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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2353
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Value MMA

Value MMA (valuemma_)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Value MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 32 (38%) Right 15 (45%) Right 17 (33%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 52 (62%) Wrong 18 (55%) Wrong 34 (67%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 3.34 Avg Odds 2.32 Avg Odds 4.68 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 98.0 Units Bet 71.4 Units Bet 26.6 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 2.16 Avg Bet 0.52 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 27.87 Units Profit 11.68 Units Profit 16.19 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 28% ROI % 16% ROI % 61% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Value MMA: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 6 2.8 47% 2.8 / 6 (47%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 3.4 -3.4 -100% -3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 17.8 5.8 32% 5.3 / 16.8 (31%) 0.5 / 1 (50%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 25.84 15.3 59% 7.9 / 14.86 (53%) 7.4 / 10.98 (68%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 24.8 13.1 53% 6.8 / 16.65 (41%) 6.4 / 8.15 (78%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 19.69 -5.2 -27% -7.1 / 13.19 (-54%) 1.9 / 6.5 (29%)


Winning Events: 4 (57%)
Losing Events: 3 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.84 units
Best Event: 15.32 units
Worst Event: -5.25 units
Average Event: 3.98 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 34.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -5.25

Value MMA: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 98.03 27.9 28% 11.7 / 71.4 (16%) 4 / 3 (57%) 3.98

Value MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Value MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 98.03 27.9 28% 11.7 / 71.4 (16%) 16.2 / 26.63 (61%)

Value MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (3%) 1 100 % 4.20 2.00 2.00 48%
Slight Favorites 13 (33%) 7 54 % 36.95 -7.26 -0.56 -20%
Slight Underdogs 15 (38%) 10 67 % 21.00 18.05 1.20 86%
Big Underdogs 11 (28%) 2 18 % 9.25 -1.11 -0.10 -12%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (8%) 1 33 % 3.15 -1.51 -0.50 -48%
Co-Main Event 2 (5%) 1 50 % 2.50 2.10 1.05 84%
Position 3-5 7 (18%) 3 43 % 18.29 -4.87 -0.70 -27%
6+ (Undercard) 28 (70%) 15 54 % 47.46 15.96 0.57 34%

Value MMA: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 4.00 6.70 3.35 168%
Light Heavy 3 (8%) 1 33 % 5.85 -0.99 -0.33 -17%
Middleweight 3 (8%) 3 100 % 7.85 6.75 2.25 86%
Welterweight 7 (18%) 5 71 % 13.70 9.81 1.40 72%
Lightweight 7 (18%) 3 43 % 8.50 2.17 0.31 26%
Featherweight 6 (15%) 3 50 % 11.06 -1.70 -0.28 -15%
Bantamweight 6 (15%) 2 33 % 11.44 -7.57 -1.26 -66%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 5 (13%) 1 20 % 7.00 -1.50 -0.30 -21%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 4.50 1.00 0.50 22%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 3 (6%) 3 100 %
35-50% 4 (8%) 2 50 %
<35% chance 44 (86%) 12 27 %
51 17 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (8%) 1 25 % 2.84 3.75Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct -2.0 (-50%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (4%) 2 100 % 1.81 1.83Pick was correct 1.78Pick was correct 1.6 (81%)
Goes to Decision 2 (4%) 0 0 % 7.97 8.50Pick was incorrect 7.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 7 (14%) 3 43 % 6.47 21.00Pick was correct 3.05Pick was correct 26.0 (372%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (14%) 3 43 % 4.47 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.90Pick was incorrect 4.8 (69%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (18%) 1 11 % 4.60 11.00Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was incorrect -5.6 (-62%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (8%) 2 50 % 3.07 3.35Pick was correct 2.75Pick was incorrect 2.4 (61%)
X Wins in Round X 9 (18%) 1 11 % 9.71 23.00Pick was incorrect 4.75Pick was incorrect 3.0 (33%)
Others 7 (14%) 4 57 % 5.38 34.00Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was correct 39.0 (557%)
51 17 33 % 4.68     67.4 (132%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Value MMA's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 19.69 -5.2 -27% $1000000 $10.00 $1,000.00 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
20th Jan UFC 297 24.8 13.1 53% $1000000 $10.00 $1,000.00 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 25.84 15.3 59% $1000000 $10.00 $1,000.00 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 17.8 5.8 32% $1000000 $10.00 $1,000.00 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
17th Feb UFC 298 3.4 -3.4 -100% $1000000 $10.00 $1,000.00 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
9th Mar UFC 299 6 2.8 47% $1000000 $10.00 $1,000.00 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
13th Apr UFC 300 0.5 -0.5 -100% $1000000 $10.00 $1,000.00 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000


ROI % from starting bank balance: -700.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Value MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '24 Paid Pick Jack Hermansson Joe Pyfer 3.28 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '24 Paid Pick Max Griffin Jeremiah Wells 2.50 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '24 Paid Pick Carlos Prates Trevin Giles 1.48 4.2 TKO, R2 (4:3) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '24 Paid Pick Rodolfo Vieira Armen Petrosyan 1.87 3 Sub, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '24 Paid Pick Jung Young Lee Blake Bilder 1.71 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '24 Paid Pick Charlie Radtke Gilbert Urbina 2.75 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '24 Paid Pick Jung Young Lee Blake Bilder 1.76 1.32 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '24 Paid Pick Jung Young Lee Blake Bilder 1.76 2.64 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '24 Paid Pick Sam Patterson Yohan Lainesse 2.25 1 Sub, R1 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '24 Paid Pick Sam Patterson Yohan Lainesse 2.22 2 Sub, R1 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '24 Paid Pick Bogdan Guskov Zac Pauga 2.43 2 TKO, R1 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Paid Pick Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.30 2 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '24 Paid Pick Gillian Robertson Polyana Viana 1.57 3.5 TKO, R2 (3:12) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '24 Paid Pick Ramon Taveras Serhiy Sidey 2.55 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '24 Paid Pick Jim Miller Gabriel Benitez 1.87 1 Sub, R3 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Paid Pick Curtis Blaydes Jailton Junior 2.10 2 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Paid Pick Jamal Pogues Thomas Petersen 3.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '24 Paid Pick Ramon Taveras Serhiy Sidey 2.60 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '24 Paid Pick Chris Curtis Marc-Andre Barriault 1.69 4.35 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '24 Paid Pick Jim Miller Gabriel Benitez 2.10 2 Sub, R3 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '24 Paid Pick Fernando Garcia Hyder Amil 2.75 1 TKO, R2 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '24 Paid Pick Timothy Cuamba Bolaji Oki 2.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '24 Paid Pick Devin Clark Marcin Prachnio 1.56 3.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '24 Paid Pick Drew Dober Renato Moicano 2.63 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '24 Paid Pick Muslim Salikhov Randy Brown 3.40 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:17) Yes MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '24 Paid Pick Alex Volkanovski Ilia Topuria 1.83 2.4 TKO, R2 (3:32) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Paid Pick Holly Holm Kayla Harrison 4.55 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:47) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '24 Paid Pick Diana Belbita Molly McCann 3.35 1 Sub, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '24 Paid Pick Landon Quiñones Marquel Mederos 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '24 Paid Pick Mackenzie Dern Amanda Lemos 2.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '24 Paid Pick Viviane Araujo Natalia Cristina da Silva 3.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '24 Paid Pick Gaston Bolanos Marcus McGhee 3.20 1 TKO, R2 (3:29) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '24 Paid Pick Taylor Lapilus Farid Basharat 3.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 1.80 2 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Paid Pick Landon Quiñones Marquel Mederos 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '24 Paid Pick Malcolm Gordon Jimmy Flick 1.83 2 Sub, R2 (1:17) Yes MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '24 Paid Pick Charles Jourdain Sean Woodson 1.87 2.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '24 Paid Pick Taylor Lapilus Farid Basharat 2.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '24 Paid Pick Ricky Simon Mario Bautista 1.67 7.44 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '24 Paid Pick Johnny Walker Magomed Ankalaev 5.00 0.25 TKO, R2 (2:42) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Value MMA: Progress Chart
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