MMA Handicapper Stats: Fight Equity |
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Fight Equity : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 7 (54%) Losing Events: 6 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 3.20 units Most Staked On One Event: 6.10 units Best Event: 3.00 units Worst Event: -6.10 units Average Event: -0.14 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 4.25 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.47 |
Fight Equity : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
2.9 |
-2.9 |
-100% |
-2.9 / 2.9 (-100%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-2.90 |
2023 |
38.65 |
1.0 |
3% |
4.5 / 35.15 (13%) |
|
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
7 / 5 (58%) |
0.09 |
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Fight Equity : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Fight Equity : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
35.85 |
-2.9 |
-8% |
-0.4 / 33.35 (-1%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
Bellator |
1 |
1.1 |
105% |
1.1 / 1 (105%) |
|
|
PFL |
4.2 |
-0.7 |
-16% |
0.3 / 3.2 (10%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
Other |
0.5 |
0.7 |
130% |
0.7 / 0.5 (130%) |
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Fight Equity : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.54 |
1.54 |
51% |
Slight Favorites |
12 (43%) |
7 |
58 % |
20.55 |
-2.25 |
-0.19 |
-11% |
Slight Underdogs |
9 (32%) |
6 |
67 % |
9.00 |
2.73 |
0.30 |
30% |
Big Underdogs |
6 (21%) |
2 |
33 % |
5.50 |
-0.37 |
-0.06 |
-7% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
5 (18%) |
2 |
40 % |
9.80 |
-5.33 |
-1.07 |
-54% |
Co-Main Event |
4 (14%) |
2 |
50 % |
6.80 |
1.70 |
0.43 |
25% |
Position 3-5 |
9 (32%) |
6 |
67 % |
12.25 |
4.34 |
0.48 |
35% |
6+ (Undercard) |
10 (36%) |
6 |
60 % |
9.20 |
0.94 |
0.09 |
10% |
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Fight Equity : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.30 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
87% |
Light Heavy |
2 (7%) |
2 |
100 % |
3.30 |
3.24 |
1.62 |
98% |
Middleweight |
2 (7%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.90 |
-0.90 |
-0.45 |
-23% |
Welterweight |
3 (11%) |
3 |
100 % |
4.45 |
3.00 |
1.00 |
67% |
Lightweight |
5 (18%) |
2 |
40 % |
4.30 |
0.13 |
0.03 |
3% |
Featherweight |
7 (25%) |
3 |
43 % |
12.30 |
-5.68 |
-0.81 |
-46% |
Bantamweight |
4 (14%) |
2 |
50 % |
3.50 |
0.80 |
0.20 |
23% |
Flyweight |
3 (11%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.50 |
-1.59 |
-0.53 |
-45% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.65 |
0.65 |
130% |
Strawweight |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.65 |
0.65 |
130% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
7 (100%) |
3 |
43 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
7 |
3 |
43 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
2 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
2 |
0 |
0 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Others |
2 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
7.50 |
7.50 |
7.50 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
|
2 |
0 |
0 % |
7.50 |
|
|
-2.0 (-100%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Fight Equity 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
4 |
0.5 |
13% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,005.38 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
2 |
2.2 |
110% |
|
$10.05 |
$1,005.38 |
$1,027.50 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
2.5 |
-0.4 |
-15% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,027.50 |
$1,023.65 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
6.1 |
-6.1 |
-100% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.65 |
$961.21 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
4.6 |
2.0 |
44% |
|
$9.61 |
$961.21 |
$980.82 |
17th Nov |
Bellator 301 |
1 |
1.1 |
105% |
|
$9.81 |
$980.82 |
$991.11 |
17th Nov |
LFA 172 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
130% |
|
$9.91 |
$991.11 |
$997.56 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
4 |
-1.0 |
-26% |
|
$9.98 |
$997.56 |
$987.17 |
24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
4.2 |
-0.7 |
-16% |
|
$9.87 |
$987.17 |
$980.56 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
5.55 |
1.2 |
23% |
|
$9.81 |
$980.56 |
$992.82 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
2.7 |
3.0 |
111% |
|
$9.93 |
$992.82 |
$1,022.60 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,022.60 |
$1,007.26 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
2.9 |
-2.9 |
-100% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,007.26 |
$978.05 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Fight Equity : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Fight Equity : Progress Chart |
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