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MMA Handicapper Stats: Alpha Lesko

Alpha Lesko (AlphaLesko)

MMA MHandicapper - Alpha Lesko

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	11 (34%)	Right	6 (38%)	Right	5 (31%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	21 (66%)	Wrong	10 (63%)	Wrong	11 (69%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.34	Avg Odds	2.31	Avg Odds	2.37	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	32.4	Units Bet	22.6	Units Bet	9.8	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	1.01	Avg Bet	1.41	Avg Bet	0.61	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	-9.85	Units Profit	-6.67	Units Profit	-3.18	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	-30%	ROI %	-30%	ROI %	-32%	ROI %	nan%

Alpha Lesko: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	7	0.8	11%	0.8 / 7 (11%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	6.3	-6.3	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	1	-1.0	-100%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	8.85	-6.4	-72%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-3.4 / 5.85 (-58%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	1.85	0.0	2%	-0.3 / 1.3 (-25%)	0.4 / 0.55 (66%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	4.85	1.1	23%	-0.3 / 3 (-10%)	1.4 / 1.85 (77%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	2.5	1.9	77%	1.9 / 2.5 (77%)

Winning Events: 4 (57%)
Losing Events: 3 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.62 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.85 units
Best Event: 1.92 units
Worst Event: -6.41 units
Average Event: -1.41 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 3.07
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -13.71

Alpha Lesko: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	32.35	-9.9	-30%	-6.7 / 22.55 (-30%)			4 / 3 (57%)	-1.41

Alpha Lesko: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Alpha Lesko: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	29.5	-8.9	-30%	-5.6 / 20.5 (-27%)	-3.3 / 9 (-37%)
Other	2.85	-1.0	-34%	-1.1 / 2.05 (-53%)	0.1 / 0.8 (14%)

Alpha Lesko: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (5%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.02	1.02	51%
Slight Favorites	3 (15%)	2	67 %	4.00	1.49	0.50	37%
Slight Underdogs	15 (75%)	3	20 %	16.25	-9.85	-0.66	-61%
Big Underdogs	1 (5%)	1	100 %	0.30	0.67	0.67	223%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (5%)	1	100 %	0.30	0.67	0.67	223%
Co-Main Event	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.30	1.30	130%
Position 3-5	10 (50%)	1	10 %	10.75	-9.35	-0.93	-87%
6+ (Undercard)	8 (40%)	4	50 %	10.50	0.71	0.09	7%

Alpha Lesko: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (15%)	3	100 %	3.50	3.39	1.13	97%
Light Heavy	3 (15%)	1	33 %	3.00	-0.70	-0.23	-23%
Middleweight	3 (15%)	2	67 %	3.30	0.69	0.23	21%
Featherweight	2 (10%)		0 %	1.75	-1.75	-0.88	-100%
Bantamweight	4 (20%)		0 %	3.50	-3.50	-0.88	-100%
Flyweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.70	1.70	170%

Women's Fights	4 (20%)		0 %	6.50	-6.50	-1.63	-100%
Flyweight	4 (20%)		0 %	6.50	-6.50	-1.63	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	8 (50%)	4	50 %
35-50%	3 (19%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	5 (31%)	1	20 %
	16	5	31 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (38%)	3	50 %	1.72	1.80	1.57	-1.1 (-18%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (6%)	0	0 %	1.86	1.86	1.86	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (13%)	0	0 %	7.47	8.00	7.00	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (19%)	1	33 %	3.13	4.25	2.50	0.1 (3%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (6%)	0	0 %	2.10	2.10	2.10	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.73	1.73	1.73	0.7 (73%)
Others	2 (13%)	0	0 %	4.72	15.00	2.80	-2.0 (-100%)
	16	5	31 %	2.37			-6.2 (-39%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Alpha Lesko's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
29th Jul	UFC 291	2.5	1.9	77%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,019.20
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	4.85	1.1	23%	$100	$10.19	$1,019.20	$930.62
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	1.85	0.0	2%	$100	$9.31	$930.62	$830.91
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	8.85	-6.4	-72%	$100	$8.31	$830.91	$677.61
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	1	-1.0	-100%	$100	$6.78	$677.61	$570.83
19th Aug	UFC 292	6.3	-6.3	-100%	$100	$5.71	$570.83	$434.87
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	7	0.8	11%	$100	$4.35	$434.87	$338.31

ROI % from starting bank balance: -66.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Alpha Lesko: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '23	Junior Tafa	Parker Porter	1.83	0.75	TKO, R1 (1:24)
2.	Aug '23	Junior Tafa	Parker Porter	1.83	2.25	TKO, R1 (1:24)
3.	Aug '23	Anthony Smith	Ryan Spann	2.30	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '23	César Almeida	Lucas Fernando	3.23	0.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Aug '23	Cody Durden	Jake Hadley	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '23	Roman Kopylov	Claudio Ribeiro	1.51	2	TKO, R2 (0:33)
7.	Jul '23	Derrick Lewis	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	2.80	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:33)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '23	Maryna Moroz	Karine Silva	2.40	1	Sub, R1 (4:59)	No
2.	Aug '23	Pedro Munhoz	Marlon Vera	2.65	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Aug '23	Emrah Sonmez	Hyder Amil	2.55	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '23	Taila Santos	Erin Blanchfield	2.21	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Aug '23	Maryna Moroz	Karine Silva	2.45	1.5	Sub, R1 (4:59)	No
6.	Aug '23	Pedro Munhoz	Marlon Vera	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '23	Juliana Miller	Luana Santos	2.40	1	TKO, R1 (3:41)	No
8.	Aug '23	Reyes Cortez	Payton Talbott	2.31	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Aug '23	Reyes Cortez	Payton Talbott	2.32	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Aug '23	Tafon Nchukwi	AJ Dobson	1.71	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Aug '23	Chris Daukaus	Khalil Rountree	2.75	1	TKO, R1 (2:40)	No
12.	Aug '23	Dennis Buzukja	Sean Woodson	2.58	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '23	Aleksa Camur	Tanner Boser	2.37	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Alpha Lesko: Progress Chart

Chart

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