MMA Handicapper Stats: Notorious MMA |
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Notorious MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 9 (47%) Losing Events: 10 (53%)
Average Staked Per Event: 13.57 units Most Staked On One Event: 31.41 units Best Event: 19.85 units Worst Event: -5.10 units Average Event: 1.47 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 23.29 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.59 |
Notorious MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
254.82 |
30.9 |
12% |
-5.5 / 105.1 (-5%) |
|
17.6 / 96.68 (18%) |
9 / 9 (50%) |
1.72 |
2023 |
3.02 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-1.7 / 1.72 (-100%) |
|
-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) |
/ 1 (0%) |
-3.02 |
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Notorious MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Notorious MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
250.34 |
30.4 |
12% |
-6.4 / 101.31 (-6%) |
18.9 / 53.04 (36%) |
17.8 / 95.99 (19%) |
PFL |
2.95 |
0.8 |
27% |
0.8 / 2.95 (27%) |
|
|
Other |
4.55 |
-3.2 |
-71% |
-1.7 / 2.56 (-65%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-0.6 / 0.99 (-57%) |
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Notorious MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
39 (44%) |
24 |
62 % |
68.64 |
2.29 |
0.06 |
3% |
Slight Underdogs |
30 (34%) |
13 |
43 % |
28.15 |
-11.50 |
-0.38 |
-41% |
Big Underdogs |
19 (22%) |
5 |
26 % |
10.03 |
1.96 |
0.10 |
20% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
16 (18%) |
5 |
31 % |
12.08 |
-5.18 |
-0.32 |
-43% |
Co-Main Event |
10 (11%) |
4 |
40 % |
27.54 |
-5.11 |
-0.51 |
-19% |
Position 3-5 |
16 (18%) |
8 |
50 % |
22.36 |
4.05 |
0.25 |
18% |
6+ (Undercard) |
46 (52%) |
25 |
54 % |
44.84 |
-1.01 |
-0.02 |
-2% |
|
Notorious MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (5%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.10 |
-4.48 |
-1.12 |
-88% |
Light Heavy |
5 (6%) |
3 |
60 % |
2.75 |
1.12 |
0.22 |
41% |
Middleweight |
7 (8%) |
3 |
43 % |
14.20 |
-1.41 |
-0.20 |
-10% |
Welterweight |
6 (7%) |
2 |
33 % |
4.55 |
-2.40 |
-0.40 |
-53% |
Lightweight |
15 (17%) |
8 |
53 % |
27.87 |
7.27 |
0.48 |
26% |
Featherweight |
17 (19%) |
8 |
47 % |
24.83 |
-2.37 |
-0.14 |
-10% |
Bantamweight |
16 (18%) |
7 |
44 % |
19.01 |
-6.37 |
-0.40 |
-33% |
Flyweight |
6 (7%) |
2 |
33 % |
3.53 |
-0.97 |
-0.16 |
-28% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
12 (14%) |
8 |
67 % |
4.98 |
2.35 |
0.20 |
47% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.25 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
125% |
Flyweight |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
1.70 |
-0.05 |
-0.01 |
-3% |
Strawweight |
7 (8%) |
5 |
71 % |
3.03 |
2.09 |
0.30 |
69% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
203 (80%) |
156 |
77 % |
Slight Favorites |
25 (10%) |
14 |
56 % |
Slight Underdogs |
6 (2%) |
5 |
83 % |
Big Underdogs |
19 (8%) |
7 |
37 % |
|
253 |
182 |
72 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
156 (59%) |
124 |
79 % |
50-65% |
10 (4%) |
7 |
70 % |
35-50% |
15 (6%) |
8 |
53 % |
<35% chance |
82 (31%) |
16 |
20 % |
|
263 |
155 |
59 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Notorious MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
31st Dec |
Rizin 45 |
3.02 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$969.80 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
22.54 |
-0.4 |
-2% |
|
$9.70 |
$969.80 |
$965.78 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
23.07 |
2.3 |
10% |
|
$9.66 |
$965.78 |
$987.78 |
27th Jan |
Oktagon 52 |
1.06 |
0.3 |
24% |
|
$9.88 |
$987.78 |
$990.26 |
27th Jan |
LFA 175 |
0.22 |
-0.2 |
-100% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.26 |
$988.08 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
14.64 |
8.2 |
56% |
|
$9.88 |
$988.08 |
$1,069.07 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
28.15 |
-5.1 |
-18% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.07 |
$1,014.50 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
17.15 |
2.4 |
14% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.50 |
$1,038.39 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
2.95 |
0.8 |
27% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.39 |
$1,046.60 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
24.83 |
-4.3 |
-17% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,046.60 |
$1,001.15 |
1st Mar |
One 166 |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,001.15 |
$998.65 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
17.8 |
-3.8 |
-21% |
|
$9.99 |
$998.65 |
$960.47 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
31.41 |
19.8 |
63% |
|
$9.60 |
$960.47 |
$1,151.09 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
16.72 |
3.4 |
21% |
|
$11.51 |
$1,151.09 |
$1,190.74 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
7.36 |
-1.2 |
-16% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,190.74 |
$1,176.68 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
16.56 |
-4.9 |
-30% |
|
$11.77 |
$1,176.68 |
$1,118.51 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
2.47 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.19 |
$1,118.51 |
$1,090.89 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
19.44 |
12.4 |
64% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,090.89 |
$1,226.70 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
8.2 |
4.1 |
50% |
|
$12.27 |
$1,226.70 |
$1,276.55 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 27.65% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Notorious MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Ariane Lipski |
Karine Silva |
2.50 |
0.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Jessica Andrade |
2.14 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Jalin Turner |
Renato Moicano |
1.86 |
0.56 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Weili Zhang |
4.80 |
0.4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.90 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.62 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Herbert Burns |
Julio Arce |
13.00 |
0.6 |
TKO, R2 (2:0) |
Yes |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Vicente Luque |
Joaquin Buckley |
1.91 |
2.7 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
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9. |
Mar '24 |
Luis Pajuelo |
Fernando Padilla |
2.50 |
0.1 |
Sub, R1 (2:45) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Rhys McKee |
Chidi Njokuani |
2.87 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Luis Pajuelo |
Fernando Padilla |
2.50 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (2:45) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Igor da Silva |
Andre Lima |
2.50 |
0.25 |
|
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Cameron Saaiman |
Payton Talbott |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Mitch Ramirez |
Thiago Moises |
4.10 |
0.25 |
TKO, R3 (0:15) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Kyler Phillips |
3.00 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Mateusz Gamrot |
4.50 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
2.00 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Javid Basharat |
Aiemann Zahabi |
2.24 |
0.56 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Brandon Moreno |
Brandon Royval |
4.62 |
0.12 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Ryan Bader |
Renan Ferreira |
2.00 |
0.7 |
TKO, R1 (0:21) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Notorious MMA: Progress Chart |
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