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MMA Handicapper Stats: John Coke

John Coke (johnXcoke)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	64 (42%)	Right	25 (47%)	Right	16 (31%)	Right	23 (49%)
Wrong	87 (58%)	Wrong	28 (53%)	Wrong	35 (69%)	Wrong	24 (51%)
Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	2.27	Avg Odds	2.01
Units Bet	220.2	Units Bet	84.1	Units Bet	53.4	Units Bet	82.8
Avg Bet	1.46	Avg Bet	1.59	Avg Bet	1.05	Avg Bet	1.76
Units Profit	-24.16	Units Profit	-7.86	Units Profit	-14.80	Units Profit	-1.50
ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-9%	ROI %	-28%	ROI %	-2%

John Coke: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	7.75	-2.8	-36%	0.6 / 1.5 (43%)	-0.9 / 3.75 (-25%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	4.25	-1.3	-31%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.3 / 3.25 (-10%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	9.3	1.1	11%	4.9 / 5.5 (88%)	-1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	6.9	-4.4	-64%	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)	-0.6 / 3.1 (-20%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	10	4.2	42%	1.3 / 1.25 (108%)	3.8 / 5.25 (72%)	-0.9 / 3.5 (-25%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	12.25	6.2	51%	1.5 / 3.5 (42%)	0.9 / 4.75 (19%)	3.9 / 4 (97%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	10	-6.6	-66%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-0.1 / 3.5 (-3%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	6.5	-0.2	-2%	0.5 / 1.5 (30%)	1.9 / 2.5 (76%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	3.5	1.5	41%	0.2 / 2.5 (6%)		1.3 / 1 (130%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	6.2	-3.0	-48%	-1.0 / 4.2 (-23%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	11.45	-6.4	-56%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-2.0 / 3.95 (-49%)	1.6 / 1.5 (104%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	11.5	0.3	3%	1.5 / 6 (25%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	0.3 / 4 (8%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	8	-3.8	-48%	-1.8 / 6 (-30%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	9.25	-9.3	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	8.5	-2.1	-25%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.6 / 8 (-20%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	13	2.0	16%	3.6 / 6 (59%)		-1.5 / 7 (-22%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	8.05	-0.4	-5%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	0.9 / 2.25 (41%)	-0.8 / 5.3 (-16%)
17th Nov '23	Bellator 301	1.2	-1.2	-100%			-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	7	3.1	44%	-1.3 / 3 (-43%)		4.4 / 4 (109%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	8.83	3.7	42%	0.9 / 4.5 (21%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	3.2 / 3.83 (84%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	10.27	4.6	44%		-1.0 / 3 (-33%)	5.6 / 7.27 (76%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	7.5	-7.5	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	7.5	0.5	7%	0.1 / 3.5 (2%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.4 / 2 (122%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	10.8	-6.3	-58%	-3.3 / 7.8 (-42%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	8.7	3.9	45%	0.8 / 3 (28%)		3.1 / 5.7 (54%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	4.3	-1.3	-31%	1.0 / 2 (48%)		-2.3 / 2.3 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	8.2	0.7	8%	-0.0 / 5 (-0%)		0.7 / 3.2 (22%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	4	0.6	16%		1.3 / 1 (125%)	-0.6 / 3 (-20%)

Winning Events: 13 (46%)
Losing Events: 15 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.03 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.00 units
Best Event: 6.23 units
Worst Event: -9.25 units
Average Event: -0.86 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.31
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -15.18

John Coke: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	107.6	-15.2	-14%	-4.6 / 44.25 (-10%)		-6.4 / 30 (-21%)	5 / 8 (38%)	-1.17
2023	117.1	-9.0	-8%	-3.2 / 39.8 (-8%)		4.9 / 52.8 (9%)	8 / 7 (53%)	-0.60

John Coke: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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John Coke: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	223.5	-23.0	-10%	-7.9 / 84.05 (-9%)	-14.8 / 57.85 (-26%)	-0.3 / 81.6 (-0%)
Bellator	1.2	-1.2	-100%			-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)

John Coke: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	4 (8%)	2	50 %	11.00	-3.54	-0.89	-32%
Slight Favorites	23 (43%)	14	61 %	46.50	-1.67	-0.07	-4%
Slight Underdogs	23 (43%)	9	39 %	24.80	-0.90	-0.04	-4%
Big Underdogs	3 (6%)	0	0 %	1.75	-1.75	-0.58	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (8%)	2	50 %	5.50	0.25	0.06	5%
Co-Main Event	6 (11%)	4	67 %	10.00	2.05	0.34	20%
Position 3-5	18 (34%)	9	50 %	26.70	2.86	0.16	11%
6+ (Undercard)	25 (47%)	10	40 %	41.85	-13.01	-0.52	-31%

John Coke: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (11%)	1	17 %	9.50	-6.54	-1.09	-69%
Light Heavy	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.15	1.15	115%
Middleweight	7 (13%)	4	57 %	11.95	4.41	0.63	37%
Welterweight	10 (19%)	6	60 %	19.50	-0.62	-0.06	-3%
Lightweight	6 (11%)	2	33 %	8.00	0.86	0.14	11%
Featherweight	6 (11%)	4	67 %	8.50	1.84	0.31	22%
Bantamweight	7 (13%)	2	29 %	14.80	-7.22	-1.03	-49%
Flyweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	4.00	-0.34	-0.11	-8%

Women's Fights	7 (13%)	3	43 %	6.80	-1.40	-0.20	-21%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)		0 %	0.30	-0.30	-0.30	-100%
Flyweight	3 (6%)	1	33 %	3.00	-1.65	-0.55	-55%
Strawweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	3.50	0.55	0.18	16%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	49 (80%)	34	69 %
Slight Favorites	12 (20%)	6	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	61	40	66 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	36 (38%)	27	75 %
50-65%	28 (30%)	11	39 %
35-50%	16 (17%)	5	31 %
<35% chance	14 (15%)	1	7 %
	94	44	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	40 (43%)	24	60 %	1.54	2.65	1.25	-1.9 (-5%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	11 (12%)	6	55 %	1.72	2.25	1.23	-1.0 (-9%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.36	1.36	1.36	0.4 (36%)
Does not go to Decision	6 (6%)	3	50 %	1.52	2.10	1.25	-1.7 (-28%)
Fight Starts Round X	6 (6%)	5	83 %	1.36	1.57	1.27	0.9 (14%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (2%)	2	100 %	1.31	1.35	1.27	0.6 (31%)
X Wins by KO	3 (3%)	1	33 %	2.53	5.00	1.57	-1.4 (-48%)
X Wins by Sub	10 (11%)	2	20 %	3.91	10.00	2.30	-4.1 (-41%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.95	1.95	1.95	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (5%)	0	0 %	2.73	4.75	1.74	-4.0 (-80%)
Others	9 (10%)	0	0 %	2.36	10.00	1.30	-7.0 (-78%)
	94	44	47 %	1.78			-20.3 (-22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail John Coke's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	4	0.6	16%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,006.36
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	8.2	0.7	8%		$10.06	$1,006.36	$1,013.11
9th Sep	UFC 293	4.3	-1.3	-31%		$10.13	$1,013.11	$999.54
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	8.7	3.9	45%		$10.00	$999.54	$1,038.95
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	10.8	-6.3	-58%		$10.39	$1,038.95	$973.49
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	7.5	0.5	7%		$9.73	$973.49	$978.60
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	7.5	-7.5	-100%		$9.79	$978.60	$905.21
21st Oct	UFC 294	10.27	4.6	44%		$9.05	$905.21	$946.44
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	8.83	3.7	42%		$9.46	$946.44	$981.18
11th Nov	UFC 295	7	3.1	44%		$9.81	$981.18	$1,011.47
17th Nov	Bellator 301	1.2	-1.2	-100%		$10.11	$1,011.47	$999.33
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	8.05	-0.4	-5%		$9.99	$999.33	$995.20
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	13	2.0	16%		$9.95	$995.20	$1,015.55
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	8.5	-2.1	-25%		$10.16	$1,015.55	$993.94
16th Dec	UFC 296	9.25	-9.3	-100%		$9.94	$993.94	$902.00
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	8	-3.8	-48%		$9.02	$902.00	$867.73
20th Jan	UFC 297	11.5	0.3	3%		$8.68	$867.73	$870.70
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	11.45	-6.4	-56%		$8.71	$870.70	$815.08
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	6.2	-3.0	-48%		$8.15	$815.08	$790.85
17th Feb	UFC 298	3.5	1.5	41%		$7.91	$790.85	$802.32
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	6.5	-0.2	-2%		$8.02	$802.32	$801.06
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	10	-6.6	-66%		$8.01	$801.06	$748.09
9th Mar	UFC 299	12.25	6.2	51%		$7.48	$748.09	$794.67
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	10	4.2	42%		$7.95	$794.67	$828.40
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	6.9	-4.4	-64%		$8.28	$828.40	$791.68
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	9.3	1.1	11%		$7.92	$791.68	$800.00
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	4.25	-1.3	-31%		$8.00	$800.00	$789.31
13th Apr	UFC 300	7.75	-2.8	-36%		$7.89	$789.31	$767.36

ROI % from starting bank balance: -23.26% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

John Coke: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.15	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
2.	Mar '24	Dennis Buzukja	Connor Matthews	1.86	0.5	TKO, R3 (0:22)
3.	Mar '24	Nursulton Ruziboev	Sedriques Dumas	1.55	3	TKO, R1 (3:18)
4.	Mar '24	Virna Jandiroba	Lupita Godinez	2.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	2.02	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
6.	Mar '24	Manon Fiorot	Erin Blanchfield	2.70	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Mar '24	Christian Rodriguez	Isaac Dulgarian	2.60	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Michael Page	Kevin Holland	2.12	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Jack Della Maddalena	Gilbert Burns	1.80	1	TKO, R3 (3:43)
10.	Feb '24	Luis Rodriguez	Denys Bondar	1.95	1	Sub, R2 (4:59)
11.	Feb '24	Amanda Lemos	Mackenzie Dern	1.77	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Feb '24	Dan Ige	Andre Fili	1.61	2	TKO, R1 (2:43)
13.	Jan '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Sean Strickland	2.20	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)
14.	Jan '24	Chris Curtis	Marc-Andre Barriault	1.56	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jan '24	Brunno Ferreira	Phil Hawes	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (4:55)
16.	Dec '23	Drakkar Klose	Joe Solecki	1.71	2	TKO, R1 (1:41)
17.	Dec '23	Deiveson Figueiredo	Rob Font	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Dec '23	Sean Brady	Kelvin Gastelum	1.77	2	Sub, R3 (1:43)
19.	Nov '23	Steve Erceg	Alessandro Costa	1.71	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '23	Marc Diakiese	Kaue Fernandes	1.81	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	3.10	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.83	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '24	Mohammed Usman	Michael Parkin	2.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '24	Montserrat Rendon	Dariya Zheleznyakova	2.80	0.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.73	2	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
6.	Mar '24	Bryan Barberena	Gerald Meerschaert	3.03	0.25	Sub, R2 (4:23)	No
7.	Mar '24	Katlyn Chookagian	Maycee Barber	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '24	Bernardo Sopai	Vinicius de Oliveira	2.15	1.5	TKO, R3 (4:41)	No
9.	Mar '24	Shamil Gaziev	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.69	1	TKO, R4 (5:0)	No
10.	Feb '24	Christian Quinonez	Raoni Barcelos	2.50	0.5	Sub, R3 (2:4)	No
11.	Feb '24	Geoff Neal	Ian Garry	2.85	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Feb '24	Roman Kopylov	Anthony Hernandez	2.80	0.5	Sub, R2 (3:23)	No
13.	Feb '24	Robert Bryczek	Ihor Potieria	1.62	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Feb '24	Gilbert Urbina	Charlie Radtke	1.48	4	TKO, R1 (4:47)	No
15.	Feb '24	Azat Maksum	Charles Johnson	1.52	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jan '24	Brad Katona	Garrett Armfield	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jan '24	Matt Semelsberger	Preston Parsons	1.77	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Dec '23	Martin Buday	Shamil Gaziev	1.60	2	TKO, R2 (0:56)	No
19.	Dec '23	Kenan Song	Kevin Jousset	2.35	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Dec '23	Bobby Green	Jalin Turner	2.55	1	TKO, R1 (2:49)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

John Coke: Progress Chart

Chart

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