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MMA Handicapper Stats: Larry Swede

Larry Swede (oakisland)


MMA MHandicapper - Larry Swede

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 20 (48%) Right 17 (53%) Right 2 (50%) Right 1 (17%)
Wrong 22 (52%) Wrong 15 (47%) Wrong 2 (50%) Wrong 5 (83%)
Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 2.39
Units Bet 66.3 Units Bet 51.8 Units Bet 4.5 Units Bet 10.0
Avg Bet 1.58 Avg Bet 1.62 Avg Bet 1.13 Avg Bet 1.67
Units Profit -4.07 Units Profit 1.15 Units Profit 0.86 Units Profit -6.08
ROI % -6% ROI % 2% ROI % 19% ROI % -61%
View Handicapper's Profile

Larry Swede: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 13.25 -5.6 -42% -1.6 / 9.25 (-17%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 11.5 -0.8 -7% 1.7 / 9 (19%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 9 -2.6 -28% -2.6 / 9 (-28%)
17th Nov '23 Bellator 301 17 -1.0 -6% -0.6 / 13 (-5%) 1.7 / 2 (83%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 15.5 5.9 38% 4.2 / 11.5 (37%) -0.3 / 2 (-16%) 1.9 / 2 (96%)


Winning Events: 1 (20%)
Losing Events: 4 (80%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.25 units
Most Staked On One Event: 17.00 units
Best Event: 5.85 units
Worst Event: -5.59 units
Average Event: -0.81 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 5.85
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -9.92

Larry Swede: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 66.25 -4.1 -6% 1.2 / 51.75 (2%) -6.1 / 10 (-61%) 1 / 4 (20%) -0.81

Larry Swede: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Larry Swede: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 37.75 -2.3 -6% 0.1 / 29.75 (0%) -0.3 / 2 (-16%) -2.1 / 6 (-35%)
Bellator 17 -1.0 -6% -0.6 / 13 (-5%) 1.7 / 2 (83%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
PFL 11.5 -0.8 -7% 1.7 / 9 (19%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Larry Swede: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 8 (25%) 6 75 % 19.00 -0.36 -0.04 -2%
Slight Favorites 12 (38%) 9 75 % 19.50 8.85 0.74 45%
Slight Underdogs 9 (28%) 2 22 % 10.75 -4.84 -0.54 -45%
Big Underdogs 3 (9%) 0 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -0.83 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (13%) 2 50 % 10.00 -3.70 -0.92 -37%
Co-Main Event 2 (6%) 1 50 % 3.00 0.82 0.41 27%
Position 3-5 8 (25%) 5 63 % 13.75 2.15 0.27 16%
6+ (Undercard) 18 (56%) 9 50 % 25.00 1.88 0.10 8%

Larry Swede: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.82 1.82 91%
Light Heavy 2 (6%) 1 50 % 3.50 0.10 0.05 3%
Middleweight 2 (6%) 2 100 % 4.00 2.59 1.29 65%
Welterweight 5 (16%) 1 20 % 11.50 -8.50 -1.70 -74%
Lightweight 8 (25%) 4 50 % 12.00 0.16 0.02 1%
Featherweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 6.00 0.73 0.18 12%
Bantamweight 4 (13%) 3 75 % 4.75 3.58 0.89 75%
Flyweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 5.00 1.54 0.51 31%
               
Women's Fights 3 (9%) 1 33 % 3.00 -0.85 -0.28 -28%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.15 0.07 7%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 16 (89%) 9 56 %
Slight Favorites 2 (11%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
18 10 56 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (25%) 0 0 %
50-65% 2 (50%) 2 100 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 1 (25%) 0 0 %
4 2 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (25%) 1 100 % 1.83 1.83Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 0.8 (83%)
X Wins by KO 1 (25%) 0 0 % 5.00 5.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (25%) 1 100 % 1.69 1.69Pick was correct 1.69Pick was correct 0.7 (69%)
Others 1 (25%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
4 2 50 % 2.01     -0.5 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Larry Swede's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Nov UFC 295 15.5 5.9 38% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,058.51
17th Nov Bellator 301 17 -1.0 -6% $10.59 $1,058.51 $1,048.19
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 9 -2.6 -28% $10.48 $1,048.19 $1,021.37
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 11.5 -0.8 -7% $10.21 $1,021.37 $1,013.25
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 13.25 -5.6 -42% $10.13 $1,013.25 $956.59


ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.34% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Larry Swede: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '23 Drakkar Klose Joe Solecki 1.75 1 TKO, R1 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Miesha Tate Julia Avila 2.15 1 Sub, R3 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Deiveson Figueiredo Rob Font 2.15 1.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Magomed Magomedkerimov Sadibou Sy 1.50 2 Sub, R3 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Derek Brunson Ray Cooper III 1.94 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Jesus Pinedo Gabriel Alves Braga 1.91 2 TKO, R3 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Rafael Estevam Charles Johnson 1.87 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Islam Mamedov Killys Mota 1.59 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Yves Landu Isao Kobayashi 1.45 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Raufeon Stots Danny Sabatello 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 A.J. McKee Sidney Outlaw 1.45 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Brendan Allen Paul Craig 1.35 2 Sub, R3 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '23 Joshua Van Kevin Borjas 1.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '23 John Castaneda Kyung Ho Kang 1.77 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '23 Benoit Saint-Denis Matt Frevola 1.43 2 TKO, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '23 Tom Aspinall Sergey Pavlovich 1.91 2 TKO, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '23 Alex Pereira Jiri Prochazka 1.80 2 TKO, R2 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '23 Bobby Green Jalin Turner 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Beneil Dariush Arman Tsarukyan 3.25 1 TKO, R1 (1:4) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Kelvin Gastelum Sean Brady 2.10 1.5 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '23 Wellington Turman Jared Gooden 1.50 1 Sub, R2 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '23 Jamey Lyn-Horth Veronica Macedo 1.54 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Khai Wu Phil Caracappa 3.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Joshua Silveira Impa Kasanganay 2.75 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Josh Blyden Jesse Stirn 2.76 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Jonathan Pearce Joanderson Brito 1.77 1 Sub, R2 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Uros Medic Myktybek Orolbai 1.95 2 Sub, R2 (4:12) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Lucie Pudilova Ailin Perez 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Yaroslav Amosov Jason Jackson 1.36 5 TKO, R3 (2:8) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '23 Jordan Leavitt Chase Hooper 2.95 1 Sub, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '23 Alessandro Costa Steve Erceg 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '23 Mark O. Madsen Jared Gordon 2.70 1 TKO, R1 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Larry Swede: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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