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MMA Handicapper Stats: Risky Business |
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Risky Business : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 14 (64%)
Losing Events: 8 (36%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.20 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.50 units
Best Event: 12.46 units
Worst Event: -9.00 units
Average Event: 0.79 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 12.46
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.40 |
Risky Business : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
114.4 |
17.3 |
15% |
16.7 / 101.4 (16%) |
|
0.3 / 6.5 (4%) |
14 / 8 (64%) |
0.79 |
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Risky Business : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Risky Business : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
99.4 |
11.0 |
11% |
10.8 / 87.4 (12%) |
-0.1 / 5.5 (-2%) |
0.3 / 6.5 (4%) |
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Bellator |
6.5 |
6.1 |
94% |
5.6 / 5.5 (102%) |
0.5 / 1 (49%) |
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PFL |
8.5 |
0.3 |
3% |
0.3 / 8.5 (3%) |
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Risky Business : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
9 (15%) |
7 |
78 % |
30.00 |
-0.10 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
| Slight Favorites |
26 (43%) |
14 |
54 % |
46.40 |
-2.09 |
-0.08 |
-4% |
| Slight Underdogs |
23 (38%) |
14 |
61 % |
22.50 |
14.35 |
0.62 |
64% |
| Big Underdogs |
3 (5%) |
2 |
67 % |
2.50 |
4.50 |
1.50 |
180% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
11 (18%) |
6 |
55 % |
20.50 |
2.46 |
0.22 |
12% |
| Co-Main Event |
7 (11%) |
4 |
57 % |
13.00 |
-1.06 |
-0.15 |
-8% |
| Position 3-5 |
16 (26%) |
11 |
69 % |
33.50 |
10.28 |
0.64 |
31% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
27 (44%) |
16 |
59 % |
34.40 |
4.99 |
0.18 |
15% |
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Risky Business : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
4 (7%) |
2 |
50 % |
5.50 |
-0.32 |
-0.08 |
-6% |
| Light Heavy |
3 (5%) |
2 |
67 % |
7.00 |
1.78 |
0.59 |
25% |
| Middleweight |
9 (15%) |
6 |
67 % |
18.50 |
2.47 |
0.27 |
13% |
| Welterweight |
5 (8%) |
3 |
60 % |
7.70 |
1.69 |
0.34 |
22% |
| Lightweight |
10 (16%) |
4 |
40 % |
14.70 |
-7.48 |
-0.75 |
-51% |
| Featherweight |
11 (18%) |
9 |
82 % |
21.00 |
9.44 |
0.86 |
45% |
| Bantamweight |
11 (18%) |
8 |
73 % |
17.00 |
11.16 |
1.01 |
66% |
| Flyweight |
3 (5%) |
2 |
67 % |
6.00 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0% |
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| Women's Fights |
5 (8%) |
1 |
20 % |
4.00 |
-2.09 |
-0.42 |
-52% |
| Bantamweight |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.00 |
-1.09 |
-0.36 |
-36% |
| Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
| Strawweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
1 (25%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
3 (75%) |
3 |
100 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
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4 |
3 |
75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
9 (43%) |
8 |
89 % |
| 50-65% |
8 (38%) |
6 |
75 % |
| 35-50% |
2 (10%) |
1 |
50 % |
| <35% chance |
2 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
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21 |
15 |
71 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Risky Business 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 31st Mar |
Bellator 293 |
2 |
4.2 |
209% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,041.80 |
| 1st Apr |
PFL 1: 2023 |
5.5 |
3.3 |
60% |
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$10.42 |
$1,041.80 |
$1,075.94 |
| 7th Apr |
PFL 2: 2023 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
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$10.76 |
$1,075.94 |
$1,065.18 |
| 8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
10.5 |
12.5 |
119% |
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$10.65 |
$1,065.18 |
$1,197.92 |
| 14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
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$11.98 |
$1,197.92 |
$1,173.97 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
12.5 |
1.5 |
12% |
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$11.74 |
$1,173.97 |
$1,191.88 |
| 21st Apr |
Bellator 294 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
83% |
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$11.92 |
$1,191.88 |
$1,206.77 |
| 22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
9 |
3.6 |
40% |
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$12.07 |
$1,206.77 |
$1,249.67 |
| 22nd Apr |
Bellator 295 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
47% |
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$12.50 |
$1,249.67 |
$1,258.42 |
| 29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
5.7 |
-1.4 |
-24% |
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$12.58 |
$1,258.42 |
$1,240.91 |
| 6th May |
UFC 288 |
4 |
1.0 |
26% |
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$12.41 |
$1,240.91 |
$1,253.68 |
| 12th May |
Bellator 296 |
1.5 |
-0.0 |
-1% |
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$12.54 |
$1,253.68 |
$1,253.52 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
4 |
-1.2 |
-30% |
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$12.54 |
$1,253.52 |
$1,238.72 |
| 20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
6.2 |
3.7 |
59% |
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$12.39 |
$1,238.72 |
$1,284.24 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
3.5 |
1.3 |
38% |
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$12.84 |
$1,284.24 |
$1,301.35 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
8 |
0.7 |
8% |
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$13.01 |
$1,301.35 |
$1,309.85 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
3.5 |
0.1 |
3% |
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$13.10 |
$1,309.85 |
$1,311.31 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
7 |
3.0 |
44% |
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$13.11 |
$1,311.31 |
$1,351.27 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
7.5 |
-4.8 |
-64% |
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$13.51 |
$1,351.27 |
$1,286.25 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
10 |
-9.0 |
-90% |
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$12.86 |
$1,286.25 |
$1,170.49 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
4 |
-0.6 |
-15% |
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$11.70 |
$1,170.49 |
$1,163.55 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
4 |
0.5 |
13% |
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$11.64 |
$1,163.55 |
$1,169.81 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 16.98% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Risky Business : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
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| 1. |
Jul '23 |
Yanal Ashmoz |
Chris Duncan (2) |
2.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 2. |
Jul '23 |
Holly Holm |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
1.65 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (0:38) |
No |
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| 3. |
Jul '23 |
Jim Crute |
Alonzo Menifield |
1.71 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:55) |
No |
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| 4. |
Jul '23 |
Holly Holm |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
1.59 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (0:38) |
No |
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| 5. |
Jul '23 |
Ismael Bonfim |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
1.36 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
No |
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| 6. |
Jul '23 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Grant Dawson |
1.67 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 7. |
Jun '23 |
Marvin Vettori |
Jared Cannonier |
1.83 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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| 8. |
Jun '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Charles Oliveira |
1.67 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
No |
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| 9. |
Jun '23 |
Muin Gafurov |
John Castaneda |
2.10 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 10. |
Jul '23 |
Robert Whittaker |
Dricus Du Plessis |
1.29 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:23) |
No |
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| 11. |
May '23 |
Piotr Niedzielski |
Yves Landu |
2.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 12. |
May '23 |
Daniel Rodriguez |
Ian Garry |
3.50 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:57) |
No |
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| 13. |
May '23 |
Cody Stamann |
Douglas Silva de Andrade |
1.69 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 14. |
May '23 |
Joseph Holmes |
Claudio Ribeiro |
2.45 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:21) |
No |
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| 15. |
Apr '23 |
Josh Quinlan |
Trey Waters |
1.67 |
1.7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 16. |
Apr '23 |
Ricky Simon |
Yadong Song |
1.77 |
2 |
TKO, R5 (1:10) |
No |
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| 17. |
Apr '23 |
Veta Arteaga |
Sumiko Inaba |
2.25 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 18. |
Apr '23 |
Ahmed Amir |
Bruno Miranda |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 19. |
Apr '23 |
Shane Burgos |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
2.51 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 20. |
Apr '23 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:8) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Risky Business : Progress Chart |
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