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MMA Handicapper Stats: BigJR Winners

BigJR Winners (James964)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	24 (44%)	Right	17 (59%)	Right	6 (27%)	Right	1 (33%)
Wrong	30 (56%)	Wrong	12 (41%)	Wrong	16 (73%)	Wrong	2 (67%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.57	Avg Odds	2.32	Avg Odds	7.01
Units Bet	132.4	Units Bet	86.0	Units Bet	41.4	Units Bet	5.0
Avg Bet	2.45	Avg Bet	2.97	Avg Bet	1.88	Avg Bet	1.67
Units Profit	-16.25	Units Profit	-0.34	Units Profit	-19.29	Units Profit	3.38
ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	-47%	ROI %	68%

BigJR Winners: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	36	8.2	23%	1.8 / 34 (5%)		6.4 / 2 (319%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	57.5	-5.1	-9%	3.7 / 35 (11%)	-8.8 / 22.5 (-39%)
1st Apr '23	PFL 1: 2023	38.85	-19.3	-50%	-5.9 / 17 (-35%)	-10.4 / 18.85 (-55%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 1 (33%)
Losing Events: 2 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 44.12 units
Most Staked On One Event: 57.50 units
Best Event: 8.21 units
Worst Event: -19.32 units
Average Event: -5.42 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 8.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -24.46

BigJR Winners: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	36	8.2	23%	1.8 / 34 (5%)		6.4 / 2 (319%)	1 / (100%)	8.21
2023	96.35	-24.5	-25%	-2.2 / 52 (-4%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	/ 2 (0%)	-12.23

BigJR Winners: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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BigJR Winners: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	93.5	3.1	3%	5.5 / 69 (8%)	-8.8 / 22.5 (-39%)	6.4 / 2 (319%)
PFL	38.85	-19.3	-50%	-5.9 / 17 (-35%)	-10.4 / 18.85 (-55%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

BigJR Winners: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	15 (52%)	9	60 %	55.00	-9.84	-0.66	-18%
Slight Favorites	8 (28%)	6	75 %	25.00	10.65	1.33	43%
Slight Underdogs	6 (21%)	2	33 %	6.00	-1.15	-0.19	-19%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (7%)	2	100 %	7.00	4.94	2.47	71%
Co-Main Event	3 (10%)	2	67 %	9.00	2.57	0.86	29%
Position 3-5	8 (28%)	4	50 %	18.00	-4.98	-0.62	-28%
6+ (Undercard)	16 (55%)	9	56 %	52.00	-2.87	-0.18	-6%

BigJR Winners: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	4 (14%)	2	50 %	10.00	1.13	0.28	11%
Middleweight	5 (17%)	3	60 %	17.00	7.04	1.41	41%
Welterweight	4 (14%)	4	100 %	11.00	5.06	1.27	46%
Lightweight	2 (7%)	2	100 %	10.00	2.45	1.23	25%
Featherweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	9.00	-3.27	-0.82	-36%
Bantamweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	13.00	-4.47	-1.12	-34%

Women's Fights	6 (21%)	2	33 %	16.00	-8.28	-1.38	-52%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.33	1.33	27%
Strawweight	5 (17%)	1	20 %	11.00	-9.62	-1.92	-87%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	13 (81%)	9	69 %
Slight Favorites	2 (13%)	1	50 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (6%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	16	10	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (26%)	4	67 %
50-65%	2 (9%)	0	0 %
35-50%	8 (35%)	2	25 %
<35% chance	7 (30%)	1	14 %
	23	7	30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (9%)	1	50 %	2.67	2.80	2.55	0.8 (40%)
Goes to Decision	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.37	1.37	1.37	0.4 (37%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (9%)	0	0 %	1.93	2.25	1.69	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (26%)	1	17 %	2.10	4.00	1.44	-4.6 (-76%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (17%)	2	50 %	5.69	13.00	2.25	11.3 (281%)
Others	8 (35%)	2	25 %	2.12	21.00	1.25	-4.9 (-62%)
	23	7	30 %	2.34			0.9 (4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail BigJR Winners's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
1st Apr	PFL 1: 2023	38.85	-19.3	-50%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$806.75
8th Apr	UFC 287	57.5	-5.1	-9%		$8.07	$806.75	$765.34
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	36	8.2	23%		$7.65	$765.34	$828.14

ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

BigJR Winners: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Abusupiyan Magomedov	Warlley Alves	1.38	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '24	Melissa Gatto	Tamires Vidal	1.27	5	TKO, R3 (0:37)
3.	May '24	Tom Nolan	Victor Martinez	1.21	5	TKO, R1 (3:50)
4.	May '24	Adrian Yanez	Vinicius Salvador	1.24	5	TKO, R1 (2:47)
5.	May '24	Themba Gorimbo	Ramiz Brahimaj	1.68	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '24	Kalinn Williams	Carlston Harris	1.82	3	TKO, R1 (1:30)
7.	May '24	Lerone Murphy	Edson Barboza	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '23	Steve Garcia	Yilan Sha	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (0:36)
9.	Apr '23	Ignacio Bahamondes	Trey Ogden	1.28	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '23	Lupita Godinez	Cynthia Calvillo	1.38	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '23	Kelvin Gastelum	Chris Curtis	1.69	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Apr '23	Kevin Holland	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.41	2	TKO, R3 (3:16)
13.	Apr '23	Rob Font	Adrian Yanez	2.35	1	TKO, R1 (2:57)
14.	Apr '23	Gilbert Burns	Jorge Masvidal	1.22	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '23	Israel Adesanya	Alex Pereira	1.74	5	TKO, R2 (4:21)
16.	Apr '23	Impa Kasanganay	Cory Hendricks	1.63	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Apr '23	Marthin Hamlet	Mohammad Fakhreddine	1.50	2	Sub, R1 (1:5)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Emily Ducote	Vanessa Demopoulos	1.26	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	Kleydson Rodrigues	Heili Alateng	1.65	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '24	Luana Pinheiro	Angela Hill	2.20	1	Sub, R2 (4:12)	No
4.	Apr '23	Jaqueline Amorim	Sam Hughes	1.38	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '23	Gerald Meerschaert	Joe Pyfer	2.55	1	TKO, R1 (3:15)	No
6.	Apr '23	Michelle Waterson	Luana Pinheiro	2.30	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '23	Raul Rosas Jr	Christian Rodriguez	1.42	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '23	Delan Monte	Ty Flores	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '23	Daniel Torres	Alejandro Flores	1.40	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '23	Chris Wade	Bubba Jenkins	1.59	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '23	Krzysztof Jotko	Will Fleury	1.38	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '23	Thiago Santos	Rob Wilkinson	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

BigJR Winners: Progress Chart

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