MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2353

MMA Handicapper Stats: 5639gt

5639gt (Goatt_)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	24 (28%)	Right	13 (38%)	Right	7 (16%)	Right	4 (44%)
Wrong	62 (72%)	Wrong	21 (62%)	Wrong	36 (84%)	Wrong	5 (56%)
Avg Odds	2.81	Avg Odds	2.11	Avg Odds	4.49	Avg Odds	1.84
Units Bet	98.9	Units Bet	54.1	Units Bet	30.5	Units Bet	14.3
Avg Bet	1.15	Avg Bet	1.59	Avg Bet	0.71	Avg Bet	1.59
Units Profit	-9.27	Units Profit	-6.38	Units Profit	0.52	Units Profit	-3.41
ROI %	-9%	ROI %	-12%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	-24%

5639gt : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	0.61	-0.6	-100%	-0.6 / 0.61 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	6.98	-0.4	-6%	-0.4 / 6.98 (-6%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	12.43	-4.6	-37%	-3.6 / 9.52 (-38%)	-0.7 / 2.38 (-31%)	-0.3 / 0.53 (-53%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	16.4	-10.4	-63%	-5.2 / 9.51 (-55%)	-3.8 / 5.48 (-69%)	-1.4 / 1.41 (-100%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	11.55	-6.5	-57%	-0.6 / 3.71 (-16%)	-2.9 / 4.79 (-60%)	-3.1 / 3.05 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	4.09	3.1	77%			3.1 / 4.09 (77%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	10.02	0.7	7%	4.0 / 6.68 (60%)		-3.3 / 3.34 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	13	-2.5	-20%	-0.0 / 2.5 (-2%)	-4.0 / 8.64 (-47%)	1.5 / 1.86 (82%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	18.53	6.2	34%	1.7 / 13.03 (13%)	4.5 / 5.5 (82%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	9.95	5.8	59%	-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)	7.4 / 8.35 (89%)

Winning Events: 4 (40%)
Losing Events: 6 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.36 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.53 units
Best Event: 6.22 units
Worst Event: -10.41 units
Average Event: -0.93 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 12.06
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -22.60

5639gt : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	75.08	-21.3	-28%	-6.5 / 39.51 (-16%)		-3.4 / 14.28 (-24%)	2 / 6 (25%)	-2.67
2023	28.48	12.1	42%	0.1 / 14.63 (1%)			2 / (100%)	6.03

5639gt : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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5639gt : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	103.56	-9.3	-9%	-6.4 / 54.14 (-12%)	0.5 / 35.14 (1%)	-3.4 / 14.28 (-24%)

5639gt : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (13%)	3	60 %	10.24	-0.65	-0.13	-6%
Slight Favorites	9 (24%)	3	33 %	21.67	-2.53	-0.28	-12%
Slight Underdogs	16 (42%)	5	31 %	14.98	-1.05	-0.07	-7%
Big Underdogs	8 (21%)	2	25 %	7.25	-2.15	-0.27	-30%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (16%)	2	33 %	6.22	-0.37	-0.06	-6%
Co-Main Event	6 (16%)	2	33 %	9.77	0.89	0.15	9%
Position 3-5	5 (13%)	3	60 %	12.23	1.59	0.32	13%
6+ (Undercard)	21 (55%)	6	29 %	25.92	-8.49	-0.40	-33%

5639gt : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (8%)	2	67 %	2.26	2.14	0.71	95%
Light Heavy	4 (11%)		0 %	2.40	-2.40	-0.60	-100%
Middleweight	9 (24%)	5	56 %	15.31	3.94	0.44	26%
Welterweight	2 (5%)		0 %	2.22	-2.22	-1.11	-100%
Lightweight	2 (5%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Featherweight	4 (11%)	2	50 %	5.42	-1.26	-0.32	-23%
Bantamweight	7 (18%)	2	29 %	9.90	-0.95	-0.14	-10%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	5.75	2.50	1.25	43%

Women's Fights	5 (13%)	1	20 %	7.88	-5.13	-1.03	-65%
Flyweight	3 (8%)	1	33 %	4.36	-1.61	-0.54	-37%
Strawweight	2 (5%)		0 %	3.52	-3.52	-1.76	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	10 (100%)	6	60 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	10	6	60 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (13%)	6	86 %
50-65%	8 (15%)	2	25 %
35-50%	6 (11%)	2	33 %
<35% chance	32 (60%)	3	9 %
	53	13	25 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (6%)	3	100 %	1.32	1.32	1.32	1.0 (32%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (4%)	0	0 %	2.13	2.20	2.06	-2.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	5 (9%)	2	40 %	1.77	2.55	1.36	-1.7 (-34%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (6%)	2	67 %	1.31	1.38	1.23	-0.5 (-15%)
X Wins by KO	4 (8%)	1	25 %	2.72	5.50	1.60	-1.9 (-47%)
X Wins by Sub	7 (13%)	1	14 %	6.65	11.00	4.33	-2.5 (-36%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (6%)	0	0 %	3.43	5.20	2.70	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (9%)	3	60 %	2.49	4.75	1.57	3.9 (77%)
X Wins in Round X	16 (30%)	1	6 %	11.82	35.97	4.20	-11.8 (-74%)
Others	5 (9%)	0	0 %	3.04	29.00	1.65	-3.0 (-60%)
	53	13	25 %	3.16			-21.5 (-41%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail 5639gt 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	9.95	5.8	59%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,058.50
16th Dec	UFC 296	18.53	6.2	34%		$10.58	$1,058.50	$1,124.29
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	13	-2.5	-20%		$11.24	$1,124.29	$1,095.72
20th Jan	UFC 297	10.02	0.7	7%		$10.96	$1,095.72	$1,103.04
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	4.09	3.1	77%		$11.03	$1,103.04	$1,137.68
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	11.55	-6.5	-57%		$11.38	$1,137.68	$1,063.30
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	16.4	-10.4	-63%		$10.63	$1,063.30	$952.61
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	12.43	-4.6	-37%		$9.53	$952.61	$908.51
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	6.98	-0.4	-6%		$9.09	$908.51	$904.73
13th Apr	UFC 300	0.61	-0.6	-100%		$9.05	$904.73	$899.21

ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.08% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

5639gt : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Lukasz Brzeski	Valter Walker	3.50	0.57	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '24	César Almeida	Dylan Budka	2.43	1.88	TKO, R2 (2:13)
3.	Mar '24	Manon Fiorot	Erin Blanchfield	2.55	1.08	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Mar '24	Nursulton Ruziboev	Sedriques Dumas	1.53	0.45	TKO, R1 (3:18)
5.	Mar '24	Nate Landwehr	Jamall Emmers	2.45	0.92	TKO, R1 (4:43)
6.	Mar '24	Chidi Njokuani	Rhys McKee	1.70	0.12	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '24	Karl Williams	Justin Tafa	1.51	1.59	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Julian Erosa	Ricardo Ramos	2.38	0.8	Sub, R1 (2:15)
9.	Feb '24	Jack Hermansson	Joe Pyfer	3.10	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jan '24	Chris Curtis	Marc-Andre Barriault	1.60	6.68	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jan '24	Mario Bautista	Ricky Simon	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '23	Alexandre Pantoja	Brandon Royval	1.57	5.25	U Decision (5 rounds)
13.	Dec '23	Cody Garbrandt	Brian Kelleher	1.44	4.5	TKO, R1 (3:42)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Alexander Hernandez	Damon Jackson	1.45	1.12	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Dan Argueta	Jean Matsumoto	2.28	0.88	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
3.	Apr '24	Chris Curtis	Brendan Allen	2.88	2.53	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '24	Andre Petroski	Jacob Malkoun	2.90	0.55	TKO, R2 (0:39)	No
5.	Mar '24	Anton Turkalj	Ibo Aslan	2.08	0.19	TKO, R3 (1:32)	No
6.	Mar '24	Vicente Luque	Joaquin Buckley	1.85	0.61	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
7.	Mar '24	Kurt Holobaugh	Trey Ogden	2.23	1.48	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.20	0.55	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.28	0.61	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
11.	Mar '24	Bill Algeo	Kyle Nelson	1.49	2.58	TKO, R1 (4:0)	No
12.	Mar '24	Lupita Godinez	Virna Jandiroba	1.54	3.02	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.20	0.45	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '24	Kurt Holobaugh	Trey Ogden	2.23	1.52	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	2.23	1.52	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No
16.	Mar '24	Justin Tafa	Karl Williams	2.63	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
17.	Mar '24	Amanda Ribas	Rose Namajunas	3.30	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '24	Jeremiah Wells	Max Griffin	1.62	1.61	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '24	Armen Petrosyan	Rodolfo Vieira	1.98	1.1	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
20.	Jan '24	Phil Hawes	Brunno Ferreira	2.07	1	TKO, R1 (4:55)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

5639gt : Progress Chart

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