MMA Handicapper Stats: Dawg MMA |
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Dawg MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 10 (67%) Losing Events: 5 (33%)
Average Staked Per Event: 16.95 units Most Staked On One Event: 26.50 units Best Event: 15.81 units Worst Event: -6.50 units Average Event: 2.54 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.59 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.50 |
Dawg MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
254.25 |
38.1 |
15% |
20.9 / 89.5 (23%) |
|
11.8 / 123.5 (10%) |
10 / 5 (67%) |
2.54 |
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Dawg MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Dawg MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
251.25 |
35.5 |
14% |
18.9 / 87.5 (22%) |
4.8 / 40.25 (12%) |
11.8 / 123.5 (10%) |
PFL |
3 |
2.6 |
88% |
2.0 / 2 (100%) |
0.6 / 1 (63%) |
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Dawg MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Slight Favorites |
11 (23%) |
6 |
55 % |
25.50 |
0.96 |
0.09 |
4% |
Slight Underdogs |
26 (54%) |
17 |
65 % |
49.00 |
24.86 |
0.96 |
51% |
Big Underdogs |
10 (21%) |
2 |
20 % |
13.00 |
-2.91 |
-0.29 |
-22% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
8 (17%) |
5 |
63 % |
14.50 |
8.01 |
1.00 |
55% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (10%) |
4 |
80 % |
10.00 |
8.29 |
1.66 |
83% |
Position 3-5 |
14 (29%) |
9 |
64 % |
28.00 |
12.34 |
0.88 |
44% |
6+ (Undercard) |
21 (44%) |
7 |
33 % |
37.00 |
-7.73 |
-0.37 |
-21% |
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Dawg MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (8%) |
2 |
50 % |
7.50 |
-0.12 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
Light Heavy |
3 (6%) |
1 |
33 % |
4.50 |
-0.30 |
-0.10 |
-7% |
Middleweight |
5 (10%) |
2 |
40 % |
9.50 |
-1.04 |
-0.21 |
-11% |
Welterweight |
5 (10%) |
3 |
60 % |
8.50 |
3.25 |
0.65 |
38% |
Lightweight |
7 (15%) |
4 |
57 % |
13.50 |
4.75 |
0.68 |
35% |
Featherweight |
9 (19%) |
8 |
89 % |
20.00 |
18.68 |
2.08 |
93% |
Bantamweight |
6 (13%) |
2 |
33 % |
11.00 |
-3.58 |
-0.60 |
-33% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
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Women's Fights |
8 (17%) |
3 |
38 % |
13.00 |
1.28 |
0.16 |
10% |
Bantamweight |
4 (8%) |
1 |
25 % |
6.50 |
-1.70 |
-0.43 |
-26% |
Flyweight |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.50 |
4.98 |
1.66 |
111% |
Strawweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
58 (77%) |
42 |
72 % |
Slight Favorites |
15 (20%) |
9 |
60 % |
Slight Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
75 |
52 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
35 (28%) |
23 |
66 % |
50-65% |
8 (6%) |
6 |
75 % |
35-50% |
10 (8%) |
2 |
20 % |
<35% chance |
73 (58%) |
11 |
15 % |
|
126 |
42 |
33 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Dawg MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.36% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Dawg MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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1. |
Apr '24 |
David Onama |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.44 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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2. |
Apr '24 |
Karine Silva |
Ariane Lipski |
2.12 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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3. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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4. |
Apr '24 |
Victor Hugo Silva |
Pedro Falcao |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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5. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.87 |
2 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
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6. |
Apr '24 |
Jose Mariscal |
Morgan Charriere |
2.50 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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7. |
Apr '24 |
César Almeida |
Dylan Budka |
2.13 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
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8. |
Mar '24 |
Manon Fiorot |
Erin Blanchfield |
2.62 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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9. |
Mar '24 |
Nate Landwehr |
Jamall Emmers |
2.70 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:43) |
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10. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.20 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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11. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
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12. |
Mar '24 |
Danny Silva |
Joshua Culibao |
2.61 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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13. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Isaac Dulgarian |
2.15 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.90 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
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15. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Page |
Kevin Holland |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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16. |
Mar '24 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
Shamil Gaziev |
2.25 |
1.5 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
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17. |
Feb '24 |
Renan Ferreira |
Ryan Bader |
2.00 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:21) |
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18. |
Feb '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.72 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (1:46) |
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19. |
Feb '24 |
Ilia Topuria |
Alex Volkanovski |
1.90 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
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20. |
Feb '24 |
Dan Ige |
Andre Fili |
1.58 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Holly Holm |
Kayla Harrison |
4.60 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:47) |
No |
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2. |
Apr '24 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Jessica Andrade |
2.17 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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3. |
Apr '24 |
Jim Miller |
Bobby Green |
2.65 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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4. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.11 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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5. |
Apr '24 |
Germaine de Randamie |
Norma Dumont |
2.70 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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6. |
Mar '24 |
Andre Petroski |
Jacob Malkoun |
3.00 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:39) |
No |
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7. |
Mar '24 |
Montserrat Rendon |
Dariya Zheleznyakova |
2.60 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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8. |
Mar '24 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Youssef Zalal |
1.72 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
No |
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9. |
Mar '24 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Marcin Tybura |
1.80 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:8) |
No |
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10. |
Mar '24 |
Ion Cutelaba |
Philipe Lins |
1.79 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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11. |
Mar '24 |
Marlon Vera |
Sean O'Malley |
3.25 |
1.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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12. |
Mar '24 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Kyler Phillips |
3.21 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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13. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
2.00 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
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14. |
Feb '24 |
Christian Quinonez |
Raoni Barcelos |
2.62 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (2:4) |
No |
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15. |
Feb '24 |
Roman Kopylov |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.70 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
No |
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16. |
Feb '24 |
Muslim Salikhov |
Randy Brown |
3.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:17) |
No |
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17. |
Feb '24 |
Diana Belbita |
Molly McCann |
3.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:59) |
No |
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18. |
Feb '24 |
Drew Dober |
Renato Moicano |
2.10 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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19. |
Feb '24 |
Gilbert Urbina |
Charlie Radtke |
1.53 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
No |
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20. |
Jan '24 |
Malcolm Gordon |
Jimmy Flick |
1.72 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:17) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Dawg MMA: Progress Chart |
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