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MMA Handicapper Stats: philee philly

philee philly (phileeMMA2024)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	92 (39%)	Right	28 (44%)	Right	36 (32%)	Right	28 (45%)
Wrong	144 (61%)	Wrong	35 (56%)	Wrong	75 (68%)	Wrong	34 (55%)
Avg Odds	2.77	Avg Odds	2.04	Avg Odds	4.11	Avg Odds	2.27
Units Bet	252.5	Units Bet	92.0	Units Bet	85.7	Units Bet	74.8
Avg Bet	1.07	Avg Bet	1.46	Avg Bet	0.77	Avg Bet	1.21
Units Profit	25.17	Units Profit	-7.91	Units Profit	34.41	Units Profit	-1.34
ROI %	10%	ROI %	-9%	ROI %	40%	ROI %	-2%

philee philly: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	26.91	9.3	35%	1.1 / 5.58 (19%)	12.1 / 9.8 (124%)	-3.9 / 11.53 (-34%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	16.45	-1.3	-8%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	5.1 / 7.84 (66%)	-4.4 / 6.61 (-67%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	2.5	-0.5	-19%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		1.0 / 1 (101%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	23.5	2.1	9%	2.3 / 6.1 (38%)	2.6 / 8.4 (31%)	-2.8 / 9 (-31%)
30th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 169	1.5	-0.4	-26%			-0.4 / 1.5 (-26%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	26.7	-1.0	-4%	-4.7 / 14.74 (-32%)	2.3 / 8.96 (26%)	1.4 / 3 (47%)
22nd Mar '24	Bellator Champions Series	8.79	1.5	17%	0.5 / 7.34 (7%)		1.0 / 1.45 (69%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	11.84	3.3	28%	2.8 / 4.85 (58%)	0.5 / 6.99 (7%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	33.85	-7.9	-23%	-3.5 / 9.68 (-37%)	-2.4 / 12.83 (-19%)	-2.0 / 11.34 (-18%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	6.42	3.9	61%	0.9 / 1.5 (60%)	4.1 / 2.83 (144%)	-1.1 / 2.09 (-51%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	15.05	-2.6	-17%	-0.6 / 5.55 (-11%)	-2.0 / 6.5 (-31%)	0.0 / 3 (0%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	10.65	1.7	16%	-1.2 / 3.43 (-36%)	-0.1 / 2.6 (-4%)	3.0 / 4.62 (66%)
23rd Feb '24	Fury FC 86	0.73	-0.7	-100%			-0.7 / 0.73 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	22.76	15.9	70%	4.3 / 7.47 (58%)	-0.4 / 6.79 (-6%)	12.0 / 8.5 (141%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	20.63	-2.6	-13%	-0.9 / 6.63 (-14%)	0.0 / 10.7 (0%)	-1.8 / 3.3 (-53%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	12.79	-3.9	-31%	-0.8 / 7.04 (-12%)	-2.1 / 4.73 (-44%)	-1.0 / 1.02 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	11.81	6.6	56%	-2.0 / 6.12 (-33%)	7.2 / 2.69 (269%)	1.4 / 3 (46%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	10.15	2.9	28%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	7.4 / 5.65 (131%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Winning Events: 9 (50%)
Losing Events: 9 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.61 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.85 units
Best Event: 15.86 units
Worst Event: -7.94 units
Average Event: 1.46 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 15.86
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.94

philee philly: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	263.03	26.3	10%	-7.9 / 92.03 (-9%)		-0.2 / 73.69 (-0%)	9 / 9 (50%)	1.46

philee philly: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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philee philly: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	238.86	24.7	10%	-5.7 / 79.76 (-7%)	34.5 / 94.71 (36%)	-4.2 / 64.39 (-6%)
Bellator	8.79	1.5	17%	0.5 / 7.34 (7%)		1.0 / 1.45 (69%)
PFL	13.15	1.2	9%	-2.7 / 4.93 (-56%)	-0.1 / 2.6 (-4%)	4.1 / 5.62 (72%)
Other	2.23	-1.1	-50%			-1.1 / 2.23 (-50%)

philee philly: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (7%)	4	80 %	13.77	4.08	0.82	30%
Slight Favorites	25 (37%)	14	56 %	44.76	-3.89	-0.16	-9%
Slight Underdogs	31 (46%)	12	39 %	28.75	-3.35	-0.11	-12%
Big Underdogs	6 (9%)	0	0 %	4.75	-4.75	-0.79	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (12%)	3	38 %	8.68	-0.05	-0.01	-1%
Co-Main Event	8 (12%)	5	63 %	10.82	1.40	0.17	13%
Position 3-5	15 (22%)	5	33 %	23.24	-5.75	-0.38	-25%
6+ (Undercard)	36 (54%)	17	47 %	49.29	-3.51	-0.10	-7%

philee philly: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (10%)	2	29 %	10.02	-2.00	-0.29	-20%
Light Heavy	5 (7%)	3	60 %	5.00	1.57	0.31	31%
Middleweight	11 (16%)	6	55 %	18.04	3.48	0.32	19%
Welterweight	7 (10%)	2	29 %	11.77	-8.21	-1.17	-70%
Lightweight	8 (12%)	2	25 %	8.42	-3.60	-0.45	-43%
Featherweight	8 (12%)	5	63 %	13.06	2.46	0.31	19%
Bantamweight	6 (9%)	3	50 %	9.80	-0.65	-0.11	-7%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	1	25 %	4.32	-2.90	-0.72	-67%

Women's Fights	11 (16%)	6	55 %	11.60	1.94	0.18	17%
Featherweight	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.25	1.50	0.75	120%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	1	25 %	3.75	-1.11	-0.28	-30%
Strawweight	5 (7%)	3	60 %	6.60	1.55	0.31	23%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	59 (69%)	44	75 %
Slight Favorites	18 (21%)	9	50 %
Slight Underdogs	7 (8%)	2	29 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %
	85	55	65 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	45 (26%)	33	73 %
50-65%	26 (15%)	14	54 %
35-50%	22 (13%)	10	45 %
<35% chance	78 (46%)	13	17 %
	171	70	41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	24 (14%)	21	88 %	1.46	2.35	1.15	6.8 (28%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	20 (12%)	14	70 %	1.76	2.95	1.13	6.0 (30%)
Fight Starts Round X	9 (5%)	5	56 %	1.36	1.50	1.22	-2.1 (-24%)
X Wins by KO	1 (1%)	1	100 %	9.00	9.00	9.00	8.0 (800%)
X Wins by Sub	7 (4%)	1	14 %	8.45	16.00	5.00	-2.0 (-29%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (2%)	0	0 %	6.01	11.00	3.15	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	9 (5%)	2	22 %	2.44	5.00	1.61	-5.0 (-56%)
X Wins in Round X	26 (15%)	3	12 %	10.39	31.00	5.00	0.5 (2%)
Others	72 (42%)	23	32 %	3.03	46.00	1.36	43.1 (60%)
	171	70	41 %	2.60			52.3 (31%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail philee philly's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	10.15	2.9	28%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,028.75
20th Jan	UFC 297	11.81	6.6	56%		$10.29	$1,028.75	$1,096.96
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	12.79	-3.9	-31%		$10.97	$1,096.96	$1,054.06
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	20.63	-2.6	-13%		$10.54	$1,054.06	$1,026.63
17th Feb	UFC 298	22.76	15.9	70%		$10.27	$1,026.63	$1,189.46
23rd Feb	Fury FC 86	0.73	-0.7	-100%		$11.89	$1,189.46	$1,180.78
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	10.65	1.7	16%		$11.81	$1,180.78	$1,200.76
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	15.05	-2.6	-17%		$12.01	$1,200.76	$1,169.71
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	6.42	3.9	61%		$11.70	$1,169.71	$1,215.40
9th Mar	UFC 299	33.85	-7.9	-23%		$12.15	$1,215.40	$1,118.87
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	11.84	3.3	28%		$11.19	$1,118.87	$1,155.97
22nd Mar	Bellator Champions Series	8.79	1.5	17%		$11.56	$1,155.97	$1,173.56
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	26.7	-1.0	-4%		$11.74	$1,173.56	$1,161.89
30th Mar	Cage Warriors 169	1.5	-0.4	-26%		$11.62	$1,161.89	$1,157.35
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	23.5	2.1	9%		$11.57	$1,157.35	$1,181.65
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	2.5	-0.5	-19%		$11.82	$1,181.65	$1,175.91
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	16.45	-1.3	-8%		$11.76	$1,175.91	$1,160.84
13th Apr	UFC 300	26.91	9.3	35%		$11.61	$1,160.84	$1,268.71

ROI % from starting bank balance: 26.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

philee philly: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.05	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
2.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.78	2.58	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '24	Chidi Njokuani	Rhys McKee	1.70	2.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '24	Manon Fiorot	Erin Blanchfield	2.64	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	2.20	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
6.	Mar '24	Luke Trainer	Grant Neal	2.02	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '24	Abraham Bably	Isaiah Pinson	1.52	3.84	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Payton Talbott	Cameron Saaiman	1.71	2.45	TKO, R2 (0:21)
9.	Mar '24	Jaqueline Amorim	Cory McKenna	2.55	1	Sub, R1 (1:38)
10.	Mar '24	Chelsea Chandler	Josiane Nunes	2.20	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.83	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '24	Michel Pereira	Michal Oleksiejczuk	1.62	2.43	Sub, R1 (1:1)
13.	Mar '24	Edmen Shahbazyan	AJ Dobson	1.52	3.84	TKO, R1 (4:33)
14.	Mar '24	Chelsea Chandler	Josiane Nunes	2.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '24	Jaqueline Amorim	Cory McKenna	1.74	1.35	Sub, R1 (1:38)
16.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.40	1	TKO, R3 (0:49)
17.	Feb '24	Raoni Barcelos	Christian Quinonez	1.57	1.75	Sub, R3 (2:4)
18.	Feb '24	Brian Ortega	Yair Rodriguez	2.20	1	Sub, R3 (0:58)
19.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	1.85	1.18	TKO, R1 (0:21)
20.	Feb '24	Mingyang Zhang	Brendson Ribeiro	1.67	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:41)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
3.	Apr '24	Chelsea Hackett	Jena Bishop	2.85	1	Sub, R1 (4:15)	No
4.	Apr '24	Dan Argueta	Jean Matsumoto	2.55	1	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
5.	Apr '24	Chris Curtis	Brendan Allen	2.70	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '24	Anton Turkalj	Ibo Aslan	2.05	1	TKO, R3 (1:32)	No
7.	Apr '24	Linton Vassell	Denis Goltsov	2.20	0.5	TKO, R3 (3:11)	No
8.	Mar '24	Sedriques Dumas	Nursulton Ruziboev	3.20	1	TKO, R1 (3:18)	No
9.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '24	Kurt Holobaugh	Trey Ogden	2.30	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '24	Jeremy Kennedy	Patricio Freire	1.80	2.5	TKO, R3 (4:7)	No
12.	Mar '24	Amanda Ribas	Rose Namajunas	3.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Justin Tafa	Karl Williams	2.54	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
14.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.65	1.55	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
15.	Mar '24	Tai Tuivasa	Marcin Tybura	1.80	1.25	Sub, R1 (4:8)	No
16.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.74	1.35	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
18.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	1.83	2.4	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No
19.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.74	2.7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '24	Alex Perez	Muhammad Mokaev	3.95	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

philee philly: Progress Chart

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