MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2353

MMA Handicapper Stats: Odds Breaker

Odds Breaker (OddsBreaker1554)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	50 (39%)	Right	40 (42%)	Right	10 (30%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	79 (61%)	Wrong	56 (58%)	Wrong	23 (70%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.43	Avg Odds	2.20	Avg Odds	3.50	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	269.8	Units Bet	236.7	Units Bet	33.1	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	2.09	Avg Bet	2.47	Avg Bet	1.00	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	-12.36	Units Profit	-7.29	Units Profit	-5.07	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	-5%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	nan%

Odds Breaker: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	14.5	-10.5	-73%	-8.5 / 12.5 (-68%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	3	-3.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	2	1.8	91%	1.8 / 2 (91%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	12.5	-2.6	-21%	-2.6 / 12.5 (-21%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	2.5	2.6	104%	2.6 / 2.5 (104%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	6	-6.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	7.5	-3.0	-40%	-2.5 / 5 (-50%)	-0.5 / 2.5 (-20%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	2	2.4	120%	2.4 / 2 (120%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	7	-7.0	-100%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	4	-1.0	-25%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.0 / 3 (0%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	Bellator 300	0.1	-0.1	-100%	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	7	-7.0	-100%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	2.7	-2.7	-100%	-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	21.2	25.8	122%	24.1 / 17.7 (136%)	1.7 / 3.5 (49%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	9.9	5.1	52%	0.3 / 3 (11%)	4.8 / 6.9 (70%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	13.1	-0.2	-1%	-0.1 / 9 (-1%)	-0.1 / 4.1 (-2%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	13	-1.1	-8%	2.9 / 7.7 (38%)	-4.0 / 5.3 (-75%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	10	10.9	109%	9.3 / 8 (117%)	1.5 / 2 (77%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	8	-6.2	-77%	-6.2 / 8 (-77%)
30th Jul '23	Bellator vs Rizin 2	2.5	1.8	71%	1.8 / 2.5 (71%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	13.3	13.8	104%	10.4 / 12 (87%)	3.4 / 1.3 (258%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	15	4.4	29%	4.9 / 14.5 (34%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	3.5	0.1	4%	0.1 / 3.5 (4%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	1.6	-0.2	-14%	0.9 / 0.5 (175%)	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	5	4.9	98%	4.9 / 5 (98%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	13.5	2.1	16%	4.1 / 10.5 (39%)	-2.0 / 3 (-67%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	9.5	-4.0	-43%	-4.0 / 9.5 (-43%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	4	-1.8	-45%	-1.8 / 4 (-45%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	11	-1.0	-9%	2.0 / 8 (25%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th May '23	One Fight Night 10	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	7	8.0	114%	8.0 / 7 (114%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	16.36	-14.2	-87%	-15.5 / 15.46 (-100%)	1.2 / 0.9 (136%)
14th Apr '23	PFL 3: 2023	2.5	2.2	87%	2.2 / 2.5 (87%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	7.5	-0.5	-7%	0.0 / 3 (0%)	-0.5 / 4.5 (-11%)

Winning Events: 14 (32%)
Losing Events: 30 (68%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.46 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.20 units
Best Event: 25.79 units
Worst Event: -14.23 units
Average Event: -0.28 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.92
Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -30.80

Odds Breaker: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	51	-23.7	-47%	-18.2 / 43.5 (-42%)			2 / 9 (18%)	-2.16
2023	233.26	11.4	5%	11.0 / 193.16 (6%)			12 / 21 (36%)	0.34

Odds Breaker: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Odds Breaker: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	277.16	-14.2	-5%	-9.1 / 229.56 (-4%)	-5.1 / 47.6 (-11%)
Bellator	2.6	1.7	64%	1.7 / 2.6 (64%)
PFL	2.5	2.2	87%	2.2 / 2.5 (87%)
Other	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Odds Breaker: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	4 (3%)	4	100 %	15.00	5.93	1.48	40%
Slight Favorites	43 (36%)	21	49 %	111.46	-25.74	-0.60	-23%
Slight Underdogs	47 (39%)	19	40 %	75.50	2.07	0.04	3%
Big Underdogs	26 (22%)	6	23 %	34.70	10.44	0.40	30%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	29 (24%)	16	55 %	82.10	36.76	1.27	45%
Co-Main Event	15 (13%)	3	20 %	27.50	-20.30	-1.35	-74%
Position 3-5	47 (39%)	18	38 %	80.86	-30.03	-0.64	-37%
6+ (Undercard)	29 (24%)	13	45 %	46.20	6.28	0.22	14%

Odds Breaker: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (5%)	3	50 %	18.46	5.02	0.84	27%
Light Heavy	14 (12%)	3	21 %	31.20	-21.09	-1.51	-68%
Middleweight	27 (23%)	11	41 %	54.50	17.76	0.66	33%
Welterweight	24 (20%)	10	42 %	31.70	2.76	0.12	9%
Lightweight	23 (19%)	8	35 %	50.60	-8.23	-0.36	-16%
Featherweight	14 (12%)	6	43 %	30.50	-10.93	-0.78	-36%
Bantamweight	11 (9%)	8	73 %	19.20	6.54	0.59	34%
Flyweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.87	0.87	175%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (2%)	0	0 %
50-65%	13 (32%)	5	38 %
35-50%	7 (17%)	1	14 %
<35% chance	20 (49%)	4	20 %
	41	10	24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	6 (15%)	1	17 %	3.99	17.00	2.65	-1.7 (-29%)
X Wins Inside Distance	11 (27%)	6	55 %	2.22	5.00	1.77	2.1 (19%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (10%)	0	0 %	4.13	9.00	1.91	-4.0 (-100%)
Others	19 (46%)	3	16 %	3.25	41.00	1.29	9.6 (50%)
	41	10	24 %	2.98			4.9 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Odds Breaker's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Apr	UFC 287	7.5	-0.5	-7%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$995.00
14th Apr	PFL 3: 2023	2.5	2.2	87%		$9.95	$995.00	$1,016.63
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	16.36	-14.2	-87%		$10.17	$1,016.63	$871.91
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	7	8.0	114%		$8.72	$871.91	$941.67
5th May	One Fight Night 10	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.42	$941.67	$922.83
6th May	UFC 288	11	-1.0	-9%		$9.23	$922.83	$913.24
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	4	-1.8	-45%		$9.13	$913.24	$896.81
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	3	-3.0	-100%		$8.97	$896.81	$869.90
10th Jun	UFC 289	5	-5.0	-100%		$8.70	$869.90	$826.41
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	9.5	-4.0	-43%		$8.26	$826.41	$792.94
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	13.5	2.1	16%		$7.93	$792.94	$809.54
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	5	4.9	98%		$8.10	$809.54	$849.02
8th Jul	UFC 290	1.6	-0.2	-14%		$8.49	$849.02	$847.11
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	3.5	0.1	4%		$8.47	$847.11	$848.29
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	15	4.4	29%		$8.48	$848.29	$885.71
29th Jul	UFC 291	13.3	13.8	104%		$8.86	$885.71	$1,007.93
30th Jul	Bellator vs Rizin 2	2.5	1.8	71%		$10.08	$1,007.93	$1,025.71
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	8	-6.2	-77%		$10.26	$1,025.71	$962.46
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	10	10.9	109%		$9.62	$962.46	$1,067.06
19th Aug	UFC 292	13	-1.1	-8%		$10.67	$1,067.06	$1,055.72
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	13.1	-0.2	-1%		$10.56	$1,055.72	$1,053.74
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	9.9	5.1	52%		$10.54	$1,053.74	$1,107.80
9th Sep	UFC 293	21.2	25.8	122%		$11.08	$1,107.80	$1,393.51
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	2.7	-2.7	-100%		$13.94	$1,393.51	$1,355.89
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	7	-7.0	-100%		$13.56	$1,355.89	$1,260.98
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	2	-2.0	-100%		$12.61	$1,260.98	$1,235.76
7th Oct	Bellator 300	0.1	-0.1	-100%		$12.36	$1,235.76	$1,234.52
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	5	-5.0	-100%		$12.35	$1,234.52	$1,172.79
21st Oct	UFC 294	4	-1.0	-25%		$11.73	$1,172.79	$1,161.07
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.61	$1,161.07	$1,149.46
11th Nov	UFC 295	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.49	$1,149.46	$1,091.98
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	7	-7.0	-100%		$10.92	$1,091.98	$1,015.54
16th Dec	UFC 296	2	2.4	120%		$10.16	$1,015.54	$1,039.92
20th Jan	UFC 297	7.5	-3.0	-40%		$10.40	$1,039.92	$1,008.72
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.09	$1,008.72	$948.20
17th Feb	UFC 298	2.5	2.6	104%		$9.48	$948.20	$972.85
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.73	$972.85	$963.12
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.63	$963.12	$958.30
9th Mar	UFC 299	12.5	-2.6	-21%		$9.58	$958.30	$932.97
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	2	1.8	91%		$9.33	$932.97	$949.93
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.50	$949.93	$945.18
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.45	$945.18	$935.73
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.36	$935.73	$907.66
13th Apr	UFC 300	14.5	-10.5	-73%		$9.08	$907.66	$812.20

ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.78% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Odds Breaker: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '24	Marcin Tybura	Tai Tuivasa	1.91	2	Sub, R1 (4:8)
3.	Mar '24	Kyler Phillips	Pedro Munhoz	1.49	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.87	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '24	Jack Della Maddalena	Gilbert Burns	2.20	1.5	TKO, R3 (3:43)
8.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.15	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
9.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.55	1	TKO, R2 (3:32)
10.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.55	1	TKO, R2 (3:32)
11.	Jan '24	Sean Woodson	Charles Jourdain	2.50	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '23	Leon Edwards	Colby Covington	2.20	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
13.	Sep '23	Volkan Oezdemir	Bogdan Guskov	1.66	2	Sub, R1 (3:46)
14.	Sep '23	Alexander Volkov	Tai Tuivasa	1.56	3	Sub, R2 (4:37)
15.	Sep '23	Sean Strickland	Israel Adesanya	5.25	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Aug '23	Andre Petroski	Gerald Meerschaert	1.47	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '23	Sean Strickland	Israel Adesanya	4.00	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Sep '23	Sean Strickland	Israel Adesanya	4.75	6	U Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Aug '23	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Chidi Njokuani	1.72	3	TKO, R1 (4:16)
20.	Aug '23	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Chidi Njokuani	1.87	2	TKO, R1 (4:16)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Justin Gaethje	Max Holloway	1.67	2	TKO, R5 (4:59)	No
2.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.25	3	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
3.	Mar '24	Sedriques Dumas	Nursulton Ruziboev	3.20	1	TKO, R1 (3:18)	No
4.	Mar '24	AJ Dobson	Edmen Shahbazyan	2.75	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:33)	No
5.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '24	Claudio Ribeiro	Christian Duncan	3.55	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:57)	No
7.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.35	1	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
8.	Feb '24	Francisco Prado	Daniel Zellhuber	2.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Feb '24	Darrius Flowers	Michael Johnson	2.20	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.75	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jan '24	Sean Strickland	Dricus Du Plessis	1.86	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Feb '24	Geoff Neal	Ian Garry	2.95	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Benoit Saint-Denis	Dustin Poirier	1.68	2	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
14.	Apr '24	Justin Gaethje	Max Holloway	1.54	3	TKO, R5 (4:59)	No
15.	Apr '24	Cody Garbrandt	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.95	1	Sub, R2 (4:2)	No
16.	Feb '24	Darrius Flowers	Michael Johnson	2.18	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '24	Darrius Flowers	Michael Johnson	2.18	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jan '24	Sean Strickland	Dricus Du Plessis	1.80	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Jan '24	Sean Strickland	Dricus Du Plessis	1.74	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '24	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	2.89	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Odds Breaker: Progress Chart

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