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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Degenerate Mark

The Degenerate Mark (DegenerateMark)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - The Degenerate Mark

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 46 (26%) Right 21 (38%) Right 15 (33%) Right 10 (14%)
Wrong 128 (74%) Wrong 34 (62%) Wrong 31 (67%) Wrong 63 (86%)
Avg Odds 3.11 Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 2.88 Avg Odds 5.74
Units Bet 188.5 Units Bet 84.0 Units Bet 34.5 Units Bet 70.1
Avg Bet 1.08 Avg Bet 1.53 Avg Bet 0.75 Avg Bet 0.96
Units Profit -45.77 Units Profit -19.49 Units Profit -2.88 Units Profit -23.41
ROI % -24% ROI % -23% ROI % -8% ROI % -33%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Degenerate Mark: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 15.5 -3.5 -23% -4.8 / 7.5 (-65%) 0.6 / 2.75 (23%) 0.7 / 5.25 (13%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 6.75 2.9 42% -0.3 / 3 (-10%) 2.0 / 1 (200%) 1.2 / 2.75 (42%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 18.75 -9.0 -48% 0.2 / 9.5 (2%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -7.8 / 7.75 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 15.25 -3.6 -24% -3.6 / 10.5 (-34%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 1.2 / 3.5 (35%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 14.85 3.4 23% 0.9 / 6.5 (14%) 1.8 / 3 (58%) 0.8 / 5.35 (14%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 15.5 -3.7 -24% -4.2 / 9 (-47%) -0.0 / 3 (-0%) 0.5 / 3.5 (15%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 14 2.3 17% -1.2 / 2.5 (-48%) 3.0 / 5.75 (53%) 0.5 / 5.75 (9%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 15.05 -9.4 -62% -1.4 / 4.5 (-31%) -1.1 / 3.7 (-31%) -6.9 / 6.85 (-100%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 15.25 6.6 43% -0.2 / 5 (-4%) 1.1 / 3.75 (29%) 5.7 / 6.5 (88%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 15 -5.1 -34% -1.1 / 7 (-15%) -3.3 / 3.75 (-87%) -0.8 / 4.25 (-18%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 13.85 -6.4 -46% 1.5 / 6 (24%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) -6.6 / 6.6 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 15.5 -14.3 -92% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 2.75 (-55%) -6.3 / 6.25 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 12.75 -5.0 -40% 1.2 / 6.5 (18%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -4.8 / 4.75 (-100%)


Winning Events: 4 (31%)
Losing Events: 9 (69%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.46 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.75 units
Best Event: 6.59 units
Worst Event: -14.25 units
Average Event: -3.44 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 6.59
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -30.74

The Degenerate Mark: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 188 -44.8 -24% -19.5 / 84 (-23%) -22.4 / 69.05 (-32%) 4 / 9 (31%) -3.44

The Degenerate Mark: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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The Degenerate Mark: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 188 -44.8 -24% -19.5 / 84 (-23%) -2.9 / 34.95 (-8%) -22.4 / 69.05 (-32%)

The Degenerate Mark: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (9%) 4 80 % 10.00 2.16 0.43 22%
Slight Favorites 22 (40%) 10 45 % 39.00 -7.83 -0.36 -20%
Slight Underdogs 22 (40%) 7 32 % 28.50 -7.33 -0.33 -26%
Big Underdogs 6 (11%) 0 0 % 6.50 -6.50 -1.08 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (16%) 6 67 % 12.50 6.22 0.69 50%
Co-Main Event 8 (15%) 3 38 % 10.50 -3.28 -0.41 -31%
Position 3-5 9 (16%) 3 33 % 16.00 -4.46 -0.50 -28%
6+ (Undercard) 29 (53%) 9 31 % 45.00 -17.97 -0.62 -40%

The Degenerate Mark: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 2.50 2.62 1.31 105%
Light Heavy 5 (9%) 2 40 % 6.00 -0.65 -0.13 -11%
Middleweight 8 (15%) 2 25 % 12.50 -7.88 -0.98 -63%
Welterweight 5 (9%) 1 20 % 10.00 -7.20 -1.44 -72%
Lightweight 5 (9%) 3 60 % 6.50 1.48 0.30 23%
Featherweight 13 (24%) 5 38 % 21.00 -5.94 -0.46 -28%
Bantamweight 6 (11%) 3 50 % 9.50 1.63 0.27 17%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 10 (18%) 3 30 % 15.00 -2.55 -0.26 -17%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 4 (7%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -1.50 -100%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.00 3.10 3.10 155%
Strawweight 4 (7%) 2 50 % 6.00 1.35 0.34 22%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 252 (60%) 189 75 %
Slight Favorites 106 (25%) 52 49 %
Slight Underdogs 50 (12%) 12 24 %
Big Underdogs 9 (2%) 0 0 %
417 253 61 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (2%) 0 0 %
50-65% 18 (31%) 11 61 %
35-50% 10 (17%) 4 40 %
<35% chance 29 (50%) 4 14 %
58 19 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (3%) 2 100 % 1.81 2.10Pick was correct 1.59Pick was correct 1.7 (84%)
X Wins by KO 8 (14%) 2 25 % 3.15 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -1.3 (-16%)
X Wins by Sub 9 (16%) 2 22 % 5.19 8.50Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was correct -0.5 (-6%)
X Wins by Decision 10 (17%) 2 20 % 2.55 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was correct -4.3 (-43%)
X Wins Inside Distance 20 (34%) 8 40 % 2.09 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was incorrect -6.7 (-34%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (3%) 0 0 % 2.90 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 7 (12%) 3 43 % 3.01 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct -0.5 (-6%)
58 19 33 % 2.65     -13.6 (-23%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Degenerate Mark's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 12.75 -5.0 -40% $10.00 $1,000.00 $949.52
20th Jan UFC 297 15.5 -14.3 -92% $9.50 $949.52 $814.21
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 13.85 -6.4 -46% $8.14 $814.21 $762.21
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 15 -5.1 -34% $7.62 $762.21 $723.66
17th Feb UFC 298 15.25 6.6 43% $7.24 $723.66 $771.35
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 15.05 -9.4 -62% $7.71 $771.35 $699.09
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 14 2.3 17% $6.99 $699.09 $715.44
9th Mar UFC 299 15.5 -3.7 -24% $7.15 $715.44 $689.18
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 14.85 3.4 23% $6.89 $689.18 $712.91
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 15.25 -3.6 -24% $7.13 $712.91 $686.94
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 18.75 -9.0 -48% $6.87 $686.94 $624.93
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 6.75 2.9 42% $6.25 $624.93 $642.77
13th Apr UFC 300 15.5 -3.5 -23% $6.43 $642.77 $619.96


ROI % from starting bank balance: -38.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Degenerate Mark: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Alex Pereira Jamahal Hill 1.77 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:14) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Damon Jackson Alexander Hernandez 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Jacob Malkoun Andre Petroski 1.45 2 TKO, R2 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Chidi Njokuani Rhys McKee 1.71 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Manon Fiorot Erin Blanchfield 2.55 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Fernando Padilla Luis Pajuelo 1.57 2 Sub, R1 (2:45) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Rose Namajunas Amanda Ribas 1.50 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Jaqueline Amorim Cory McKenna 2.40 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:38) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Marcin Tybura Tai Tuivasa 1.91 2 Sub, R1 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.75 0.5 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Shamil Gaziev 2.60 0.5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Manuel Torres Chris Duncan (2) 1.56 2 Sub, R1 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Mingyang Zhang Brendson Ribeiro 1.80 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 2.10 1 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '24 Carlos Prates Trevin Giles 1.40 2 TKO, R2 (4:3) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Dan Ige Andre Fili 1.57 2 TKO, R1 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Marquel Mederos Landon Quiñones 1.75 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Jung Young Lee Blake Bilder 1.59 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '24 Farid Basharat Taylor Lapilus 1.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Jim Miller Bobby Green 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Jessica Andrade 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Sodiq Yusuff Diego Lopes 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Holly Holm Kayla Harrison 4.25 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:47) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Aleksandar Rakic Jiri Prochazka 1.95 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.80 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Germaine de Randamie Norma Dumont 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Connor Matthews Dennis Buzukja 2.05 1 TKO, R3 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Jamall Emmers Nate Landwehr 1.54 2 TKO, R1 (4:43) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Vicente Luque Joaquin Buckley 1.91 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Montserrat Rendon Dariya Zheleznyakova 2.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Ricardo Ramos Julian Erosa 1.57 2 Sub, R1 (2:15) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 1.91 2 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Joshua Culibao Danny Silva 1.54 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Josiane Nunes Chelsea Chandler 1.71 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Michal Oleksiejczuk Michel Pereira 2.20 1 Sub, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 2.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 2.45 2 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Kevin Holland Michael Page 1.77 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Bernardo Sopai Vinicius de Oliveira 2.10 1 TKO, R3 (4:41) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Degenerate Mark: Progress Chart
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