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MMA Handicapper Stats: 3rdBestMJ

3rdBestMJ (3rdBestMJ)


MMA MHandicapper - 3rdBestMJ

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 49 (28%) Right 15 (38%) Right 17 (17%) Right 17 (50%)
Wrong 123 (72%) Wrong 25 (63%) Wrong 81 (83%) Wrong 17 (50%)
Avg Odds 3.68 Avg Odds 2.62 Avg Odds 5.63 Avg Odds 2.42
Units Bet 72.5 Units Bet 23.6 Units Bet 28.0 Units Bet 20.9
Avg Bet 0.42 Avg Bet 0.59 Avg Bet 0.29 Avg Bet 0.61
Units Profit 2.71 Units Profit 0.27 Units Profit -2.80 Units Profit 5.25
ROI % 4% ROI % 1% ROI % -10% ROI % 25%
View Handicapper's Profile

3rdBestMJ : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 10.15 1.3 12% -0.8 / 4.3 (-19%) 1.2 / 5.15 (22%) 0.9 / 0.7 (130%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 7.3 -4.1 -56% -0.2 / 2 (-10%) -2.6 / 4 (-64%) -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 6.35 2.8 44% 1.5 / 1.7 (87%) 2.1 / 3.85 (54%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 3.4 -0.3 -8% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) 0.8 / 0.8 (94%) 0.2 / 1.4 (12%)
22nd Mar '24 Bellator Champions Series 1.3 0.4 29% 0.4 / 1.3 (29%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 4.2 0.3 8% 0.9 / 1 (91%) -0.5 / 1.35 (-33%) -0.1 / 1.85 (-6%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 10.15 -5.3 -52% -1.8 / 3.7 (-48%) -2.0 / 3.35 (-60%) -1.5 / 3.1 (-48%)
7th Mar '24 PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season 0.5 0.5 105% 0.5 / 0.5 (105%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 3.85 1.5 38% 1.0 / 2.35 (43%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (96%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 10.6 2.4 23% 0.6 / 2.4 (26%) -1.7 / 3.2 (-53%) 3.5 / 5 (70%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 9.35 2.6 28% -0.8 / 2.55 (-32%) 0.4 / 4.1 (10%) 3.0 / 2.7 (111%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 3.35 2.7 79% 0.5 / 0.25 (200%) 0.2 / 1.6 (11%) 2.0 / 1.5 (132%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 3.05 -2.1 -67% -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%) -0.2 / 1.15 (-13%) -1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)


Winning Events: 9 (69%)
Losing Events: 4 (31%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.66 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.60 units
Best Event: 2.77 units
Worst Event: -5.31 units
Average Event: 0.21 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 9.68
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -5.31

3rdBestMJ : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 73.55 2.7 4% 0.3 / 23.6 (1%) 5.2 / 20.9 (25%) 9 / 4 (69%) 0.21

3rdBestMJ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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3rdBestMJ : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 71.75 1.8 3% -0.6 / 21.8 (-3%) -2.8 / 29.05 (-10%) 5.2 / 20.9 (25%)
Bellator 1.3 0.4 29% 0.4 / 1.3 (29%)
PFL 0.5 0.5 105% 0.5 / 0.5 (105%)

3rdBestMJ : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 4 (10%) 3 75 % 4.00 1.54 0.39 39%
Slight Underdogs 19 (48%) 9 47 % 12.75 2.09 0.11 16%
Big Underdogs 17 (43%) 3 18 % 6.85 -3.36 -0.20 -49%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (25%) 6 60 % 5.85 2.56 0.26 44%
Co-Main Event 2 (5%) 0 0 % 0.90 -0.90 -0.45 -100%
Position 3-5 12 (30%) 3 25 % 6.15 -1.31 -0.11 -21%
6+ (Undercard) 16 (40%) 6 38 % 10.70 -0.09 -0.01 -1%

3rdBestMJ : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (10%) 2 50 % 3.30 0.29 0.07 9%
Light Heavy 4 (10%) 2 50 % 2.90 0.78 0.19 27%
Middleweight 6 (15%) 3 50 % 3.05 0.94 0.16 31%
Welterweight 3 (8%) 1 33 % 1.70 -0.67 -0.22 -40%
Lightweight 5 (13%) 2 40 % 2.80 0.38 0.08 14%
Featherweight 3 (8%) 0 % 1.40 -1.40 -0.47 -100%
Bantamweight 6 (15%) 1 17 % 3.55 -1.64 -0.27 -46%
Flyweight 4 (10%) 2 50 % 1.95 1.08 0.27 55%
               
Women's Fights 5 (13%) 2 40 % 2.95 0.52 0.10 18%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 1.25 0.50 0.25 40%
Strawweight 3 (8%) 1 33 % 1.70 0.02 0.01 1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 32 (73%) 24 75 %
Slight Favorites 12 (27%) 10 83 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
44 34 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 15 (11%) 11 73 %
50-65% 12 (9%) 6 50 %
35-50% 20 (15%) 7 35 %
<35% chance 84 (64%) 11 13 %
131 35 27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 19 (15%) 11 58 % 1.56 3.25Pick was correct 1.17Pick was incorrect -1.5 (-8%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (7%) 5 56 % 2.12 3.10Pick was correct 1.26Pick was correct 3.1 (34%)
X Wins by KO 16 (12%) 4 25 % 3.71 8.00Pick was correct 2.00Pick was correct 5.6 (35%)
X Wins by Sub 10 (8%) 1 10 % 7.27 23.00Pick was incorrect 4.33Pick was correct -5.7 (-57%)
X Wins by Decision 6 (5%) 3 50 % 3.95 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct 4.1 (68%)
X Wins Inside Distance 9 (7%) 2 22 % 2.49 4.75Pick was incorrect 1.71Pick was incorrect -4.1 (-46%)
X Wins in Round X 42 (32%) 2 5 % 13.53 34.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect 3.0 (7%)
Others 20 (15%) 7 35 % 3.03 34.00Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was incorrect -1.6 (-8%)
131 35 27 % 3.55     2.8 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail 3rdBestMJ 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 3.05 -2.1 -67% $10.00 $1,000.00 $979.50
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 3.35 2.7 79% $9.80 $979.50 $1,005.52
17th Feb UFC 298 9.35 2.6 28% $10.06 $1,005.52 $1,031.56
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 10.6 2.4 23% $10.32 $1,031.56 $1,056.73
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 3.85 1.5 38% $10.57 $1,056.73 $1,072.23
7th Mar PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season 0.5 0.5 105% $10.72 $1,072.23 $1,077.86
9th Mar UFC 299 10.15 -5.3 -52% $10.78 $1,077.86 $1,020.61
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 4.2 0.3 8% $10.21 $1,020.61 $1,024.17
22nd Mar Bellator Champions Series 1.3 0.4 29% $10.24 $1,024.17 $1,028.06
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 3.4 -0.3 -8% $10.28 $1,028.06 $1,025.20
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 6.35 2.8 44% $10.25 $1,025.20 $1,053.54
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 7.3 -4.1 -56% $10.54 $1,053.54 $1,010.61
13th Apr UFC 300 10.15 1.3 12% $10.11 $1,010.61 $1,023.32


ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.33% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

3rdBestMJ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Jiri Prochazka Aleksandar Rakic 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Max Holloway Justin Gaethje 2.50 0.6 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 César Almeida Dylan Budka 2.25 0.8 TKO, R2 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Chris Weidman Bruno Silva 2.87 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Manon Fiorot Erin Blanchfield 2.50 0.7 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Luke Trainer Grant Neal 2.40 0.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Marcin Tybura Tai Tuivasa 1.91 1 Sub, R1 (4:8) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Baissangour Chamsoudinov Cedric Doumbe 2.05 0.5 TKO, R3 (1:21) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Loik Radzhabov Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 2.40 0.7 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Shamil Gaziev 2.40 0.7 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '24 Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno 3.25 0.4 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Jesus Santos Aguilar Mateus Mendonca 2.30 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Amanda Lemos Mackenzie Dern 1.72 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Jack Hermansson Joe Pyfer 3.00 0.25 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Jim Miller Bobby Green 2.50 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Jamahal Hill Alex Pereira 2.10 0.8 TKO, R1 (3:14) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Sodiq Yusuff Diego Lopes 2.20 0.8 TKO, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.87 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Chris Curtis Brendan Allen 2.87 0.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Dan Argueta Jean Matsumoto 2.50 0.7 Sub, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Sedriques Dumas Nursulton Ruziboev 2.87 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:18) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Amanda Ribas Rose Namajunas 2.75 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Isaiah Pinson Abraham Bably 2.50 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Cameron Saaiman Payton Talbott 2.30 0.7 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley 3.25 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 2.87 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 1.91 1 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 2.30 0.7 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Bekzat Almakhan Umar Nurmagomedov 9.00 0.15 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Alex Perez Muhammad Mokaev 3.75 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Tyson Pedro Vitor Petrino 3.50 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Francisco Prado Daniel Zellhuber 3.25 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Erik Silva Muhammadjon Naimov 5.00 0.25 TKO, R1 (0:44) Yes MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '24 Sam Hughes Yazmin Jauregui 6.00 0.2 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

3rdBestMJ : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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