MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Kershy UFC

Kershy UFC (KershyUFC)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	47 (43%)	Right	20 (47%)	Right	17 (38%)	Right	10 (48%)
Wrong	62 (57%)	Wrong	23 (53%)	Wrong	28 (62%)	Wrong	11 (52%)
Avg Odds	2.27	Avg Odds	2.14	Avg Odds	2.49	Avg Odds	2.15
Units Bet	134.1	Units Bet	64.3	Units Bet	42.5	Units Bet	27.4
Avg Bet	1.23	Avg Bet	1.49	Avg Bet	0.94	Avg Bet	1.30
Units Profit	-8.58	Units Profit	-9.23	Units Profit	-2.87	Units Profit	3.52
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-14%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	13%

Kershy UFC: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.25	-1.7	-52%	0.3 / 1 (30%)	0.0 / 0.25 (0%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 167	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	6.25	0.2	3%	-0.1 / 1.5 (-3%)	-0.8 / 1.5 (-50%)	1.0 / 3.25 (30%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	8.75	-3.3	-38%	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	-0.3 / 3.5 (-10%)	-0.2 / 2.5 (-8%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	7	1.1	15%	-1.0 / 4 (-24%)	0.4 / 1 (44%)	1.6 / 2 (79%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	3.25	0.2	5%	0.9 / 1.75 (53%)	-0.8 / 1.5 (-50%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	3.5	2.0	56%	1.3 / 0.75 (170%)	1.7 / 1.75 (97%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	8.5	-4.0	-47%	-2.5 / 7 (-36%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	11.11	4.0	36%	0.5 / 6.21 (7%)	3.6 / 4.9 (72%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	11	-2.6	-24%	2.2 / 4 (55%)	-4.8 / 7 (-69%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	7.75	0.5	7%	0.4 / 3 (13%)	0.1 / 4.75 (3%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	5.6	-3.4	-62%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.9 / 4.1 (-48%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	5.02	1.5	30%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		3.0 / 3.52 (86%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	11.35	-0.3	-3%	-1.7 / 4.4 (-39%)	0.5 / 1.95 (26%)	0.9 / 5 (17%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	5	4.9	99%	1.8 / 2 (88%)		3.2 / 3 (105%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	2.4	-2.4	-100%	-2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	14	-5.6	-40%	-3.6 / 12 (-30%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	7.8	3.6	46%		2.4 / 6.8 (35%)	1.2 / 1 (122%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	1.25	1.0	80%		1.0 / 1.25 (80%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	6.25	1.0	17%	2.0 / 3.5 (59%)	-1.0 / 2.75 (-36%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	4.61	-1.3	-27%	1.4 / 2 (68%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.1 / 1.11 (-100%)

Winning Events: 11 (50%)
Losing Events: 11 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.26 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.00 units
Best Event: 4.93 units
Worst Event: -5.57 units
Average Event: -0.39 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.65
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -10.97

Kershy UFC: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	33	-2.6	-8%	-1.3 / 11.75 (-11%)		-0.6 / 10.75 (-6%)	4 / 3 (57%)	-0.37
2023	104.64	-6.0	-6%	-8.0 / 52.51 (-15%)		4.1 / 16.63 (25%)	7 / 8 (47%)	-0.40

Kershy UFC: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Kershy UFC: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	125.38	-1.9	-2%	-5.2 / 56.86 (-9%)	-1.4 / 42.25 (-3%)	4.6 / 26.27 (18%)
Other	12.26	-6.7	-54%	-4.0 / 7.4 (-55%)	-1.5 / 3.75 (-40%)	-1.1 / 1.11 (-100%)

Kershy UFC: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (5%)	1	50 %	7.00	-4.00	-2.00	-57%
Slight Favorites	15 (35%)	8	53 %	32.01	-3.46	-0.23	-11%
Slight Underdogs	19 (44%)	9	47 %	20.75	-1.87	-0.10	-9%
Big Underdogs	7 (16%)	2	29 %	4.50	0.10	0.01	2%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (7%)	1	33 %	6.25	-3.58	-1.19	-57%
Co-Main Event	7 (16%)	2	29 %	12.90	-7.20	-1.03	-56%
Position 3-5	9 (21%)	6	67 %	19.11	3.44	0.38	18%
6+ (Undercard)	24 (56%)	11	46 %	26.00	-1.89	-0.08	-7%

Kershy UFC: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (14%)	2	33 %	9.00	-3.35	-0.56	-37%
Light Heavy	1 (2%)		0 %	2.40	-2.40	-2.40	-100%
Middleweight	3 (7%)		0 %	6.60	-6.60	-2.20	-100%
Welterweight	7 (16%)	3	43 %	16.75	-7.99	-1.14	-48%
Lightweight	4 (9%)	3	75 %	5.50	4.77	1.19	87%
Featherweight	7 (16%)	5	71 %	8.75	3.85	0.55	44%
Bantamweight	4 (9%)	1	25 %	4.25	-0.40	-0.10	-9%
Flyweight	6 (14%)	4	67 %	6.51	2.39	0.40	37%

Women's Fights	5 (12%)	2	40 %	4.50	0.49	0.10	11%
Flyweight	4 (9%)	2	50 %	3.50	1.49	0.37	43%
Strawweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	22 (81%)	16	73 %
Slight Favorites	5 (19%)	4	80 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	27	20	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	19 (26%)	15	79 %
50-65%	21 (29%)	11	52 %
35-50%	15 (21%)	5	33 %
<35% chance	18 (25%)	3	17 %
	73	34	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (10%)	5	71 %	1.51	2.08	1.15	0.1 (2%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (7%)	3	60 %	1.55	2.00	1.22	-0.1 (-2%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.95	1.95	1.95	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (7%)	4	80 %	1.34	1.48	1.15	0.3 (6%)
Fight Starts Round X	7 (10%)	6	86 %	1.24	1.36	1.18	0.5 (7%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.18	1.18	1.18	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	2 (3%)	0	0 %	4.80	6.50	3.80	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	7 (10%)	0	0 %	3.14	7.00	1.91	-6.0 (-86%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (5%)	4	100 %	2.56	3.30	1.87	6.8 (170%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (8%)	1	17 %	2.30	3.10	1.67	-3.5 (-58%)
X Wins in Round X	6 (8%)	1	17 %	5.80	17.00	2.25	-3.7 (-62%)
Others	22 (30%)	10	45 %	2.10	12.00	1.20	10.0 (46%)
	73	34	47 %	1.98			0.5 (1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Kershy UFC's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	4.61	-1.3	-27%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$987.41
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	6.25	1.0	17%		$9.87	$987.41	$997.78
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	1.25	1.0	80%		$9.98	$997.78	$1,007.76
19th Aug	UFC 292	7.8	3.6	46%		$10.08	$1,007.76	$1,044.01
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.44	$1,044.01	$1,012.69
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	14	-5.6	-40%		$10.13	$1,012.69	$956.31
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	2.4	-2.4	-100%		$9.56	$956.31	$933.36
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	5	4.9	99%		$9.33	$933.36	$979.42
9th Sep	UFC 293	11.35	-0.3	-3%		$9.79	$979.42	$976.06
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	5.02	1.5	30%		$9.76	$976.06	$990.81
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	5.6	-3.4	-62%		$9.91	$990.81	$956.63
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	7.75	0.5	7%		$9.57	$956.63	$961.69
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	11	-2.6	-24%		$9.62	$961.69	$936.71
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	11.11	4.0	36%		$9.37	$936.71	$974.18
16th Dec	UFC 296	8.5	-4.0	-47%		$9.74	$974.18	$935.21
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	3.5	2.0	56%		$9.35	$935.21	$953.69
17th Feb	UFC 298	3.25	0.2	5%		$9.54	$953.69	$955.36
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	7	1.1	15%		$9.55	$955.36	$965.55
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	8.75	-3.3	-38%		$9.66	$965.55	$933.74
9th Mar	UFC 299	6.25	0.2	3%		$9.34	$933.74	$935.49
15th Mar	Cage Warriors 167	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.35	$935.49	$926.13
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.25	-1.7	-52%		$9.26	$926.13	$910.39

ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.96% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Kershy UFC: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.60	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '24	Joanne Wood	Maryna Moroz	2.90	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '24	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Mateus Mendonca	2.05	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Feb '24	Luis Rodriguez	Denys Bondar	2.00	0.75	Sub, R2 (4:59)
5.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.14	1.25	TKO, R2 (3:32)
6.	Feb '24	Max Griffin	Jeremiah Wells	2.70	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '23	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Stephen Thompson	1.80	2.5	Sub, R2 (4:56)
8.	Dec '23	Tim Elliott	Su Mudaerji	1.75	2.01	Sub, R1 (4:2)
9.	Dec '23	Steve Garcia	Melquizael Costa	3.15	1	TKO, R2 (1:1)
10.	Oct '23	Viviane Araujo	Jennifer Maia	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Oct '23	Jonathan Martinez	Adrian Yanez	1.93	2	TKO, R2 (2:26)
12.	Oct '23	Bill Algeo	Alexander Hernandez	1.69	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Sep '23	Jose Mariscal	Jack Jenkins	2.70	1	TKO, R2 (3:19)
14.	Sep '23	Benoit Saint-Denis	Thiago Moises	1.88	2	TKO, R2 (4:44)
15.	Aug '23	Billy Goff	Yusaku Kinoshita	2.24	1	TKO, R1 (3:49)
16.	Aug '23	Junior Tafa	Parker Porter	1.77	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:24)
17.	Aug '23	Erin Blanchfield	Taila Santos	1.77	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '23	Tom Nolan	Bogdan Grad	1.68	2	TKO, R1 (1:23)
19.	Aug '23	Martin Buday	Josh Parisian	1.50	2	Sub, R1 (4:11)
20.	Aug '23	Isaac Dulgarian	Francis Marshall	2.55	1	TKO, R1 (4:48)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '24	Natan Levy	Mike Davis	3.40	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:43)	No
2.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.95	1	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
3.	Mar '24	Bernardo Sopai	Vinicius de Oliveira	2.14	0.75	TKO, R3 (4:41)	No
4.	Mar '24	Shamil Gaziev	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.61	2	TKO, R4 (5:0)	No
5.	Feb '24	Victor Altamirano	Felipe Dos Santos	3.40	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '24	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	1.61	2	Sub, R3 (0:58)	No
7.	Feb '24	Andrea Lee	Miranda Maverick	2.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '23	Cody Durden	Tagir Ulanbekov	2.45	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:25)	No
9.	Dec '23	Colby Covington	Leon Edwards	2.40	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '23	Jun Yong Park	Andre Muniz	1.63	3.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Oct '23	Cameron Saaiman	Christian Rodriguez	2.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Oct '23	Diana Belbita	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	2.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Sep '23	Jake Collier	Mohammed Usman	2.20	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Sep '23	Kevin Holland	Jack Della Maddalena	2.30	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Sep '23	Tai Tuivasa	Alexander Volkov	2.96	1	Sub, R2 (4:37)	Yes
16.	Sep '23	Anton Turkalj	Tyson Pedro	1.98	2.4	TKO, R1 (2:12)	No
17.	Aug '23	Yousri Belgaroui	Marco Tulio Silva	1.83	2.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Aug '23	Jarno Errens	Seung Woo Choi	2.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Aug '23	Kaik Brito	Oban Elliott	1.57	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '23	Rolando Bedoya	Kenan Song	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Kershy UFC: Progress Chart

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