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MMA Handicapper Stats: PGA Locks |
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PGA Locks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 12 (50%) Losing Events: 12 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.74 units Most Staked On One Event: 21.00 units Best Event: 8.06 units Worst Event: -10.65 units Average Event: -0.00 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 19.66 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.13 |
PGA Locks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
137.09 |
-21.7 |
-16% |
-9.5 / 103.64 (-9%) |
|
-5.4 / 9.35 (-57%) |
5 / 8 (38%) |
-1.67 |
2023 |
96.7 |
21.6 |
22% |
16.4 / 74 (22%) |
|
9.8 / 13.45 (73%) |
7 / 4 (64%) |
1.97 |
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PGA Locks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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PGA Locks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
225.24 |
-3.2 |
-1% |
2.6 / 171.64 (2%) |
-10.1 / 30.95 (-33%) |
4.2 / 22.65 (19%) |
PFL |
4.55 |
4.0 |
88% |
3.1 / 4 (79%) |
0.6 / 0.4 (161%) |
0.2 / 0.15 (155%) |
Other |
4 |
-0.9 |
-21% |
1.1 / 2 (57%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
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PGA Locks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
19 (21%) |
12 |
63 % |
52.95 |
-1.28 |
-0.07 |
-2% |
Slight Favorites |
45 (49%) |
28 |
62 % |
97.00 |
15.20 |
0.34 |
16% |
Slight Underdogs |
25 (27%) |
11 |
44 % |
26.44 |
-5.74 |
-0.23 |
-22% |
Big Underdogs |
2 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.25 |
-1.25 |
-0.63 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
14 (15%) |
8 |
57 % |
35.50 |
-3.21 |
-0.23 |
-9% |
Co-Main Event |
10 (11%) |
3 |
30 % |
16.75 |
-8.03 |
-0.80 |
-48% |
Position 3-5 |
32 (35%) |
22 |
69 % |
69.19 |
16.44 |
0.51 |
24% |
6+ (Undercard) |
35 (38%) |
18 |
51 % |
56.20 |
1.73 |
0.05 |
3% |
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PGA Locks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
14 (15%) |
5 |
36 % |
26.00 |
-9.06 |
-0.65 |
-35% |
Light Heavy |
5 (5%) |
4 |
80 % |
8.75 |
6.69 |
1.34 |
76% |
Middleweight |
13 (14%) |
9 |
69 % |
28.00 |
2.20 |
0.17 |
8% |
Welterweight |
13 (14%) |
9 |
69 % |
34.75 |
12.07 |
0.93 |
35% |
Lightweight |
20 (22%) |
10 |
50 % |
33.50 |
1.33 |
0.07 |
4% |
Featherweight |
15 (16%) |
9 |
60 % |
26.29 |
-0.74 |
-0.05 |
-3% |
Bantamweight |
5 (5%) |
3 |
60 % |
11.00 |
-1.15 |
-0.23 |
-10% |
Flyweight |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
4.50 |
-2.67 |
-0.89 |
-59% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
4.85 |
-1.75 |
-0.58 |
-36% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.75 |
-1.75 |
-1.75 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.10 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
48% |
Strawweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
58 (58%) |
35 |
60 % |
Slight Favorites |
36 (36%) |
16 |
44 % |
Slight Underdogs |
6 (6%) |
2 |
33 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
100 |
53 |
53 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
25 (22%) |
19 |
76 % |
50-65% |
26 (23%) |
9 |
35 % |
35-50% |
34 (30%) |
14 |
41 % |
<35% chance |
27 (24%) |
7 |
26 % |
|
112 |
49 |
44 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail PGA Locks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
12 |
8.1 |
67% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,080.64 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
21 |
5.3 |
25% |
|
$10.81 |
$1,080.64 |
$1,137.38 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
5 |
6.3 |
127% |
|
$11.37 |
$1,137.38 |
$1,209.60 |
10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
4 |
-0.9 |
-21% |
|
$12.10 |
$1,209.60 |
$1,199.23 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
8.5 |
-6.2 |
-73% |
|
$11.99 |
$1,199.23 |
$1,125.28 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
9 |
-0.8 |
-9% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,125.28 |
$1,116.56 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
3.5 |
1.8 |
51% |
|
$11.17 |
$1,116.56 |
$1,136.60 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
13.8 |
0.4 |
3% |
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$11.37 |
$1,136.60 |
$1,140.84 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,140.84 |
$1,106.62 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
4.75 |
3.1 |
65% |
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$11.07 |
$1,106.62 |
$1,140.72 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
12.15 |
7.5 |
62% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,140.72 |
$1,226.37 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
7.25 |
0.7 |
10% |
|
$12.26 |
$1,226.37 |
$1,235.34 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
13.09 |
-10.6 |
-81% |
|
$12.35 |
$1,235.34 |
$1,103.78 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
13.95 |
-4.4 |
-32% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,103.78 |
$1,054.73 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
11.2 |
-7.0 |
-62% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,054.73 |
$981.03 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
15.15 |
-1.0 |
-7% |
|
$9.81 |
$981.03 |
$970.75 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
4.55 |
4.0 |
88% |
|
$9.71 |
$970.75 |
$1,009.73 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
11.55 |
-0.8 |
-7% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,009.73 |
$1,001.39 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
7.9 |
-5.5 |
-69% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,001.39 |
$946.53 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
12.6 |
4.6 |
36% |
|
$9.47 |
$946.53 |
$989.81 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
3.75 |
-2.6 |
-70% |
|
$9.90 |
$989.81 |
$963.68 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
15.7 |
1.5 |
10% |
|
$9.64 |
$963.68 |
$978.49 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
3.5 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$9.78 |
$978.49 |
$978.49 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
16.9 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
|
$9.78 |
$978.49 |
$973.81 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.62% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
PGA Locks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Cody Garbrandt |
1.32 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:2) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Diego Lopes |
Sodiq Yusuff |
1.70 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
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|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Diego Lopes |
Sodiq Yusuff |
1.71 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
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4. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.02 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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5. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Pereira |
Jamahal Hill |
1.80 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
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|
6. |
Apr '24 |
César Almeida |
Dylan Budka |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
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7. |
Mar '24 |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
Sedriques Dumas |
1.43 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
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8. |
Mar '24 |
Ibo Aslan |
Anton Turkalj |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
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9. |
Mar '24 |
Nate Landwehr |
Jamall Emmers |
2.55 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:43) |
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10. |
Mar '24 |
Chidi Njokuani |
Rhys McKee |
1.71 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
Sedriques Dumas |
1.47 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
|
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12. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Isaac Dulgarian |
2.24 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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13. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Isaac Dulgarian |
2.20 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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14. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.76 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Page |
Kevin Holland |
2.14 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Sean O'Malley |
Marlon Vera |
1.35 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.68 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
|
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18. |
Mar '24 |
Vinicius de Oliveira |
Bernardo Sopai |
1.77 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:41) |
|
|
19. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Zellhuber |
Francisco Prado |
1.36 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Justin Gaethje |
Max Holloway |
1.65 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jalin Turner |
Renato Moicano |
1.44 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.85 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Jim Miller |
Bobby Green |
2.54 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Jim Miller |
Bobby Green |
2.42 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.88 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Trevor Peek |
Charlie Campbell |
2.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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8. |
Mar '24 |
Vicente Luque |
Joaquin Buckley |
1.83 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Lupita Godinez |
Virna Jandiroba |
1.44 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Bill Algeo |
Kyle Nelson |
1.40 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Marcin Tybura |
1.79 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Marcin Tybura |
1.80 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Ion Cutelaba |
Philipe Lins |
1.80 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Michel Pereira |
2.36 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.95 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Shamil Gaziev |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Shamil Gaziev |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
1.54 |
3 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Feb '24 |
Mateus Mendonca |
Jesus Santos Aguilar |
1.83 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Brian Ortega |
1.67 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Roman Kopylov |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.83 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
PGA Locks: Progress Chart |
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