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MMA Handicapper Stats: PlumDog Millions

PlumDog Millions (PlumDogMillions)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - PlumDog Millions

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 17 (32%) Right 13 (38%) Right 3 (18%) Right 1 (50%)
Wrong 36 (68%) Wrong 21 (62%) Wrong 14 (82%) Wrong 1 (50%)
Avg Odds 2.56 Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 8.22 Avg Odds 1.70
Units Bet 57.7 Units Bet 49.8 Units Bet 5.1 Units Bet 2.8
Avg Bet 1.09 Avg Bet 1.46 Avg Bet 0.30 Avg Bet 1.40
Units Profit -10.21 Units Profit -13.34 Units Profit 4.08 Units Profit -0.95
ROI % -18% ROI % -27% ROI % 80% ROI % -34%
View Handicapper's Profile

PlumDog Millions: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 2.13 -2.1 -100% -2.1 / 2.13 (-100%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 2.7 2.2 83% 2.2 / 2.7 (83%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 12.852 -11.0 -86% -9.7 / 9.652 (-100%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (85%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 4.88 -3.7 -75% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 0.3 / 0.88 (36%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 6.76 -6.8 -100% -6.8 / 6.76 (-100%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 8.368 1.7 20% 2.2 / 7.83 (28%) -0.5 / 0.538 (-100%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 5.52 10.6 192% 3.6 / 4.52 (79%) 7.0 / 1 (700%)
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 7.77 -1.4 -18% 0.9 / 5.47 (17%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 2.7 -0.2 -9% -0.2 / 2.7 (-9%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 4 0.5 12% 0.5 / 4 (12%)


Winning Events: 4 (40%)
Losing Events: 6 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.77 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.85 units
Best Event: 10.59 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: -1.02 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 12.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -21.44

PlumDog Millions: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 57.68 -10.2 -18% -13.3 / 49.762 (-27%) -0.9 / 2.8 (-34%) 4 / 6 (40%) -1.02

PlumDog Millions: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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PlumDog Millions: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 57.68 -10.2 -18% -13.3 / 49.762 (-27%) 4.1 / 5.118 (80%) -0.9 / 2.8 (-34%)

PlumDog Millions: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (14%) 3 60 % 8.89 -1.85 -0.37 -21%
Slight Favorites 12 (33%) 4 33 % 19.60 -6.79 -0.57 -35%
Slight Underdogs 17 (47%) 5 29 % 19.86 -6.49 -0.38 -33%
Big Underdogs 2 (6%) 1 50 % 1.41 1.79 0.90 127%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.20 1.20 1.20 100%
Co-Main Event 3 (8%) 2 67 % 4.32 2.15 0.72 50%
Position 3-5 12 (33%) 2 17 % 14.71 -7.00 -0.58 -48%
6+ (Undercard) 20 (56%) 8 40 % 29.53 -9.69 -0.48 -33%

PlumDog Millions: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.07 1.07 71%
Light Heavy 3 (8%) 0 % 3.63 -3.63 -1.21 -100%
Middleweight 3 (8%) 1 33 % 4.15 -1.75 -0.58 -42%
Welterweight 8 (22%) 3 38 % 11.60 -3.54 -0.44 -31%
Lightweight 8 (22%) 3 38 % 10.91 -2.43 -0.30 -22%
Featherweight 4 (11%) 1 25 % 5.34 -3.02 -0.75 -57%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 4 (11%) 2 50 % 5.00 -0.25 -0.06 -5%
               
Women's Fights 3 (8%) 2 67 % 5.63 2.21 0.74 39%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 2.31 2.31 77%
Flyweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 2.63 -0.10 -0.05 -4%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 4 (100%) 2 50 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
4 2 50 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 17 (100%) 3 18 %
17 3 18 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 5 (29%) 2 40 % 7.48 12.00Pick was incorrect 5.40Pick was incorrect 11.0 (220%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (18%) 1 33 % 5.58 13.00Pick was incorrect 3.40Pick was incorrect 3.0 (100%)
Others 9 (53%) 0 0 % 10.44 31.00Pick was incorrect 4.50Pick was incorrect -9.0 (-100%)
17 3 18 % 8.22     5.0 (29%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail PlumDog Millions's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 4 0.5 12% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,005.00
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 2.7 -0.2 -9% $10.05 $1,005.00 $1,002.54
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 7.77 -1.4 -18% $10.03 $1,002.54 $988.74
8th Jul UFC 290 5.52 10.6 192% $9.89 $988.74 $1,093.46
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 8.368 1.7 20% $10.93 $1,093.46 $1,111.61
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 6.76 -6.8 -100% $11.12 $1,111.61 $1,036.47
29th Jul UFC 291 4.88 -3.7 -75% $10.36 $1,036.47 $998.32
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 12.852 -11.0 -86% $9.98 $998.32 $888.51
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 2.7 2.2 83% $8.89 $888.51 $908.36
19th Aug UFC 292 2.13 -2.1 -100% $9.08 $908.36 $889.01


ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.10% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

PlumDog Millions: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '23 Luana Santos Juliana Miller 1.69 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '23 Vicente Luque Rafael dos Anjos 2.00 1.2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '23 Nazim Sadykhov Terrance McKinney 1.71 1.4 Sub, R2 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '23 Melquizael Costa Austin Lingo 1.53 1.52 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '23 Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Moreno 2.65 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '23 Robbie Lawler Niko Price 3.20 1 TKO, R1 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '23 Norma Dumont Chelsea Chandler 1.77 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '23 Esteban Ribovics Kamuela Kirk 1.49 1.52 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '23 Alexander Romanov Blagoy Ivanov 1.71 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '23 Grant Dawson Damir Ismagulov 2.10 1.82 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '23 Randy Brown Wellington Turman 1.44 1.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '23 Armen Petrosyan Christian Duncan 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '23 Carlos Hernandez Denys Bondar 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '23 Maryna Moroz Karine Silva 2.42 1.13 Sub, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '23 Pedro Munhoz Marlon Vera 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '23 Gavin Tucker Diego Lopes 2.36 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:38) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '23 Gavin Tucker Diego Lopes 2.10 1.32 Sub, R1 (1:38) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '23 Ignacio Bahamondes Ludovit Klein 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '23 Ode Osbourne Assu Almabaev 2.30 2 Sub, R2 (3:11) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '23 Kennedy Nzechukwu Dustin Jacoby 1.71 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '23 Aleksa Camur Tanner Boser 2.60 0.632 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '23 Jeremiah Wells Carlston Harris 1.61 1.7 Sub, R3 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '23 Matt Semelsberger Uros Medic 1.71 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:36) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '23 Jan Blachowicz Alex Pereira 1.83 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '23 Michael Chiesa Kevin Holland 2.30 1 Sub, R1 (2:39) Yes MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '23 Danny Roberts Jonny Parsons 1.91 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:57) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '23 Jai Herbert Fares Ziam 2.35 0.76 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '23 Joshua Culibao Lerone Murphy 2.26 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '23 Jai Herbert Fares Ziam 1.91 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '23 Genaro Valdez Evan Elder 3.45 0.41 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '23 Ottman Azaitar Francisco Prado 2.10 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:5) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '23 Shannon Ross Jesus Santos Aguilar 2.26 1 TKO, R1 (0:17) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '23 Brunno Ferreira Nursulton Ruziboev 1.47 2.15 TKO, R1 (1:17) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

PlumDog Millions: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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