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MMA Handicapper Stats: tedsbestbetsmma

tedsbestbetsmma (tedsbestbetsmma)

MMA MHandicapper - tedsbestbetsmma

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	83 (32%)	Right	27 (49%)	Right	42 (24%)	Right	14 (45%)
Wrong	180 (68%)	Wrong	28 (51%)	Wrong	135 (76%)	Wrong	17 (55%)
Avg Odds	3.22	Avg Odds	1.88	Avg Odds	4.82	Avg Odds	1.96
Units Bet	203.0	Units Bet	81.5	Units Bet	70.3	Units Bet	51.2
Avg Bet	0.77	Avg Bet	1.48	Avg Bet	0.40	Avg Bet	1.65
Units Profit	-7.01	Units Profit	-9.16	Units Profit	7.26	Units Profit	-5.11
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	10%	ROI %	-10%

tedsbestbetsmma : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Apr '24	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	10.24	-0.9	-9%	-0.9 / 5.5 (-16%)	-0.7 / 0.74 (-100%)	0.7 / 4 (18%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	14.15	-0.2	-1%	-0.6 / 3.25 (-20%)	0.4 / 3.7 (10%)	0.1 / 7.2 (1%)
12th Apr '24	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	7.5	3.4	46%	2.9 / 3.7 (77%)	0.5 / 1.8 (25%)	0.1 / 2 (6%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	10.3	-5.1	-49%	-3.5 / 5.25 (-66%)	0.6 / 2.85 (21%)	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	4.75	1.8	38%		1.7 / 3.05 (55%)	0.1 / 1.7 (7%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	13.4	-6.7	-50%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	1.1 / 5.6 (20%)	-4.3 / 4.3 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	12.8	-3.2	-25%	-1.6 / 9.5 (-17%)	-0.1 / 1.8 (-6%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	10.26	-0.9	-9%	-0.5 / 5.16 (-10%)	0.1 / 1.5 (10%)	-0.5 / 3.6 (-14%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	18.84	2.7	14%	-0.5 / 10.14 (-5%)	1.1 / 6.2 (17%)	2.1 / 2.5 (84%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	14.8	-2.8	-19%	0.1 / 1.8 (7%)	-3.8 / 7.5 (-50%)	0.9 / 5.5 (16%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	13.55	-4.6	-34%	-0.3 / 4.52 (-7%)	-2.3 / 7.03 (-33%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4.8	0.7	14%		-1.1 / 2.8 (-38%)	1.7 / 2 (86%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	15.27	4.6	30%	-1.0 / 6.02 (-16%)	2.0 / 4.23 (47%)	3.6 / 5.02 (71%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	10.63	2.8	27%	0.3 / 4.55 (7%)	3.2 / 5.42 (59%)	-0.7 / 0.66 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	10.39	-0.9	-9%	0.0 / 3.95 (1%)	0.6 / 4.94 (12%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	18.8	-6.6	-35%	-1.9 / 8.35 (-23%)	-1.2 / 6.92 (-17%)	-3.5 / 3.53 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	13.134	8.8	67%	1.7 / 6.33 (28%)	5.3 / 4.804 (110%)	1.8 / 2 (89%)

Winning Events: 7 (41%)
Losing Events: 10 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.98 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.84 units
Best Event: 8.78 units
Worst Event: -6.70 units
Average Event: -0.41 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 8.78
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -10.78

tedsbestbetsmma : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	203.614	-7.0	-3%	-9.2 / 81.52 (-11%)		-5.1 / 51.21 (-10%)	7 / 10 (41%)	-0.41

tedsbestbetsmma : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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tedsbestbetsmma : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	176.324	-12.0	-7%	-11.1 / 72.32 (-15%)	6.9 / 62.494 (11%)	-7.8 / 41.51 (-19%)
PFL	27.29	5.0	18%	2.0 / 9.2 (21%)	0.3 / 8.39 (4%)	2.7 / 9.7 (28%)

tedsbestbetsmma : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (15%)	1	13 %	18.10	-12.14	-1.52	-67%
Slight Favorites	25 (45%)	15	60 %	45.20	0.49	0.02	1%
Slight Underdogs	21 (38%)	11	52 %	17.90	2.82	0.13	16%
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	0	0 %	0.32	-0.32	-0.32	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (7%)	1	25 %	7.91	-1.95	-0.49	-25%
Co-Main Event	6 (11%)	2	33 %	12.18	-5.23	-0.87	-43%
Position 3-5	12 (22%)	6	50 %	17.82	-0.71	-0.06	-4%
6+ (Undercard)	33 (60%)	18	55 %	43.61	-1.27	-0.04	-3%

tedsbestbetsmma : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (5%)	3	100 %	3.60	3.43	1.14	95%
Light Heavy	3 (5%)	1	33 %	5.08	-1.33	-0.44	-26%
Middleweight	4 (7%)	3	75 %	4.02	2.35	0.59	58%
Welterweight	4 (7%)	2	50 %	4.12	-0.73	-0.18	-18%
Lightweight	7 (13%)	4	57 %	8.76	0.11	0.02	1%
Featherweight	17 (31%)	5	29 %	28.48	-14.27	-0.84	-50%
Bantamweight	6 (11%)	4	67 %	12.71	4.50	0.75	35%
Flyweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	1.32	0.68	0.34	52%

Women's Fights	9 (16%)	4	44 %	13.43	-3.89	-0.43	-29%
Featherweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	2.16	0.00	0.00	0%
Bantamweight	2 (4%)		0 %	3.50	-3.50	-1.75	-100%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Strawweight	4 (7%)	3	75 %	5.77	1.61	0.40	28%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	54 (92%)	41	76 %
Slight Favorites	5 (8%)	4	80 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	59	45	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (4%)	3	43 %
50-65%	17 (9%)	10	59 %
35-50%	22 (12%)	11	50 %
<35% chance	143 (76%)	22	15 %
	189	46	24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (7%)	8	62 %	1.75	2.14	1.40	1.0 (8%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (3%)	2	33 %	1.39	1.56	1.28	-3.3 (-55%)
X Wins by KO	10 (5%)	4	40 %	3.43	9.00	2.20	1.7 (17%)
X Wins by Sub	10 (5%)	2	20 %	4.13	8.00	2.25	2.5 (25%)
X Wins by Decision	6 (3%)	6	100 %	3.81	6.50	2.50	19.0 (317%)
X Wins Inside Distance	7 (4%)	2	29 %	2.62	3.75	2.30	-2.0 (-28%)
X Wins in Round X	44 (23%)	8	18 %	7.39	22.99	2.55	0.8 (2%)
Others	93 (49%)	14	15 %	5.67	50.99	1.44	-38.7 (-42%)
	189	46	24 %	4.33			-19.0 (-10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail tedsbestbetsmma 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	13.134	8.8	67%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,087.85
20th Jan	UFC 297	18.8	-6.6	-35%		$10.88	$1,087.85	$1,016.27
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	10.39	-0.9	-9%		$10.16	$1,016.27	$1,007.22
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	10.63	2.8	27%		$10.07	$1,007.22	$1,035.90
17th Feb	UFC 298	15.27	4.6	30%		$10.36	$1,035.90	$1,083.36
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4.8	0.7	14%		$10.83	$1,083.36	$1,090.68
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	13.55	-4.6	-34%		$10.91	$1,090.68	$1,039.97
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	14.8	-2.8	-19%		$10.40	$1,039.97	$1,011.13
9th Mar	UFC 299	18.84	2.7	14%		$10.11	$1,011.13	$1,038.48
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	10.26	-0.9	-9%		$10.38	$1,038.48	$1,029.38
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	12.8	-3.2	-25%		$10.29	$1,029.38	$996.42
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	13.4	-6.7	-50%		$9.96	$996.42	$929.63
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	4.75	1.8	38%		$9.30	$929.63	$946.27
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	10.3	-5.1	-49%		$9.46	$946.27	$898.38
12th Apr	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	7.5	3.4	46%		$8.98	$898.38	$929.08
13th Apr	UFC 300	14.15	-0.2	-1%		$9.29	$929.08	$927.47
19th Apr	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	10.24	-0.9	-9%		$9.27	$927.47	$919.12

ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.09% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

tedsbestbetsmma : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Tyler Diamond	Otto Rodrigues	2.40	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '24	Adam Borics	Enrique Barzola	1.87	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '24	Rob Wilkinson	Tom Breese	1.70	2.2	TKO, R1 (1:10)
4.	Apr '24	Jessica Andrade	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.74	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Apr '24	Brent Primus	Bruno Miranda	1.87	1.5	Sub, R2 (1:49)
6.	Apr '24	César Almeida	Dylan Budka	2.40	0.75	TKO, R2 (2:13)
7.	Mar '24	Michael Parkin	Mohammed Usman	1.70	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Payton Talbott	Cameron Saaiman	1.80	2.5	TKO, R2 (0:21)
9.	Mar '24	Chelsea Chandler	Josiane Nunes	2.25	0.96	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.40	0.8	TKO, R3 (0:49)
11.	Feb '24	Luis Rodriguez	Denys Bondar	2.00	1	Sub, R2 (4:59)
12.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.85	1.2	Sub, R1 (1:46)
13.	Mar '24	Gerald Meerschaert	Bryan Barberena	1.65	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:23)
14.	Feb '24	Dan Ige	Andre Fili	1.60	2	TKO, R1 (2:43)
15.	Feb '24	Max Griffin	Jeremiah Wells	2.50	0.67	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '24	Amanda Lemos	Mackenzie Dern	1.74	1.35	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '24	Merab Dvalishvili	Henry Cejudo	1.59	1.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Feb '24	Jamal Pogues	Thomas Petersen	2.70	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jan '24	Movsar Evloev	Arnold Allen	1.59	2.55	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Feb '24	Jung Young Lee	Blake Bilder	1.74	1.35	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Andrey Koreshkov	Magomed Umalatov	2.36	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Justin Gonzales	Gabriel Alves Braga	2.80	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:59)	No
3.	Apr '24	Bubba Jenkins	Kai Kamaka	1.67	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '24	Calvin Kattar	Aljamain Sterling	2.50	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Germaine de Randamie	Norma Dumont	2.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '24	Alexander Hernandez	Damon Jackson	1.59	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '24	Connor Matthews	Dennis Buzukja	2.14	1	TKO, R3 (0:22)	No
8.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.74	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.25	1	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
10.	Mar '24	Bill Algeo	Kyle Nelson	1.52	2.5	TKO, R1 (4:0)	No
11.	Mar '24	Kurt Holobaugh	Trey Ogden	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.72	2	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
13.	Mar '24	Cory McKenna	Jaqueline Amorim	1.82	1.5	Sub, R1 (1:38)	No
14.	Mar '24	Maryna Moroz	Joanne Wood	1.53	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '24	Bernardo Sopai	Vinicius de Oliveira	2.00	1	TKO, R3 (4:41)	No
16.	Mar '24	Steven Nguyen	Jarno Errens	1.52	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '24	Daniel Lacerda	Edgar Chairez	4.20	0.32	Sub, R1 (2:17)	No
18.	Mar '24	Josiane Nunes	Chelsea Chandler	1.83	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '24	Alex Volkanovski	Ilia Topuria	1.91	2.2	TKO, R2 (3:32)	No
20.	Feb '24	Devin Clark	Marcin Prachnio	1.53	1.88	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

tedsbestbetsmma : Progress Chart

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