MMA Handicapper Stats: Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion] |
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Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 2 (50%) Losing Events: 2 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 58.91 units Most Staked On One Event: 71.49 units Best Event: 7.83 units Worst Event: -28.40 units Average Event: -10.11 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 7.83 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -50.42 |
Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
235.63 |
-40.5 |
-17% |
-40.5 / 235.63 (-17%) |
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2 / 2 (50%) |
-10.11 |
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Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
235.63 |
-40.5 |
-17% |
-40.5 / 235.63 (-17%) |
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Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
25 (53%) |
16 |
64 % |
132.71 |
-17.19 |
-0.69 |
-13% |
Slight Favorites |
17 (36%) |
8 |
47 % |
80.60 |
-14.49 |
-0.85 |
-18% |
Slight Underdogs |
5 (11%) |
1 |
20 % |
22.32 |
-8.77 |
-1.75 |
-39% |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
3 (6%) |
1 |
33 % |
9.49 |
-8.73 |
-2.91 |
-92% |
Co-Main Event |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.16 |
-1.26 |
-0.63 |
-12% |
Position 3-5 |
10 (21%) |
6 |
60 % |
49.58 |
-0.62 |
-0.06 |
-1% |
6+ (Undercard) |
32 (68%) |
17 |
53 % |
166.40 |
-29.85 |
-0.93 |
-18% |
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Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
6.47 |
-4.42 |
-2.21 |
-68% |
Light Heavy |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.23 |
3.32 |
1.66 |
32% |
Middleweight |
8 (17%) |
4 |
50 % |
36.73 |
-10.01 |
-1.25 |
-27% |
Welterweight |
8 (17%) |
3 |
38 % |
30.07 |
-15.29 |
-1.91 |
-51% |
Lightweight |
6 (13%) |
4 |
67 % |
41.24 |
3.24 |
0.54 |
8% |
Featherweight |
6 (13%) |
4 |
67 % |
29.91 |
2.29 |
0.38 |
8% |
Bantamweight |
5 (11%) |
2 |
40 % |
29.34 |
-12.10 |
-2.42 |
-41% |
Flyweight |
3 (6%) |
1 |
33 % |
18.80 |
-5.56 |
-1.85 |
-30% |
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Women's Fights |
7 (15%) |
5 |
71 % |
32.84 |
-1.93 |
-0.28 |
-6% |
Bantamweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.15 |
-3.28 |
-1.64 |
-32% |
Flyweight |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
14.30 |
-1.71 |
-0.57 |
-12% |
Strawweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
8.39 |
3.05 |
1.53 |
36% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
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0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
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Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
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0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
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0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
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0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]'s bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -38.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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1. |
Feb '24 |
Hyder Amil |
Fernando Garcia |
1.53 |
7.52 |
TKO, R2 (2:12) |
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2. |
Feb '24 |
Bogdan Guskov |
Zac Pauga |
2.20 |
6.16 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
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3. |
Feb '24 |
Loma Lookboonmee |
Bruna Brasil |
1.36 |
5.23 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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4. |
Feb '24 |
Bolaji Oki |
Timothy Cuamba |
1.62 |
7.82 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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5. |
Feb '24 |
Carlos Prates |
Trevin Giles |
1.44 |
5.64 |
TKO, R2 (4:3) |
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6. |
Feb '24 |
Michael Johnson |
Darrius Flowers |
1.73 |
2.38 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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7. |
Feb '24 |
Gregory Rodrigues |
Brad Tavares |
1.44 |
5.28 |
TKO, R3 (0:55) |
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8. |
Feb '24 |
Dan Ige |
Andre Fili |
1.62 |
5.51 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
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9. |
Feb '24 |
Jung Young Lee |
Blake Bilder |
1.67 |
4.13 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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10. |
Feb '24 |
Themba Gorimbo |
Pete Rodriguez |
1.44 |
0.27 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
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11. |
Feb '24 |
Molly McCann |
Diana Belbita |
1.40 |
2.53 |
Sub, R1 (4:59) |
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12. |
Feb '24 |
Natalia Cristina da Silva |
Viviane Araujo |
1.29 |
7.04 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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13. |
Feb '24 |
Randy Brown |
Muslim Salikhov |
1.40 |
4.46 |
TKO, R1 (3:17) |
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14. |
Jan '24 |
Chris Curtis |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
1.55 |
4.8 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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15. |
Jan '24 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Sean Strickland |
1.95 |
0.39 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
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16. |
Jan '24 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Priscila Cachoeira |
1.25 |
5.5 |
Sub, R3 (4:21) |
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17. |
Jan '24 |
Gillian Robertson |
Polyana Viana |
1.36 |
3.16 |
TKO, R2 (3:12) |
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18. |
Jan '24 |
Joshua Van |
Felipe Bunes |
1.40 |
9.46 |
TKO, R2 (4:31) |
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19. |
Jan '24 |
Farid Basharat |
Taylor Lapilus |
1.36 |
4.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
Jan '24 |
Marcus McGhee |
Gaston Bolanos |
1.44 |
7.78 |
TKO, R2 (3:29) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Progress Chart |
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