MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Deluded MMA

Deluded MMA (DeludedMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - Deluded MMA

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	11 (29%)	Right	5 (50%)	Right	2 (10%)	Right	4 (50%)
Wrong	27 (71%)	Wrong	5 (50%)	Wrong	18 (90%)	Wrong	4 (50%)
Avg Odds	3.09	Avg Odds	2.21	Avg Odds	4.77	Avg Odds	2.23
Units Bet	31.6	Units Bet	13.2	Units Bet	9.8	Units Bet	8.6
Avg Bet	0.83	Avg Bet	1.32	Avg Bet	0.49	Avg Bet	1.08
Units Profit	-7.12	Units Profit	-1.38	Units Profit	-5.31	Units Profit	-0.43
ROI %	-23%	ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-54%	ROI %	-5%

Deluded MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	14	-6.4	-45%		-3.7 / 7.5 (-49%)	-2.7 / 6.5 (-41%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	12.8	-1.7	-13%	-1.5 / 8.2 (-18%)	-1.6 / 2.8 (-57%)	1.4 / 1.8 (79%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	1.3	1.8	137%	1.0 / 1 (98%)		0.8 / 0.3 (269%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	2	1.1	57%	1.1 / 2 (57%)

Winning Events: 2 (40%)
Losing Events: 3 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.42 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.00 units
Best Event: 1.79 units
Worst Event: -6.37 units
Average Event: -1.42 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 2.93
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -10.05

Deluded MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	28.8	-10.1	-35%	-3.5 / 10.2 (-34%)		-1.2 / 8.3 (-15%)	/ 3 (0%)	-3.35
2023	3.3	2.9	89%	2.1 / 3 (71%)		0.8 / 0.3 (269%)	2 / (100%)	1.46

Deluded MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Deluded MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	30.1	-8.3	-27%	-2.5 / 11.2 (-23%)	-5.3 / 10.3 (-52%)	-0.4 / 8.6 (-5%)
Other	2	1.1	57%	1.1 / 2 (57%)

Deluded MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	4 (36%)	3	75 %	6.10	1.72	0.43	28%
Slight Underdogs	5 (45%)	2	40 %	4.10	-0.11	-0.02	-3%
Big Underdogs	2 (18%)	0	0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (9%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.98	0.98	98%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	4 (36%)	2	50 %	6.50	-0.66	-0.16	-10%
6+ (Undercard)	6 (55%)	2	33 %	5.70	-1.71	-0.28	-30%

Deluded MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (9%)		0 %	1.60	-1.60	-1.60	-100%
Light Heavy	1 (9%)	1	100 %	0.80	0.91	0.91	114%
Welterweight	2 (18%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.02	-0.01	-1%
Lightweight	1 (9%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Bantamweight	4 (36%)	2	50 %	5.00	0.84	0.21	17%

Women's Fights	2 (18%)	1	50 %	1.80	0.48	0.24	27%
Flyweight	2 (18%)	1	50 %	1.80	0.48	0.24	27%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	7 (88%)	5	71 %
Slight Favorites	1 (13%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	8	6	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	8 (24%)	5	63 %
50-65%	3 (9%)	2	67 %
35-50%	4 (12%)	2	50 %
<35% chance	18 (55%)	0	0 %
	33	9	27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (12%)	4	100 %	1.48	2.00	1.30	2.1 (52%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (6%)	1	50 %	1.43	1.65	1.27	-0.4 (-18%)
X Wins by KO	1 (3%)	0	0 %	2.10	2.10	2.10	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (15%)	2	40 %	2.77	5.50	1.57	-1.0 (-21%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (6%)	0	0 %	10.29	12.00	9.00	0.0 (0%)
Others	19 (58%)	2	11 %	3.51	19.00	1.18	-16.2 (-85%)
	33	9	27 %	2.75			-16.5 (-50%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Deluded MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	2	1.1	57%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,011.43
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	1.3	1.8	137%	$5	$10.11	$1,011.43	$1,024.49
9th Mar	UFC 299	12.8	-1.7	-13%		$10.24	$1,024.49	$1,007.24
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	14	-6.4	-45%		$10.07	$1,007.24	$943.10
13th Apr	UFC 300	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.43	$943.10	$924.23

ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Deluded MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '24	Joanne Wood	Maryna Moroz	2.85	0.8	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '24	Philipe Lins	Ion Cutelaba	2.14	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.80	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '23	Vicente Luque	Rafael dos Anjos	1.98	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Aug '23	Payton Talbott	Reyes Cortez	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.90	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.85	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '24	Katlyn Chookagian	Maycee Barber	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.91	1.6	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
6.	Mar '24	Gilbert Burns	Jack Della Maddalena	2.36	1	TKO, R3 (3:43)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Deluded MMA: Progress Chart

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