100%
Welterweight	2 (6%)		0 %	1.80	-1.80	-0.90	-100%
Lightweight	10 (31%)	5	50 %	9.30	1.03	0.10	11%
Featherweight	7 (22%)	4	57 %	7.70	0.33	0.05	4%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)		0 %	1.80	-1.80	-0.90	-100%
Flyweight	2 (6%)		0 %	2.20	-2.20	-1.10	-100%

Women's Fights	2 (6%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-0.75	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Strawweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	41 (77%)	29	71 %
Slight Favorites	8 (15%)	4	50 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (6%)	1	33 %
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	0	0 %
	53	34	64 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	13 (38%)	8	62 %
50-65%	8 (24%)	4	50 %
35-50%	6 (18%)	4	67 %
<35% chance	7 (21%)	1	14 %
	34	17	50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	10 (29%)	8	80 %	1.31	1.50	1.21	0.4 (4%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (9%)	1	33 %	1.88	2.60	1.53	-1.2 (-40%)
Goes to Decision	3 (9%)	0	0 %	1.51	1.69	1.43	-3.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.54	1.54	1.54	0.5 (54%)
X Wins by KO	5 (15%)	3	60 %	2.75	6.00	1.91	1.4 (27%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (3%)	0	0 %	2.75	2.75	2.75	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (15%)	2	40 %	2.71	4.00	1.91	2.1 (41%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (9%)	2	67 %	2.61	5.00	1.71	1.5 (49%)
Others	3 (9%)	0	0 %	2.39	8.00	1.77	-3.0 (-100%)
	34	17	50 %	1.86			-2.4 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Killer Penguin's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	5.3	-1.2	-23%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$987.94
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	7.8	0.7	9%		$9.88	$987.94	$994.61
17th Feb	UFC 298	6.5	2.1	33%		$9.95	$994.61	$1,015.89
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	8.5	-1.5	-17%		$10.16	$1,015.89	$1,000.79
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	6.8	-1.0	-14%		$10.01	$1,000.79	$991.28
9th Mar	UFC 299	9.5	0.2	3%		$9.91	$991.28	$993.67
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	6.2	-2.2	-35%		$9.94	$993.67	$971.97
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	4	0.0	1%		$9.72	$971.97	$972.36
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6.3	-1.9	-31%		$9.72	$972.36	$953.40
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	5.5	-1.1	-20%		$9.53	$953.40	$942.91
13th Apr	UFC 300	11.185	-3.0	-27%		$9.43	$942.91	$914.86

ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Killer Penguin: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.02	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
2.	Apr '24	Alex Pereira	Jamahal Hill	1.80	1.2	TKO, R1 (3:14)
3.	Apr '24	Diego Lopes	Sodiq Yusuff	1.71	1.4	TKO, R1 (1:29)
4.	Apr '24	Jose Mariscal	Morgan Charriere	2.00	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '24	Ibo Aslan	Anton Turkalj	1.77	1.3	TKO, R3 (1:32)
6.	Mar '24	Julian Erosa	Ricardo Ramos	2.35	0.8	Sub, R1 (2:15)
7.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.50	0.7	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.35	0.8	TKO, R3 (0:49)
9.	Feb '24	Fares Ziam	Claudio Puelles	1.47	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '24	Bolaji Oki	Timothy Cuamba	1.57	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Feb '24	Bolaji Oki	Timothy Cuamba	1.65	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Feb '24	Marquel Mederos	Landon Quiñones	1.77	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.42	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	2.05	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.75	0.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '24	Trevor Peek	Charlie Campbell	2.55	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '24	Connor Matthews	Dennis Buzukja	2.03	1	TKO, R3 (0:22)	No
6.	Mar '24	Ode Osbourne	Jafel Filho	2.35	0.8	Sub, R1 (4:27)	No
7.	Mar '24	Ion Cutelaba	Philipe Lins	1.71	1.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '24	Yadong Song	Petr Yan	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
10.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.77	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Feb '24	Christian Quinonez	Raoni Barcelos	2.55	0.8	Sub, R3 (2:4)	No
12.	Feb '24	Mateus Mendonca	Jesus Santos Aguilar	1.69	1.4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Feb '24	Francisco Prado	Daniel Zellhuber	3.10	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Feb '24	Roman Kopylov	Anthony Hernandez	3.00	0.5	Sub, R2 (3:23)	No
15.	Feb '24	Alex Volkanovski	Ilia Topuria	1.91	2	TKO, R2 (3:32)	No
16.	Feb '24	Darrius Flowers	Michael Johnson	2.15	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '24	Trevin Giles	Carlos Prates	3.10	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:3)	No
18.	Feb '24	Armen Petrosyan	Rodolfo Vieira	2.00	1	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
19.	Feb '24	Diana Belbita	Molly McCann	3.10	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:59)	No
20.	Feb '24	Blake Bilder	Jung Young Lee	2.25	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Killer Penguin: Progress Chart

Chart

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