MMA Handicapper Stats: Shug |
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Shug : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 5 (42%)
Losing Events: 7 (58%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.74 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.21 units
Best Event: 10.07 units
Worst Event: -13.81 units
Average Event: -0.71 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 13.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -19.46 |
Shug : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
91.43 |
-7.0 |
-8% |
3.1 / 81.35 (4%) |
|
-3.2 / 3.15 (-100%) |
5 / 6 (45%) |
-0.63 |
| 2023 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
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/ 1 (0%) |
-1.50 |
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Shug : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Shug : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
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UFC |
90.43 |
-6.0 |
-7% |
4.1 / 80.35 (5%) |
-6.9 / 6.93 (-100%) |
-3.2 / 3.15 (-100%) |
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PFL |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
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| Other |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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Shug : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
4 (8%) |
2 |
50 % |
14.10 |
-5.85 |
-1.46 |
-41% |
| Slight Favorites |
14 (28%) |
11 |
79 % |
27.33 |
4.01 |
0.29 |
15% |
| Slight Underdogs |
22 (44%) |
13 |
59 % |
30.95 |
7.11 |
0.32 |
23% |
| Big Underdogs |
10 (20%) |
2 |
20 % |
10.47 |
-3.67 |
-0.37 |
-35% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
3.41 |
-3.41 |
-1.71 |
-100% |
| Co-Main Event |
4 (8%) |
0 |
0 % |
10.10 |
-10.10 |
-2.53 |
-100% |
| Position 3-5 |
12 (24%) |
7 |
58 % |
19.48 |
4.32 |
0.36 |
22% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
32 (64%) |
21 |
66 % |
49.86 |
10.79 |
0.34 |
22% |
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Shug : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
4 (8%) |
3 |
75 % |
10.30 |
1.40 |
0.35 |
14% |
| Light Heavy |
5 (10%) |
3 |
60 % |
5.33 |
1.64 |
0.33 |
31% |
| Middleweight |
4 (8%) |
3 |
75 % |
6.34 |
2.12 |
0.53 |
34% |
| Welterweight |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.86 |
1.94 |
0.65 |
40% |
| Lightweight |
17 (34%) |
6 |
35 % |
24.26 |
-8.45 |
-0.50 |
-35% |
| Featherweight |
7 (14%) |
5 |
71 % |
10.75 |
-3.07 |
-0.44 |
-29% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (8%) |
2 |
50 % |
10.91 |
0.49 |
0.12 |
4% |
| Flyweight |
6 (12%) |
4 |
67 % |
10.10 |
5.53 |
0.92 |
55% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
9 (60%) |
6 |
67 % |
| Slight Favorites |
4 (27%) |
2 |
50 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
2 (13%) |
2 |
100 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
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15 |
10 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
1 (17%) |
0 |
0 % |
| 35-50% |
1 (17%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
4 (67%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
6 |
0 |
0 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Does not go to Decision |
1 (17%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.83 |
1.83 |
1.83 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins by KO |
4 (67%) |
0 |
0 % |
4.05 |
17.00 |
3.20 |
-4.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance |
1 (17%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.45 |
2.45 |
2.45 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
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6 |
0 |
0 % |
3.09 |
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-6.0 (-100%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Shug 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$985.00 |
| 13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
5.85 |
-0.2 |
-4% |
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$9.85 |
$985.00 |
$982.77 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
6.34 |
3.0 |
47% |
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$9.83 |
$982.77 |
$1,011.79 |
| 27th Jan |
Oktagon 52 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
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$10.12 |
$1,011.79 |
$1,001.67 |
| 3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
6.95 |
-3.0 |
-43% |
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$10.02 |
$1,001.67 |
$972.02 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
7.73 |
10.1 |
130% |
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$9.72 |
$972.02 |
$1,069.92 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
7.8 |
0.4 |
6% |
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$10.70 |
$1,069.92 |
$1,074.73 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
12.7 |
2.9 |
23% |
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$10.75 |
$1,074.73 |
$1,106.17 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
8.75 |
0.3 |
3% |
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$11.06 |
$1,106.17 |
$1,109.11 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
19.21 |
-13.8 |
-72% |
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$11.09 |
$1,109.11 |
$955.94 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
4.6 |
-4.6 |
-100% |
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$9.56 |
$955.94 |
$911.97 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
10.5 |
-1.1 |
-10% |
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$9.12 |
$911.97 |
$902.39 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -9.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Shug : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.71 |
3.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
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| 2. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Parkin |
Mohammed Usman |
1.72 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 3. |
Mar '24 |
Petr Yan |
Yadong Song |
1.80 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 4. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.30 |
0.85 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
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| 5. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.30 |
0.25 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
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| 6. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.30 |
2.82 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
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| 7. |
Feb '24 |
Luis Rodriguez |
Denys Bondar |
2.00 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
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| 8. |
Feb '24 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Junior Tafa |
1.50 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:14) |
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| 9. |
Feb '24 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Junior Tafa |
1.50 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (1:14) |
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| 10. |
Feb '24 |
Luis Rodriguez |
Denys Bondar |
2.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
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| 11. |
Feb '24 |
Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Mateus Mendonca |
2.25 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. |
Feb '24 |
Luis Rodriguez |
Denys Bondar |
2.00 |
2.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
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| 13. |
Feb '24 |
Bogdan Guskov |
Zac Pauga |
2.30 |
0.6 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
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| 14. |
Feb '24 |
Jung Young Lee |
Blake Bilder |
1.64 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. |
Feb '24 |
Jung Young Lee |
Blake Bilder |
1.72 |
0.26 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. |
Feb '24 |
Michael Johnson |
Darrius Flowers |
1.72 |
0.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. |
Feb '24 |
Bogdan Guskov |
Zac Pauga |
2.30 |
0.6 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
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| 18. |
Feb '24 |
Max Griffin |
Jeremiah Wells |
2.88 |
0.6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. |
Feb '24 |
Jung Young Lee |
Blake Bilder |
1.80 |
1.74 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. |
Feb '24 |
Bogdan Guskov |
Zac Pauga |
2.30 |
1.83 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Shug : Progress Chart |
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