MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Erickw

Erickw (erickw)

MMA MHandicapper - Erickw

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	40 (73%)	Right	38 (76%)	Right	1 (50%)	Right	1 (33%)
Wrong	15 (27%)	Wrong	12 (24%)	Wrong	1 (50%)	Wrong	2 (67%)
Avg Odds	1.54	Avg Odds	1.53	Avg Odds	1.75	Avg Odds	1.71
Units Bet	173.0	Units Bet	154.0	Units Bet	6.0	Units Bet	13.0
Avg Bet	3.15	Avg Bet	3.08	Avg Bet	3.00	Avg Bet	4.33
Units Profit	28.96	Units Profit	36.42	Units Profit	-2.58	Units Profit	-4.87
ROI %	17%	ROI %	24%	ROI %	-43%	ROI %	-37%

Erickw : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	8	-2.3	-29%	2.7 / 3 (90%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Apr '24	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	5	3.1	62%	3.1 / 5 (62%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	3	2.4	80%	2.4 / 3 (80%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6	0.0	0%	0.0 / 6 (0%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	10	9.0	90%	9.0 / 10 (90%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	5	2.0	40%	2.0 / 5 (40%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	4	1.6	40%	1.6 / 4 (40%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	3	1.1	36%	1.1 / 3 (36%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	9	7.1	79%	4.0 / 4 (100%)		3.1 / 5 (63%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	5	5.3	105%	5.3 / 5 (105%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	9	-4.3	-48%	-4.3 / 9 (-48%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	6	1.6	27%	1.2 / 3 (40%)	0.4 / 3 (14%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	4	2.0	50%	2.0 / 4 (50%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	3	1.3	44%	1.3 / 3 (44%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	5	2.9	57%	2.9 / 5 (57%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	6	2.7	45%	2.7 / 6 (45%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	3	1.2	40%	1.2 / 3 (40%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	3	1.1	36%	1.1 / 3 (36%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	3	1.3	45%	1.3 / 3 (45%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	11	-0.3	-2%	-0.3 / 11 (-2%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	8	3.7	46%	3.7 / 8 (46%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	6	-1.3	-22%	1.7 / 3 (56%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	6	2.6	43%	2.6 / 6 (43%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	9	-1.6	-18%	-1.6 / 9 (-18%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	9	3.6	39%	3.6 / 9 (39%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	2	-0.5	-26%	-0.5 / 2 (-26%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	4	1.8	44%	1.8 / 4 (44%)

Winning Events: 20 (65%)
Losing Events: 11 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.00 units
Best Event: 9.00 units
Worst Event: -5.00 units
Average Event: 1.06 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 17.06
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.29

Erickw : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	84	15.6	19%	20.0 / 68 (29%)		-4.9 / 13 (-37%)	9 / 6 (60%)	1.04
2023	85	17.4	20%	20.4 / 82 (25%)			11 / 5 (69%)	1.09

Erickw : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Erickw : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	146	17.6	12%	28.2 / 132 (21%)	-2.6 / 6 (-43%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
PFL	23	15.3	67%	12.2 / 18 (68%)		3.1 / 5 (63%)

Erickw : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	29 (57%)	22	76 %	85.00	3.39	0.12	4%
Slight Favorites	17 (33%)	11	65 %	53.00	15.78	0.93	30%
Slight Underdogs	4 (8%)	4	100 %	15.00	15.25	3.81	102%
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	2.00	2.00	200%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (18%)	8	89 %	34.00	14.45	1.61	43%
Co-Main Event	9 (18%)	5	56 %	23.00	4.12	0.46	18%
Position 3-5	17 (33%)	14	82 %	55.00	14.55	0.86	26%
6+ (Undercard)	16 (31%)	11	69 %	42.00	3.30	0.21	8%

Erickw : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (10%)	4	80 %	15.00	5.28	1.06	35%
Light Heavy	7 (14%)	4	57 %	19.00	-0.60	-0.09	-3%
Middleweight	4 (8%)	4	100 %	8.00	3.47	0.87	43%
Welterweight	5 (10%)	4	80 %	13.00	5.84	1.17	45%
Lightweight	6 (12%)	4	67 %	22.00	1.73	0.29	8%
Featherweight	9 (18%)	6	67 %	27.00	6.45	0.72	24%
Bantamweight	8 (16%)	8	100 %	26.00	17.45	2.18	67%
Flyweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	10.00	-0.20	-0.07	-2%

Women's Fights	4 (8%)	2	50 %	14.00	-3.00	-0.75	-21%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	3.00	1.50	1.50	50%
Strawweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	8.00	-1.50	-0.75	-19%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	5 (100%)	4	80 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	5	4	80 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (67%)	1	50 %
50-65%	1 (33%)	0	0 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	3	1	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (67%)	1	50 %	1.53	1.85	1.30	-0.7 (-35%)
Others	1 (33%)	0	0 %	1.30	1.30	1.30	-1.0 (-100%)
	3	1	33 %	1.44			-1.7 (-57%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Erickw 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	4	1.8	44%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,017.70
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	2	-0.5	-26%		$10.18	$1,017.70	$1,012.41
19th Aug	UFC 292	9	3.6	39%		$10.12	$1,012.41	$1,048.35
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	9	-1.6	-18%		$10.48	$1,048.35	$1,031.78
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	6	2.6	43%		$10.32	$1,031.78	$1,058.40
9th Sep	UFC 293	6	-1.3	-22%		$10.58	$1,058.40	$1,044.43
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	8	3.7	46%		$10.44	$1,044.43	$1,082.66
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	11	-0.3	-2%		$10.83	$1,082.66	$1,079.84
21st Oct	UFC 294	3	1.3	45%		$10.80	$1,079.84	$1,094.42
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	3	1.1	36%		$10.94	$1,094.42	$1,106.24
11th Nov	UFC 295	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.06	$1,106.24	$1,073.06
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	3	1.2	40%		$10.73	$1,073.06	$1,085.93
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	6	2.7	45%		$10.86	$1,085.93	$1,115.25
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	5	2.9	57%		$11.15	$1,115.25	$1,147.04
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	3	1.3	44%		$11.47	$1,147.04	$1,162.18
16th Dec	UFC 296	4	2.0	50%		$11.62	$1,162.18	$1,185.42
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	6	1.6	27%		$11.85	$1,185.42	$1,204.62
20th Jan	UFC 297	9	-4.3	-48%		$12.05	$1,204.62	$1,152.95
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.53	$1,152.95	$1,118.36
17th Feb	UFC 298	5	5.3	105%		$11.18	$1,118.36	$1,177.07
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	9	7.1	79%		$11.77	$1,177.07	$1,260.94
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	3	1.1	36%		$12.61	$1,260.94	$1,274.56
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	4	1.6	40%		$12.75	$1,274.56	$1,294.95
9th Mar	UFC 299	5	2.0	40%		$12.95	$1,294.95	$1,320.85
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	5	-5.0	-100%		$13.21	$1,320.85	$1,254.81
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	10	9.0	90%		$12.55	$1,254.81	$1,367.74
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6	0.0	0%		$13.68	$1,367.74	$1,367.74
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	3	2.4	80%		$13.68	$1,367.74	$1,400.56
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	3	-3.0	-100%		$14.01	$1,400.56	$1,358.54
12th Apr	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	5	3.1	62%		$13.59	$1,358.54	$1,400.66
13th Apr	UFC 300	8	-2.3	-29%		$14.01	$1,400.66	$1,368.44

ROI % from starting bank balance: 36.84% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Erickw : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Rob Wilkinson	Tom Breese	1.62	5	TKO, R1 (1:10)
2.	Apr '24	Valentin Moldavsky	Ante Delija	1.80	3	TKO, R1 (2:17)
3.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	2.00	3	TKO, R2 (3:17)
4.	Mar '24	Payton Talbott	Cameron Saaiman	1.90	10	TKO, R2 (0:21)
5.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	2.00	4	TKO, R1 (0:21)
6.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.90	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '24	Mateusz Gamrot	Rafael dos Anjos	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Muhammad Mokaev	Alex Perez	1.40	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Feb '24	Muhammadjon Naimov	Erik Silva	1.36	3	TKO, R1 (0:44)
10.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.05	5	TKO, R2 (3:32)
11.	Jan '24	Chris Curtis	Marc-Andre Barriault	1.57	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jan '24	Joshua Van	Felipe Bunes	1.40	3	TKO, R2 (4:31)
13.	Dec '23	Cody Garbrandt	Brian Kelleher	1.50	4	TKO, R1 (3:42)
14.	Dec '23	Khalil Rountree	Anthony Smith	1.44	3	TKO, R3 (0:56)
15.	Nov '23	Impa Kasanganay	Joshua Silveira	1.50	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Dec '23	Arman Tsarukyan	Beneil Dariush	1.57	5	TKO, R1 (1:4)
17.	Nov '23	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	Clay Collard	1.40	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Nov '23	Michael Morales	Jake Matthews	1.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '23	Caio Borralho	Abusupiyan Magomedov	1.36	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Oct '23	Said Nurmagomedov	Muin Gafurov	1.45	3	Sub, R1 (1:13)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Caio Machado (2)	Don'tale Mayes	1.90	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '24	Bill Algeo	Kyle Nelson	1.55	3	TKO, R1 (4:0)	No
3.	Mar '24	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Ovince St Preux	1.22	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '24	Azat Maksum	Charles Johnson	1.53	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jan '24	Charles Jourdain	Sean Woodson	1.52	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jan '24	Mayra Bueno Silva	Raquel Pennington	1.60	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '23	Mackenzie Dern	Jessica Andrade	1.50	3	TKO, R2 (3:15)	No
8.	Oct '23	Grant Dawson	Bobby Green	1.30	5	TKO, R1 (0:33)	No
9.	Aug '23	Ryan Spann	Anthony Smith	1.83	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Aug '23	Rolando Bedoya	Kenan Song	1.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Aug '23	Ryan Spann	Anthony Smith	1.67	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '23	Austin Hubbard	Kurt Holobaugh	1.58	1	Sub, R2 (2:39)	No
13.	Aug '23	Hakeem Dawodu	Cub Swanson	1.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Erickw : Progress Chart

Chart

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