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MMA Handicapper Stats: GuruScoutingMMA

GuruScoutingMMA (GuruScoutingMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - GuruScoutingMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 136 (41%) Right 59 (47%) Right 53 (34%) Right 24 (49%)
Wrong 193 (59%) Wrong 67 (53%) Wrong 101 (66%) Wrong 25 (51%)
Avg Odds 2.44 Avg Odds 2.13 Avg Odds 2.92 Avg Odds 2.13
Units Bet 489.8 Units Bet 219.0 Units Bet 134.6 Units Bet 136.2
Avg Bet 1.49 Avg Bet 1.74 Avg Bet 0.87 Avg Bet 2.78
Units Profit 2.68 Units Profit -9.71 Units Profit 4.43 Units Profit 7.96
ROI % 1% ROI % -4% ROI % 3% ROI % 6%
View Handicapper's Profile

GuruScoutingMMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 9.75 -5.5 -56% 0.3 / 4 (7%) -5.8 / 5.75 (-100%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 16.6 2.2 13% 2.5 / 6.6 (38%) -0.4 / 10 (-4%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 13.45 2.8 21% -1.4 / 7 (-20%) 4.1 / 6.45 (64%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 25.4 -13.2 -52% -3.9 / 11.6 (-33%) -2.3 / 6.8 (-34%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 16.35 2.1 13% 2.9 / 9.85 (30%) -0.8 / 6.5 (-13%)
22nd Mar '24 Bellator Champions Series 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 20.15 -11.3 -56% -11.3 / 13.95 (-81%) 0.9 / 3.2 (30%) -1.0 / 3 (-33%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 21.45 5.0 23% 5.4 / 16.7 (32%) -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 2.4 / 2 (121%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 13.4 -4.3 -32% -3.0 / 5.5 (-55%) -0.6 / 4.15 (-16%) -0.6 / 3.75 (-17%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 15.1 6.9 46% 8.6 / 10 (86%) 1.3 / 2.1 (62%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 15.35 5.9 38% 3.0 / 5.8 (52%) 0.7 / 7.35 (10%) 2.2 / 2.2 (98%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 14.8 -1.4 -10% -4.8 / 4.8 (-100%) 1.2 / 5.5 (22%) 2.2 / 4.5 (48%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 14.85 3.5 23% 1.1 / 8.4 (13%) 3.3 / 3.25 (103%) -1.0 / 3.2 (-31%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 17.05 1.3 8% 3.1 / 10.25 (31%) 2.2 / 2.8 (79%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 9.35 -2.4 -26% -0.7 / 5 (-14%) 0.3 / 2.35 (12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 10.25 -2.0 -20% 0.1 / 5.5 (1%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -1.8 / 4.5 (-40%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 14.3 -4.2 -29% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) 3.8 / 6.3 (61%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 9.2 0.0 0% 0.0 / 9.2 (0%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 3.5 1.9 55% 1.9 / 3.5 (55%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 14.65 -3.5 -24% -4.1 / 6.2 (-66%) 0.5 / 2 (27%) 0.1 / 6.45 (1%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 17.55 -0.2 -1% -2.4 / 11.7 (-20%) -0.3 / 2.85 (-11%) 2.5 / 3 (83%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 9.9 2.5 25% 1.3 / 1 (125%) 1.0 / 3.9 (26%) 0.2 / 5 (5%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 19.4 3.7 19% 1.4 / 0.5 (275%) -5.7 / 5.7 (-100%) 8.0 / 13.2 (61%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 10.3 -1.9 -19% -1.3 / 8.5 (-16%) -0.6 / 1.8 (-33%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 12.9 -9.2 -71% -0.1 / 3.2 (-3%) -1.1 / 1.7 (-65%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.15 -1.3 -10% 3.4 / 3.6 (93%) -3.4 / 4.85 (-69%) -1.3 / 4.7 (-27%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.8 10.2 57% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 4.2 / 5.3 (80%) 8.4 / 10 (84%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 28.5 5.9 21% 2.2 / 3 (73%) 1.1 / 0.5 (215%) 2.7 / 25 (11%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 42.76 31.0 72% 6.3 / 13.46 (47%) 11.0 / 12.3 (89%) 13.7 / 17 (81%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 16.2 -12.0 -74% -1.4 / 3.5 (-40%) -8.4 / 10.5 (-80%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 19.5 -2.9 -15% -3.8 / 11.8 (-32%) 0.9 / 7.7 (11%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 1.4 -1.4 -100% -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)


Winning Events: 15 (47%)
Losing Events: 17 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.31 units
Most Staked On One Event: 42.76 units
Best Event: 30.99 units
Worst Event: -13.15 units
Average Event: 0.08 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 47.12
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.83

GuruScoutingMMA : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 228.55 -14.0 -6% -3.7 / 124.95 (-3%) -11.9 / 34.65 (-34%) 8 / 7 (53%) -0.93
2023 261.26 16.7 6% -6.1 / 94.06 (-6%) 19.8 / 101.55 (20%) 7 / 10 (41%) 0.98

GuruScoutingMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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GuruScoutingMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 480.81 6.3 1% -6.1 / 210.01 (-3%) 4.4 / 134.6 (3%) 8.0 / 136.2 (6%)
Bellator 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
PFL 3.5 1.9 55% 1.9 / 3.5 (55%)

GuruScoutingMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 46 (36%) 23 50 % 109.26 -17.28 -0.38 -16%
Slight Underdogs 72 (56%) 34 47 % 96.75 12.49 0.17 13%
Big Underdogs 11 (9%) 3 27 % 13.00 -4.93 -0.45 -38%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (11%) 5 36 % 33.40 -13.14 -0.94 -39%
Co-Main Event 13 (10%) 6 46 % 24.80 -0.60 -0.05 -2%
Position 3-5 34 (26%) 17 50 % 68.96 7.86 0.23 11%
6+ (Undercard) 68 (53%) 32 47 % 91.85 -3.84 -0.06 -4%

GuruScoutingMMA : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 16 (12%) 3 19 % 25.65 -20.16 -1.26 -79%
Light Heavy 11 (9%) 6 55 % 24.60 6.88 0.63 28%
Middleweight 10 (8%) 5 50 % 17.00 3.51 0.35 21%
Welterweight 14 (11%) 5 36 % 19.10 -5.64 -0.40 -30%
Lightweight 16 (12%) 10 63 % 22.36 6.28 0.39 28%
Featherweight 24 (19%) 15 63 % 40.80 12.47 0.52 31%
Bantamweight 13 (10%) 6 46 % 23.35 -0.15 -0.01 -1%
Flyweight 8 (6%) 4 50 % 10.05 2.34 0.29 23%
               
Women's Fights 17 (13%) 6 35 % 36.10 -15.25 -0.90 -42%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 6 (5%) 1 17 % 11.40 -6.80 -1.13 -60%
Flyweight 6 (5%) 2 33 % 17.40 -9.13 -1.52 -52%
Strawweight 4 (3%) 3 75 % 6.80 1.18 0.29 17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 98 (90%) 70 71 %
Slight Favorites 11 (10%) 5 45 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
109 75 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 15 (9%) 12 80 %
50-65% 25 (15%) 15 60 %
35-50% 62 (36%) 27 44 %
<35% chance 69 (40%) 13 19 %
171 67 39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 10 (6%) 6 60 % 1.88 2.14Pick was correct 1.63Pick was incorrect 1.7 (17%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (4%) 2 33 % 1.86 2.34Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct -2.6 (-43%)
Goes to Decision 3 (2%) 1 33 % 2.18 2.35Pick was incorrect 2.02Pick was correct -1.0 (-33%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.21 1.21Pick was correct 1.21Pick was correct 0.2 (21%)
Fight Starts Round X 11 (6%) 7 64 % 1.61 2.65Pick was correct 1.15Pick was incorrect 0.7 (6%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 8 (5%) 6 75 % 1.50 2.18Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect 1.1 (14%)
X Wins by KO 6 (4%) 0 0 % 3.94 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.70Pick was incorrect -6.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 19 (11%) 4 21 % 5.47 17.00Pick was incorrect 2.60Pick was incorrect 8.0 (42%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (2%) 0 0 % 4.86 8.50Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 13 (8%) 6 46 % 2.91 6.00Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 6.4 (49%)
X Wins in Round X 19 (11%) 4 21 % 7.37 29.00Pick was correct 3.20Pick was correct 33.8 (178%)
Others 72 (42%) 30 42 % 2.42 28.00Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -5.0 (-7%)
171 67 39 % 2.62     34.4 (20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail GuruScoutingMMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 1.4 -1.4 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $986.00
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 19.5 -2.9 -15% $9.86 $986.00 $957.11
29th Jul UFC 291 16.2 -12.0 -74% $9.57 $957.11 $842.47
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 42.76 31.0 72% $8.42 $842.47 $1,103.54
9th Sep UFC 293 28.5 5.9 21% $11.04 $1,103.54 $1,169.14
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.8 10.2 57% $11.69 $1,169.14 $1,288.23
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.15 -1.3 -10% $12.88 $1,288.23 $1,272.02
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 12.9 -9.2 -71% $12.72 $1,272.02 $1,155.00
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 10.3 -1.9 -19% $11.55 $1,155.00 $1,132.82
21st Oct UFC 294 19.4 3.7 19% $11.33 $1,132.82 $1,174.58
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 9.9 2.5 25% $11.75 $1,174.58 $1,203.86
11th Nov UFC 295 17.55 -0.2 -1% $12.04 $1,203.86 $1,201.52
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 14.65 -3.5 -24% $12.02 $1,201.52 $1,159.36
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 3.5 1.9 55% $11.59 $1,159.36 $1,181.68
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 9.2 0.0 0% $11.82 $1,181.68 $1,181.68
9th Dec UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 14.3 -4.2 -29% $11.82 $1,181.68 $1,132.51
16th Dec UFC 296 10.25 -2.0 -20% $11.33 $1,132.51 $1,109.84
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 9.35 -2.4 -26% $11.10 $1,109.84 $1,082.71
20th Jan UFC 297 17.05 1.3 8% $10.83 $1,082.71 $1,097.23
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 14.85 3.5 23% $10.97 $1,097.23 $1,135.30
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 14.8 -1.4 -10% $11.35 $1,135.30 $1,119.07
17th Feb UFC 298 15.35 5.9 38% $11.19 $1,119.07 $1,184.74
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 15.1 6.9 46% $11.85 $1,184.74 $1,266.55
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 13.4 -4.3 -32% $12.67 $1,266.55 $1,211.69
9th Mar UFC 299 21.45 5.0 23% $12.12 $1,211.69 $1,272.52
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 20.15 -11.3 -56% $12.73 $1,272.52 $1,128.37
22nd Mar Bellator Champions Series 5.5 -5.5 -100% $11.28 $1,128.37 $1,066.31
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 16.35 2.1 13% $10.66 $1,066.31 $1,088.84
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 25.4 -13.2 -52% $10.89 $1,088.84 $945.61
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 13.45 2.8 21% $9.46 $945.61 $971.75
13th Apr UFC 300 16.6 2.2 13% $9.72 $971.75 $992.78
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 9.75 -5.5 -56% $9.93 $992.78 $938.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

GuruScoutingMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Karine Silva Ariane Lipski 2.15 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Max Holloway Justin Gaethje 2.50 1 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Jiri Prochazka Aleksandar Rakic 2.05 2 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Jose Mariscal Morgan Charriere 2.25 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Ibo Aslan Anton Turkalj 1.91 1.1 TKO, R3 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Joaquin Buckley Vicente Luque 2.25 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Julian Erosa Ricardo Ramos 2.48 2 Sub, R1 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Jarno Errens Steven Nguyen 2.52 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Michael Parkin Mohammed Usman 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Danny Silva Joshua Culibao 2.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Payton Talbott Cameron Saaiman 1.91 1.6 TKO, R2 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.77 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Philipe Lins Ion Cutelaba 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Michel Pereira Michal Oleksiejczuk 1.67 3 Sub, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Maycee Barber Katlyn Chookagian 1.59 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Michael Page Kevin Holland 2.14 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Loik Radzhabov Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 2.45 1 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Luis Rodriguez Denys Bondar 2.00 2.5 Sub, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Jesus Santos Aguilar Mateus Mendonca 2.40 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '24 Manuel Torres Chris Duncan (2) 1.80 3 Sub, R1 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Caio Machado (2) Don'tale Mayes 2.37 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Jim Miller Bobby Green 2.54 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Dan Argueta Jean Matsumoto 2.60 1.5 Sub, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Germaine de Randamie Norma Dumont 2.50 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Rhys McKee Chidi Njokuani 2.64 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 2.00 1 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Luis Pajuelo Fernando Padilla 2.50 1 Sub, R1 (2:45) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Kurt Holobaugh Trey Ogden 2.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Isaiah Pinson Abraham Bably 2.60 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 James Gallagher Leandro Higo 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Aaron Jeffery Fabian Edwards 2.24 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Jeremy Kennedy Patricio Freire 2.00 2 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Erin Blanchfield Manon Fiorot 1.74 7 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Tai Tuivasa Marcin Tybura 1.91 1.1 Sub, R1 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Charalampos Grigoriou Chad Anheliger 1.65 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Cory McKenna Jaqueline Amorim 1.90 2.5 Sub, R1 (1:38) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Isaac Dulgarian Christian Rodriguez 1.80 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Tai Tuivasa Marcin Tybura 1.91 1.1 Sub, R1 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 1.83 1.2 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 2.45 2 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

GuruScoutingMMA : Progress Chart

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