MMA Handicapper Stats: @papashmoker |
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@papashmoker : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 5 (56%)
Losing Events: 4 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 1.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.00 units
Best Event: 1.36 units
Worst Event: -4.78 units
Average Event: -0.33 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 2.79
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.78 |
@papashmoker : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
17 |
-3.0 |
-17% |
0.1 / 12 (1%) |
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-3.0 / 5 (-61%) |
5 / 4 (56%) |
-0.33 |
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@papashmoker : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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@papashmoker : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
9.5 |
-3.2 |
-33% |
-2.1 / 6.5 (-33%) |
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-1.0 / 3 (-35%) |
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Bellator |
2 |
-0.8 |
-40% |
-0.8 / 2 (-40%) |
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PFL |
1 |
1.4 |
136% |
1.4 / 1 (136%) |
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| Other |
4.5 |
-0.4 |
-8% |
1.6 / 2.5 (66%) |
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-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
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@papashmoker : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
| Slight Favorites |
2 (17%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.50 |
0.45 |
0.23 |
30% |
| Slight Underdogs |
8 (67%) |
4 |
50 % |
9.50 |
-2.60 |
-0.33 |
-27% |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (17%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.00 |
2.22 |
1.11 |
222% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
| Co-Main Event |
1 (8%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
| Position 3-5 |
5 (42%) |
2 |
40 % |
6.00 |
-1.85 |
-0.37 |
-31% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
6 (50%) |
5 |
83 % |
4.00 |
3.92 |
0.65 |
98% |
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@papashmoker : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Middleweight |
2 (17%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.00 |
2.22 |
1.11 |
222% |
| Welterweight |
2 (17%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.00 |
-2.05 |
-1.02 |
-51% |
| Lightweight |
2 (17%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
| Featherweight |
1 (8%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
1.36 |
1.36 |
136% |
| Bantamweight |
1 (8%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
| Flyweight |
1 (8%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
| |
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| Women's Fights |
3 (25%) |
3 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.54 |
0.85 |
127% |
| Flyweight |
1 (8%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.70 |
0.70 |
140% |
| Strawweight |
2 (17%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.84 |
0.92 |
123% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
4 (67%) |
2 |
50 % |
| Slight Favorites |
2 (33%) |
2 |
100 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
6 |
4 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
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0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
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0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail @papashmoker 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 27th Oct |
Invicta FC 54 |
1 |
1.2 |
120% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,012.00 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
0.5 |
0.6 |
128% |
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$10.12 |
$1,012.00 |
$1,018.48 |
| 9th Nov |
EFC 109 |
1 |
1.0 |
95% |
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$10.18 |
$1,018.48 |
$1,028.15 |
| 11th Nov |
Cage Warriors 163 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
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$10.28 |
$1,028.15 |
$1,023.01 |
| 17th Nov |
Bellator 301 |
2 |
-0.8 |
-40% |
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$10.23 |
$1,023.01 |
$1,014.83 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
1 |
1.0 |
96% |
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$10.15 |
$1,014.83 |
$1,024.55 |
| 24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
1 |
1.4 |
136% |
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$10.25 |
$1,024.55 |
$1,038.49 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
8 |
-4.8 |
-60% |
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$10.38 |
$1,038.49 |
$988.90 |
| 3rd Dec |
Fury FC 84 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
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$9.89 |
$988.90 |
$969.12 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.09% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
@papashmoker : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
@papashmoker : Progress Chart |
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