MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Phil Goose Dean

Phil Goose Dean (GooseMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - Phil Goose Dean

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	19 (46%)	Right	9 (53%)	Right	7 (44%)	Right	3 (38%)
Wrong	22 (54%)	Wrong	8 (47%)	Wrong	9 (56%)	Wrong	5 (63%)
Avg Odds	2.37	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	2.20	Avg Odds	4.28
Units Bet	52.3	Units Bet	21.0	Units Bet	17.8	Units Bet	13.5
Avg Bet	1.27	Avg Bet	1.24	Avg Bet	1.11	Avg Bet	1.69
Units Profit	6.54	Units Profit	-0.55	Units Profit	-2.33	Units Profit	9.42
ROI %	13%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	70%

Phil Goose Dean: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	8	-3.5	-44%	-3.5 / 8 (-44%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	6.25	-4.2	-66%	0.1 / 2 (5%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Nov '23	Cage Warriors 164	4	-1.0	-25%	0.0 / 3 (1%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	7	-2.6	-36%	0.1 / 2 (7%)	-1.2 / 3.5 (-34%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	10	10.0	100%	0.1 / 2 (5%)	3.4 / 4.5 (77%)	6.4 / 3.5 (183%)
17th Nov '23	Bellator 301	1	1.1	110%	1.1 / 1 (110%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	9.5	-1.3	-14%	1.0 / 2 (50%)	-0.8 / 6 (-14%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	6.5	8.0	123%	0.5 / 1 (50%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	10.0 / 3 (333%)

Winning Events: 3 (38%)
Losing Events: 5 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.53 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.00 units
Best Event: 9.97 units
Worst Event: -4.15 units
Average Event: 0.82 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 11.07
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -11.20

Phil Goose Dean: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	52.25	6.5	13%	-0.5 / 21 (-3%)		9.4 / 13.5 (70%)	3 / 5 (38%)	0.82

Phil Goose Dean: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Phil Goose Dean: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	40.25	9.0	22%	-1.8 / 15 (-12%)	-1.1 / 14.25 (-8%)	11.9 / 11 (108%)
Bellator	1	1.1	110%	1.1 / 1 (110%)
PFL	7	-2.6	-36%	0.1 / 2 (7%)	-1.2 / 3.5 (-34%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
Other	4	-1.0	-25%	0.0 / 3 (1%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Phil Goose Dean: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (18%)	2	67 %	5.50	-1.00	-0.33	-18%
Slight Favorites	2 (12%)	2	100 %	3.75	2.60	1.30	69%
Slight Underdogs	9 (53%)	5	56 %	9.25	0.35	0.04	4%
Big Underdogs	3 (18%)	0	0 %	2.50	-2.50	-0.83	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (18%)	0	0 %	2.75	-2.75	-0.92	-100%
Co-Main Event	1 (6%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Position 3-5	6 (35%)	3	50 %	8.25	-1.03	-0.17	-13%
6+ (Undercard)	7 (41%)	6	86 %	9.00	4.23	0.60	47%

Phil Goose Dean: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	2 (12%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Middleweight	3 (18%)	1	33 %	4.50	-2.35	-0.78	-52%
Welterweight	2 (12%)	1	50 %	3.00	0.33	0.17	11%
Lightweight	3 (18%)	3	100 %	4.75	2.77	0.92	58%
Featherweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.10	1.10	110%
Bantamweight	4 (24%)	2	50 %	3.75	0.45	0.11	12%

Women's Fights	2 (12%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.85	-0.42	-42%
Bantamweight	1 (6%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%
Strawweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.65	0.65	130%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	15 (65%)	13	87 %
Slight Favorites	6 (26%)	3	50 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (9%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	23	16	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (11%)	2	100 %
50-65%	5 (26%)	1	20 %
35-50%	8 (42%)	4	50 %
<35% chance	4 (21%)	1	25 %
	19	8	42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (21%)	1	25 %	2.15	2.40	1.91	-1.7 (-42%)
X Wins by KO	2 (11%)	2	100 %	2.12	2.25	2.00	2.3 (113%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (21%)	0	0 %	2.60	4.50	1.80	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (21%)	2	50 %	2.72	3.40	2.25	1.9 (47%)
Others	5 (26%)	3	60 %	1.63	1.83	1.50	-0.3 (-7%)
	19	8	42 %	2.14			-1.9 (-10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Phil Goose Dean's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	6.5	8.0	123%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,080.00
11th Nov	UFC 295	9.5	-1.3	-14%		$10.80	$1,080.00	$1,065.60
17th Nov	Bellator 301	1	1.1	110%		$10.66	$1,065.60	$1,077.32
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	10	10.0	100%		$10.77	$1,077.32	$1,184.73
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	7	-2.6	-36%		$11.85	$1,184.73	$1,154.52
25th Nov	Cage Warriors 164	4	-1.0	-25%		$11.55	$1,154.52	$1,143.19
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	6.25	-4.2	-66%		$11.43	$1,143.19	$1,095.75
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	8	-3.5	-44%		$10.96	$1,095.75	$1,057.21

ROI % from starting bank balance: 5.72% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Phil Goose Dean: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '23	Talita Alencar	Rayanne Amanda	2.30	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Dec '23	Kevin Jousset	Kenan Song	1.67	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Dec '23	Deiveson Figueiredo	Rob Font	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '23	Chris Bungard	Perry Goodwin	1.72	1.75	Sub, R1 (3:44)
5.	Nov '23	Derek Brunson	Ray Cooper III	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '23	Joanderson Brito	Jonathan Pearce	2.10	1	Sub, R2 (3:54)
7.	Nov '23	Raufeon Stots	Danny Sabatello	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '23	Jared Gordon	Mark O. Madsen	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (4:42)
9.	Nov '23	Marc Diakiese	Kaue Fernandes	1.50	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '23	Jun Yong Park	Andre Muniz	1.50	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Dec '23	Chris Gutierrez	Yadong Song	4.00	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Dec '23	Anthony Smith	Khalil Rountree	2.87	1	TKO, R3 (0:56)	No
4.	Dec '23	Stephanie Egger	Luana Santos	2.30	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '23	Kelvin Gastelum	Sean Brady	2.00	1	Sub, R3 (1:43)	No
6.	Nov '23	Reece McEwan	Liam Gittins	2.00	1.25	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '23	Joshua Silveira	Impa Kasanganay	2.62	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Nov '23	Paul Craig	Brendan Allen	4.00	1	Sub, R3 (0:38)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Phil Goose Dean: Progress Chart

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